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Is May about to call an election?
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molgripsFree Member
Cos Corbyn has policies that they like.
I know, democracy is ridiculous, isn’t it?
faustusFull MemberTory stronghold for me too, a mere 61% of the vote with lib dems on 15%. Ouch. I struggle to see SNP, Labour and Lib Dems uniting enough behind shared causes to mitigate the damage that is coming or get enough votes for a hung parliament. Labour are still working out which one is the elbow…
km79Free MemberITYM people in general don’t like the idea of nationalists in government.
Except British nationalists, they’re fine.
cheers_driveFull MemberSame as bodgy – East Cambridgeshire here, all farmers have Conservative signs in their fields [apart from a few ukip ones), no one votes labour, lib dems do ok
chestercopperpotFree MemberThis should have been the offer from the get go, referendum then GE.
Let’s see what the scum bags will offer us. They have bribed business with tax breaks, where are ours?
xicoFree MemberIf the BBC ever needs to recruit another political correspondent they need look no further than this STW thread. Love it – this even beats the referendum thread – keep it going guys. 🙂
edenvalleyboyFree MemberHow depressing…The June election result will remind me yet again of the mindset of this country.
At least between elections i can kid myself there is a more empathetic mentality out there than the reality that the election results deliver. 😀
binnersFull MemberLabour has had a surge in membership. I presume that means the 6th formers are back in school….
oldmanmtbFree MemberThe question is how many “Zach Goldsmith” constituencies exist? There are a lot of very unhappy Tory voters in remain areas. They are not comfortable with current proceedings around Brexit. I think Mrs May has rolled the dice due to a lack of confidence on her own backbench support come the Brexit sign off vote. Might be a bit early but I think the Tories could end up a few seats down – possibly a hung parliament? This is a Brexit vote not a GE.
molgripsFree MemberReally is all up in the air. LD might not win any more seats but the anti-Brexit position might split the Tory vote. Or the Labour one for that matter. And how many of the UKIP voters who split the Labour vote last time will return?
outofbreathFree Member*Except British nationalists, they’re fine.”
The SNP *is* British.
edenvalleyboyFree MemberIf you vote Tory and are unhappy who would you vote for? Unhappy Tory voters will still vote Tory.
KlunkFree MemberThis is a Brexit vote not a GE.
no it’s not both main parties are now pro brexit, and lib dems will all over May like glen quagmire given half a sniff of a coalition and Europe can **** off.
oldmanmtbFree MemberDidn’t vote in Zacs by election and yes I know he was independant.
I think much has changed and a lot of Tory voters see brexit as a negative impact on their well being.
slowoldmanFull MemberI’ve never been one for tactical voting, but if ever there was a time…
ninfanFree MemberBut nonetheless, the likelihood is currently low, even though Labour do need the SNP (and would therefore have to offer a 2nd referendum, and by doing so shoot themselves in the foot).
Bang on, this is very much the point – the only people that a Independence works for mathematically is the Tories.
oldmanmtbFree MemberKlunk what comes out of an MPs gob is rarely an indication of anything other than self preservation – I would suggest most labour mps and many Tories are remainers
PimpmasterJazzFree MemberUnfortunately, I live in a Tory stronghold. I’ll be voting Lib Den based on their pro-EU stance and excellent campaigning on local issues. Labour are essentially non-existent in my part of the world.
We will be Tory here unless there’s an outbreak of flu. UKIP took a reasonable second followed by a decent showing from the Green party at the last election; it’ll be interesting to see how that changes. We’ll be voting tactically, but I’m not sure who we’ll tactically vote for at the mo…
aracerFree MemberSadly my constituency did vote for Brexit – though the local result matched the national result very closely, so who knows whether it might be different now? It’s still a very safe Tory seat, so any influence from that is unlikely to make any difference – happy to state right now that I’ll be voting Lib Dem for what difference it makes, just hoping they put up a credible candidate unlike the unprincipled git last time (who I found myself unable to vote for – I guess this time I’d cross my fingers whilst crossing the box). I suppose about the only hope of an upset here is UKIP splitting the Tory vote.
kimbersFull MemberOn the plus side this means May will be able to secure a softer brexshit,
If she doesn’t do it now the weakness of our hand in the negotiations, and the inevitable concessions to the EU will make her look weak after 2019 , that’s why it was worth breaking her no early election promise.
Better that than facing a GE directly after whatever bugger’s muddle she cobbles together.ourmaninthenorthFull MemberI meant also to say +1 to this election being fought over Brexit, but in reality sealing the position for domestic politics.
Brexit is a given – and anyone in government will be doing their best to achieve an overall good outcome (though the details will vary).
Any time anyone mentions Brexit between now and 8th of June, ignore it and dig deeper into the proposed domestic policies of every party: it’s there that you’ll find their real truth.
And, because the Conservatives will win, it’s those policies that should be most closely examined – whether or not you’re a Conservative voter, we all need to know what we’re signing up to….
H1ghland3rFree MemberThe thing about this that annoys me most is that an early GE is a complete subversion of how democracy is supposed to work (generally I mean rather than in the UK specifically).
The Conservatives won a narrow GE in 2015 on a manifesto that included a referendum on EU membership. They went on to fulfil that promise and once again Brexit votes won a very narrow majority bringing us to where we are now.
Now PM May is declaring an early GE because the opposition are ‘playing games trying to block and derail the Brexit process’, but isn’t that the system working as it should.? The current Parliament reflects the divided nature of the current political landscape in this country and therefore it SHOULD be difficult to get the Brexit process and whatever deal she manages to cobble together through Parliament because that is the political will of the people.!
