News coming through now that the RA is fleeing Kreminna. Kreminna sits due East of Lyman and was the supposed mustering point for RA out of Lyman.
It is another important objective as it controls the P66 highway South from Svatova (key, key logistics hub) that supplies RF forces in Severodonetsk. It also allows the UA to attack Severodonetsk from the North, completely flanking any defensive positions that RF 'might' have developed against any assaults from the South.
I'd suggest the RA is not far off a rabble now. If UA can keep this up they'll take a swathe of territory that will make the Kharkiv offensive look like small beer.
And they're still hitting Crimea because why not.
Interesting to see when Kherson cracks. Tens of thousands of RA troops - and all their gear - pretty much trapped on the wrong side of the river..
does anyone have a link to a map of the current situation, or where I can find the latest?
does anyone have a link to a map of the current situation, or where I can find the latest?
There are lots of maps on Twitter, some more credible than others. I find the ISW ones the best. This thread has some, but if you look at their feed there are lots more which are regularly updated.
https://twitter.com/TheStudyofWar/status/1576017995452784643?s=20&t=Y6_JXKVrkXMat911Usbi3A
Try these.
https://www.scribblemaps.com/maps/view/The%20War%20in%20Ukraine/091194
https://twitter.com/War_Mapper
https://twitter.com/WarMonitor3
Another one to look at, albeit with pinches of salt to hand
https://twitter.com/DefMon3?t=DYsbijnt6mwXvCAEVMgwdA&s=09
Searching for #Rybar will bring up copies of pro Russian maps.
Whilst i was there
https://twitter.com/DefMon3/status/1576223563656617984?t=9jCy-J92ZqMKigi8IG1-nQ&s=19
does anyone have a link to a map of the current situation, or where I can find the latest?
This one gets updated more or less in real time
https://deepstatemap.live/en#10.5/49.0177/38.1744
It’s definitely a rabbit hole!!!
Whilst i was there
Very strange! No-one seems to know what is going on there
Winners are grinners.
https://twitter.com/DefenceU/status/1576248108690079745
^^^^^Thats the official UA twitter feed, and they enjoy baiting the Russians!
Eloquently put by Mr Wallace/MOD.
https://www.gov.uk/government/news/an-article-by-the-defence-secretary-on-the-situation-in-ukraine
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Sky interview with one of the prisoner swapped survivors from Azovstal.
Another grim account.
^^ Terrible read and I suspect far worse will be revealed in time.
I just don't see Ukraine ever giving up the fight, whatever form it takes.
This is worth a read as it's not just about the UA resisting Putin.
These people will just never be beaten.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-63037713
Eloquently put by Mr Wallace/MOD.
I'm pretty sure that article was not written by the eegit that said Putin had gone "full Tonto" and that "we kicked their backsides in the Crimea" and we'll do it again.
“There are no checks on Mr. Putin. Just as he made the irresponsible decision to invade Ukraine, you know, he could make another decision. But I don’t see anything right now that would lead me to believe that he has made such a decision.”Austin told Zakaria that he has privately conveyed to his Russian counterpart, Russian Minister of Defense Sergei Shoigu, not to “go down this path and conduct this type of irresponsible behavior.” Austin said he has not talked to Shoigo in “recent days” but said other members of US government leadership have conveyed similar messages to Russia “recently.”
Never thought id be posting thay on a Cycling forum.
In response to UKR taking Lyman, Ramzan Kadyrov, leader of the Chechen Republic, said on Telegram, "In my personal opinion, more drastic measures should be taken, right up to the declaration of martial law in the border areas and the use of low-yield nuclear weapons"
Kadyrov is well-known to Human Rights Watch, the UN, etc and as the leader of a federal republic of Russia is an ally rather than a major influencer. Analysts have suggested that the presence of Chechen forces is more psychological than militarily useful in Ukraine
In all sorts of ways Lyman is psychologically and strategically important to both sides and is a natural precursor to Kreminna and Sievierodonetsk in the Luhansk Oblast of the Donbas region
The pilots amongst you might be interested to know that Russia has failed to secure enough votes to stay on the International Civil Aviation Organization governing council.
