Chat Forum
21.1 K
Posts
558
Users
8628
Reactions
100 K
Views
Iran has a presence in Syria too
Posted : 10/03/2023 8:11 am
Topic starter
https://twitter.com/ChrisO_wiki/status/1634303481036042242?t=piEsms5UwWhwkiqjDY994g&s=19
Interesting thread about the state of the Russian mobiks
Posted : 11/03/2023 9:38 am
Posted : 12/03/2023 11:41 pm
This fits with what a lot of military analysts have been saying - Ukraine is degrading Russian forces in preparation for a new offensive.
https://twitter.com/PhillipsPOBrien/status/1634664027530964992
https://twitter.com/PhillipsPOBrien/status/1634664032467660800
https://twitter.com/PhillipsPOBrien/status/1634937651496370177
Posted : 13/03/2023 8:45 am
Ukraine is degrading Russian forces in preparation for a new offensive
ISW assessments suggest that the Russian MOD "is likely seizing the opportunity to deliberately expend both elite and convict Wagner forces in Bakhmut in an effort to weaken Prigozhin and derail his ambitions for greater influence in the Kremlin. The Russian MoD had been increasingly restricting Prigozhin’s ability to recruit convicts and secure ammunition, forcing Prigozhin to publicly recognize his dependency on the Russian MoD."
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/ukraine-conflict-updates
Ukraine is being helped by multiple Russian internal power struggles, you couldn't make it up. This has lasted for months with various changes of leadership: currently Valery Gerasimov, Sergei Surovikin before him, who succeeded Alexander Dvornikov...
Ukraine can afford to let Russia implode while continuing their fight
Posted : 13/03/2023 9:21 am
It is surprising Prigozhin hasn't fallen out of a window if its true he is looking to replace Putin.
Posted : 13/03/2023 10:55 am
Perun has released a new video looking at the economic war.
Really interesting one this.
Posted : 13/03/2023 11:56 am
Topic starter
Posted : 14/03/2023 5:05 pm
It is surprising Prigozhin hasn’t fallen out of a window if its true he is looking to replace Putin.
Well that would be nice, preferably one sitting above some pointy jaggy railings.
Posted : 14/03/2023 5:28 pm
US drone just hit a Russian plane in the black sea. Or visa versa.
Posted : 14/03/2023 6:05 pm
US drone just hit a Russian plane in the black sea. Or visa versa.
Source?
Posted : 14/03/2023 6:13 pm
Ignore me, BBC reporting it now.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-64957792
Posted : 14/03/2023 6:14 pm
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-64957792a href="https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-64957792">
Posted : 14/03/2023 6:15 pm
The drone was apparently in international airspace when it "collided" with a reported Su-27. I wonder if Washington will send Russia the bill?
Meanwhile, Russia is reportedly sending women prisoners to Ukraine.
Posted : 14/03/2023 6:38 pm
Hit as in shot down, or hit as in crashed into?
Doh, ignore me "Russian jet collides with"...
Posted : 14/03/2023 6:49 pm
Posted : 14/03/2023 7:15 pm
Hit after repeatedly having fuel dumped on it in a "reckless, environmentally unsound and unprofessional manner"
Posted : 14/03/2023 7:16 pm
Posted : 14/03/2023 7:17 pm
Dumping fuel to try and set it on fire? That it would ignite itself on the Reaper's engine, or use the fighter's afterburner to ignite a trail of fuel?
Posted : 14/03/2023 10:09 pm
Iran has a presence in Syria too
Iran has a presence in many countries it shouldn't.
Spent time on night aviation patrols chasing IRG back across the border in Iraq while they were trying to ferry arms to Insurgents.
Sadly dropping a JDAM on them was a hard pass by brigade.
Geopolitics is a funny old game.
Posted : 15/03/2023 12:04 am
Christ, this is grim.
https://twitter.com/joncoopertweets/status/1635413746679160832
Posted : 15/03/2023 12:04 am
🙁
Posted : 15/03/2023 9:31 am
Looks like putin just needs to keep going till the US elections. 300 000 mobilized at 1000 a day. That should work. Grim.
Posted : 15/03/2023 9:41 am
Since Surging Lavatory is spouting on in my twitter feed about Russiaphobia, an interesting read as a presentation to the unsc.
https://snyder.substack.com/p/playing-the-victim?utm_source=twitter&utm_campaign=auto_share
Posted : 15/03/2023 9:48 am
Christ, this is grim
Apparently a base with lots of RU troops was hit by himars in Krasnyi, Luhansk
Posted : 15/03/2023 10:10 am
@rickmeister - Thanks. Interesting and powerful, especially his Response to the Russian questioning his validity and requesting sources.
Posted : 15/03/2023 10:15 am
Are the Russians happy with the strategy? Let Ukraine exhaust itself, there are always more grunts to chuck at it? Plus all the dead can now be celebrated as martyrs of mother russia? Bet with so much russian blood that the populace HAVE to back it?
Dunno, it'd be classic Putin double think.
Posted : 15/03/2023 10:20 am
Dunno, it’d be classic Putin double think.
The idea that Putin is a strategic mastermind just doesn't hold up to any scrutiny. He blundered into a war that his army was not equipped to fight. He thought he had an army to rival NATO, but that was just a delusion. Russia seems to be fixated on capturing territory, regardless of its strategic value. They've squandered tens of thousands of soldiers and equipment for a few square kilometers of territory that has no real value. There's no real thinking, let alone double thinking, behind it. It's just Putin demanding that his generals show that their army is capturing territory, regardless of the cost involved.
