I’m not pleased, clearly. And I’m not optimistic. But it’s not a done deal yet.
I don’t see it as inconceivable, in fact not even unlikely that Italy will win both their games. So Uruguay will end on 3 points and a goal difference of at best -2 (currently -1 and will get worse). Our current gd is -2 so if we beat Costa Rica we de facto improve that and therefore will be better than Uruguay.
So for Costa Rica. If they lose to Italy tomorrow even 1-0, they’ll be on 3 pts and gd +1. If we then beat them on Tuesday, by 2 goals, our gd will increase to zero and theirs drops to -1, and we’d qualify.
Like I said, these are not impossible outcomes, and I could even imagine Italy beating them by more. As long as it’s not 6-4 or something daft!!!
It’s not in our hands, clearly, but we aren’t out.