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Anyone remember how the Falklands began?
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5thElefantFree Member
of course there is all that oil stuff too………
Jolly useful stuff apparently. Shame we can’t afford an army to go and secure it.
TandemJeremyFree MemberI don’t subscribe to the theory that the various signs that the Argentinians took as a green light to invade were deliberate at all – I believe that was ignorance, stupidity and cockup
I am however certain that the chance to go to war was seized gleefully with both hands and that any chances for a peaceful negotiated settlement were deliberately spurned. The sinking of the Belgrano being one such act to ensure that the Peruvian proposals did not work
uphillcursingFree Memberbravohotel8er – Member
the myth that we as a country had an effective fighting force.
Except that it wasn’t a myth, we did have ‘an effective fighting force’
The only thing world class brought to bear in that episode was the rhetoric and the air to air missiles that the Americans gave us.
So, not the incredible feat of arms involved in fighting many thousands of miles from your country/nearest air/naval bases (but within range of your enemy’s air bases) and triumphing in spite of frequently reversing the commonly held adage that a 3:1 numerical advantage is required in order to ensure victory against a well entrenched opponent?
I can not dispute the resolve and tenacity of the men who were on the ground. many were still in when I took the Queens Shilling. As ever the equipment and support was not there:
Ships with hulls of tin foil
DMS boots for arctic conditions
Rifle unable to fire fully auto to save on rounds spent
no effective air to air missiles
carriers brought back from the brink of scrappingThe sad fact is nothing changes. thirty years late there is not enough desert gear for Iraq or Afghanistan. No body armour to go round. not enough helicopter transport. vehicles you could fire an air rifle through never mind a roadside IED.
Lets just say we were very,very lucky in the Falklands.
JunkyardFree MemberYou have somewhat oversimplified my point with your option 1 – so much shorter and less well expanded than option 2. i dont doubt for a second that option 2 also occurred- perhpas it was even the main reason who knows. i simply stated that it is naive to think it did not cross the mind of a serving politician [very unpopular at the time] as to what the electoral consequnces for their action may be. They are after all trying to win the next election ,even thatcher, and IMHO this is easier to do by doing popular than unpopular things.
The politicians might just think like this as well even if you dont.ernie_lynchFree Memberi just cant see any other reason why cameron & hague seem to be pushing so hard for intervention, perhaps some misguided arrogant blairesque belief in their own righteousness?
of course there is all that oil stuff too…..TBH, joking aside, I reckon the British public have become war-weary. The climate at the time of the Falklands War was quite different. Britain hadn’t been engaged in a proper full scale successful war – with air force, navy, and army, since the end of WW2. The thought of military victories in foreign lands seemed reasonably exciting. Things are different now.
If the present government decides to opt for new military adventures in the Middle East, then the overriding consideration imo is Libyan high grade oil.
Things have gone very badly for the West in the Middle East recently. The situation in Libya (which is undoubtedly being stoked up by the West) provides an excellent opportunity to achieve something which the West has long desired, but had in recent years given up all hope of achieving – a pro-Western regime in Tripoli.
I very risky game imo. There are no guarantees who would replace Gaddafi. Al-Qaeda is strong in that region, and being Sunni, Libya would be a natural target/home for them. Libya would indeed be a huge prize for them – far greater than the mountains of Afghanistan, And far more realistic a prize than Shiite Iraq.
As I’ve said, I very risky game – and certainly we have had a very recent example of British intelligence’s complete miscalculation of the political situation in Libya. And there isn’t any real guarantee that a more secular new regime would be much more pro-Western than Gaddafi either.
All in all, the West has not had a very good track record of supporting the right people and right foreign policies in recent decades. I fail to be convinced that Libya would necessarily be different.
noteethFree MemberLets just say we were very,very lucky in the Falklands.
My dad (an MO) had left a few years previous… and he would get very angry at the sight of triumphantly crowing politicians.
El-bentFree MemberSo, not the incredible feat of arms involved in fighting many thousands of miles from your country/nearest air/naval bases (but within range of your enemy’s air bases) and triumphing in spite of frequently reversing the commonly held adage that a 3:1 numerical advantage is required in order to ensure victory against a well entrenched opponent?
