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  • 2019 General Election
  • kimbers
    Full Member

    Exactly my point. So the lib dems are abandoning any pretence at stopping brexit in favour of gaining more MPs and hopefully being part of a future coalition with the tories. Glad we cleared that up.

    What are you on about dazh?

    If Johnson doesn’t get his GE on 12th he puts his bill back down & labour leavers vote it through (CU amendment won’t get thru as erg etc will block it so will be some weak committment to level playing field, that flint etc are desperate to hide behind)

    CaptainFlashheart
    Free Member

    Labour are wise to avoid a 2019 election, but they need to do so in a way that isn’t fuelling Johnson’s “chicken” narrative

    They’ve been totally outplayed there. Jez has spent the last year or so demanding an election. (Hansard in September showed he’d already asked for one 16 times in the House in 2019).

    “Yeah, just not now” is going to be easily ridiculed in our age of politics by soundbite.

    PJM1974
    Free Member

    One of the greatest successes of the political right has been to conflate Marxism, Communism and Maoism with Socialism. The fact that the Nordic countries are profoundly socialist and offer paid childcare, free education, subsidised public transport etc passes most people by. Naturally, the tax burden is higher but it doesn’t seem to harm their respective economies.

    People seem shocked to learn that the starting rate of tax was 30% and the top tax rate 60% during the early years of the Thatcher government.

    Back on topic. The SNP and Lib Dem tactic behind pushing for an early election on the 9th is simple – they’re trying to highlight Boris’ chicanery, they know full well that Johnson’s team won’t agree to an election on the 9th Dec. Make no mistake, it’s about closing down Johnson’s avenues towards a defacto “no deal”.

    binners
    Full Member

    Exactly my point. So the lib dems are abandoning any pretence at stopping brexit in favour of gaining more MPs and hopefully being part of a future coalition with the tories. Glad we cleared that up.

    I don’t think it’s that clear cut. That’s far too simplistic a view.

    This election is going to be like no other. There is now virtually no such thing as a safe seat. The votes are going to split 5 ways and deliver some weird old results in a wide range of constituencies. You’re assuming that it’ll be a 2 party coalition. It’s quite possible that this is going to blow the whole idea of working majorities out of the window. If that happens there’s going to have to be some serious horse-trading going on between all the parties and they’re, somewhat ironically, going to have a to adopt a more European way of doing things

    outofbreath
    Free Member

    As for potential coalitions… any statements about who you will and won’t work with will go out of the window half a millisecond after a hung parliament with no overall majority

    This.

    …but we can be pretty sure the Libdems will make the first condition of any deal with a party the removal of Corbyn/Boris and we can be 100pc sure that a party in some kind of power on a ‘stop Brexit’ mandate won’t be able to do anything that makes Brexit more likely.

    Also I don’t accept the premise that the Lib Dems can’t win. They’re polling neck and neck with Labour and they will appeal to the 50pc of the electorate who voted remain while the 50pc who voted leave are split between Tories and BP.

    molgrips
    Free Member

    A sovereign country can’t run out of cash either.

    It can if it needs imports, obvs.

    Historically once you take all the means of production, distribution, and exchange into state ownership

    NO-ONE is proposing that. That is literally a straw man argument. Stop it.

    I also struggle to see how people are persuaded to vote against parties that would give them things like free childcare. Who enjoys paying for childcare?

    outofbreath
    Free Member

    the Nordic countries are profoundly socialist

    No they’re not.

    Socialism is:

    a political and economic theory of social organization which advocates that the means of production, distribution, and exchange should be owned or regulated by the community as a whole.

    All the Nordic countries have tons of private enterprise.

    CaptainFlashheart
    Free Member

    free childcare.

    *Free*

    RustySpanner
    Full Member

    I don’t *think* the person who originally brought up was using it specifically in relation to Labour either.

    You could always read what I actually typed:

    Though cowards flinch and traitors sneer……
    we’ve never needed a decent democratic socialist government as much as we do now.

    The last Labour manifesto, you know, the only one that was independantly costed was just fine in my eyes.
    The addition of scrapping private education is just the icing on the cake.

    And what’s wrong with direct action?

    By all means let’s have Starmer as leader.
    As long as he pledges to push through a democratic socialist manifesto containing the key points of the previous one.

    I was using the term in relation to the Labour Party.
    A democratic political party, born of socialist principles.

    However, I really should have known better by now…..

    outofbreath
    Free Member

    That is literally a straw man argument.

    Explain how.

    I also struggle to see how people are persuaded to vote against parties that would give them things like free childcare. Who enjoys paying for childcare?

