Viewing 40 posts - 121 through 160 (of 397 total)
  • At the current rate of deterioration in the global weather systems patterns!
  • GrahamS
    Full Member

    Grahams if the energy output of the sun is constant and as you claim has not changed, how then do you explain solar flares?

    It’s a massive nuclear-powered fire – like any big fire, sometimes it flares up, sometimes it is a bit quieter, but the overall energy/heat reaching us at this distance is relatively stable (roughly 240 Watts per square metre). Sustained variations in the energy emitted by the Sun over the past 150 years is estimated to be small: about 0.12 Wm² (says The Royal Society)

    Whereas the energy required to reverse the cooling of the Earth’s core, which you hypothesised, would be massive and very noticeable.

    Our planet will be affected by a lot of other astral bodies just as it is by the moon..

    The moon is very close to us (~252,711 miles at its furthest point). It is close enough that we are affected by its gravitational pull.

    Our nearest star is 24,938,000,000,000 miles away.

    It’s not a hard analogy: if I hold a magnet one centimetre from an iron plate then they will be pulled together. If the magnet is over 98.6 million centimetres away then it exerts absolutely no pull at all on the plate. That’s the equivalent distances we are talking about.

    You are missing out volcanic activity and only focusing on earth quakes in terms of seismic activity, why is that?

    Because that hasn’t increased either?

    This from the ”Global Volcanism Program” (part of the Smithsonian Institute):

    if we say that our solar system dips beneath the axis of the milky way for a set period of time let’s say 500’000 years as an example and then proceeds to a position above the axis for 500,000 years, could this not account for our flipping of the magnetic poles?

    You’d have to show our position relative to the axis has changed during that period and that some (presumably magnetic) force was is acting on us from the Milky Way altered based on our relative position to the axis.

    It’s certainly not the accepted explanation of geomagnetic reversal and wouldn’t explain the varying frequency and duration of pole-flips or the periods where it doesn’t quite flip (geomagnetic excursions). Or why the Sun does a similar flip every 12 years or so.

    But more importantly, you are talking about changes over millions of years and saying it is responsible for climate change of 100 years.

    If we go through the middle of a spiral arm as opposed to being on the edge of a spiral arm or in between spriral arms are you proposing that we will still experience the exact same conditions on this planet?

    No, I’m saying that such changes happen over hundreds of millions of years – they are not responsible for the climate change in the space of 100 years or for allegedly reversing the cooling of the Earth’s core (without anyone noticing) in 100 years.

    Time scale is only relevant or relative to our position in the milky way, how far has our solar system traveled in the past 100 years and what are we now approaching in terms of stellar configurations within the milkyway ?

    Our solar system hasn’t moved significantly closer to anything else in the Milky Way in the past 100 years. It simply just doesn’t happen that quickly. That is why timescales are relevant.

    Our solar system’s speed through the Milky Way is reckoned to be 220km/s (136.7 miles pre second) or 0.073% of light speed.

    Even if we had spent the past century hurtling DIRECTLY towards the nearest star AND tha star was somehow going against the processional orbit and was hurtling DIRECTLY back towards us at the same speed then we’d STILL only be 3% (862 billion miles) closer than we are now.

    It would still be very, very, very far away (over 24 trillion miles or 4.096 light years)

    was the last ice age also caused by green house gases or man made technologies?

    I really hope this is a rhetorical question, but I can’t be sure!

    GrahamS
    Full Member

    how can the energy of the Sun not change or have not changed, but during a Solar flare it increases?

    How can we define a “sea level” when I can quite clearly see waves?

    That the sea isn’t level at all!

    CountZero
    Full Member

    was the last ice age also caused by green house gases or man made technologies?

