The following comes from a Huffington Post piece on the EU (link in that thread)
Professor Matthew Goodwin says that Brexit has exposed a deep and widening divide in the Labour Party.
It faces tensions between its working-class, struggling, northern, eurosceptic and anti-immigration seats – where 70% of Labour seats voted Brexit – and its more middle class, financially secure, southern, pro-EU and cosmopolitan constituencies.
Goodwin also sets out the huge risks to Labour, pointing out that unless it dramatically reversed its situation in Scotland, to stand any chance of winning a majority at the next General Election it would need a poll lead of at least 12.5 percentage points.
“To put this challenge in perspective, in late 2016 Labour is typically 12-16 points behind the incumbent Conservative Party, which since the referendum has enjoyed strong poll leads. The prospect of a Labour majority at the next election is therefore very slim. Additional pressures have also started to bear down on the Labour Party – far more than at any other time in its history.
“Were a General Election held tomorrow, forecasts suggest that Theresa May would be handed a much larger parliamentary majority, perhaps of more than 100. Labour, meanwhile, could be reduced to its lowest number of seats since the 1930s.”