So who EXACTLY are Greece going to borrow money from if they leave?
If they leave in an orderly fashion and have their debts written off/down they’ll have more capacity to repay any new debt. If you were a bank, would you prefer to lend money to someone drowning in debt or clear of it? Of course you’d have to price in the risk that they’d default again.
Stupid question probably but if Greece leaves the Euro, what happens to money they owe, bailouts etc? Debt converted to Drachma? Written off?
Written off or converted to Drachma and defaulted on via devaluation I’d say.
If Greece left the Euro and went back to the Drachma they’d be in control of their own currency so could allow it to appreciate/depreciate according to their needs (see Bank of England). With little or no debt and the subsequent interest payments (in foreign currency) they could potentially devalue and boost exports (if they do export anything), plus all those lovely Greek holidays would look cheap to everyone else and bolster their economy (providing the place hasn’t been sold off or torn apart by civil war first).
I’d caveat all of the above with the fact that I’ve no idea how this stuff really works so will no doubt get shot to pieces now 🙂
FWIW I think this is largely the fault of ze Germans. The best thing for the Greek people in my opinion is to get the hell out of the Euro and go it alone. Before you know it the rest of the PIIGS will most likely be joining them anyway. The Euro is a failed experiment IMO and needs to be stopped.