Home Forums Chat Forum Osbourne says no to currency union.

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  • Osbourne says no to currency union.
  • ninfan
    Free Member

    former Mirror editor now talk show host

    How old is the poster?

    bencooper
    Free Member

    Or quotes from among others the current and possible future PM’s

    Piers Morgan? The UK really is ****ed 😀

    sadmadalan
    Full Member

    There seems to be surprise in two things

    1. The amount of spending by the UK Government is being reduced – after all we want to pay less tax. This means that the block grant to Scotland will be reduced.

    2. The method to determine the size of the block grant, the Barnett Formula, is going to be reviewed. Given that the formula was developed in the late 1970’s as a short term solution, it should be reviewed.

    Neither of these are new items. Perhaps people in Scotland should ask themselves how all the measures in the BoD will be paid for? Reduction in pension age, reduction in Corporation Tax, protecting and increasing the NHS budget, free university education (and that would also include UK students if Scotland joins the EU) and building an oil fund. The revenue from tax AND oil does not cover the current Scottish Government budget – so it will not cover these changes. The cost of setting up a new state (£1.5Bn) pales into insignificance.

    piemonster
    Free Member

    I’ve just put my money where Epicyclo’s mouth is.

    That is NOT a euphemism. 7/2 btw.

    Never placed a bet before.

    seosamh77
    Free Member

    sadmadalan – Member
    free university education (and that would also include UK students if Scotland joins the EU)

    I can’t be arsed going into all points, but the free uni one is easy, you just make a charge for uni education and give scottish students a grant regardless of circumstance.

    bencooper
    Free Member

    Perhaps people in Scotland should ask themselves how all the measures in the BoD will be paid for?

    You know it’s a bad sign when you start using THM’s acronyms, don’t you? 😉

    Anyhow, I don’t care. I know Scotland won’t suddenly be a land of milk and honey after independence. We might have a few rough years with getting everything up and running. But Scotland is rich enough in both natural and human resources to succeed and do very well as an independent country – no-one denies it.

    epicyclo
    Full Member

    Oh boy, looks like FIFA is out to persuade any No voters in the Tartan Army that Yes may be a better option.

    I think the Law of Unintended Consequences may work in our favour. 🙂

    piemonster
    Free Member

    I’ll wait until that article is confirmed by a news agency not wholly owned by the Russian Government.

    duckman
    Full Member

    Do we still have an international football team? how are they doing,do they play much?

    kjcc25
    Free Member

    “Better together”, we may actually win something!

    seosamh77
    Free Member

    With regards the no camp, for a group with a majority in the polls, they are seriously under represented online.

    Why do you think this is, is it an age and demographics thing or are they just quietly confident? or are the polls seriously skewed? Are there any other groups that have similar lack of online representation?

    It’s not just online either tbh, from a south side of glasgow perspective, there’s far more Yes posters than no, tbh in my daily life I don’t think I could tell you where I’ve seen a no thanks poster apart from on the tele.

    Or is it just as simple as it’s easier to get enthusiast about change than the status quo?(yes I know there are changes coming, but the no camp has failed to get that message across in any strong way that can compete with complete change.)

    It’s a strange phenomenon.

    rene59
    Free Member

    Or is it just as simple as it’s easier to get enthusiast about change than the status quo?

    It’s this. If we were starting out with nothing and had to chose one or the other then you would expect to see both sides with more equal presence. People who want change are always going to be more active and vocal than people who don’t. They ones seeking change are the ones who need to convince others.

    piemonster
    Free Member

    Wot Rene said

    The Yes mob I know, are out, often loud, and often active.

    The No mob are all on the QT bar a few.

    That is just from personal experience, not representative of owt but my little world.

    jambalaya
    Free Member

    With regards the no camp, for a group with a majority in the polls, they are seriously under represented online.

    Why do you think this is, is it an age and demographics thing or are they just quietly confident? or are the polls seriously skewed? Are there any other groups that have similar lack of online representation?
    I think there are a number of factors

    1) being seen as unpatriotic
    2) being afraid if being attacked verbally or otherwise
    3) demographics, I could well imagine the no campaign supporters would be less present on the internet than the yes. I haven’t seen any stats but I suspect that the 16-18 olds would be more yes than no for example (why else would the SNP have allowed them to vote, it wasn’t for any high browed social objective?)

    piemonster
    Free Member

    2) being afraid if being attacked verbally or otherwise

    Pretty sure from what few occurances there are, both sides have guilty parties.

    seosamh77
    Free Member

    jambalaya – Member
    With regards the no camp, for a group with a majority in the polls, they are seriously under represented online.
    Why do you think this is, is it an age and demographics thing or are they just quietly confident? or are the polls seriously skewed? Are there any other groups that have similar lack of online representation?