Yep, the very forces that the Tories were about to cut, including the carriers and assault ships. Even with those forces, it was touch and go. Shows the professionalism of our armed forces even when their political masters were attempting to cut their balls off.
Cut to today(literally) and the lessons of that conflict seemed to have been forgotten and here we are with History repeating…
The fact that this also happened at the height of the Cold War was no small factor either. What on earth do you think the Soviet Union would have made of it if the second most powerful country in NATO hadn’t bothered to defend it’s own territory against a third rate Latin American state?
The most Powerful country in Nato Turned tail and ran from Vietnam to what could be classed as a Third rate far eastern state. I didn’t see the Soviet hordes piling over the Bering sea to invade the US unless of course you believed Red Dawn was a documentary.
KevevsFree Memberit was on the telly , with airplanes coming of boats! maggie ! long grey boats. rubbush TV’s with fake wood pannelling. Floral carpeting. argentinia a word used a lot.
that’s what I remember.
aPFree MemberI can remember talking about this with significant politicos at what was actually quite a fun Christmas Party in December 96 and the general opinion was that the savage beginnings of the Chicago School economic theories had encouraged the Junta to go for it and that without the miniwar the Tories would definitely have lost the upcoming election.
What is really sad is that the Falklands miniwar exposed the substantial shortcoming in British military planning and short termism in political leadership which, TBH, is just as demonstrable today.
It was a totally avoidable event, the sole outcome of which was to re-elect the Tories in the next GE. And look where that got us.
On another note – Che G – must be time for another beer.big_n_daftFree MemberThe thought of military victories in foreign lands seemed reasonably exciting. Things are different now
you have the context in reverse
The Falklands war was due to the invasion of British Terroritory by a foriegn country
compare and contrast with the invasion of Iraq
Thatcher would have know that
a. the british public wouldn’t have re-elected a PM who lost the Falklands (imagine the stories of islanders “disappearing” etc)
b. she wouldn’t survive if we lost
c. that any operations were high risk and the likelihood was high that we would have another Suez
The hatred of a single personnality seems to forget the context and blind those who do not want to see
the post-war jingoism of those who were not there is used to argue for the “conspiracy theory” that the govenment wanted a war to gain popularity
classic example
I am however certain that the chance to go to war was seized gleefully with both hands and that any chances for a peaceful negotiated settlement were deliberately spurned.
epicycloFull MemberWhat I remember is a TV play in which this took place. It was screened in Oz about a year before the actual invasion.
The Oz press did not expect the British to win.
Regardless of the whys and wherefores, an enemy invaded British soil. The only sensible reaction was to go and get it back. The overseas credibility of the British military rose substantially after that.
As for the Belgrano, I’m sure if they had got close enough, it wouldn’t have been flowers they were sending over, so tough titty.
ernie_lynchFree MemberThatcher would have know that
a. the british public wouldn’t have re-elected a PM who lost the Falklands (imagine the stories of islanders “disappearing” etc)
b. she wouldn’t survive if we lost
Yes, but more important than that……..Thatcher would have known for certain that she would lose the next general election unless she could somehow pull a rabbit out of the hat – the Argentine invasion of the the Falklands gave her a unique opportunity. And she took it.
There was no risk involved for her at all. The only “risk” for her was that Britain might win and that would save her political skin.
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The hatred of a single personnality seems to forget the context and blind those who do not want to see
the post-war jingoism of those who were not there is used to argue for the “conspiracy theory” that the govenment wanted a war to gain popularity
classic example
I am however certain that the chance to go to war was seized gleefully with both hands and that any chances for a peaceful negotiated settlement were deliberately spurned.
But TJ completely denies that there was “conspiracy”. He simply states that Thatcher seized an opportunity which presented itself to her. So how does that give you a “classic example” of a “conspiracy theory” ? 😕
On the contrary, I fear that it is the deep admiration for “a single personality” which leaves some blind to the facts which led to the Falkland’s War.
So getting back to the OP’s original question : how did the Falklands begin ?
