It’s game over.
I’ve been a big supporter of New Zealand in the AC and it’s been amazing watching the second week of racing – but I’ve got to say that, in my eyes, they do not deserve to win.
In the first week they had fantastic teamwork and upwind speed that was guaranteed to get them to the front before the final downwind leg. All was good and they were relaxed, staying ashore when Oracle were out on the water during the no-racing days.
But then Oracle turn up on the Saturday with a new upwind speed that put the frighteners on TNZ and the whole game changed.
OK, so maybe Oracle did copy some of the TNZ techniques, but they went much further and got to the point where they can fully foil upwind at 30 knots while TNZ are still doing the 26-27 knots that they started the AC with.
This is where TNZ fell down. They believed, along with 99% of the sailing world, that it was game over so they sat back while the Oracle team plugged away at getting better and faster. For whatever reason, be it lack of funds or over confidence, TNZ failed to progress while Oracle watched, evaluated and adapted.
There was a lot of finger pointing going on in the first week when Oracle were making ‘lots of mistakes’, but now it’s TNZ who are struggling to win a start and are making the tactical errors.
Although I’d not be disappointed if TNZ managed to scrape through in the final race, I really do think that it’s Oracle who have made the most progress and probably should be retaining the Cup.
I do wonder what this will mean for the next AC. I suspect that it may well be staying in multihulls but maybe cheaper to encourage more entries – just as long as the TV coverage remains the same as I see this as being the big winner from this AC.