Home Forums Chat Forum 2019 General Election

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  • 2019 General Election
  • dazh
    Full Member

    Is there something particularly dense about the English electorate that they can’t look a few miles north and see how coalition and minority government works in practice?

    I presume that’s a rhetorical question? 🙂

    frankconway
    Free Member

    Now more than 50 MPs not standing for re-election.
    What impact will that have – any indication of voting intentions in their constituencies? Summary of how marginal the seats were last time?
    Will they be active in supporting their party’s candidate?

    kelvin
    Full Member

    @Scotroutes is making some very good points (rather than just making pointed comments, like others). Making me think, anyway.

    slowoldman
    Full Member

    I haven’t felt this level of antipathy towards a politician since Michael Howard.

    Sounds like animosity to me.

    ransos
    Free Member

    Pragmatism seeems to have left the building quite some time ago, but the pre-emptive slagging off by all parties is utterly depressing

    Does that include the Labour centrists facilitating hard Brexit?

    mariner
    Free Member

    Its not about Corbyn its the policies stupid.
    Your choice is do you want to live in a Socialist society where your contribution is valued and supported or as a neo con serf? Unfortunately its a binary choice voting LD or yellow tory wont save you.
    Leaders come and go and unless you live in his constituency the name Corbyn will not appear on your ballot paper. Its only the values and policies that you have to chose between everything else is froth designed to divert you away from that.

    I see the tories have a fracking advocate drawing up their manifesto.

    mefty
    Free Member

    Now more than 50 MPs not standing for re-election.
    What impact will that have – any indication of voting intentions in their constituencies?

    The average number of MPs retiring between 1979 and 2015 at each election was 86. 30 odd retired in 2017 so 50 odd now would bring the numbers into line with a typical parliamentary cycle.

    A small positive effect from incumbency has been observed in the UK historically.

    kelvin
    Full Member

    Looks like the Brexit Party will be pulling lots of candidates to improve the chances of the Conservative Brexit Party winning seats. Scottish Greens have done the same with the opposite intention.

    raybanwomble
    Free Member

    Your choice is do you want to live in a Socialist society where your contribution is valued and supported as a politburo serf or as a neo con serf?

    FTFY.

    kelvin
    Full Member

    I was feeling far too much sympathy for the MPs stepping down… many have worked hard and tried to be fair to their opponents, while getting their points across. So… good to see a clip that reminds us that some MPs are… well… you judge…

    raybanwomble
    Free Member

    ^^
    What a **** lunatic!

    ctk
    Full Member

    Hopefully Labour do go after the green vote hard. Positive, ambitious green policies please.

    boomerlives
    Free Member

    That’ll be an extra 26 votes per constituency. 🙂

    Labour need to be more central to get into power. They can’t chase even more marginal policy

    kerley
    Free Member

    That’ll be an extra 26 votes per constituency.

    Exactly what I was thinking and I support the Green party. Any left wing person who puts environmental polices higher on agenda than other parties is already voting Green yet the numbers are so low as not to matter which suggests people are generally not that concerned about environmental policies as they don’t directly impact them in the same way as other stuff (yet).

    When the Green party start to get a serious number of votes we will start to see teh bigger parties mirror those policies. I estimate that will be around 2045.

    willard
    Full Member

    Just hang on a second… Am I missing something here? Is the Brexit Party Ltd now an official political party, or still just a limited company?

    outofbreath
    Free Member

    That’ll be an extra 26 votes per constituency. 🙂

    Labour need to be more central to get into power. They can’t chase even more marginal policy

    Agree, but they’ve alienated centrists so scavenging for votes in the margins is all they’re left with. No doubt they’ll start shouting “Green Tory” abuse at them to turn them away as well.

    dazh
    Full Member

    If anyone needs any more evidence that the Libdems are not working in the interests of remain, here they are helping Jacob Rees Mogg.

    (clue: read the small print)

    binners
    Full Member

    it goes without saying that we need a fairer system than FPTP, but if you think we can suddenly adopt the German model then you have more faith in our politicians then I have. We’re about as far from that as it’s possible to be.

    Thats my point.

    Politicians in this country need to grow up and stop acting like children. Unfortunately we’re heading in the oppsoite direction as both main parties become more entrenched in their idealogical bumkers, and just hurl abuse at anyone that they label ‘the enemy’ which now seems to include pretty much everyone.

