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  • French Elections
  • timba
    Free Member

    How much out of odds are they with mainstream public opinion

    LFI failed to condemn the 7th October 2023 kidnapping and murder of Israelis, referring to it in a press release as “L’offensive armée de forces palestiniennes menée par le Hamas…” (*The armed offensive by Palestinian forces led by Hamas (designated a terrorist organisation by the EU)). French PM Elisabeth Borne, “a étrillé dimanche les “ambiguïtés révoltantes” d’une partie de la gauche” (*on Sunday slammed the “revolting ambiguities” of a part of the left) *Thanks google translate.

    I’d suggest that allegations of anti-semitism are also against mainstream public opinion:

    A march supporting French values and against anti-semitism was held on 11th November 2023. RN supported the march, but LFI leader Jean-Luc Mélenchon tweeted that his party wouldn’t go to a “rendezvous for unconditional supporters of the massacre [of Gazans]”.

    During European election campaigning in April, Mélenchon compared the president of Lille Uni to Adolph Eichmann

    https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/opinions_139272.htm

    ernielynch
    Full Member

    A march supporting French values and against anti-semitism was held on 11th November 2023. RN supported the march, but LFI leader Jean-Luc Mélenchon tweeted that his party wouldn’t go to a “rendezvous for unconditional supporters of the massacre [of Gazans]”.

    I would be disappointed if that was strongly at odds with French public opinion. Wtf are French values? IMO French values means complimenting a good cheese with an excellent red wine but I’m guessing that in this case, like when Nigel Farage speaks of British values, that it is an attack on Muslims.

    And I am not in the least bit surprised that the RN supported the march, didn’t zionists largely back the far-right in the legislative elections? A couple of weeks ago Stephen Lennon aka Tommy Robinson was arrested in Canada where he had gone on a speaking tour at the invitation of a far-right Canadian zionist.

    So it is nothing out of the ordinary for the far-right in Europe to come out in support of the far-right Israeli government.

    1
    timba
    Free Member

    And whilst I don’t doubt that NATO membership is popular how widespread is that popularity?

    That’s disingenuous ernie as you very well know. France was a founder-member of NATO in 1949 and at one time NATO had its HQ at Palais de Chaillot, Paris.

    France only withdrew in 1966 because President De Gaulle wasn’t pleased with the US over Suez, French Vietnam, etc, and wanted nuclear autonomy.

    The 1967 Ailleret-Lemnitzer Accords and 1974 Valentin-Ferber Accords allowed France to participate in NATO operations and France was also present in many NATO operations, e.g. N. Macedonia and Afghanistan up to rejoining in 2009

    timba
    Free Member

    IMO French values means complimenting a good cheese with an excellent red wine…

    You seem to have skirted the allegations of anti-semitism

    ernielynch
    Full Member

    It is absolutely not disingenuous to say that I don’t doubt that NATO membership might be popular but to question how popular it is.

    It would certainly not appear to be as popular as membership is in the UK, largely due to a very different attitude to the United States.

    Here the “Special Relationship” with the United States, which only exists in the minds of British politicians, is publicly celebrated and valued. In contrast French politicians celebrate their independence from US hegemony.

    This goes to the heart of why France for a while withdrew from NATO, under conservative governments.

    And have you really forgotten Jacque Chirac publicly telling the US president on the eve of military operations in Iraq, which most NATO countries were ready to engage in, “this is not a game and it is not over”, as he tried to stop the escalation to war. Chirac was no leftie btw.

    I actually think it is rather disingenuous of you to pretend that there is no chance of significant opposition to NATO in France. I have no idea of what the polls say though.

    ernielynch
    Full Member

    You seem to have skirted the allegations of anti-semitism

    Skirted ? I reject the allegation that the left are anti-semitic. How’s that?

    You have totally ignored my claim that many zionists voted for the far-right in the French legislative elections. Never mind skirted round it.

    2
    timba
    Free Member

    And have you really forgotten Jacque Chirac publicly telling the US president on the eve of military operations in Iraq, which most NATO countries were ready to engage in, “this is not a game and it is not over”, as he tried to stop the escalation to war. Chirac was no leftie btw.

    I don’t understand your point. He was opposed to the 2003 war in Iraq, which was nothing to do with NATO

    timba
    Free Member

    I actually think it is rather disingenuous of you to pretend that there is no chance of significant opposition to NATO in France. I have no idea of what the polls say though.

    I’ve no more idea than you, but to leave in 1966 and sign agreements in 1967 and 1974 to take part in operations seems to suggest a politician following the electorate, as successive presidents did until rejoining in 2009

    ernielynch
    Full Member

    don’t understand your point.

    It had loads to do with NATO and US hegemony and the point was to highlight the difference between the UK and France over the issues.

    I  very quick Google check throws up the claim by Pew Research that 38% of French voters have an unfavorable view of NATO whilst 49% have a favourable view, it’s clearly not a massive difference which suggests that any criticism of NATO by Left politicians isn’t that much at odds with mainstream opinion.

