LOL at Northwind. An accurate summary.
Use of those terms is a very handy indicator of the users personality.
As a matter of interest, what happened to that whole "sorting North Korea out" thing?
He sent "an armada. Very powerful."
Yuge in fact. Bigly.
Except he didn't. That was just something he saw on Fox News.
And what is happening with the Wall ?
Sounds like an interesting week coming up:
Trumps tax plan being unveiled on wed - it'll be interesting to see which disproportionately benefit trumps businesses.
And I think they are due to start negotiating the budget, risking the (always entertaining) government shutdown. Sounds like the biggest controversy is the money that trump wants for his wall.
Interesting times.
Well, with the dropping of the bomb (a very big bomb, bigly huge bomb) meaning the plan to destroy ISIS is complete, I expect he can get on with the wall now.
Anyway it will be beautiful. A bit like that chocolate cake.
Sounds like the biggest controversy is the money that trump wants for his wall.
butbutbut isn't Mexico paying for the wall? or hedge, or whatever it turns out to be
Jeez Ninfan, when chewy is yet best threadbuddy, it's mibbe time reassess....
Hmm, turns out Trump tweeting on Earth Day didn't go so well for him:
[url= http://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/855859245023211520 ]DT-say-Earth-is-beautiful[/url]
What a two faced twonk........
Angela Merkel reportedly had to explain the 'fundamentals' of EU trade to Trump 11 times
http://uk.businessinsider.com/trump-trade-merkel-germany-eu-2017-4
[quote=maxtorque ]Hmm, turns out Trump tweeting on Earth Day didn't go so well for him:
DT-say-Earth-is-beautiful
What a two faced twonk........
Lots of erudite replies on there, but my favourite is this brief somethingion:
https://twitter.com/joepabike/status/855859747727323138
GrahamS - MemberExcept he didn't. That was just something he saw on Fox News.
Trump fatigue's a sad thing tbh- this should be the stuff of legend, instead we're all just "meh". What a waste.
I think a competent Trump, one who actually managed to enact every horrible policy idea he has, would be terrible. It's becoming increasingly clear that here's a neutered moron in the hotseat. Just keep him away from the [url= http://www.thedailymash.co.uk/news/international/trump-has-already-pressed-fake-nuclear-button-cia-gave-him-over-a-dozen-times-20170126120990 ]real red button[/url].
I'd imagine they've given him the garage door remote and told him it's the red button.
So long as they get Fox to report the "nuclear strike" he'd never know
So long as they get Fox to report the "nuclear strike" he'd never know
A transcript of an Oval Office interview Friday with President Donald Trump by AP White House Correspondent Julie Pace. Where the audio recording of the interview is unclear, ellipses or a notation that the recording was unintelligible are used.
https://apnews.com/c810d7de280a47e88848b0ac74690c83
Classic Trump waffle or he's in early stage Dementia
"TRUMP: And the media, some of them get it, in all fairness. But you know some of them either don't get it, in which case they're very stupid people, or they just don't want to say it. You know because of a couple of them said, "He didn't call them a currency manipulator." Well, for two reasons. Number One, he's not, since my time. You know, very specific formula. You would think it's like generalities, it's not. They have — they've actually — their currency's gone up. So it's a very, very specific formula. And I said, "How badly have they been," ... they said, "Since you got to office they have not manipulated their currency." That's Number One, but much more important, they are working with us on North Korea. Now maybe that'll work out or maybe it won't. Can you imagine? ..."
From same transcript:
AP: Can I ask you, over your first 100 days — you're not quite there yet — how do you feel like the office has changed you?DRUMPF: Well the one thing I would say — and I say this to people — I never realized how big it was. Everything's so (unintelligible) like, you know the orders are so massive. I was talking to —
Who knew running the US could be such a big job? 🙂
you're not quite there yet
Excellent summary of Trump 😀
[url= http://www.newyorker.com/humor/borowitz-report/obamas-barrage-of-complete-sentences-seen-as-brutal-attack-on-trump?mbid=social_twitter ]Obama’s Barrage of Complete Sentences Seen as Brutal Attack on Trump[/url]
Getting a bit real over north k.
I saw this on the BBC and thought you should see it:
North Korea nuclear: White House calls Senate to briefing - http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-39694640
Im liking MTVs work
And Trump reportedly doesn’t use email, for which his staff and children must be grateful — can you imagine what kind of Snopes-baiting wastelands of “fwd:fwd:fwd” chain emails and nutritional supplement spam their inboxes would be otherwise?
but a good article, doesnt quite diagnose him with NPD, tho
http://www.mtv.com/news/2991623/trumps-me-me-media/
Goto BBC iPlayer to watch Jeremy Paxman on Panorama - Trump's First 100 Days.