    The last glacial period was the most recent glacial period within the current ice age occurring during the last years of the Pleistocene, from approximately 110,000 to 10,000 years ago.[1]
    During this period there were several changes between glacier advance and retreat. The maximum extent of glaciation was approximately 18,000 years ago. While the general pattern of global cooling and glacier advance was similar, local differences in the development of glacier advance and retreat make it difficult to compare the details from continent to continent (see picture of ice core data below for differences).
    From the point of view of human archaeology, it falls in the Paleolithic and Mesolithic periods.
    The last glacial period is sometimes colloquially referred to as the “last ice age”, though this use is incorrect because an ice age is a longer period of cold temperature in which ice sheets cover large parts of the Earth, such as Antarctica. Glacials, on the other hand, refer to colder phases within an ice age that separate interglacials. Thus, the end of the last glacial period is not the end of the last ice age. The end of the last glacial period was about 12,500 years ago, while the end of the last ice age may not yet have come: little evidence points to a stop of the glacial-interglacial cycle of the last million years.
    The last glacial period is the best-known part of the current ice age, and has been intensively studied in North America, northern Eurasia, the Himalaya and other formerly glaciated regions around the world. The glaciations that occurred during this glacial period covered many areas, mainly on the Northern Hemisphere and to a lesser extent on the Southern Hemisphere. They have different names, historically developed and depending on their geographic distributions: Fraser (in the Pacific Cordillera of North America), Pinedale, Wisconsinan or Wisconsin (in central North America), Devensian (in the British Isles), Midlandian (in Ireland), Würm (in the Alps), Mérida (in Venezuela), Weichselian or Vistulian (in Northern Europe and northern Central Europe), Valdai in Eastern Europe and Zyryanka in Siberia, Llanquihue in Chile, and Otira in New Zealand.

    If you would be so good to explain the extent of carbon-generating technology available to humans 12,800 years ago it would be appreciated.

    molgrips
    Free Member

    I think you are agreeing with him,

    However humans did make big changes to the environment even then. Deforestation and altering the fauna.

    Junkyard
    Free Member

    Our planet orbits the sun on an axis that axis is not a straight line it wobbles, we could say that it wobbles from the positive to the negative polarity of it’s magnetic field along it’s axis

    Or we could give it the correct term and call it the Milankovitch cycles
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Milankovitch_cycles

    could this not account for our flipping of the magnetic poles?

    basically No

    Here’s an alternative question, is the weather we are seeing now more or less severe than weather that has affected the planet in the past? for example the last ice age and was the last ice age also caused by green house gases or man made technologies?

    FFS it is not hard to get the idea that there has been natural climate change before, no one denies it what you need to show is that the burning and realising of billions of tons of C02 annually, a know greenhouse gas, will have no effect. No one thinks the climate does not change naturally. Are you claiming we cannot change it? Perhaps you think we cannot pollute either? Alter the Sea Ph level etc

    Nacho are you suggesting that the majority of people on the earth today are rational?

    By your standards i would assume no . Form where I sit you seem some distance from rational and throw wishy washy ideas about without any real comprehension – earlier you asked if the sun affected weather and then more recently said

    None[ some illdefined cosmic thingy] will have as significant an effect as our sun.

    it has been by experience that not many capitalist personages appreciate the truth or honesty for that matter.

    You keep saying stuff like this – still running a bearing business for profit then – that is a serious question are you still the definition of a capitaist despite your criticism if it. Have a word with yourself an your business before criticising others.

    If you would be so good to explain the extent of carbon-generating technology available to humans 12,800 years ago it would be appreciated.

    Its a straw man as no one is claiming there is not natural change what the doubters have to show is that pumping billion of tons of a green house gas into the environment which leads to the earth storing more heat does not [ and by what method/mechanism] lead to a warmer climate. It is not an either or scenario either. We could have natural warming or coling exacerbated by man’s actions. Clearly man had no affect on earlier climate change but that is not proof that we are not affecting it now.

    molgrips
    Free Member

    Natural climate change has happened before, and lots of animals died. Plus, man made climate seems to be changing things far quicker than has ever changed before besides meteorite impacts, so we have no precedent.

    And the flipping of magnetic poles is not our fault. It happens randomly all the time.

    tyger
    Free Member

    A long time ago there was a world flood

    kaesae
    Free Member

    There have been several world floods, it’s part of a cycle that our planet goes through regularly, that and tectonic instability that includes entire continents large areas of land sinking and occasionally rising also moving position or drifting.