    Thats why the likes of Amber Rudd and Nicky Morgan are leaving the Tory party and Owen Smith is calling enough on the labour party. ‘Good riddence!’ the hardliners will (somewhat predictably) cry after them, but unfortunately we’re all the poorer for it as both parties hunker down in their echo chambers and are wilfully blind to how unappealing they’re becoming to the vast majority of the electorate

    binners
    Full Member

    If anyone needs any more evidence that the Libdems are not working in the interests of remain, here they are helping Jacob Rees Mogg.

    They are not ‘helping Jacob Rees Mogg’, they are just being more appealing to that particular electorate than the labour party, in this instance, in a bid to win the seat from the Tories.

    That is entirely the fault of the labour party. And what you’re saying is the perfect illustration of the paranoid bunker mentality that now seems to be completely entrenched within the Corbynite/Momentum cult, where eevryone is ‘the enemy’

    dazh
    Full Member

    Thats why the likes of Amber Rudd and Nicky Morgan

    And I was with you right up until you used the worst possible examples to support your point.

    dazh
    Full Member

    They are not ‘helping Jacob Rees Mogg’,

    Have you read the small print?

    https://twitter.com/ameliar029/status/1189735522979237888?s=21

    dazh
    Full Member

    And for those with poor eyesight. what’s funny is that even after they have removed the opposition with their fantasies, they still lose!

    dissonance
    Full Member

    but unfortunately we’re all the poorer for it as both parties hunker down in their echo chambers and are wilfully blind to how unappealing they’re becoming to the vast majority of the electorate

    The flaw there is the the vapid “centrist” model with its curious mix of hard right economics with a quick veneer of more social policies is unappealing to a large proportion of the electorate.
    It just suited a very small subset of swing voters whilst telling the majority of the voters to piss off since their votes were being taken for granted.
    Just look at the complaints about the professional political class and those who voted for a change, any change because of the centrist model had completely and utterly failed them.
    Whilst admittedly the tories seem to have gone a bit far just now we do need a clear left wing and a clear right wing party to represent the different offerings. Replace it with a bunch of centrists and lots of people will feel discontent and thats leaving aside the minor detail the centre doesnt hold but drifts. Without pressure it will go one way or another as, indeed, it did under new labour.

    scotroutes
    Full Member

    we do need a clear left wing and a clear right wing party to represent the different offerings

    Nah. All you get are lurches from one extreme to the other over a long enough period (assuming each extreme actually makes itself electable). That’s no way to run a country/economy.

    dissonance
    Full Member

    That’s no way to run a country/economy.

    Your use of “extreme” is interesting.
    It is also badly flawed since the two countries which really pushed the centrist model have ended up with extreme leaders. Whereas before we had this push for “centrists” we had a far more balanced system.

    kimbers
    Full Member

    As I understand BXP ltd they’ve been told to prove their donations came from UK (They can’t) or pay them back.

    I’m sure the money is safely offshore now though, as are the fees of all those MPs farage got them to pay him, but he’s now saying wont stand I. Tory seats

    binners
    Full Member

    Corbynite Labour MP Lloyd Russell-Moyle is trailing the Labour Manifesto in front of Jezza’s speech today. He’s on Five Live, Emma Barnett now.

    Its frankly embaressing. He sounds like a ranty sixth-former, preaching to everyone, banging on about Rupert Murdoch and all the other lefty bogeymen. If this is the level of ‘debate’ that we can look forward to from labour, then Joris Bohnson must be counting how big his majority is going to be already. This kind of thing is just gifting this election to the Tory’s. Its absolutely pathetic!

    An interesting point was, when he was railing against ‘the elite’, in his juevenile-level tirade, Emma Barnett asked:

    “When you say ‘elite’, would that include Seamas Milne, the privately-educated son of the director general of the BBC, and Jeremy Corbyns chief advisor?”

    Apparently Labour isn’t against that kind of ‘the elite’ but some vague other sort of ‘the elite’

    God help us! We’ve got 6 weeks of this shit.

    kelvin
    Full Member

    The thing is @binners, all this “Elites, boo, yah, sucks” nonsense WORKS, and Labour would be foolish not to try and use it.

    You need to fight populism by combining real policies with a dash of populism. Labour can only beat the techniques Johnson is going to use by having a full and realistically costed manifesto, sold using the language of populism that has been swinging elections and referendums in the second half of this decade. I’m watching and hoping…

    dazh
    Full Member

    in his juevenile-level tirade

    Not a hint of irony there 🙂

    Do you spend all day waiting for some labour MP to say something you can have a rant on here about?