Check the following quotes :
“Captain Nick Barker RN , captain of HMS Endurance during the Falklands War, tells a convincing and enraging story of the wilful stupidity of intellectually arrogant diplomats, civil-service mandarins, admirals and politicians, and of the needless conflict and loss of life that resulted.
Among these was the Falklands `guardship’, the Endurance, an adapted Danish Baltic trader armed with 16 AS 12 air-to surface missiles and equipped with sophisticated electronic listening gear. Nott announced that she would be withdrawn in 1982 and not replaced. This would leave the Falkland Isles (with its population of British stock) and other British dependencies in the South Atlantic and the Antarctic to be defended by a few lightly armed Royal Marines. A clearer signal of British abdication of interest in this region could not have been sent to the Argentinians, notoriously obsessed with recovering “the Malvinas”.
Thus no firm British response was made to the opening Argentinian moves, such as the landing of a military party on South Georgia under cover of a phoney scrapcollecting operation. On a previous occasion under the Labour Government a nuclear attack submarine had been ostentatiously despatched to the South Atlantic to cool Argentinian heads. But in 1982 the Conservative Government failed to make any such deterrent gesture”.
The source of these quotes ? An anti-Thatcher left-winger maybe ?
No ! the Spectator ! …….that Tory “Daily Telegraph owned” magazine which takes an unashamedly pro-British line in foreign affairs.
http://findarticles.com/p/articles/mi_qa3724/is_199705/ai_n8781734/
On another note – Che G – must be time for another beer.
Yup 🙂
JunkyardFree Memberthe british public wouldn’t have re-elected a PM who lost the Falklands (imagine the stories of islanders “disappearing” etc)
b. she wouldn’t survive if we lost
So she did think about the electoral implications of a war then 😯 . When I suggested this I was talking TOSH.
Could you make your mind up?big_n_daftFree MemberThe Falklands war was caused by a dictator from a foriegn country invading the islands
the fact he thought he could get away with it is likely to stem from (the failure of) British and American (anti communism) foriegn policy at the time
it’s a war that shouldn’t have happened and the casualties on both sides is a tragedy
the fact that in UK politics Labour were in disaray with Michael Foot and his donkey jacket leading them and the SDP/ liberals taking a large share of the vote (but not seats)at the 1983 election. A half decent opposition would have been able to point out that the war should not have happened and the cost in “blood and treasure” never paid. Thatchers government should have been unelectable, the reality was that labour were unelectable and with the rise of Militant at the time thank goodness.
You can (and probably will ad nausiam)continue to insist that the only reason that shots were fired after the marines were evicted was to get her re-elected in 1983.
As for the spectator quote I defer to Yes Minister “the Daily Telegraph is read by people who think they should run the country”. It also reinforces my point which is that failures by the government of the day were part of the chain of events that led to the invasion. The Junta still were to blame, they invaded, we should have made sure they didn’t think they could before it happened.
JunkyardFree MemberYou can (and probably will ad nausiam[sic])continue to insist that the only reason that shots were fired after the marines were evicted was to get her re-elected in 1983.
Do you actually read my posts before replying?
I have not said that and it is pretty moronic of you to suggest i have
MEPP are you claiming thatcher was so politically naive that it did not cross her mind that it might just make her popular if she had a war
you accept she considered the political implications on your own posts – do you want me to quote you or can you at least recall your own posts? yet you still want to argue for some reason
re the war my view was clearly stated as
i dont doubt for a second that option 2 [considered debate of the options and conequences]also occurred- perhpas it was even the main reason who knows. i simply stated that it is naive to think it did not cross the mind of a serving politician [very unpopular at the time] as to what the electoral consequnces for their action may be.
Again a point you have accepted
You may try to misrepresent, simplify and distort my view as often as you like and go on a wibbly rant if you wish but it is rather pathetic tbh. Clearly you have accepted the point a number of times on this thread now. Clearly you are going to argue on and continue to misrepresent my viewernie_lynchFree MemberLabour were in disaray with Michael Foot and his donkey jacket…….the rise of Militant
WTF you on about ?
How has Michael Foot and his donkey jacket, or the rise of Militant, got anything to do with “how the Falklands War begun” ?
