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Hello I'm in China
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RetrodirectFree Member
I think I speak for everyone on this thread, the UK has a knowledge based economy and YOU – Edukator – are a wierdo.
thisisnotaspoonFree MemberI think I speak for everyone on this thread, the UK has a knowledge based economy and YOU – Edukator – lack knowledge.
FTFY?
18BikesMattFree MemberMolgrips, ok, maybe not exactly the same price, but certainly in the same ballpark, whereas the UK is not even close now. Transport costs would be massively reduced (Reynolds not making tubing in UK and shipping it to Taiwan to be built into frames for example) which would probably make quite a difference. It would need proper scale though, it would be very interesting to know how many frames each far eastern factory produces, because that’s probably the numbers you’d need to be talking.
Brant, we aren’t set up for it, you can come and visit the workshop and then you will realise why 100 frames would take me all year and 1000 would be a lifetimes work.
EdukatorFree MemberHigh tech stuff is something the Chinese are getting very good at. They produce graduates with ambition in abundance so I think that counting on always being one step ahead in technological terms is a thing of the past.
In Europe the worker revolutions through the centuries have slowly improved working conditions. The last french socialist government gave us a 35h week. All very good, but under the current regime I can’t see the chinese out on mass strikes and protests demanding a minimum wage, six weeks holiday, a 37h week, pood mensions and health care.
I therefore expect China to overtake us in the technology stakes and still benefit from a cheap labour pool for as long as the single-party communist regime lasts. Either we adopt protectionist policies to counter the chinese protectionism I’ve laready outlined or that balnce of trade graph I posted will keep on plunging.
molgripsFree MemberThey produce graduates with ambition in abundance so I think that counting on always being one step ahead in technological terms is a thing of the past
We will be ahead because we have nowhere else to go. All these businessmen and entrepreneurs are unlikely to just sit around going ‘well that’s that, then’. We’re already ahead in high tech stakes – as they progress, so will we. They’ll end up where we are, the world’s cheap stuff will be made in Africa and we’ll all be driving hovercars wearing silver jumpsuits.
EdukatorFree MemberA positive for the British economy is that FTSE companies make so much of their money abroad. The negative is that ownership of those FTSE companies is slowly but steadily moving abroad too. Run atrade deficit and foreigners will have pounds intheri pockets, beware what they choose to buy.
EdukatorFree MemberSpend them wisely, Molgrips. How you and your countrymen do so will have more influence on your future than the way you vote.
druidhFree MemberThe good thing about UK companies having their manufacturing done in the Far East is that they can spend a greater percentage of their investment on things like customer service.
Oh – that’s not really working out either then…….
TooTallFree MemberMy chart shows that there are now 500 people working in a Chinese factory that could be working in a British factory.
Anything we can do they can do cheaper.
How are you going to resolve the difference between those two statements?
I really doubt there could be a UK factory established to turn out frames at the quality and price of those in the Far East. The economics are so dramatically against it you’d need a massive leap forward in efficient manufacturing technology, cheaper energy, a cheaper workforce, cheaper logistics, cheaper rent and a fair wind. I am baffled as to how anyone would think differently – all those big companies that do it for a living have gone there to manufacture on more than a whim.
molgripsFree MemberSpend them wisely, Molgrips
I do my best!
The good thing about UK companies having their manufacturing done in the Far East is that they can spend a greater percentage of their investment on things like
customer serviceresearch and developmentEdukatorFree MemberA few suggestions then:
A devaluation of the pound, euro and other eurozone currencies versus the yuan.
A transport green tax at the point of entry of goods into Europe paid to the EU thus ending the need for countries to pay for the EU. Paid on a kg x km basis depending on the means of transport. Paid by out-going tourists too on the basis of a weigh-in with their lugggage.
A reduction in taxes on work (NI etc). A minimum company tax rate of 25% across Europe with the tax payable at a national level. No more centralising profits in the country with the lowest tax rate.
Exoneration from local property taxes for manufacturing industries.
Some other sectors could be included such as renewalbles.Interest free loans for manufacturing companies in which no one is paid more than 10 times the lowest paid worker and dividends are only paid once the loan has been paid back.
