U.S. Presidential Election 2020

michigan’s now blue

the recent jonathan pie thing was interesting when he said why would anyone come out at a Trump supporter

I completely agree that is a factor – but personally speaking I don’t understand it. If I was so ashamed of my political choice that I felt I had to hide it and couldn’t even anonymously admit it to a pollster, then I’d be taking a step back and wondering why that might be!

I completely agree that is a factor – but personally speaking I don’t understand it. If I was so ashamed of my political choice that I felt I had to hide it and couldn’t even anonymously admit it to a pollster, then I’d be taking a step back and wondering why that might be!

Not saying it’s right, but happens a lot in life I reckon. People have their public persona, job etc. And then there’s what they really think.

Yeah it’s like when the weather says 10% chance of rain and when it rains (approx 1/10 of those times, averaged out over a long period) everyone says ‘stupid weather forecasts’.

Apparently someone on ABC just claimed that America invented democracy. Clever buggers.

I completely agree that is a factor – but personally speaking I don’t understand it. If I was so ashamed of my political choice that I felt I had to hide it and couldn’t even anonymously admit it to a pollster, then I’d be taking a step back and wondering why that might be!

Dave Rudin’s coverage of a Trump rally was great. He likened it to his first experiences of gay pride events. Everyone is having a great time and surrounded by people like them. Something they normally keep quiet about. Very funny.

Like our Secret Tory Voters?

The polling organisations over here factor in the ‘shy Tory’ vote and its a significant percentage. They do seem to have been seriously underestimating it though.

I think we’re now in an an era where polling is little better than guesswork

@thols2

Whats your source of data?

They say nothing and just vote in private.

Don’t forget the legions of online misanthropic trolls playing and voting for teh memez and the upset.

he’s looking home and hosed in Mich still 30% left to count from ol’ detroit

And meanwhile lost to every other demographic.

Comparing 2016 & 2020 exit polls is pretty pointless. For obvious reasons. Just about all groups that chose to still vote in person this time, despite the pandemic, were more likely to vote Trump.

Christ, some of them are as big as Texas!!

lol!

Christ, some of them are as big as Texas!!

How many Wales’s is that?

@ thols2

Whats your source of data?

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/results-president.html

https://www.washingtonpost.com/elections/

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538

michigan’s now blue

I’ve just watched it switch on my screen…

I’m feeling confident.

Well Confident Biden will be the leader when it goes to court.

How many Wales’s is that?

About half an Alaska

How many Wales’s is that?

~30

I think we’re now in an an era where polling is little better than guesswork

Yep, that’s the way I see it. Utterly depressing that the orange buffoon is even in with a chance of winning.

Wisconsin looking close with 3% of votes left though, down to 21k votes with 97k left to be counted.

Confident Biden will be the leader when it goes to court.

Supreme courts tend to reject cases that have no merit. Trump is a bit over-optimistic about his chances.

Supreme courts tend to reject cases that have no merit. Trump is a bit over-optimistic about his chances.

I love the optimism.

Utterly depressing that the orange buffoon is even in with a chance of winning.

Tulsi Gabbard would have won a landslide. Pretty much anyone but Biden would. He’s senile. He’s corrupt. He’s even on film being very inappropriate with children (repeatedly). Then there’s his son. It’s like they tried to lose.

Another batch of around 50,000 Michigan votes just came in from heavily Democratic Wayne County (Detroit). They have now put Biden in the lead by 0.1 points. That lead could grow because Wayne has only reported 70% of its expected vote. https://t.co/4pnDf7oKIZ pic.twitter.com/DBq3NGlrqX

— FiveThirtyEight (@FiveThirtyEight) November 4, 2020

Nevada are saying they’re not going to release anymore numbers until noon tomorrow, about 18:00 our time I think.

If only Cuomo had stood…
In other news, dead man gets elected
https://thehill.com/homenews/state-watch/524437-north-dakota-gop-state-lawmaker-who-died-of-covid-19-wins-election

Pretty much anyone but Biden would. He’s senile. He’s corrupt. He’s even on film being very inappropriate with children (repeatedly). Then there’s his son. It’s like they tried to lose.

Well I don’t know how they managed to keep that out of the press. It’s a good thing you’re here to tell us this stuff.

Oooh, its like the final episode of a long running reality show 🙂

Well I don’t know how they managed to keep that out of the press. It’s a good thing you’re here to tell us this stuff.

Eh? That’s been all that’s been in the press. There’s been scandal after scandal and endless senile disasters every time he was on stage.

Which one are we talking about, here?

I literally haven’t seen any of what you refer to.  At all. And I’ve been watching all sides of the reporting press

He’s even on film being very inappropriate with children (repeatedly).

There are bits of the internet which the rest of us stay well away from 5thElefant.

You inhabit some weird corners of the internet 5thElefant.

Biden is creepy because he’s too tactile, but Trump saying he wants to **** his own daughter isn’t. Ok cool.

Edit: ha, snap Kelvin!

Facts on Michigan. Biden has pulled ahead, and he's going to stay ahead. The reason?

Wayne County has a couple hundred thousand votes left to count. Because they're Detroit *and* absentee they're ~ 3:1 Biden.

He has 448k votes in Wayne so far. Obama won 660k in 08, 596k in 12.

— Tim Alberta (@TimAlberta) November 4, 2020

He’s senile. He’s corrupt. He’s even on film being very inappropriate with children (repeatedly). Then there’s his son. It’s like they tried to lose.

Sounds like the perfect candidate to win over trump supporters

ha, snap Kelvin!

Probably a joke neither of us should have made really. Sorry 5thElefant!

Eh? That’s been all that’s been in the press. There’s been scandal after scandal and endless senile disasters every time he was on stage.

Thank god then that Donnies got all his mental faculties

Eh? That’s been all that’s been in the press. There’s been scandal after scandal and endless senile disasters every time he was on stage.

What you described is what Team Trump has been emailing day after day to its subscribers for months. I suggest it might not be true?

Probably a joke neither of us should have made really. Sorry 5thElefant!

I wasn’t actually making a joke or calling him a you-know-what – I just think you’d have to hang around on 4chan/QAnon FB groups to get the impression that Joe Biden was the scandal-ridden one.

it seems likely that the republicans are going to retain control of the Senate, so even if Biden wins, he’ll be hamstrung

Supreme courts tend to reject cases that have no merit. Trump is a bit over-optimistic about his chances.

I would love for Trump’s case to be thrown out as unconstitutional and vexatious. 🤣

He’s even on film being very inappropriate with children (repeatedly).

Is this the one in the basement of the pizza restaurant?