I’m torn now. Telling Piers Morgan (well, his representative) to **** off on live telly – good or bad?

Link to tweet with naughty language!

Definitely agree with this, but assuming yougov are bang on, even tho Tories had a terrible couple of days they lost 40 seats in that model over 2 week period , at that rate they’d only expect to lose another 6 seats between now and then.

Well I don’t think (hope) they will be bang-on, and I think we maybe have some exponential stuff going off in this last couple of days – plus MOE hopefully going our way. Also the younger vote improving over 2015 weighting.

Fingers crossed.

Basically I’m waiting for Boris to tell a black asthmatic young kid to eff off live on TV and nick his phone and bike.

Have we ever had a weaker man who wanted to be PM than Johnson?

Have we ever had a weaker man who wanted to be PM than Johnson?

Yep and the narrative was he was a strong leader that was going to campaign really well.

MSM calling this a dirty election from ALL sides. What bullshit. It’s clearly been a dirty Tory campaign.

24 hrs to go

Polls tilting against them , awful mishandling of the Leeds general story, health secretary caught lying again

All Johnson has to do is not do anything stupid, especially not live on Good Morning Britain

Here is Boris Johnson's spokesman telling a journalist to **** off, and then the Prime Minister hides in a fridge to avoid answering questions.

Kick

Them

Out.pic.twitter.com/IdShqI6eKD

— Owen Jones (@OwenJones84) December 11, 2019

All Quiet on the Question Front

Local polling to us is showing the seat is going to go Tory. 4,500 majority for our present Labour MP looks like being overturned and we’ll be getting some Tory sock-puppet instead.

Fantastic! 🙄

What’s really worrying is what it says about what’s happening in the northern seats the Tory’s are targeting

Present odds for labour being the largest party: 15/1

Present odds for the Conservatives being the largest party: 1.03/1

Labour Majority: 26/1

Hung parliament: 3.25/1

Conservative majority: 1.4/1

No surprise, it’s the price of securing remain metropolitan seats. They couldn’t do both.

But there’s a strong possibility they could do neither

Labour’s new base is the under 30s

The ones who don’t actually bother voting?

With the possibility of a hung parliment still just about there, I think of the words of Brian Stimpson… “It’s not the despair, Laura. I can take the despair. It’s the hope I can’t stand.”.

Present odds for labour being the largest party: 15/1

Present odds for the Conservatives being the largest party: 1.03/1

Labour Majority: 26/1

Hung parliament: 3.25/1

Conservative majority: 1.4/1

Bookies got it wrong in 2017.

If Lab get to just ~37% on polling day (on current trends this seems plausible and likely) the following happens:

1) They could take ~10 seats from Con in the South
2) They save all but ~10 seats in the Red Wall
3) LD's take ~5 seats from Con
4) SNP take ~6 seats from Con

2/4

— Dr Moderate (@centrist_phone) December 10, 2019

Their, they and them are now accepted as pronouns for someone who is non binary.

When did this happen? They didn’t tell me. Their communication on these issues needs improving. How do I contact them?

he didn’t look very “Churchillian” in the GMTV video, Johnson reaction to a minor crisis of an impromptu interview is runaway.

My own boring story of how I’ve put my money where my mouth is in my belief in the likelihood of a hung parliament.

Currently, what with Norway being outside the customs union, we have to pay duty and a processing fee on any imported goods. The limit is 350 NOK (around £35) meaning that if the value of goods plus shipping is less than that you don’t pay any tax or fees, neither in the country you bought it from or in Norway.

I just ordered a new chain and cassette which came to a grand total of 344.47 NOK from CRC. This is far closer to the limit than I like. The reason being that they judge the value based on the exchange rate when the goods enter the country, not when I buy them.

So, if the value of the goods when they reach customs is 349,49 NOK I don’t pay any extra, whereas if it is 350,01 NOK I will have to pay an extra 257 NOK (it’s logical bureaucratic things like this you can look forward to after the UK leaves the customs union).

If there is no overall majority then I expect the Pound to plummet. If Johnson gets his majority then presumably it will go up and I will get stung with the import charges.

So there we go, that’s the really really boring explanation of my skin in the game for this election (you know, except for the fact I lose the benefits of freedom of movement and might have to move back to my parents house in Glasgow if it all goes completely tits up).

The bastard! I know he’s targeting northern seats, but he’s using pies as props. PIES!!!

How dare he?! Thats taking cultural appropriation a step too far

He looks like the kind of man who’d put a puff pastry lid on a casserole and call it a pie

Bit difficult to say anything without knowing which constituency we’re talking about.

@ferrals

type Jon Worth & your constituency into youtube & he has a video for ever constituency thats up for grabs & an explanation of why & how you should vote

Cheers @kimbers – I know how to vote (labour) – my constituency (Gower) is a straight two horse race. I was just slightly surprised at the predicted levels of support of Lib Dems. My fist thoguht was ‘shit.. but if the lib supporters vote labour we’ll be ok,’ now wondering if the accuracy of a constituency level poll is such that the actual result could be either way

has Blowjo pissed in Armando Iannucci’s shoes ? as he really doesn’t like him.