😆
Trumps first 100 days on Panorama BBC1 now, not holding out much hope for it changing my mind regarding him and those who voted for him
There is no need to change others' minds if the people who have voted for President Trump continues to vote for him. 😆somafunk - Member
Trumps first 100 days on Panorama BBC1 now, not holding out much hope for it changing my mind regarding him and those who voted for him
The core might, the interviews where they believe being shat upon is for the good of the nation might continue for a bit but when he fails to deliver a wall or jobs they will turn fast. Note no plans for jobs yet just monster tax cuts coming and possibly his own party forcing a government shut down.
Special times.
mikewsmith - Member
The core might, ....
There is always hope ... after 8 years. 😆
Approval rating at record lows and some core voters already annoyed that he has bailed on repealing Obamacare, Chinese currency manipulation, and prosecuting Clinton, all while spending more time on the golf course than he criticised Obama for.
How he handles the spending bill will be interesting.
Approval rating at record lows
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/trump_administration/prez_track_apr24
At 51%, up from a low of around 41% a few weeks ago. That's not a record low, it's rising.
Gallup polls have have him at 40% and another site which takes an average of all the polls has him on 41.8%. so record low would be an accurate description.
Rasmussen is a bit of an outlier. Other polls still have him around the 41% mark at the moment.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-approval-ratings/
That's not a record low, it's rising.
No that is being incredibly selective of your evidence to support your view points Sean.
Rasmussen polls registered voters. Gallup polls people of voting age, so interesting, but ultimately not as useful.
No that is being incredibly selective of your evidence to support your view points Sean.
Very droll. My name isn't Sean though. I guess that's just some more #fakenews.
It's the only poll that goes higher of a wide selection I believe, if you have a look at the 538 link you will see by how much and how strange it would be to pick that one and ignore all the rest unless you wanted something to support what all the others didn't show. Sean just being a name that reminds me of somebody who would cherry pick evidence
Sean just being a name that reminds me of somebody who would cherry pick evidence
FFS mike, you're just trying to spice up your argument there.
Well played DD and the hour is still so early.
remember that most polls also predicted he would lose. Only the 'outliers' got it right. We are in danger of only seeing what we want toRasmussen is a bit of an outlier
Few things
At 51%, up from a low of around 41% a few weeks ago. That's not a record low, it's rising.
The lowest on the chart I'm seeing is 42% a month ago, Rasmussen appears to also be consistently higher than most others and the general trend. The averages have him up from 39.8 to 41.8, not really a trend overall. The advantage of multiple is it helps with the extremes.
Also check out the bias levels/confidence in different polls methods and objectives
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/
remember that most polls also predicted he would lose. Only the 'outliers' got it right. We are in danger of only seeing what we want to
Different questions though. the 538 analysis was actually 75/25% to Clinton, in a 2 horse race that is still very close, the impact of the late FBI stuff did move people at the end.
Also he lost the popular vote ie less people actually voted for him which the polls did reflect, in the end it was down to about 300k votes across 3-4 states so that is certainly in the margin of error.
If you look at the overall picture his support or who voted red was less than 50% of voters. A significant number will have voted for party not him so they can easily come out of the approval. Add in his failures so far in terms of policy and delivery and the numbers are actually very believable. Numbers over 50% seem very unlikely given the record so far.
Hmmm, I'm pretty sure those 538 charlatans predicted a Clinton win, and yet here we are with Trump as President.
[s]Also he lost the popular vote ie less people actually voted for him which the polls did reflect, in the end it was down to about 300k votes across 3-4 states so that is certainly in the margin of error.[/s]Blah blah blah Called it wrong
Add in his failures so far in terms of policy
Failures? Strong stock market since his election, Chinese currency has strengthened, and the Chinese are once again engaged with the North Korean problem. And started looking at the vexed question of offshoring, completely ignored by Obama.
Blah blah blah Called it wrong
Yep, you can't be bothered to read the methodology and the principles behind the analysis. Sums up your stats analysis there. Read some if it you might learn something
Failures:
Repeal Obamacare on day 1
Build a wall
Fix ISIS
Muslim Ban can't even pass a watered down version
Upcoming tax and spending issues.
Just read the AP transcript
Yep, you can't be bothered to read the methodology and the principles behind the analysis. Sums up your stats analysis there. Read some if it you might learn something
I've read it, but heh, if you want to play the man rather than the ball, then go right ahead.
What do you think of their weighting and aggregation? They forecast a clinton win but not at 100%, he always said it was possible for Trump to win, there were some errors but at least he never picked the highest approval rating of them all to try and prove something.
What do you think of their weighting and aggregation?
Well, reading that 538 background detail makes me suspect that...they know only slightly more about statistics than I do.
I think I know enough to know that I shouldn't be trusted with stats; I suspect they've reached the level of a little knowledge being dangerous thing.
.they know only slightly more about statistics than I do.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nate_Silver
Your background?
I spend enough time looking at stats to follow but these guys know what they are doing more than most.