    Here’s something for you to watch, not really relevant but interesting

    [video]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t6WVZJ_CFHQ&feature=related[/video]

    GrahamS
    Full Member

    Yeah I heard about that. The only survivors* were some old bloke and some animals who escaped in a big chuffing huuuuuge boat, that then repopulated the Earth.

    (* aside from fish. And crabs. And jellyfish. And dolphins. And whales. And seals…)

    molgrips
    Free Member

    There have been several world floods

    Really?

    kaesae
    Free Member

    Good luck!

    Edukator
    Free Member

    As a geologist I can’t think of any point in the geological record where there is no evidence of land masses.

    GrahamS
    Full Member

    kaesae: I really don’t mean to be a bore, but does anything you claim have any actual evidence for it, or indeed basis in our reality?

    Y’know, the cosmic energy from the Milky Way, being channelled through the sun, reversing the cooling of the Earth’s core, and making the poles flip, causing increases in seismic activity, leading to climate change. Oh and world floods now too.

    Cos, and I’m just putting this out there, it does sound just a little far-fetched…

    Junkyard
    Free Member

    Kasaea [without meaning to cause offence] your argument is all over the place and not even close to cogent- I doubt anyone, including yourself, actually know what you are trying to say

    There have been several world floods

    where did the water go then?

    stucol
    Free Member

    The water is all in Glasgow !

    Wettest summer in 20 something years.

    Must be global warming.

    Dryest summer in living memory in Skye and the Western Isles.

    Must be global warming.

    Assuming global is about 150 miles.

    GrahamS
    Full Member

    For stucol, who clearly missed it the first time…

    [video]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D4Z0S9yRTyw[/video]

    😉

    molgrips
    Free Member

    To be fair, I don’t think kaesae is trying to make wild claims – it sounds to me as if he is telling us what he’s read or heard to start a discussion.

    He admitted he was not well informed earlier.

    alex222
    Free Member

    Our nearest star is 24,938,000,000,000 miles away.

    um no it isn’t

    Junkyard
    Free Member

    ^^^ next nearest after the sun- this was discussed earlier in the thread

    I don’t think kaesae is trying to make wild claims

    strokes chin whilst wondering what he would say if he was trying whilst wondering where mollys threshold for outlandish lies

    alex222
    Free Member

    next nearest after the sun- this was discussed earlier in the thread

    Okay, forgive me for not reading reams of what is quite frankly nonsense 😀

    Junkyard
    Free Member

    reasonable point and well made

    richmtb
    Full Member

    I guess this thread proves that not all “theories” are equally valid.

    kaesae
    Free Member

    This thread isn’t about theories is supposed to be about awareness and looking into current matters. I have proposed a possible alternative cause for what is happening to this world and solar system.

    A while ago I started a thread about my stellar realignment theory! in that thread I concluded by saying that time would tell and since the time is almost here we could simply wait.

    Now the time of these global events is even closer and we will of course have to wait even less time to experience them, however I will say this, keep an eye on Japan and see what happens.

    We could all say this, that and the next thing, however as history has proven over and over again, time will tell!

    GrahamS
    Full Member

    This thread isn’t about theories is supposed to be about awareness and looking into current matters.

    Realy? Every post you have made has been theories or odd questions. (which you never answer)

    And surely if we want to do something about climate change then a solid theory about what is causing it is pretty essential.

    If it is man made, then we act to lower our emissions etc.

    If it is some unavoidable natural cycle, and we can have no influence on it at all, then we can act on defending ourselves from the worst of it.

    A while ago I started a thread about my stellar realignment theory! in that thread I concluded by saying that time would tell and since the time is almost here we could simply wait.

    Yep. Very nearly here. Post back in another 500 million years and we’ll see if you were right.

    You might want to set a reminder…

    Cougar
    Full Member

    I have proposed a possible alternative cause for what is happening to this world and solar system.

    With all due respect, I think that’s a bit of an exaggeration.

