One of the things which makes me curious about the BBC poll is that they’re predicting a second Green seat which hasn’t been predicted by anything else I’ve seen.

YouGov:-
Con 284
Lab 263
LD 31
SNP 48
UKIP 2
PC 3
Green 1

Much more palatable and likely! 🙂

DUP will enter into confidence and supply, no ambition to be in coalition.

allthepies – Member

Chewy

In early 2015 Robinson underwent surgery to remove a bronchial carcinoid tumour; he returned to work at the BBC on 13 April.[/quote]

Bloody hell I did not know that … 😮

I always enjoy his political analysis and I hope he will recover his voice.

😯

Off to bed as on earlies tomorow ( just me policing an area of 35000 people). Hoping for a small miracle overnight and I might get a colleague in a few months 🙁

In 97 Labour won 362 seats in England and Wales, with 330 required for a majority (fairly sure that happened in other recent elections as well, but just checked the most obvious).

Edit: 357 in England in Wales in 2001

UKIP seem to be 3rd in many seat by seat predictions.
That’s scary, glad we don’t have PR

Good news there aracer

Wasn’t looking forward to a permanent Tory state. 🙁

Peter Kellner picks the ball up now!!!

Haven’t heard beeb mention yougov poll, where is that data ?

Dude from YouGov on now… he seems calm enough.

beer anyone?

I’ve gone straight to gin, these are dark times…

I’m wondering how the popular vote will stack up given the peculiarities of the FPTP

It’s the Marr puppet, oh that’s brighten my mood.

Hmmm. Why didn’t he mention his own poll then?

I wouldn’t rely on it too much, things have changed since 2001 (they didn’t manage it without Scotland in 2005 – though they’d have had enough for a coalition with the Lib Dems), but the numbers certainly aren’t impossible for them given a more popular leader and better campaign.

In any case the fundamental way politics works in this country tends to prevent one party holding power permanently – see mid 90s when Tories got complacent and started arguing amongst themselves whilst Labour stole their ground.

Kellner and Ashdown seem pretty happy that the poll is wrong to me.

yougov sample 6,000 exit poll 22,000

booze update: my gin is much better with lemonade than with tonic. WEIRD!

But will Al Murray beat Farage?!?

I’m so unbelievably disappointed in the in the public if that exit poll is true.

Harriet seemed far too willing to accept the exit poll. She seemed to give it a ton of credence.

Sounds like the Tories are taking it pretty seriously too.

I guess they ought to know, but it seems a bit premature to me.

Calmed down a little now that Gove’s gone. Am currently drinking LBV Port, lime infused tonic, ice… quaff-tastic.

YouGov has not done an exit poll. A re-contact survey today simply gave us no reason to change our final numbers from yesterday.

But will Al Murray beat Farage?!?

Please god yes!!!

@jaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaam

My gin is in 3 measures mixed with 1 of vodka and 1/2 of lillet, shaken with a thin slice of lemon… given the exit poll… not strong enough.

I presume the major parties have been taking their own exit polls and that the BBC one generally agrees with theirs.

6-2, 2-6, 6-0

My gin is in 3 measures mixed with 1 of vodka and 1/2 of lillet, shaken with a thin slice of lemon… given the exit poll… not strong enough.

mine’s 50/50 gin/lemonade, no mucking about. It’s pretty good gin tho

UKIP bloke is saying exit polls are wrong. Given my usual criteria for credence of anything UKIP say, that pretty much settles it for me.

Electoral Calculus Exit Poll: CON = 280, LAB = 274, LIB DEM = 21, SNP = 52.

i really don’t get the ukips, their whole thing is akin to shitting in your own bed

Maybe, just maybe the Scottish wipeout + a tory ‘win’ will force Labour to start listening to the core vote it has abandoned?

Given up, now watching C4 – marginally funnier.

What core vote?

I’m guessing he’s on about the working classes, matey.

rogerthecat – Member
Given up, now watching C4 – marginally funnier.

david mitchell should not have a beard and i say this as a long time beard haver and advocate

Labour hold oop North somewheres

Her speech sounds a little like the Oscars’ best cinematography award. “I’d like to thank my agent…” 😯

Monkey wearing a red rosette territory though.

Why were the police needed to ensure a peaceful count???

What’s been going on?

That is actually an interesting result I think.

Crikey … Sunderland has gone red army by 21,218 with UKIP in 2nd and Tories 3rd …

Bloody hell Sunderland are you waiting for hand outs?

7% swing to UKIP from Labour in Sunderland. *sigh*