You don’t want to blame Thatcher for the Falklands War, but you want to blame Michael Foot’s donkey jacket ?
I have no idea whether you’re big, but you are obviously daft.
And well done for trying to pin some of the blame for the Falklands War on the yanks btw.
MrWoppitFree MemberAnyone remember how the Falklands began?
Well, after several million years of evolution when the earth had cooled and oceans developed, the great land mass called Gondwanaland began to split apart, whilst……
Oh.
Zulu-ElevenFree MemberFor those who have actually looked back further than 1979 into the causes of the Falklands conflict, they would know that the single biggest factor in the Falklands was the strong embarrassment within the foreign office over the status of the islands, and that this had gone on for a number of years, under governments of both flavour’s.
The problem is, that the Falklands are seen as a colonial possession, and the UK was bound under international law to dispose of colonies, at the same time, international law also guaranteed and respected the right of the islanders to self determination, and they were utterly opposed to any plans that would surrender the UK sovereignty (understandably, given the Argentinean threat)
The foreign office had been pushing behind the scenes strongly to solve the problem, as the ongoing colonial problem and the “Malvinas question” was causing embarrassing problems over trade agreements with various South American countries – other Sections of the government saw the disposal of the islands against the will of the residents as an unacceptable outcome.
The “hand wringing” within the civil service had led to a great many mixed messages, both upwards to the higher levels of government, downward to the islanders, and sideways to the Argentineans – there were discussions over possible independence, discussions over sovereignty and leaseback, and all these discussions through the seventies led to some very dangerous speculation and extrapolation in Buenos Aries…
So, the Falklands war, like so many others, had its true origins in post colonialism.
ernie_lynchFree MemberYeah, someone did that joke about the sixth post on the thread Woppit.
Still never mind – it was probably worth another punt.
duckmanFull MemberNot reading all that; I assume that this has now become a “discussion” between perhaps four of our most prolific,who have rather different political views.
Still; reaching out and touching the Argentinians with Vulcans was damn impressive.
Doesn’t make up for the poll tax or my wee brothers milk.
BermBanditFree MemberSeems to me that the point that everyone is missing is if you want to dip your bread in someone elses soup you need to have the resources to back your actions up. So the moral of the story is if you want to be one of the worlds playground bullies buy the kit. If you don’t want to buy the kit shut up before you make yourself look stupid.
big_n_daftFree Memberernie_lynch – Member
Labour were in disaray with Michael Foot and his donkey jacket…….the rise of Militant
WTF you on about ?
How has Michael Foot and his donkey jacket, or the rise of Militant, got anything to do with “how the Falklands War begun” ?
You don’t want to blame Thatcher for the Falklands War, but you want to blame Michael Foot’s donkey jacket ?
the donkey jacket had nothing to do with the war and lots to do with her re-election after it. read the post
A half decent opposition would have been able to point out that the war should not have happened and the cost in “blood and treasure” never paid. Thatchers government should have been unelectable, the reality was that labour were unelectable and with the rise of Militant at the time thank goodness.
or is Micheal Foot one of your heroes?
your argument and others is that political consideration in terms of getting reelected dominated the thinking prior to the shooting war started
Thatcher would have known for certain that she would lose the next general election unless she could somehow pull a rabbit out of the hat – the Argentine invasion of the the Falklands gave her a unique opportunity. And she took it.
There was no risk involved for her at all. The only “risk” for her was that Britain might win and that would save her political skin.
I disagree, lots of risk as discussed earlier
You don’t want to blame Thatcher for the Falklands War
No I blame the Junta that gave the order for then invasion. Thatcher was fault for allowing the situation to develop
and finally
And well done for trying to pin some of the blame for the Falklands War on the yanks btw
in the context of Uncle Sam’s back yard and the americans political position during the war, not including them as a player would be ignoring the facts of the time (again)
Zulu-ElevenFree MemberIndeed – Big N Daft makes a fair point – its outstandingly lazy to blame Thatchers victory in the ’83 Election on the Falklands, without paying credit to Foot’s contribution with the Longest Suicide Note in History
mancjonFree Memberyour argument and others is that political consideration in terms of getting reelected dominated the thinking prior to the shooting war started
I’m all for reasoned debate but are you actually reading what other people are saying ? If you are you seem to be reading through blue tinted glasses.
