• This topic has 6,282 replies, 176 voices, and was last updated 4 years ago by kelvin.
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  • 2019 General Election
  • stevextc
    Free Member

    lunge

    Err, you sure about that? As I seem to remember that immigrants are a huge net contributor to the economy. I guess it could be that 5% contribute enough to make up for 95% who don’t but I can’t see that myself.

    I have no ideas what percent… nor do I give a monkey’s.
    I’m simply stating the overall percentage is actually very low and that of those here the overwhelming contribution both financially (easy to prove) and culturally (harder to prove) is positive.

    The whole Faragist (is that a new word) immigrant that comes and steals your job whilst claiming your benefits and claiming for their 15 kids elsewhere is a tri-oxymoron (a new word where any 2 of 3 things are an oxymoron) ..

    However some immigrants (like anyone else) do not contribute positively to either… or some may (like everyone else) be both positive and negative.

    Fundamentally WE ARE ALL HUMANS … PEOPLE …. and trying to make out that everyone is good/bad is beyond pointless BUT what it does do is split a load of HUMANS one way or another…

    stevextc
    Free Member

    kelvin

    If by “can’t be discussed” you mean “dominate public debate, the media and our politics in general”, then carry on.

    It’s not being discussed (“as in what’s good and bad about” ) it’s being debated like some US debating team ….

    Most voters engage in or with discussion rather than philosophical debates where one side is simply trying to prove their point and win a debate.

    kelvin
    Full Member

    robdixon
    Free Member

    Kelvin – that’s not what’s happening though is it?

    There’s plenty being said on the positive benefits of immigration – access to skills and capacity that’s required for our economy to grow and deliver the services we need.

    What’s also being said is that this needs to be done in a controlled way, not just for the benefit of people who are already here (including recent migrants) but also for those that have yet to come.

    Given the unavoidable lead time in building infrastructure (housing, school buildings, hospitals) that in many cases have 5-10 year delivery times, and the need to recruit and train the additional staff to run them (4-7 years to train a teacher to competency, 8-15 years for specialist medics) etc etc, uncontrolled immigration just creates problems all round – which is why every country in the world has some form of control.

    By contrast, Corbyn has committed to:

    – easing freedom of movement further
    – extending the automatic right for family members to join
    – creating new automatic entitlements to very costly public services e.g. healthcare..

    …And then branding anyone who can see the challenges this would create as racist.

    If you take a good walk round most cities in Europe (including the U.K.) there are now serious issues with homelessness, worker exploitation and people living in poverty.

    Accelerating the flow of people will simply make this worse – we MUST start to get ahead of these problems and we cannot do that if continue with the flow of 4-500k people (or more) entering the country each year, often with little or no notice and in many cases having immediate automatic entitlement to public services irrespective of whether they will every make a contribution to the running of those services.

    To do this simply guarantees that poverty will increase for everyone and societal problems will continue to get worse – often impacting those that are already disadvantaged far more than it impacts the chattering classes.

    molgrips
    Free Member

    Accelerating the flow of people will simply make this worse

    Wait a minute there. That does not follow at all.

    Who wants to come to the UK? Vagrants and benefit seekers? Homeless? Not really.

    Most immigrants come to work or are refugees. The former pay for themselves (and grow our economy thereby icreasing the amount of money available for homeless), the latter we need to help regardless.

    Most of the homeless I see in Cardiff are white and by the sound of it local. Not a scientific survey, I appreciate.

    dazh
    Full Member

    As someone who pays £25 a month for an internet connection which constantly drops out and delivers speeds which can’t power a video stream this broadband thing is massive, and I’m not exactly in the middle of nowhere. I doubt I’m the only one. I wonder if when they put in the national grid and water/sewerage system people worried about how it was going to be paid for? Of course they didn’t, because it was obviously required. This is no different, and will be a game changer.

    outofbreath
    Free Member

    There’s plenty being said on the positive benefits of immigration – access to skills and capacity that’s required for our economy to grow and deliver the services we need.

    What’s also being said is that this needs to be done in a controlled way, not just for the benefit of people who are already here (including recent migrants) but also for those that have yet to come.

    Given the unavoidable lead time in building infrastructure (housing, school buildings, hospitals) that in many cases have 5-10 year delivery times, and the need to recruit and train the additional staff to run them (4-7 years to train a teacher to competency, 8-15 years for specialist medics) etc etc, uncontrolled immigration just creates problems all round – which is why every country in the world has some form of control.

    By contrast, Corbyn has committed to:

    – easing freedom of movement further
    – extending the automatic right for family members to join
    – creating new automatic entitlements to very costly public services e.g. healthcare..

    ….and all of this at a time when we have a housing crisis.