    Also, on a point of order, can people (Kelvin mostly), stop using the @ sign before names? I’m getting deluged with email notifications. I’m on here most of the time, I don’t need my email telling me to spend more time here.

    kelvin
    Full Member

    @ dazh – about that smallprint – that is EXACTLY the technique we need to use in Calderdale to get a Labour MP instead of a Tory MP. Lots of people are currently looking to vote LibDem here, and we have to persuade them it is a two horse race and back Labour. I hope the LibDems can unseat Rees-Mogg, as do most people who can think beyond their tribal bubble.

    avdave2
    Full Member

    Corbynite Labour MP Lloyd Russell-Moyle is trailing the Labour Manifesto in front of Jezza’s speech today. He’s on Five Live, Emma Barnett now.

    Its frankly embaressing. He sounds like a ranty sixth-former, preaching to everyone, banging on about Rupert Murdoch and all the other lefty bogeymen. If this is the level of ‘debate’ that we can look forward to from labour, then Joris Bohnson must be counting how big his majority is going to be already. This kind of thing is just gifting this election to the Tory’s. Its absolutely pathetic!

    He’s my MP and I’m really wondering whether I can face voting for him as it would appear possibly the best way of stopping the seat reverting to the Tories. Not going to be easy but probably the best long term option.

    kelvin
    Full Member

    Anyone else listen to Corbyn’s speech? He ticked lots of boxes first, with a list of polices that I back 100%, and I think a huge chunk of voters will as well. He’s focussing on the right policies for a campaigning speech. A bit uneasy about the “elites” stuff he finished with… but it has to be done, because lots of voters will have their fingers in their ears during the policy detail stuff, and need a bogeyman to stand up against to get them into the voting booth.

    kerley
    Free Member

    Also, on a point of order, can people (Kelvin mostly), stop using the @ sign before names? I’m getting deluged with email notifications. I’m on here most of the time, I don’t need my email telling me to spend more time here.

    Open one of the email notifications, click the “Unsubscribe” button and you will get them no more. And yes they were annoying.

    kerley
    Free Member

    Anyone else listen to Corbyn’s speech? He ticked lots of boxes first, with a list of polices that I back 100%, and I think a huge chunk of voters will as well. A bit uneasy about the “elites” stuff he finished with… but it has to be done, because lots of voters will have their fingers in their ears during the policy detail stuff, and need a bogeyman to stand up against to get them into the voting booth.

    Agree. Have been saying for a while on here that to fight populism you need to use populism (backed up with some decent policies as you point out)
    Labour policies should appeal to the average person more than Tory policies and that has always been the case yet we just get Tory governments voted in.

    dazh
    Full Member

    I hope the LibDems can unseat Rees-Mogg, as do most people who can think beyond their tribal bubble.

    I presume you don’t know the results from last time?

    kelvin
    Full Member

    I know the 2017 results, ta. I also don’t expect people in that area to switch from Tory to Labour… but they may well switch to LibDem, as they did at the other elections this year, because, as you keep telling us… the LibDems are seen by some to be moderate Tories who want Brexit stopped.

    dangeourbrain
    Free Member

    Labour policies should appeal to the average person more than Tory policies and that has always been the case yet we just get Tory governments voted in.

    That’s because you’re in a bubble, “they should appeal” is based on thinking you know what people want, that people’s idea of what’s good for them is either the same as yours or wrong, that tory bad Labour good.

    We keep getting tory governments because a large number of people don’t think what you expect them to, their idea of what’s good for them isn’t the sams as yours, they don’t have some tribal outlook that suggests there’s a good and evil option on their polling card and they don’t like the fact that the left so often pitch the right and their support as nasty, greedy, spiteful people. Yes there’s plenty who vote tory because they always have but that’s at least as true on the other side of the divide)

    (I’ve not watched the speech as I’m “working” and it seems the labour website doesn’t have the text yet – poor show to be honest, that should go live within about 10 seconds of the end of his pulpit piece – but I’d be amazed if it contained anything significantly different on a broad appeal base than BJ’s will, the stuff which is genuinely Labour policy will have down sides for plenty of people as well as upsides for plenty of others)

    Lots of people are currently looking to vote LibDem here, and we have to persuade them it is a two horse race and back Labour.

    If you can’t offer people anything more than “we’re only the 2nd worst option” you really don’t deserve to win.

    kelvin
    Full Member

    Well done for dismissing polices without knowing what they are. Gold star.

    And, yes, FPTP means we either have tactical voting, or Johnson gets his majority and implements the hardest of Brexits, with all that means. Many people will indeed need to vote for “the 2nd worst” if they want to avoid the worst. It stinks. But there you go. Deal with the voting system as it is… for now.

    scotroutes
    Full Member

    Alliances eh?

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