Tories in gambling on vote shock – not like them at all…

Hastings ‘dicey’ for Amber Rudd

might stick £20 on hammond at that price.

Still annoyed I had £25 on Mrs Balls at 5-1 for Labour Leader until Scruffy McMarxist got the gig 😀

Voting should be online for those who want to, with a visible running total of how many votes each candidate has got so far.That way I could go to bed at a reasonable time.

#FAKE news he said his opinion remained unchanged at 50-100 😉

As we were then.

Sunderland Central

Labour 25056
Tory 15059
Ukip 2209
Libs 1777

Voting should be online for those who want to, with a visible running total of how many votes each candidate has got so far.That way I could go to bed at a reasonable time.

there really should be a voting app.

Another result above exit poll for Tories

Sunderland central in, another swing from ukip to con

Exit polls looking wrong based on swing in 1st 3 results

I think only thing we can conclude here is that the newcastle/sunderland area is mental! 😆

there really should be a voting app.

A lot harder to hack a cross on a bit of paper. Especially if you’ve legislated end to end encryption out of existence.

booo, Kimbers stop killing my buzz 😉

I have a special dance I will do if Rudd loses her seat, that’d be tonight’s portillo moment

seosamh77 – Member

indyref2 in 2025 is more desirable. and early indyref2 is a bad idea.

Yup. But remember that the whole early indyref2 was about hard brexit- and let’s be honest, about the perceived future of years of tory governments. The SNP’s reduced majority isn’t going to be the biggest factor in stopping indyref2- the actual reasoning probably just went out the window. Even with 50 seats, they wouldn’t be pushing for it with this background. Basically if this poll is right everything in British politics just got reset.

Have to say, as an SNP and Yes voter, I’m actually OK with that- a lot of us more or less moved to independence because we’d lost hope for the UK. I’d be quite pleased to be wrong.

I think it is going to very regional as I said earlier, need to see another region.

I don’t think that anyone would argue that newcastle and Sunderland are representative of the UK 😉

muppetWrangler – Member
Especially if you’ve legislated end to end encryption out of existence.

😆

Raab is on C4, he was red faced and sputtering earlier 🙂

Yep Tories outperforming exit polls. gah!

I can not think of a single member of the tory front bench that has the intellectual capability

Ironically the best candidate is Rudd, who may well lose her seat, or have a tiny majority. They’re not going to risk a leader who might lose her seat at the next election.

squirmy tories on the radio.. but but b bbb bbb b but but …

Re – Amber Rudd, some interesting reading…

Amber Rudd Really Is that Horrible

They’re not going to risk a leader who might lose her seat at the next election.

they can parachute her in some where else if need be !

Yep Tories outperforming exit polls. gah!

Whilst I understand the reality check, it’s 3 seats in the same area which is massively pro-brexit. There is no need to panic, or to get excited. No point in speculating on accuracy of the exit poll until 50 or so seats are in over a proper geographical spread.

Salmond potentially in trouble apparently.

(exit) polls designed to generate media / viewer interest … I am so cynical about these things these days

There’s too much going on here to really call anything. UKIP vote crashes (mostly BLUKIP anyway) vs a large influx (reportedly, anecdotally) of youth vote – presumably to Labour. Postal votes statistically close to exit poll results. Exit poll not out by more than 20ish since 2001.

Plenty going on. More hope for Labour than Tory at the moment but as midland marginals come in, it’ll get interesting.

Oh I agree. Something else would have to happen before Brexit can happen – I’d imagine another GE this year. If it wasn’t for Brexit then it might be possible for the Tories to soldier on as a minority for a while before Labour had a go. I’m not sure whether the EU are flexible enough to allow us to push everything backwards, but as I wrote before if they get to negotiate with somebody other than May they’ll probably be prepared to be more flexible.

That is still preferable to May et al negotiating Brexit.

(can I stop prefacing my posts with “if the exit polls are accurate”?)

Salmond potentially in trouble apparently.

Well if he’s in trouble then Angus Robertson is toast

Does that mean Salmond could claim another £50k “adjustment allowance” ?

Huge swing to labour in newcastle east…

there really should be a voting app.

What with Apple taking 25% of all votes cast on their devices 😉

Another result where Tories outperformed exit poll but still same region.

Is that where the uni resides?

Cheer up right wingers. Swindon North goes blue. Albeit with a swing to Labour.

Swindon North as a Tory seat is surely a far better indicator of the accuracy of the polls – phew!

Swindon North

Labour 21096
Tories 29431
Libs 1962
Ukip 1564
Green 858

Newcastle East

Lab 28k
Tory 8k
Libs 2.5k
Ukip 1.3
Green 755

Swindon interesting as UKIP vote goes largely to Labour whereas in NE it’s gone to the Tories

I wonder if Sunderland has anything to do with the Nissan factory and the promise of post Brexit investment that had been made. It is one of the biggest employers in the area.

Tories reckon Salmond ok.