Swindon North’s a beauty. I don’t know the outgoing tory but he looks like skeletor. Another 60% majority gone and another 10000 right wing voters who’ve rejected both tory and reform and not voted. it’d probably have still gone blue without reform, but again the collapse isn’t just about splitting, far from it. Labour only up 1500 but that’s enough. Not a seat I’d ever even heard of before but it looks like a bit of tactical voting as the lib dems have lost a bit.
That’s I think 3, maybe 4 seats where the tory/reform split has handed it to Labour but also where there’s this entire separate thing. Another way to look at it in this seat is that more previous tory voters have just not voted than have defected to Reform. That’s pretty complicated, it’s a strategic nightmare for a thinking tory- who do you chase, the nonvoter or the reformer?
If these keep coming it speaks of a massive rejection of Shitebag Rightwingerism, people who won’t vote for anyone but the tories and certainly not reform but who won’t vote for these tories even in the face of armageddon. They might just be outliers of course but it’ll be interesting both to see if it keeps happen, and if it ends up part of the dialogue at all, it’s going to be easy to miss or spin around just with the sheer volume.