    You’ve not “proposed an alternative cause,” you’ve just made up something random based on (by your own admission) a weak understanding of, well, just about everything to be honest. Your “alternative cause” is about as valid as “well, there’s a lot more wicked people dying these days so Hell’s getting hotter to accommodate them, which is causing global warming.”

    A number of people have patiently explained facets of geology and astrophysics to you, and suggested that maybe, just maybe, your “alternative cause” is at best speculative science fiction. Now, you don’t have to take all that at face value of course, but you said you had a desire to learn and increase your knowledge, so listening to people who actually know things might be a good place to start perhaps?

    Or if you want to start on something simpler in your quest for knowledge, you could do worse than reading this.

    Junkyard
    Free Member

    I will say this, keep an eye on Japan and see what happens

    Ten percent of the world’s active volcanoes are found in Japan, which lies in a zone of extreme crustal instability. They are formed by subduction of the Pacific Plate and the Philippine Sea Plate. As many as 1,500 earthquakes are recorded yearly, and magnitudes of four to six on the Richter scale are not uncommon. Minor tremors occur almost daily in one part of the country or another, causing slight shaking of buildings.

    Awesome guess.

    nwilko
    Free Member

    if the fate of mankind will be communicated through wikipedia & youtube we deserve damnation.. 😆

    as for arguing over who’s better informed on a MTB forum 🙄

    klumpy
    Free Member

    kaesae: do you know if any work has been done to look for any correlations between this work and what it shows and the movement of the stars or other astral bodies?

    Well, our relative movement amongst all the other astral bodies and earth’s biological diversity has been examined:
    A lay-layman’s guide to:
    A layman’s guide to:
    A paper.

    nealglover
    Free Member

    This thread isn’t about theories

    Why are there so many of your “theories” in it then ?

    [its] supposed to be about awareness

    Learn some actual science and get some then ?

    I have proposed a possible alternative cause for what is happening to this world and solar system.

    Sorry, but no, you haven’t.

    A while ago I started a thread about my stellar realignment theory! in that thread I concluded by saying that time would tell and since the time is almost here we could simply wait.

    So no scientific knowledge involved in that either then by the sound of it ?
    Just …. Let’s wait and see.

    Now the time of these global events is even closer and we will of course have to wait even less time to experience them,

    How long do we have to wait then ?

    however I will say this, keep an eye on Japan and see what happens.

    Go on then, What’s going to happen in Japan ?
    Enlighten everyone.

    We could all say this, that and the next thing, however as history has proven over and over again, time will tell!

    What does that even mean ?

    ohnohesback
    Free Member

    We’re all DOOMED!

    GrahamS
    Full Member

    I’ve concluded that kaesae is actually an elaborate deep geek troll.

    So much effort though! There are far easier ways to troll geeks, as a great man once said:

    kaesae
    Free Member

    Let’s recap so we can evaluate, what did we learn? actually we did not manage to learn or accomplish anything of value.

    We did of course discover who are the winners and who is the LLOOOOSSEERR, so some people will be well chuffed with themselves, however if we look at energy / man power in relation to anything accomplished in a physical sense or even investment vs potential return, what we have in real terms to show for our efforts, is the fact that we are all undeniably retarded!

    kaesae
    Free Member

    Edukator, how would you like to help me research something? I have sensitive eyes so can’t spend too much time in front of monitors.

    However I do have an idea that could shed some more light on the authenticity of the world flood myth.

    Any chance you could loan your expertise in geology to my researching the myths?

    GrahamS
    Full Member

    We did of course discover who are the winners and who is the LLOOOOSSEERR, so some people will be well chuffed with themselves

    I’m really not sure why you choose to paint it like that. It is a discussion, not a competition.

    You were the one that told me to “go and research the ideas I have presented and contribute to the thread” so I did:

    You said the Earth’s core was heating up, but I researched (the link you provided) and found it was cooling down.

    You posted a video to support the idea that the Milky Way could heat up the Earth’s Core – but actually it stated that passage through the Milky Way might be linked to periods of cooling.

    You said the sun was putting out more energy, I researched and found it wasn’t..

    You said seismic activity was increasing, I researched and found it wasn’t.