I don’t think people are saying it dominated the thinking (except for Project) but i still believe it played a significant part. That is not the same as saying it “dominated” the thinking.
What is so hard to accept about that. Thatcher was a politcian and leader of the country. She was in a dire situation with the electorate. Presented with this opportunity (which i accept she didn’t engineer) can you really not see that it was an opportunity for her and her govt ?
El-bentFree MemberI’m sure the Falklands conflict had certain Tory strategists thinking along the lines that a victory will help turn around the fortunes of the most unpopular Prime minister in British history…that and Micheal foot.
Every little helps. Nothing is going to save the current lot however.
TooTallFree Memberthirty years late there is not enough desert gear for Iraq or Afghanistan. No body armour to go round. not enough helicopter transport. vehicles you could fire an air rifle through never mind a roadside IED.
Apart from being factually mostly wrong, there isn’t much wrong with that statement.
MrWoppitFree MemberIt’s amusing to see the “left” still frothing at the mouth about the sainted Margaret. Poor lambs. I think they will always be in denial about the actions of the union “leaders” of the time, Michael Foot (in mouth) and their fellow travellers who made her election inevitable.
The Falkland Islanders had no wish to live under the jackboot of an ugly military dictatorship and were saved from doing so by heroes.
The rest of it is just a bunch of fannies arguing about nothing.
mancjonFree MemberPoor lambs. I think they will always be in denial about the actions of the union “leaders” of the time, Michael Foot (in mouth) and their fellow travellers who made her election inevitable.
Not sure whether i qualify as left in your eyes but i suspect i do 🙂
I’m not in denial about the above at all. The conservatives stayed in power so long precisely because of the inept leadership and actions of the labour party.
How else do you explain John Major 😯
El-bentFree MemberI think they will always be in denial about the actions of the union “leaders” of the time,
It wasn’t the Union leaders that lead the Falkland Islanders to be placed under the jackboot of an ugly military dictatorship, it was the upcoming defence cuts under Thatcher that “encouraged” the desperate Junta. I wonder what a sycophant like yourself would call that other ugly military dictatorship in the region at the time: Chile. Your Friends?
Poor lambs
Which is what everyone in this country is becoming without Unions.
JunkyardFree MemberIt’s amusing to see the “left” still frothing at the mouth about the sainted Margaret
i see very little forthing.on this thread and certainly nothing like when you appear on a religous thread and work yourself in to a frenzy
who made her election inevitable
so the Falklands played no role in the election victory then it was just the rubbish left ?
For big n daft clearly both were factors in the election result.ernie_lynchFree Memberbig_n_daft – Member
the donkey jacket had nothing to do with the war and lots to do with her re-election after it. read the post
Zulu-Eleven – Member
Indeed – Big N Daft makes a fair point – its outstandingly lazy to blame Thatchers victory in the ’83 Election on the Falklands
Oh I see, the Falklands War wasn’t the reason why Thatcher won the election in ’83 …….it was Michael Foot’s “donkey jacket” wot done it ?
The problem with that theory is that it is completely at odds with “actual facts”.
In every single MORI poll from the general election in 79, until the outbreak of the Falklands War in April ’82, Labour was in the lead
Including in ’81, the period in which the “donkey jacket incident” took place.
Check it out for yourself :
http://www.ipsos-mori.com/researchpublications/researcharchive/poll.aspx?oItemId=103
The Labour Party did not lose support because Michael Foot owned a donkey jacket.
After years of incessantly trailing Labour in the polls, support for the Tories suddenly increased and overtook Labour in the week the Falklands War started.
Only someone who is either deluding themselves, or too lazy to seek out the facts, would suggest that the Falklands War wasn’t the reason for the Tories sudden and unexpected turn of fortunes.
There will always be a small minority of people who are sufficiently impressed by a scoundrel’s last refuge, to tip the delicate political balance.
.
