UKIP will only win a couple of seats. If any. But thats not really the point. They’re going to cause electoral havoc. And doesn’t Farage know it. The blue-rinse/retired colonel vote that the tories took for granted is going to abandon them in numbers. Splitting the foaming-at-the-mouth, Mail reading vote, and possibly delivering labour MP’s into previous Tory strongholds.
And the Middleton by-election should have finally woken labour up (I doubt it has though, the half-wits) if they thought they were only a threat to the Tories. Where UKIP came within a whisker of unseating Labour in a seat where you could normally shove a red rosette on a monkeys arse and it’d get elected.
And they’re going to make marginal seats impossible to predict. I despise everything they represent, but this is giving the complacent westminster ‘is it our turn now?’ cabal the fright of their bloody lives.
Will it end up changing anything in reality? Who knows. Combine this with the SNP inroads into the labour vote north of the border, and I don’t think anyone can predict the next election result, other than there’s not going to be a workable majority for any one party.