    An unfavourable opinion of NATO appears to exceed the support that the Left received in the latest elections.

    https://www.pewresearch.org/global/2020/02/09/nato-seen-favorably-across-member-states/

    Edit: Anyway I think it’s safe to say that we are unlikely to agree so let’s leave it there

    kelvin
    Full Member

    I reject the allegation that the left are anti-semitic

    The other parties in the left alliance (NPF) are far from anti-semitic, the exact opposite really. But Mélenchon and many others in LFI are. Sadly they (and the votes they have received) are needed by the left if they are to take advantage of being the largest grouping. I don’t think they would survive putting him forward to be prime minister, many in the other left-wing parties would be revolted by that. I suspect Glucksmann or Vallaud (Socialist) as the most likely safe bet, but would love it to be Tondelier or Rousseau (Greens) if they really want to take the fight to RN in rural areas.

    timba
    Free Member

    Edit: Anyway I think it’s safe to say that we are unlikely to agree so let’s leave it there

    Thumbs emoji (seems to have stopped working)

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    tjagain
    Full Member

    You seem to have skirted the allegations of anti-semitism

    I am just going to point out once more that being critical of Isreal and supportive of Palestinians does not make you anti semtic

    tjagain
    Full Member

    But Mélenchon and many others in LFI are.

    Evidence ?  Genuine interest but I would like to see if statements they have made are actually anti semetic.  I know very little of French politics

    timba
    Free Member

    I am just going to point out once more that being critical of Isreal and supportive of Palestinians does not make you anti semtic

    Mélenchon has a long history of allegations. He’s careful about what he says and does, but what does he think? https://www.thejc.com/news/world/what-does-the-rise-of-melenchon-mean-for-french-jews-w5e89k6s

    PS apologies all; I seem to have a stray, disconnected link in one one post and half a quote, which led to some confusion, in another ^^

    1
    tjagain
    Full Member

    so a jewish chronicle link with vague allegations one may just about reach the definition and the Jewish Chronicle does not label him an anti semite  Is he careful about what he says to cover up what he thinks or is he actually just very critical of Israel and being honest?

    Not convinced I have to say from that

    timba
    Free Member

    The snap French election fiasco is still bubbling.

    Two months after causing himself a huge problem, President Macron’s caretaker government risks missing its 2024 target deficit of 5.1% of GDP. Tax revenue is falling short of expectations and spending is too high https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/french-finance-ministry-warns-deficit-risk-tax-shortfall-media-2024-09-02/

    President Macron still hasn’t decided on a PM appointment, allegedly because his ideal candidate is one who wouldn’t increase taxes and reform retirement, which are two of his economic “legacies” https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/wanted-pliable-french-pm-who-will-not-torpedo-macrons-legislative-legacy-2024-09-04/

    People working longer (from age 62 to age 64) will pay lower taxes for longer to balance the books, but I worry about contributions to Ukraine (for example) being cut to save money

    MSP
    Full Member

    From the outside it looks like Macron is throwing a hissy fit because he doesn’t like the election results, and is showing himself to be a bit of a despot.

    Edukator
    Free Member

    I don’t think you need to worry about contributions to Ukraine, Timba.

    Macron knows he can’t please all the people all the time but know he needs to please enough to get a functioning gouvernement. I think he’s going through the potential candidates until more by luck than judgement he finds one that is acceptable to enough and won’t overturn all of his reforms. He’ll fail and end up appointing one who won’t overturn all of his reforms but many.

    As for not liking the results of the election, he called it and it’s exactly what the polls and common sense predicted. He knew what was coming, read my posts back through this thread – Front Populair then a Front Républicain then a coalition of some sorts. It’s working out who is prepared to agree what with whom that’s taking time.

    Meanwhile the country is trundling along just fine for most people which is better than before the elections so going to the polls has been proved a good idea. Everyone has been given a voice, we know where we stand  and we’ll see what happens before throwing any more cobbles.

    timba
    Free Member

    I think he’s going through the potential candidates until more by luck than judgement he finds one that is acceptable to enough and won’t overturn all of his reforms. He’ll fail and end up appointing one who won’t overturn all of his reforms but many.

    Is he likely to resign as some in French media and former-PM Edouard Philippe seem to think?

    I’m not convinced that it’s in President Macron’s character for him to think like that

    Edukator
    Free Member

    And it’s Barnier. Having got the UK to sign away its soul in the withdrawal agreement Michel Barnier now has the far trickier task of herding 65 million frogs. He’ll have to swap his brexit ‘no can do’ to ‘yes we can’ if he’s to survive longer than Edith Cresson.

    timba
    Free Member

    And it’s Barnier. Having got the UK to sign away its soul in the withdrawal agreement Michel Barnier now has the far trickier task of herding 65 million frogs. He’ll have to swap his brexit ‘no can do’ to ‘yes we can’ if he’s to survive longer than Edith Cresson.

    Isn’t that the truth :) His government has been announced

    However, showing the government’s fragility, the prestigious job of finance minister was given to a little-known 33 year-old, Antoine Armand of Macron’s party, having been turned down by more senior politicians. https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/france-gets-new-government-after-weeks-uncertainty-2024-09-21/

    Refused by those older and wiser??

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