Very skeptical that people will turn to smaller parties when FPTP still exists, especially in our world of polarised politics, where if you dont vote for one of the 2 main parties you are helping the other one,
far more people simply wont vote than vote for either reform, green or the lib dems
Chippenham has been Conservative for decades, and the town council has been largely Conservative as well, but with new boundaries from 2023, the seat could change. In 2019 the results were:
Con – 54.6%
Lib – 31.3%
Lab – 12.3%
Green – 1.9%
Conservative majority of 23.2%
Now the situation regarding chance of winning:
Con – 30%
Lib – 56%
Lab – 14%
Green – 0%
Reform – 0%
The only people canvassing during the last council election were Liberals, I had a couple of Conservative leaflets stuffed through my letterbox, which went straight into my recycling, and I can’t remember when I last saw a poster for a Labour candidate.