    Corbyn committed to building 500,000 houses a year (I think Torys are promising 300,000 a year & the NPPF is allowing the planning permission for that number, and more).

    Both parties want to increase the population so they can have a massive program of building (which is one of the few economic activities that can’t be outsourced abroad) to grow the GDP. GDP, not GDP per capita. It’s a massive ponzi-scheme & it’s turning the vast areas of the country into conurbations.

    Scotland has net immigration of a mere 21,000 in a space 3/5ths the size of England which due to a nice low birthrate leaves net population increase of just ~13,300. Would that be so bad in the rest of the Uk?

    outofbreath
    Free Member

    The former pay for themselves

    In one sense they pay for themselves and bring advantages of all kinds. What they don’t do is bring 1.5 acres of new land in per person.

    kimbers
    Full Member

    Both parties want to increase the population so they can have a massive program of building (which is one of the few economic activities that can’t be outsourced abroad) to grow the GDP. GDP, not GDP per capita. It’s a massive ponzi-scheme & it’s turning the vast areas of the country into conurbations.

    Scotland has net immigration of a mere 21,000 in a space 3/5ths the size of England which due to a nice low birthrate leaves net population increase of just ~13,300. Would that be so bad in the rest of the Uk?

    but you are missing out or demographic problems

    with an ageing population how do you cope without young healthy tax paying immigrants?

    kelvin
    Full Member

    1.5 acres of new land in per person

    Have I created 3 acres by having two kids? How odd.

    stevextc
    Free Member

    Corbyn committed to building 500,000 houses a year (I think Torys are promising 300,000 a year & the NPPF is allowing the planning permission for that number, and more).

    Both parties want to increase the population so they can have a massive program of building (which is one of the few economic activities that can’t be outsourced abroad) to grow the GDP. GDP, not GDP per capita. It’s a massive ponzi-scheme & it’s turning the vast areas of the country into conurbations.

    Correction, it’s not HOUSES it’s housing… essentially slum housing

    outofbreath
    Free Member

    but you are missing out or demographic problems
    with an ageing population how do you cope without young healthy tax paying immigrants?

    Using young healthy tax paying immigrants just shifts the problem away a few years, it doesn’t solve it. One day immigration will stop and that problem will have to be managed. So we might as well manage it now. Like all ponzi schemes it will stop one day, better to stop it sooner.

    stevextc
    Free Member

    but you are missing out or demographic problems

    with an ageing population how do you cope without young healthy tax paying immigrants?

    You understand what a ponzi scheme is right ?

    kelvin
    Full Member

    I shouted loudly about that at the time @CaptainFlashheart … Labour under both Miliband and Corbyn have done their fair share of trying to ride the anti-immigrant wave. Only this week I pointed out that McClusky and others within the Labour movement are still at it. Labour are far from immune to trying this approach.

    You understand what a ponzi scheme is right ?

    Not this Ponzi scheme bullshit again. I can’t be bothered… just go and read all the migration related parts of the EU thread, rather than repeating all that nonsense again here, please.

    outofbreath
    Free Member

    Corbyn committed to building 500,000 houses a year

    Correction, it’s not HOUSES it’s housing… essentially slum housing

    Indeed.

    The drawback of a party that harvests votes from the underdog is that to win it has create underdogs in freshly made sink estates.

    The advantage of a party that harvests votes from successful working people with a bricks and mortar stake in society is that to win it has to create more successful working people with a bricks and mortar stake in society.

    outofbreath
    Free Member

    Have I created 3 acres by having two kids? How odd.

    No, but you and your wife will die and free up 3 acres for them. Now, if you’ve been irresponsible and had three I’d be asking where the 1.5 acres you owe us are!

    If you’d had one or zero the Green party would (quite rightly) give you a medal.

    kelvin
    Full Member

    We have 3 acres?!?

    And suddenly we’re equating “successful” with home owners only?

    outofbreath
    Free Member

    We have 3 acres?!?

    Yeah, you have three acres of land somewhere dedicated to you! It’s not all in one place and it moves around, but it’s there. (Rain forest was cut down to provide some of it.)

    Plus the bit you live on.

    You also take up a bit of space, I dunno, a couple of metres square, say.

    …and if you’re standing on a hill top or a beach alone, nobody else can stand on that beach or hilltop alone.

    Selfish bastard!

    kelvin
    Full Member

    you have three acres of land somewhere dedicated to you!

    Go on… where is it?

    Does anyone have hundreds of thousands of acres currently, rather than just their 3?

    kerley
    Free Member

    The drawback of a party that harvests votes from the underdog is that to win it has create underdogs in freshly made sink estates.

    The advantage of a party that harvests votes from successful working people with a bricks and mortar stake in society is that to win it has to create more successful working people with a bricks and mortar stake in society.