    I think there are a number of factors
    1) being seen as unpatriotic
    2) being afraid if being attacked verbally or otherwise
    3) demographics, I could well imagine the no campaign supporters would be less present on the internet than the yes. I haven’t seen any stats but I suspect that the 16-18 olds would be more yes than no for example (why else would the SNP have allowed them to vote, it wasn’t for any high browed social objective?)

    I don’t really see this as being about patriotism at all tbh. point 2 is just nonsense. and 16-18 yo’s, I don’t think there are all that much of them anyhow, but I think they’ll probably just vote as their parents do, so I don’t really see them making much difference(tbh I don’t think they should be voting.)

    rene59
    Free Member

    On demographics I believe from the latest survey it is those at the young and old ends of the spectrum who are majority No voters and those in the middle that are majority Yes. As a whole men are split evenly whilst women are leaning towards No.

    mefty
    Free Member

    3) demographics, I could well imagine the no campaign supporters would be less present on the internet than the yes. I haven’t seen any stats but I suspect that the 16-18 olds would be more yes than no for example (why else would the SNP have allowed them to vote, it wasn’t for any high browed social objective?)

    Opinion polling suggests the opposite is the case.

    konabunny
    Free Member

    Is the Taxpayers’ Alliance really influential? It’s just two lobbyists with a fax machine, isn’t it?

    The third person was from the start a No voter, right up until he was filling in his postal vote. Said gut instinct kicked in and he felt sick, he sat for an hour with a drink thinking it through and couldn’t in the end allow himself to vote No. So Yes it was.

    Okay, so the lonely boozehound lobby is voting for independence…

    duckman
    Full Member

    demographics, I could well imagine the no campaign supporters would be less present on the internet than the yes. I haven’t seen any stats but I suspect that the 16-18 olds would be more yes than no for example (why else would the SNP have allowed them to vote, it wasn’t for any high browed social objective?)

    Actually the opposite is happening, young people are immune to the ‘fatcher factor. Most mock youth elections are within a couple of points one way or the other.

    jambalaya
    Free Member

    @seoasamh Why the No’s don’t speak out ?

    No Campaigner suspends campaign after being pelted with eggs

    jambalaya
    Free Member

    @mefty and @duckman – interesting that 16-18 would be more No ? I haven’t seen any polls but I’ll take you world for it.

    mefty
    Free Member

    Is the Taxpayers’ Alliance really influential? It’s just two lobbyists with a fax machine, isn’t it?

    True to be fair, Priti Patel isn’t a cabinet minister.

    muddydwarf
    Free Member

    The few under 20’s ive interacted with online all say they are voting No.
    Why that is i don’t know but i have read several pieces that say that demographic is strongly No.

    gavstorie
    Free Member

    @seoasamh Why the No’s don’t speak out ?

    No Campaigner suspends campaign after being pelted with eggs

    The headline should have been “Yes and No Supporters hit by eggs, thrown by thugs”

    But lets hope the truth doesnt get in the way of a good story..

    gavstorie
    Free Member

    It still amazes me that so many people south of the border are under the impression that Scotland is subsidised by the rest of the UK..

    Us Scot’s pay more than our fair share into the UK pot and yet you want to cut our expenditure to teach us a lesson…

    muddydwarf
    Free Member

    Er no, that survey stated English people want Scotland to endure the same cutbacks as the rest of the UK. If your paranoia sees that as punishment that’s your problem.
    Personally i don’t want to punish Scotland, i would just rather you left sooner rather than later.

    bencooper
    Free Member

    Er no, that survey stated English people want Scotland to endure the same cutbacks as the rest of the UK.

    We are – as a percentage the Scottish budget is being cut as much as it is in the rest of the UK. The Scottish government is trying to protect and ringfence things, and putting money into mitigating the bedroom tax, but we’re getting the same cuts as everyone else.

    richmtb
    Full Member

    Postal vote done

    I’m not feart

    Its the best opportunity we have for genuine change in a generation.

    And we need a change.

    jambalaya
    Free Member

    The headline should have been “Yes and No Supporters hit by eggs, thrown by thugs”


    @gav
    ’s I imagine the Yes supporters where hit as the other Yes supporters who threw the eggs had poor aim ?

    @richmtb – isn’t the cross supposed to be inside the box ? 😉

    sadmadalan
    Full Member

    I agree that Scotland does put into the pot (per head) than the rest of the UK. However equally they take more per head – look the Barnett Formula and this is embedded into that.