    I had this dilemma at the last election. Free childcare is a powerful bribe for me – I pay over £1500 a month on childcare and it’s crippling. But it all came down to do I believe for one second that Labour could deliver that? And the answer was no, it’s not affordable. Now if Labour want to pay me 36,000 up-front for two years worth and guarantee I’d personally be no worse of in other ways I’d willingly vote for them. …and yes that does all sound silly, which is why some people vote against parties who offer free childcare – it’s not credible.

    outofbreath
    Free Member

    I was using the term in relation to the Labour Party.

    Ok, sorry. Maybe you can address Dezb and Molgrip’s objections – I’m getting flack that should be aimed at you.

    dazh
    Full Member

    But it all came down to do I believe for one second that Labour could deliver that? And the answer was no, it’s not affordable.

    Ever heard the phrase ‘never look a gift horse in the mouth’? So you would reject a policy that will directly and massively benefit you because of your doubts that it will happen, even though your rejection of that would ensure that is the case? The mind bogges!

    kerley
    Free Member

    a political and economic theory of social organization which advocates that the means of production, distribution, and exchange should be owned or regulated by the community as a whole.

    Key word in your quote is regulated. Private enterprise is fine but it needs to be regulated for the interest of society.

    dissonance
    Full Member

    All the Nordic countries have tons of private enterprise.

    They also have state owned industries so, by your approach, they cant count as capitalist either.
    Which is correct. They are a mixed economy with (although its been changes) a tendancy towards the socialist side of things. Also as Kerley points out they have lots of regulation.
    You seem to be taking a very simplistic and purist view of socialism excluding anything but the most pure version as socialism whilst sticking everything else under the capitalism banner which is just as inaccurate.

    outofbreath
    Free Member

    Ever heard the phrase ‘never look a gift horse in the mouth’? So you would reject a policy that will directly and massively benefit you because of your doubts that it will happen, even though your rejection of that would ensure that is the case?

    Yes. For a bribe to work it has to be credible. Seriously, if a party offered you and a massive number of other voters £36,000 over two years to vote for them, would that have any effect on your vote? Of course not, you’d just think nah, can’t be done.

    …and I’m bribe-able. Many other voters would think that 36k would be better off going to a disabled person and not vote for it for that reason.

    Lots of reasons to shun the pork barrel.

    outofbreath
    Free Member

    They also have state owned industries so, by your approach, they cant count as capitalist either.

    Yup. So what? I’m arguing they’re not socialist. I’m not saying they’re capitalist. They mixtures, like the UK.

    RustySpanner
    Full Member

    Ok, sorry. Maybe you can address Dezb and Molgrip’s objections – I’m getting flack that should be aimed at you.

    No you’re getting flack for being stubborn, obtuse and refusing to answer questions.

    dazh
    Full Member

    For a bribe to work it has to be credible.

    If at this point in time we didn’t have ‘free’ education up to 18 years old, you’d be arguing it wasn’t possible and unaffordable. Same with the health service. Yet clearly both are, because they both exist. The same is true with childcare, higher education and other existing or potential state-provided services. Yes they have to be paid for, but the state has funding methods at it’s disposal which the private sector doesn’t, and also the economies of scale. you get much more value for money from the taxes you pay than anything you spend privately. The only people who tell us this isn’t possible are the small amount of people who stand to lose out because they lose the profits they otherwsie would gain.

    outofbreath
    Free Member

    No you’re getting flack for being stubborn, obtuse and refusing to answer questions.

    You brought up socialism *in relation to Labour*. I didn’t. That’s what got them all hot under the collar!

    What question am I’m refusing to answer?

    RustySpanner
    Full Member

    What’s wrong with direct action?

    And regards to being obtuse, please answer daz’s points above.

    molgrips
    Free Member

    Free childcare is a powerful bribe for me – I pay over £1500 a month on childcare and it’s crippling.

    Free childcare is much more than just a financial help. Mostly it’s the women who end up staying home to look after kids – because they take their maternity leave and then before you know it they’re the ones who become the primary caregiver and so it goes on. This all goes into the general murky pot of sexist attitudes. So we have millions of women who are economically under-active and their earning potential is diminished. But more than that – their economic output is diminished. There are many women who could be productive assets to the economy who are forced to take part time low-skilled work. That’s not to mention the single parents who can’t go out to work because who’s going to look after the kids and how the hell do they afford childcare? So they sit at home not working and not developing skills. Maybe women end up being trapped in poor relationships because they can’t afford to leave?

    Free childcare would have a massive knock-on effect all through society, not just for women. It’d boost our economy significantly in the long run IMO.

    But it all came down to do I believe for one second that Labour could deliver that? And the answer was no, it’s not affordable.