    The numbers don’t back that up too well do they. And don’t assume that all successful working people are all selfish tory tossers. Some of us realise we have just been lucky and still care about the underdogs…

    binners
    Full Member

    It’s telling that BT’s shares haven’t moved on news that Labour intends to nationalise it.

    Thats how certain the markets are that its not something that’s ever going to happen

    molgrips
    Free Member

    Both parties want to increase the population so they can have a massive program of building

    What, that’s the only reason? FFS

    The drawback of a party that harvests votes from the underdog is that to win it has create underdogs in freshly made sink estates.

    Jesus. Seriously – what the hell? Why do you assume that they’ll create sink estates? Lessons have been learned from the 60s. Other countries have done both social and high density private housing very well (I’ve lived in it).

    You really need to calm down and think rationally about all of this, preferably from an apolitical standpoint.

    outofbreath
    Free Member

    Why do you assume that they’ll create sink estates?

    Walk around any new estate. 20pc of those properties will be rented “affordable” housing. Guess which houses are the ones with the garden looking a state and with a sofa dumped on the front lawn and guess which ones are pretty well looked after.

    All other things being equal would you think that, on average, a car that had been a hirecar would be a better bet as a second hand buy than a car that had been owned privately?

    So I conclude, on average, people who own their houses look after their houses and the surrounding area better than people who rent. Certainly when I rented/bought I followed that pattern.

    That’s been my experience YMMV.

    stevextc
    Free Member

    Not this Ponzi scheme bullshit again. I can’t be bothered… just go and read all the migration related parts of the EU thread, rather than repeating all that nonsense again here, please.

    It’s nothing to do with the EU or immigrants…. Kimbers was asking

    with an ageing population how do you cope without young healthy tax paying immigrants?

    It’s a ponzi scheme…. how we cope is immaterial. It has nothing to do with anything other than raking in money from victims and/or raking in political capitol.

    Our council core dev plan identified we need 2/3 bed homes… our council are pushing through 1100
    new slum flats, in 8x 10 story slums, mostly studio high rise (of which we have hundreds empty) in a area of bungalows… along side 8 other high rise projects (and have already exceeded their quota) … with <5% affordable… and all to an impassioned plea from our council leader about kids sleeping rough this Christmas

    dazh
    Full Member

    molgrips
    Free Member

    Walk around any new estate.

    1) I live on a new estate. There are rental homes, there are professionals, it’s a mix. I’ve got a 12 year old Passat, my neighbour has a 2 year old BMW 650d.

    2) There are bad estates, but estates don’t have to be bad. Like I said – it works in other countries because they do it right.

    3) What are you even proposing? Not building houses at all?

    EDIT

    new slum flats, in 8x 10 story slums, mostly studio high rise

    Again – blocks of flats don’t have to be slums.

    koldun
    Free Member

    I do occasionally wonder if the Uk’s housing crisis is related to the expectation of having an actual house as opposed to apartment (especially in built up areas), the norm for our mainland neighbors.

    kelvin
    Full Member

    Estates of semis can end up quite down at heal, not that any of this is forms a useful discussion really.

    piha
    Free Member

    robdixon claims

    If you take a good walk round most cities in Europe (including the U.K.) there are now serious issues with homelessness, worker exploitation and people living in poverty.

    Accelerating the flow of people will simply make this worse

    I’m sorry Rob but your comment is comes across as a terrible generalisation and is completely erroneous. Go and spend some time with homeless people and immigration is not the problem. Ending all immigration will never end homelessness in any shape or form.

    stevextc
    Free Member

    Again – blocks of flats don’t have to be slums.

    No and I’ve lived in flats elsewhere and city centres but they have been planned and needed.
    However
    “new slum flats, in 8×10 story slums, mostly studio high rise”

    Our council already WAY exceeded it’s quota anyway but what we NEED is 2/3 bedroom houses not studio flats outside of town overlooking (actually wrapped around) a 10,000 seater football stadium that today has a scout hut, snooker club and community facilities (and a private gym they are relocating).

    The stated goal of the CEO is to turn Woking (pop 100,000) into Singapore…so this is just one of many high rise towers. The council earn almost double per sq. m in infrastructure levy by locating these tower blocks outside the town centre… it is in direct contravention to their dev plan and allocation and doesn’t meet the affordable housing goals by 50% or required housing by 90%…(and quite honestly, how many families want to live overlooking a 10,000 seater stadium)

    Its miles from the town centre and public transport isn’t a viable* option because of the river, railway and canal….(unless someone pays for new bridges etc. which the favoured (only developer to submit) is exempted from)

    In fact far from learning from errors in the past this is pretty much a mirror of the 60’s tower blocks I was brought up in and around…and this is located between two of the areas where we won the award for most violent crime places to live in Surrey according the the police statistics. (I appreciate that’s not the highest bar but ….)

    stevextc
    Free Member

    I do occasionally wonder if the Uk’s housing crisis is related to the expectation of having an actual house as opposed to apartment (especially in built up areas), the norm for our mainland neighbors.