    In the last General Election – all main parties stated that they would reduce Government spending. After all we all want to see the Government take less of our earnings in tax. (I know that many surveys have been done which show that we want are happy to pay more for the right reasons, but we never vote that way).

    As such the grant to Scotland is reduced, how Scotland chooses to spend it, is for them to decide. They can have free prescriptions, free university education, mitigate the bedroom tax, etc, but somewhere along the line something else has give. In part this can be done because the spending per head is greater than the UK, so there is more flexibility.

    But there is a finite pot. At some point if you promise more than you have money, you either need to reduce your commitments, increase taxation (which the Scottish Government can already do) or raise money on the capital markets (which the Scottish Government can’t do).

    Independence does not solve this – the pot is still finite, how the money is spent is still controlled by the Scottish Government. It is now just a larger pot. Various items can be cut out (e.g. Trident) but and independent Scotland will still be borrowing money from the capital markets.

    The appeal from the Yes campaign is that an Edinburgh government can do this ‘better’ than Westminster. How you measure ‘better’ is up to an individual and is the main driver for a Yes/No vote. Remember that Scotland has been sending MPs to Westminster for many years, they are no better or worse than sent by the rest of the UK. Based on this the standard of MSPs will be about the same. If MPs can cock up, so will MSPs .

    There is an appeal that an independent Scotland would be ‘fairer’. Again this is subjective measure and depends where you sit in the political spectrum. One persons fairness is another persons unfairness.

    jambalaya
    Free Member

    Scotland only contributes more to the UK if you include at Oil/Gas revenues. If you look at personal and business taxes the Scots pay less. Oil and Gas are revenues aren’t monies paid by Scots, they are the resources of the UK. We discussed this a while back.

    epicyclo
    Full Member

    jambalaya – Member
    Scotland only contributes more to the UK if you include at Oil/Gas revenues. If you look at personal and business taxes the Scots pay less. Oil and Gas are revenues aren’t monies paid by Scots, they are the resources of the UK….

    You’ve masterfully and neatly summarised the attitude that makes so many Scots keen to be out of the UK.

    jota180
    Free Member

    seosamh77 – Member
    ………….. point 2 is just nonsense. and 16-18 yo’s, I don’t think there are all that much of them anyhow, but I think they’ll probably just vote as their parents do

    Most 16-18 yr olds I’ve know will do the polar opposite of what their parents think is best or want them to do.

    I see there’s been a good bit more modification to roadside posters
    I’ve been up and down the A90 to Aberdeen for the last few weeks and I think the yes activists have now managed to tag every ‘No’ poster.
    I’m guessing it’s a Scottish phrase but a few have been altered to read ‘How No?’

    epicyclo
    Full Member

    jota180 – Member
    …I see there’s been a good bit more modification to roadside posters
    I’ve been up and down the A90 to Aberdeen for the last few weeks and I think the yes activists have now managed to tag every ‘No’ poster.

    There’s a bit of this too…

    bencooper
    Free Member

    This was pretty good too:

    Glasgow City Council deployed the fastest cherry picker in the world to get it down sharpish 😉

    jambalaya
    Free Member

    @epic – yes I understand that and I am sure you will appreciate that I think those people are mistaken. The oil and gas where discovered and extracted (along with all those costs and uncertainties) when Scotland was very much part of the UK. We’ve debated this on here already as part of the UK, Scotland, Shetland Islands discussion.

    I am actually quite fearful for Scotland whichever way this vote goes, there have been many deep divisions exposed and inflamed.

    seosamh77
    Free Member

    jota180 – Member

    I’m guessing it’s a Scottish phrase but a few have been altered to read ‘How No?’
    Quite good, I shall carry an inky about with me! Cheers for the suggestion, if I ever come across any no posters, I’ll be using that! 😀

    Ps, If you are struggling with the colloquialism it translates to “why not?” :mrgreen:

    jambalaya
    Free Member

    Glasgow City Council deployed the fastest cherry picker in the world to get it down sharpish


    @ben
    , I assume it would have been OK if had been a Palestinian flag ? Hamas OK, ISIS not ?

    molgrips
    Free Member

    You’ve masterfully and neatly summarised the attitude that makes so many Scots keen to be out of the UK.

    And you’ve summarised what I feel is bad about the Scottish Yes attitude.

    They seem to think that an arbitrary line on a map is a way to divide people and their endeavours. I have two kids – they share a room, and all their toys. If I were to draw a line down the middle of the room and start segregating their stuff – well that wouldn’t be considered very nice by anyone.

    Personally, I think EVERYONE is better together, as a matter of principle – not just Scotland and the UK.

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