    It’s not affordable now, it’s not acheivable in the short term. But three or four Labour administrations on the trot, it wouldn’t seem so far fetched.

    outofbreath
    Free Member

    If at this point in time we didn’t have ‘free’ education up to 18 years old, you’d be arguing it wasn’t possible and unaffordable. Same with the health service. Yet clearly both are, because they both exist. The same is true with childcare, higher education and other existing or potential state-provided services. Yes they have to be paid for, but the state has funding methods at it’s disposal which the private sector doesn’t, and also the economies of scale. you get much more value for money from the taxes you pay than anything you spend privately. The only people who tell us this isn’t possible are the small amount of people who stand to lose out because they lose the profits they otherwsie would gain.

    Maybe I misunderstood the policy then, I thought they were just going to pay for childcare in existing providers in the same (underhand) way the existing (not) free entitlement does(n’t).

    slowoldman
    Full Member

    They are a mixed economy with (although its been changes) a tendancy towards the socialist side of things.

    Social democracy.

    outofbreath
    Free Member

    It’s not affordable now, it’s not acheivable in the short term.

    Indeed.

    dissonance
    Full Member

    They mixtures, like the UK.

    I must be missing your argument then. What are you trying to argue with regards to PJMs point?

    Free childcare would have a massive knock-on effect all through society,

    There is also some interesting evidence around how it would impact the current demographic decline in those countries which have adopted it on a large scale.

    outofbreath
    Free Member

    What are you trying to argue with regards to PJMs point?

    See the post in which I replied to it.

    dissonance
    Full Member

    See the post in which I replied to it.

    I have. I am not sure what your objection is. Do you expect everything to be qualified?

    dazh
    Full Member

    So we’re back on for Dec 12th then. There’s almost no chance the Lib Dem’s will be able to resist the temptation of having a few moe MPs. The most important election in decades at a time which guarantees the lowest possible turnout. You couldn’t make it up.

    zippykona
    Full Member

    Thought they voted against the 12th.

    kelvin
    Full Member

    Anytime in December would be a crazy time to have an election. But will we be out of the EU by Xmas if we don’t have an election though? I still think the election will be in 2020, but I don’t know what’s going on in Westminster… official talks between Johnson and Corbyn (and Cummings and Milne) to get the Withdrawal Agreement legislation timetable sorted seemed to be genuine, even if they failed… could there be more going on between the two biggest parties to ‘get Brexit done’ before an election? The SNP first, and then the LibDems, seem spooked, for sure. On the surface their current moves look very odd.

    deadlydarcy
    Free Member

    The most important election in decades at a time which guarantees the lowest possible turnout. You couldn’t make it up.

    While the optics for turn-out are bad, I was listening to a discussion the other day that said they stack up worse for “typical” Labour voters than “typical” Tory. It’s a shit time for an election though, that’s true.

    dazh
    Full Member

    Aaaand it’s off again. Swinson looks like she’s bottled it. Apparently the 12th is no good, but the 9th is absolutely fine. As long as she gets to say it was her election date, and no one elses. Anyone care to explain what difference 3 days makes? And yet everyone says the labour party are the 6th formers, and some on here even think she might be the next PM. Clueless.

    shermer75
    Free Member

    Anyone care to explain what difference 3 days makes?

    Stops BJ brexiting before the election

    BBC News – Brexit election: Lib Dems and SNP plan to force earlier poll
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-50194685

    kimbers
    Full Member

    Stops BJ brexiting before the election

    Yep best chance there is of stopping johnson from getting his del thru, with the help of labour mps

    scotroutes
    Full Member

    Anyone care to explain what difference 3 days makes?

    It’s already been explained in this thread (or the other one). It’s to prevent a pre-election Brexit.

    slowoldman
    Full Member

    Aaaand it’s off again. Swinson looks like she’s bottled it. Apparently the 12th is no good, but the 9th is absolutely fine.

    I thought that was her plan anyway. 9th to avoid Brexit before election.

    kelvin
    Full Member

    All change again. Withdrawal Agreement legislation parked according to Rees-Mogg at the dispatch box. Election legislation to be rushed. SNP and LibDem support for a super snappy election now seems unlikely to me… why bother if Brexit legislation now put to one side? 2020 election? Maybe after a referendum? Who knows…

    rone
    Full Member

    How easy is it to all of a sudden overturn the FTPA?

    Why not before now?

    outofbreath
    Free Member

    How easy is it to all of a sudden overturn the FTPA?

    No parliament can constrain future parliaments so it can be overturned with a simple majority of one.

    Why not before now?

    Because the government doesn’t have a simple majority of one. Plus amendments. Plus they always had something better to try.

    rone
    Full Member

    Because the government doesn’t have a simple majority of one. Plus amendments. Plus they always had something better to try.

    So it could only happen because the Dems put it out there?

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