I have more but that’ll do for now.
compositeproFree MemberDid brant ever think because he was firewalled in china his post on STW would turn into a far eastern manufacturing thread??? Probably
I have to agree with molgrips We are good at high tech manufacturing and ideas ,the problem is the chinese have such a penchant to learn very quickly and deploy “our so called technology” to this end I think it puts companies off even considering development.
In further responses I have looked at this for a long time but from a tech angle as its the only advantage we could bring to the table for a while. We already have the technology so I don’t think the odds are stacked against us significantly even for something as simple as 9 little tubes welded together.They have a lower labour rate which is n’t the whole story
In looking at ways of producing a steel frame its perfectly feasable to buy a tube laser and never need to touch a tube also a robot to weld 3D cad and cam and a frame jig that’s computer controlled allows this however say you got an order for 1000 frames even at 300 quid a time thats only 300k!!! (granted I am talking new machinery) well tbh I didnt cover the cost of the machinery and It would take some big balls to lay out that kind of money knowing you could be out of buisness in a couple of years unless you diversified into something else also
I spoke at length to Paul at Reynolds regarding their tube costs 853 for example ,I can make a carbon tube with the same mechanical properties for half than cost the Reynolds list shows an 853 down tube. When you see the cost of the 853 tube from Fairing its cheaper to ship it in from abroad and iirc the tube isn’t shipped from here to there its made there but my memory is fuzzy on that one, when you do the sums you can’t compete even at Reynolds UK 50+ pricing when you total the cost of tubing in 853 there’s not much change from £200 so that’s 200k gone in tubing on 1000 frames sure you can switch to 725 631 525 for cheaper bits but who wants that
You guys aren’t interested in the fact the tube did the same job with slightly lower mechanical properties or elongation to failure being similar or even that you can take 100 tube weldments have them tested and see a variance of 35% across them depending on the weld rod used
These are details that only techie weirdos are interested in which is a small market or the kind of buzz that a custom framebuilder will try to heap on .The frame factories have it dialled sure you could improve the quality and hype it to death eek a bit more ££ but they can manufacture something that does the job to a price and even when they have a somewhat ropey QC it still works out ok ,Its a collection of 9 tubes melted together painted and shipped in a box with your companies sticker on.
TooTallFree MemberA few suggestions then:
And Brant can get those into place exactly how?
CaptJonFree MemberChina will have a workers revolution, it is inevitable. They will also have a bust after their boom. The latter is likely to happen first, but could lead to the former.
molgripsFree MemberDid they not already have a worker’s revolution?
Exoneration from local property taxes for manufacturing industries.
Hmm, interesting. How does encouraging manufacturing fit in with your hard-line eco stance, Edukator? Surely manufacturing NEEDS to decrease because of the drain on resources? Not everything is recyclable.
Imagine a scenario where hardly anyone has cars, and all our IT and entertainment needs are met with a single personal device (not too far off now, actually) – that would result in far less stuff being manufactured, so how would that affect the global economy?
Compositepro – your carbon frames are cheaper than locally made steel? I have no problem with that 🙂 I would rather have a carbon frame tbh.
horaFree MemberHeres a prediction.
(Longterm). China is growing massively, there is no way the one-party leadership can stop peoples aspirations, thirst for goods and eventually freedom etc etc. The country is also too big to stay in one piece as it quasi-twists into a ‘consumer’ itself. You can’t offer the people goods in a controlled state. You can offer people controlled Communism with minimistic goods and control them..
I see it split into seperate countries one day. Not even the million strong army can stop that….
molgripsFree Memberthere is no way the one-party leadership can stop peoples aspirations, thirst for goods and eventually freedom
I get the impression that the authorities are well aware of this and are planning for it. They are drip-feeding freedoms to the population as they feel they are needed. Could be the real reason for the media control…
wwaswasFull MemberI agree – the Chinese leadership are deliberatly allowing consumerism to flourish whilst retaining full control over government – it’s a tricky line to walk but I can see that allowing people economic freedom and increased standards of living will stop there being any great push for political reform for some time.
