Edinburgh Cycles have now replied to the first question I asked via the website, avoided the question slightly but said they would fit. Ordered some. Then I get a second email from them, as I had also emailed them directly. That one says they won’t fit.
The nuts are 3/8th, they say the Alfine hub has a 10mm axle (3/8th converts to 9.5mm) The Shimano tech docs apparently say the axle is 10mm but they describe the cap nuts as 3/8th. I’ve seen it mentioned that the correct nuts are 10-1 metric, I think 1 is the thread pitch.
So, votes on whether they will fit when I get them, and whether they will strip shortly afterwards due the potential for being out of tolerance (i.e the wrong size)