Mr Woppit – Member
It’s amusing to see the “left” still frothing at the mouth about the sainted Margaret.
Of course if you didn’t reduce everything to a tribal left-right conflict Woppit, and you saw beyond your narrow sectarian blinkered and desperately ill-informed perspective, you would have seen that my quote which refers to the Falklands War as a “needless conflict and loss of life” had come not from “the left”, but from the Spectator. That’s the Spectator magazine – which is written by Tories, edited by Tories, and read by Tories.
But then doing anything more than simply reducing everything to left vs right, is far too intellectually challenging for someone with as little political acumen as you. So don’t let me down, and carry on with your ill-informed nonsense.
MrWoppitFree Memberyou would have seen that my quote which refers to the Falklands War as
Sorry ernie, I didn’t read any of your posts, so I don’t know what you’re talking about.
VERY attractive high horse you have, though. Bet you can see a long way from up there…
ernie_lynchFree MemberYes, the view is indeed quite pleasant.
So basically Woppit, you are passing judgement that those who suggest the Falklands War was a “needless conflict” are ‘the frothing left’ ……..despite not having acquainted yourself with the facts ?
So presumably Captain Nick Barker RN , captain of HMS Endurance, who made the above allegation was just a ‘frothing leftie’ ?
And let me get this right ……. you are surprised that I might feel a sense of moral superiority over someone who spouts ill-informed nonsense ?
Zulu-ElevenFree MemberThe Labour Party did not lose support because Michael Foot owned a donkey jacket.
No, Wenie – as I said, they lost because of the fact that the policies laid out in their 1983 manifesto made them completely unelectable – the longest suicide note in history!
ernie_lynchFree MemberNo, as I have already pointed out, the Tories had trailed Labour for years in the polls, since the ’79 election in fact. All that changed the week the Falklands War started. It did not coincide with the week the Labour Manifesto was launched – by then the Tories had a well established lead.
Check for yourself, it’s all here in black and white :
http://www.ipsos-mori.com/researchpublications/researcharchive/poll.aspx?oItemId=103
And as for your ‘funny-ha-ha’ comment that the ’83 Labour Manifesto was the longest suicide note in history, I’ll remind you that one of the central policies in the Manifesto was the policy of nationalising the banks, on the grounds that they couldn’t be trusted to do what was best for Britain.
Today in Britain and the US, much of banking have been nationalised precisely because the private banks proved to be untrustworthy. A central policy in ’83 Labour Manifesto has been proved to have been absolutely correct. And the subsequent New Labour policy of unregulated private banks has been proved to have been “suicidal”.
The other central policy in ’83 Labour Manifesto was withdrawal from the EEC. That is precisely the same policy as your political guru Dan Hannan…..would you call it “suicidal” ? Well, would you Zulu-Eleven ? Is UKIP a “suicidal” party ? Are Tory right-wingers “suicidal” ?
Today Britain, imo, would be a much better place if we had a government committed to the policies which were in the ’83 Labour Manifesto.
BTW, impressive deviation tactics ….. top marks mate.
big_n_daftFree MemberOh I see, the Falklands War wasn’t the reason why Thatcher won the election in ’83 …….it was Michael Foot’s “donkey jacket” wot done it ?
The problem with that theory is that it is completely at odds with “actual facts”.
In every single MORI poll from the general election in 79, until the outbreak of the Falklands War in April ’82, Labour was in the lead
Including in ’81, the period in which the “donkey jacket incident” took place.
funnily enough the great man seemed to hold a different view
On Labour’s 1983 election defeat
[Explaining Labour’s 1983 election defeat when he was leader.] We had not the armour, the strength, the quickness in manoeuvre, yes, the leadership. (Another Heart and Other Pulses, 1984)Check it out for yourself :
http://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/2010/mar/03/michael-foot-key-quotes
big_n_daftFree Memberand he seemed to understand the complexity and pressure of the situation
“I can well understand the anxieties and pressures that must have been upon you during this weeks and I can understand that, at this moment, these pressures and these anxieties may be relieved and I congratulate you.” To Margaret Thatcher after the retaking of the Falklands in 1982.
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