Of course if they don’t deliver on the economic success then there will be change.
horaFree MemberPlus, I always wondered why they ‘let’ Taiwan have so much freedom without clamping down. Its almost as though they are slowly allowing freedom isn’t it?
iDaveFree MemberThe biggest problem in China is water. Mongolia has Lake Hushgvol. Cue regional hostility…..
wwaswasFull Memberthey ‘let’ Taiwan have feedom because the US made it very clear that any invasion would be met with a military response – until the last few years the Chinese knew they woudl lose such a conflict.
Now, despite military advances, they realise that upsettign the US too muc woudl affect their economy so badly they can’t afford to do it.
ohnohesbackFree MemberPlus, I always wondered why they ‘let’ Taiwan have so much freedom without clamping down. Its almost as though they are slowly allowing freedom isn’t it?
Well there is the fact that the USA wouldn’t allow China to invade, and as with Hong Kong the nearby presence of the Running Dogs of Capitalism aids the Chinese economy.
I’ve just read this. http://www.amazon.co.uk/Maos-Great-Famine-Devastating-Catastrophe/dp/0747595089 It’s mind-boggling how any nation ever managed to recover from that.
horaFree MemberQuestion is, if I was Brant in China I’d be running around all nailing alot of Chinese honeys 8)
EdukatorFree MemberIf every supplier pays for one he’ll have trouble getting through them before it’s time to fly home.
Me “hard-line eco”, I own a car FFS, and I’ve driven 110km in it so far this year, Molgrips. How about “pragamtic supporter of sustainable development”.
We have to produce all the solar panels, heat pumps and windmills somewhere. It’s more ecological to do it closer to the point of consumtion. My solar panels were made in Leipzig but I could have paid a lot less for chinese ones full of polluting and non-recyclable elements.
TooTallFree MemberIt’s more ecological to do it closer to the point of consumtion
No it isn’t. Closer to the source of raw materials would be a lower impact as you transport the (smaller, lighter) finished article further than the (bulky, heavy) unprocessed raw materials.
EdukatorFree MemberCorrect Too Tall. The raw materials to make the biggest heaviest bits of most hings are available here in Europe. In the context of this thread, shipping Reynolds 853 to China then shipping the finished frame back is not good. Aluminium is made near here, shipping it to Italy, China, then back to France could and should be avoided.
molgripsFree MemberWhen I say hard-line, I am going by the stuff you say on here. Let’s face it, you are the most strident eco man on STW.
Re Aluminium, I think it should be made where the renewable energy is ie next to a hydroelectric power station, because it takes enormous amounts of leccy to extract from ore.
wwaswasFull MemberAluminium is made near here
where does the bauxite come from?
EdukatorFree MemberHistorically the bauxite in France came from Brignoles and was smelted in factories such as the one in St Jean de Maurienne cyclists and skiers will be familiar with. You can’t do much better than that in terms of keeping transport down.
Pechiney got taken over by Alcan then by Rio Tinto and now looks like being sold off to the Chinese who’ll probably shut down the French plant. We’ll see.
wwaswasFull Memberit would be better if the Aluminium were made in China then as that’s where all the factories are 😉
brantFree MemberEvening. Half past midnight and I really should be in bed. Fun day at three carbon factories (neither of which were owned by Italians or where Paul Farrell worked).
Interesting thing going on here which I’m not fully up on but essentially I keep getting told:-
“the government is trying to make workers return to their home town and work in factories there, rather than travel and live away from their hometown. This is making a problem for factories that rely on skilled labour from far away”.
Don’t fully understand it, but will try to learn more.
Visited completely awesome factory today. Amazingly high level of worker care, facilities, quality product… painting areas with vacuum “airlock” type doors to stop dust getting in. Amazing.
Bed now.
EdukatorFree MemberAnd some of the posters on here still seem to think the Chinese can’t do high tech.
Fais de beaux rêves.
seftonFree Memberthey’ve obviously not seen shanghai recently 😯
however I’ve been on a train where the toilet was a hole onto the track with a foot operated hatch (if it’s not broke….) I didnt use it as it looked like someone had been stabbed to death and bleed shit everywhere (I had a quick piss on my tiptoes and let my turn bake for a few hours)
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