Opinium has published its final poll of the election campaign. It suggests the Conservatives have a seven-point lead.
Here are their figures.
Conservatives: 43%
Labour: 36%
Lib Dems: 8%
Ukip: 5%
Greens: 2%
Here is an extract from the Opinium news release.
All polls point to a Conservative majority, despite recent gains by the Labour party, and the final poll from Opinium indicates that the Conservatives will capture 43% of the vote on Thursday, compared to 36% for Labour. This is in stark contrast to the 19 point lead held by the Conservatives at the beginning of the party’s campaign. However, the Labour poll ‘surge’ appears to have crested with the party slipping back by a point as the Conservatives remain steady.
The campaign has damaged the reputation of the prime minister, despite a likely Conservative win, with Theresa May’s approval ratings falling from +21% at the start of the campaign to just +5% on average across all voters. While Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn has seen his popularity increase to -7%, it doesn’t seem to been enough to challenge the Conservatives.
On the basis of these figures, Electoral Calculus says the Conservatives would get a majority of 48.
still reckon may will get 50+ seats