    Partly … but only partly.
    It’s also HOW we do it….

    molgrips
    Free Member

    I do occasionally wonder if the Uk’s housing crisis is related to the expectation of having an actual house as opposed to apartment (especially in built up areas), the norm for our mainland neighbors.

    Perhaps, maybe it’s circumstantial. Apartment blocks are common in Europe for sure, and they aren’t all slums. Why this would be isn’t clear to me.

    I’ve lived in Finland and Germany, both times in what would be considered grim blocks of flats here. But they were working as designed – full of private tenants or owners of all ages and social standing.

    In Finland, most of the suburbs are apartment blocks – but this is because there was a mass exodus from the countryside to the city after WWII when huge areas of the country were burned to the ground – it had been a mostly rural population. So massive housing projects were needed, they were built, and people lived in them. Full of families and professionals and all.

    In Germany (Munich) the stock seemed mostly to be blocks of flats or nice bespoke houses. So it seems to me that the apartment building is in lieu of our ‘modern housing estate’ and is correspondingly populated. I know less about the situation there though.

    benv
    Free Member

    I do occasionally wonder if the Uk’s housing crisis is related to the expectation of having an actual house as opposed to apartment (especially in built up areas), the norm for our mainland neighbors.

    I thought it was mainly due to the vast sums of money the select few are making out of being legally allowed to manipulate the housing market. Aided of course by those making the rules and setting policy who just so happen to profit from the situation as well.

    dazh
    Full Member

    Anyone still doubt the institutional bias at the heart of the media? The broadcast communists at the BBC clearly don’t understand irony.

    kimbers
    Full Member

    Not this Ponzi scheme bullshit again. I can’t be bothered… v

    dismissing demographic problems & immigration as a ponzi scheme is a good way of not addressing the issue in any way

    its like shouting ‘project fear’ when you hear anything negative you want to ignore

    molgrips
    Free Member

    I didn’t hear about this until today but apparently Tories are promising to start reversing Beeching cuts. A massive undertaking (as it’s been discussed before many times) but interesting. I doubt he’d ever do it though but it’s a nice thought.

    outofbreath
    Free Member

    dismissing demographic problems & immigration as a ponzi scheme is a good way of not addressing the issue in any way

    I’m dismissing a proposed solution as a ponzi scheme on the basis it doesn’t solve the problem, just enlarge it and pass it on to the next generation.

    …as it happens I don’t see any way of addressing it beyond technology and automation [1]. China must have had this problem on steroids, what did they do?

    [1] Although a voice in me is chanting Logan’s Run, Logan’s Run, Logan’s Run, Logan’s Run, Logan’s Run, Logan’s Run, Logan’s Run, Logan’s Run, Logan’s Run, Logan’s Run, Logan’s Run, Logan’s Run, Logan’s Run, Logan’s Run, Logan’s Run, Logan’s Run, Logan’s Run, Logan’s Run, Logan’s Run, Logan’s Run, Logan’s Run, Logan’s Run, Logan’s Run, Logan’s Run, Logan’s Run, Logan’s Run.

    mattyfez
    Full Member

    ONe thing I’m still not understanding is that tehe conserviatives are getting trashed in locals, but then we have this just now:

    Westminster voting intention:

    CON: 43% (+3)
    LAB: 30% (-)
    LDEM: 15% (-)
    BREX: 5% (-3)
    GRN: 2% (-1)

    I know people say that people vote differtently in locals to GEs but I cant quite wrap my head round such a disparity.

    Recent locals:

    St Mary’s (Powys) result:
    Labour GAIN from Conservative.

    Goodrington with Roselands (Torbay) result:
    Conservative GAIN from Liberal Democrat.

    Culverden (Tunbridge Wells) result:
    Liberal Democrat GAIN from Conservative.

    Shap (Eden) result:
    Liberal Democrat GAIN from Conservative.

    Dunfermline East (Fife) first preferences:
    SNP GAIN from Conservative.

    Rosyth (Fife) first preferences:
    SNP HOLD.

    Rhos (Neath Port Talbot) result:
    Plaid Cymru GAIN from Labour.

    outofbreath
    Free Member

    I find the polls/results utterly unfathomable. …and maybe it doesn’t matter because we have no idea how votes relate to seats.

    In other news I had to chuckle that JC’s image features on less than 10 percent of Labour’s election leaflets and nearly half of the Conservative’s. 😀

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