Posted : 15/03/2023 11:00 am
Thats not what I'm saying, by any objective measure its a catastrophe but it might suit Putin. He'd prefer a straightforward victpry but a great patriotic sacrifice might be 2nd best - as long as at some point he wins
Posted : 15/03/2023 1:16 pm
Are the Russians happy with the strategy?
Doesn't matter. Russia is an autocratic dictatorship. The only person that needs to be content is Putin. As long as he's happy then the war will go on. He could declare that "The war is over, we won, everything is great now" and the Russian media would report that. Doesn't have to be true or false.
What Russian citizens want here is immaterial
Posted : 15/03/2023 1:25 pm
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/av/world-us-canada-64974825
Footage of the drone getting a golden shower. maybe they think all US things like being peed on from above
Posted : 16/03/2023 12:11 pm
Blimey...
Posted : 16/03/2023 12:17 pm
difficult for the pro putin us right wingers to spin that 😀 !
Posted : 16/03/2023 12:25 pm
matt_outandabout and Poopscoop reacted
If watch the second attempt the prop is bent as well so more than 2 attempts?
Not accounting shutter speed ect. those cameras look fantastic on that drone.
Posted : 16/03/2023 12:30 pm
maybe the drones need to be fitted with a small charge that goes off if nudged. amazing this sort of thing seems to be fairly routine....seems highly likely to mess up...
Posted : 16/03/2023 12:33 pm
Klunk
Free Member
difficult for the pro putin us right wingers to spin that 😀 !
Rubbish!
The glorious Russian pilot was simply attempting to refuel the drone as it was perilously low on fuel.
Posted : 16/03/2023 12:41 pm
The pro Putin republicans will ignore it and then airbrush it from history. This is happening already with J6.
Posted : 16/03/2023 12:58 pm
maybe the drones need to be fitted with a small charge that goes off if nudged. amazing this sort of thing seems to be fairly routine….seems highly likely to mess up…
Apparently they have a 'wipe all software' mode and can be deliberately crashed hard - damaging it beyond much use.
Am I also right in saying that a Predator is pretty 'old' all things relative, therefore unlikely to be that much secret or latest tech on board?
Posted : 16/03/2023 1:30 pm
For the Flanker to have hit the prop, it almost certainly hit the Y-tail too. The prop is substantially smaller than the tail. This might also explain why they had to bring it down. A damaged prop and it will glide for a good long while with that wingspan, but with stability affected, maybe not.
Posted : 16/03/2023 1:33 pm
Its not a Predator, it's a Reaper - It's MUCH bigger, with far more payload and is usually armed. Reapers are hunter killers, Predators are ISR. Which begs the question, why was there a Reaper over the Black Sea?
Posted : 16/03/2023 1:35 pm
Which begs the question, why was there a Reaper over the Black Sea?
Training mission over international waters. Nothing to see. 😉
Posted : 16/03/2023 1:40 pm
Its not a Predator, it’s a Reaper – It’s MUCH bigger, with far more payload and is usually armed. Reapers are hunter killers, Predators are ISR. Which begs the question, why was there a Reaper over the Black Sea?
Reaper is ISR capable, think the US retired their Predators a while back, so not that unusual, they'll just be doing basic recce, as they're cheaper to operate and have longer duration.
They're old tech though, doubt the US care about finding it, they've already got the next generation coming in with Protector.
Posted : 16/03/2023 1:53 pm
The aircraft and avionics will be older tech, but I'd bet the sensors and signals equipment still has secrets they'd like to keep.
Posted : 16/03/2023 2:06 pm
Reaper is ISR capable,
Very true and the video clearly shows there's nothing on the inner hardpoints, which is usually where the guided munitions are attached.
Posted : 16/03/2023 2:08 pm
So it had already fired its weapons
Posted : 16/03/2023 2:17 pm
If it was deliberate, it begs the question why the Russians would risk downing a fighter jet to take a drone out... in interntional air-space aswell... presumably the jet is a lot more expensive?
So it had already fired its weapons
Could have been on a recon or test flight if unlaiden?
Posted : 16/03/2023 2:27 pm
Reaper in an ISR role wouldn't be fitted with weapons, so all stanchions would be empty, unless it's utilising an ISR payload on one.
Reaper is used everywhere, the US use them as part of their border force, they don't have to have weapons fitted, especially when it's flying over water and tends to only have Air to Ground munitions.
Posted : 16/03/2023 2:34 pm
why was there a Reaper over the Black Sea?
Surveillance obviously. Looking at the Russians, and probably the Turkish as well. Or anyone else the US feels they need info on.
In international waters all large countries with such facilities use the 'law' to spy on each other, though it would be funny the furore it would cause, if China for example did the same think around the Hawaiian islands, or off the west coast of the United States.
The US would class and report that as a provocation. Fox news phone lines would probably go into meltdown.
Posted : 16/03/2023 2:44 pm
If it was deliberate, it begs the question why the Russians would risk downing a fighter jet to take a drone out… in interntional air-space aswell… presumably the jet is a lot more expensive?
They could have downed it with cannon fire or a missile without any risk to the jet. The collision only happened because the pilot was dicking around and cocked up.
Posted : 16/03/2023 2:46 pm