To take advantage of an opposition in disarray and a completely neutered UKIP (fear of which was the reason the whole Brexit referendum was tacked onto the last GE manifesto in the first place), to increase her majority seems to me to be going completely against the political will of the people.
The Fixed-Term legislation was brought in(by a tory government no less) SPECIFICALLY to prevent this kind of self-interested political manoeuvring which is in no-one’s interests but the incumbent ruling party.jambalayaFree MemberJust read through the 8 pages, some real jems. This one below sums it up for me.
So 7 weeks of political comment in the media by the commentators who got it so wrong last year?
Joy.May will stand on a “hard Brexit” manifesto including WTO if necessary. She will add a commitment to keep employment protections as they are (ie at the “EU” level), minimum wage/living wage commitments. Election / manifesto means Tory soft-Brexit rebels are neutered
Tories to win by 100+ seats and of course extend their term in Government to 2022. As noted earlier this gives them more time post Brexit to secure new trade deals outside the EU putting them in the best possible position in 2022.
Not what I would have done but I can see the logic, May is playing a blinder.
outofbreathFree Member“I’ll be voting Lib Den based on their pro-EU”
Are they pro-EU? There seemed to be some back tracking and I thought I heard they want out of the EU but want to be in the EEA.
Plus their last manifesto included a qualified in/out Referendum.
I can’t help but wonder if they have the same problem as Labour that being pro EU is. vote loser in the North.
H1ghland3rFree MemberAs far as I can tell from her rhetoric pretty much since she stepped into No.10, what PM May wants isn’t a democracy it’s more akin to an elected dictatorship whereby the people still get to elect a leader but once they are in power they should have absolute authority to do whatever they hell they like and no-one gets to say boo about it.
StonerFree MemberMandatory reselection ballots for sitting labour mps is going to be a bloodsport worth watching
Edit unfortunately, huffpo, that rigorous news collecting institution, is pulling back on their report of reselection. Claiming unite won’t push for it. Mores the pity
http://m.huffpost.com/uk/entry/uk_58f638a7e4b0b9e9848ec795I still maintain that the likes of moneybags sainsbury or similar missed his chance last year to create and fund a centre left party around Progress with a hardcore of moderate labour mps resigning from the party after the 2nd leadership election
projectFree MemberJust put on bbc to check out details of the ” may” failure to run the country, so cal an election, and nothing, must try the tory party sponsored bbc news channel not cbeebies.
Just 2 months before she announces she is standing down as an mp, if she still has a job, and gets a huge wage packet from some foreign bank or multi national along with a talking tour of the world.
kimbersFull Member.
May will stand on a “hard Brexit” manifesto
Yeah but we know she a liar, what it says in her manifesto will be as meaningless as her promise to not hold an early GE
bodgyFree Memberbeing pro EU is [a] vote loser in the North.
Is it though? For the majority of voters the referendum was about immigration, let’s face it, not complex international finance. Now that
peoplesheeple are starting to realise the effects of brexit (not to mention the staggering breadth of lies that they swallowed) I’m not sure that there is so much antagonism to the EU.H1ghland3rFree MemberShe will only increase her majority if it is the political will of the people.
And it is. She has an unprecedented 21 point lead.
Well that’s not really true is it. The Conservative lead in the polls is less of their lead and more of the opposition being viewed us unelectable by a majority of the electorate. As I said before, the whole point of the fixed-term bill was to prevent incumbent parties from taking advantage of the system in this manner.
The rhetoric from PM May and her party post-brexit was that the referendum result is ‘the will of the people and must be respected’, well the will of the people was a parliament in it’s current balance until 2020 and because she thinks it’s current makeup is going to make her job harder she has decided to change the rules in order to tip things in her favour.
You can be absolutely certain that post GE, if she is re-elected then any opposition to anything she negotiates or doesn’t negotiate with the EU will be shouted down as her having been given an ‘absolute mandate’.
I find it infuriating that she seems to think it’s ok for her to change the rules to suit herself but all the cry’s of the ‘remoaners’ of the referendum being advisory, and it’s not being legally binding, were undemocratic and an insult to the people of the UK and their faith in their elected officials to carry out their wishes.(edited to correct the autocorrect!)
bodgyFree Memberthe whole point of the fixed-term bill was to prevent incumbent parties from taking advantage of the system in this manner
Spot on. They are having to vote to change the law to allow this illegal election. Cynical Tory post truth tactic.
13thfloormonkFull MemberInteresting tangent, was trying to fact check a meme claiming that there are now 20 Tory MPs under investigation for electoral finance offences.
Didn’t find anything solid but did find a month old article in the Guardian claiming ‘up to’* 20 MPs under investigation, but also speculating that May might call a snap GE to draw a line under the expenses issue.
Wonder if anything juicy has come to light during the CPS investigation 8)
*so… any number between 0 and 20?
frankconwayFree MemberLatest odds – tory majority 1/6; no overall majority 5/1; labour majority 16/1.
H1ghland3r – good points and well made.
Tom Watson to replace jezza? Kier Starmer would be my pick.cloudnineFree MemberSo.. who are we supposed to vote for?
Tories.. Just NO
Labour.. But..But Corbyn
Lib Dem.. At least Farron has some kind of principles
Green.. I usually vote Green but Would do anything to get my Tory candidate outNone of the above.
The current political and Brexit position makes the UK feel a sinking ship with no lifeboats…KlunkFree MemberLib Dem.. At least Farron has some kind of principles
Oh please they get into bed with the tories for a string of beads.
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