    You said volcanic activity was increasing, I researched and found it wasn’t either.

    I’m sorry if you didn’t like my answers, but that was what I found. I’m not trying to score points or “win” – just have a discussion that illuminates, educates and entertains.

    Let’s recap so we can evaluate, what did we learn? actually we did not manage to learn or accomplish anything of value.

    Personally I’ve learnt a fair and enjoyed the thread. Sorry if you didn’t. 🙁

    kaesae
    Free Member

    Perhaps you are correct Grahams, however it is not hard to prove anything these days and wikipedia will simply say what ever is popular.

    How about if we start off with something simple, say for example sunspots?

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sunspot

    Can we learn anything about our solar system or the weather patterns on this planet from sun spots or can we at least rule them out as being important to any research relative to weather patterns?

    nealglover
    Free Member

    Perhaps you are correct Grahams, however it is not hard to prove anything these days and wikipedia will simply say what ever is popular.

    And yet you seem to find it impossible to prove any of the theories you have been coming up with ??

    Wierd that isn’t it ?

    kaesae
    Free Member

    You are correct Nealglover and I pronounce you the winner!

    Did you bother to read about Sun spots and can you tell me if a low or break in sun spot activity is generally followed by a high?

    GrahamS
    Full Member

    it is not hard to prove anything these days and wikipedia will simply say what ever is popular.

    That’s why I gave you links to folk like the British Geological Survey, US Geological Survey, Smithsonian Institute, Berkeley, and The Royal Society.

    Wiki is actually a good place to start, but only if you follow the citations and check the sources.

    How about if we start off with something simple, say for example sunspots?

    How about we clear up your “several world flood” theory before we start on another one?
    When were these floods? Are you talking about early Earth before there was life on it or something more recent?

    (actually I’m off to bed but I’ll be interested to hear what you say tomorrow)

    loum
    Free Member

    Don’t know whether this is relevant, but its’s weather related so I’ll post it here anyway and see if there’s any answer.
    It’s fairly widely accepted that cloud seeding, or weather engineering, were part of the Beijing Olympics delivery plan, but does anyone know if it was used or considered for the London games.
    I’d reckon that the technology would have been available, at least as a sub-contracted service. And every other threat seems to have been taken seriously. Until August, we were having a very wet summer, but then it seemed to brighten up significantly in the East London area whilst unexpected downpours broke out in surrounding locations.
    I also don’t know what the legal implications would be if it was later shown that manipulated weather had impacted crops or other economic factors? Would the insurance industry be exempt from pay outs if there was shown to be unnatural causes?

    http://www.technologyreview.com/news/409794/weather-engineering-in-china/

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cloud_seeding

    Junkyard
    Free Member

    Can we learn anything about our solar system or the weather patterns on this planet from sun spots or can we at least rule them out as being important to any research relative to weather patterns?

    yes we can learn that they can affect weather and climate but currently they are not the cause of any oberved change

    You have been told this before

    it is hard to debate with someone who says outlandish stuff, presents no evidence, explains the theory in very vague terms and then dismisses any fact as it simply being not hard to prove anything these days
    Here I go again

    http://www.skepticalscience.com/solar-activity-sunspots-global-warming.htm


    Figure 1: Reconstructed cosmic radiation (solid line before 1952) and directly observed cosmic radiation (solid line after 1952) compared to global temperature (dotted line). All curves have been smoothed by an 11 year running mean (Krivova 2003).
    http://www.skepticalscience.com/cosmic-rays-and-global-warming.htm

    the top figure compares temperature to solar cycles. The bottom figure plots the difference between temperature and solar cycle length, showing a strong divergence in the mid 1970s (Lassen 1999).

    Did you bother to read about Sun spots and can you tell me if a low or break in sun spot activity is generally followed by a high?

    you seem to be saying something vague about sun spots then asking us to educate you about them. It is clear you allready have a view.
    In a debate what happens is you present your case /view and give some evidence and we debate it. you dont ask us to evidence your ill defined view

    answer to your question is here

Viewing 40 posts - 121 through 160 (of 397 total)

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