They were voted off for seizing aircraft leased to Russian airlines, dual registration of those aircraft and bombing airports
They were voted off for seizing aircraft leased to Russian airlines, dual registration of those aircraft and bombing airports
Sounds reasonable to me!
Have they been voted off the UN council yet?
Have they been voted off the UN council yet?
They were suspended from the Human Rights council in April and ICAO is a UN agency, so maybe that's a start.
As of a couple of days ago they were merrily using their veto to stop a motion that its referenda in "their" Ukrainian territory was illegal and invalid. The UN finally worked out a way around this in April, so the veto will be voted on https://news.un.org/en/story/2022/04/1116982
For a more permanent solution there's a guide here..,. https://cepa.org/article/expelling-russia-from-the-un-security-council-a-how-to-guide/
This movie has all the makings of a cult classic.
https://twitter.com/ItsArtoir/status/1576333553130164225
I knew Ron Jeremy was an absolute douche but to see him in that first pic with a swastika drawn on by a sharpie was a surprise
I knew Ron Jeremy was an absolute douche but to see him in that first pic with a swastika drawn on by a sharpie was a surprise
Those 'tattoos'... really...lol
They were voted off for seizing aircraft leased to Russian airlines, dual registration of those aircraft and bombing airports
What was the reaction when Russia shot down a civil airliner full of people?
What was the reaction when Russia shot down a civil airliner full of people?
TLDR: Nothing yet
The case was handed to a Dutch team who in 2015 proposed an international tribunal. Jaw-droppingly, Russia vetoed the UN resolution for the prosecution tribunal. It's worth noting at this point that the UN has had resolutions vetoed 266 times since 1946, 122 by the USSR/Russia and the balance of 144 by the other four permanent members
The Dutch team charged four main suspects in 2019 to appear at the European Court of Human Rights, one was Igor Girkin/Strelkov whose name has popped up on this thread a few times.
Russia has a policy of not extraditing Russian citizens and the ECHR is expected to give a verdict on the murder charges this year in their absence
https://twitter.com/wartranslated/status/1576511810986983424?s=20
Hopefully that happens as claimed
Seems to be on Tass too https://tass.com/world/1516589
What was the reaction when Russia shot down a civil airliner full of people?
Russia were able to muddy the water just enough and because they controlled the area where all the evidence was they were able to obstruct the investigation just long enough for the global conversation to move on.
Not that they're not guilty as sin though, I'd recommend the Bellingcat podcast series on the downing of flight MH17 if you want to see the depths of cynicism the Russians were prepared to go to regarding it.
Hopefully that happens as claimed
This was announced by Chancellor Scholtz on 1st June. One unit to be delivered per Twitter and three more to follow
https://twitter.com/PigLazer/status/1576623151718739969?t=3Vh5HHNujimhB8EGAGtePw&s=19
No, I dont know for sure. Theres a few outlandish rumours seemingly kicking about.
Lots of sources suggesting the Northern end of the Kherson front line (The bit west of the Dniepr River) has be3n smashed & pushed back 30km today.
Fingers crossed it's true!
https://twitter.com/Tendar/status/1576602192990961664?t=UPl0llu1L2y25a09CNrmEQ&s=19
Any "dramatic actions" in Kherson at the moment seem to be based principally on a twitter hashtag, some maps and nothing else.
Got to be treated with a bit of scepticism for now as ISW, MOD and others are quiet on this. ISW's analysis, which tends to be calm and dispassionate has been suggesting that there won't be much change in Kherson Oblast for a while. UAF are operationally silent on anything in this area (their forces in this area aren't using social media very much at the moment, if at all) , RA aren't saying much either which points to a difficult, complex and costly battle/series of battles going on across a wide area.
Basically it's a case of wait and see.
Once again the 'good news' of progress is, for me, about possibly seeing this all end sooner than Pootin would want. Less lives lost or lives ruined.
Sadly with such rapid progress is that fear of Russian's leaving scorched earth behind.
https://twitter.com/Caucasuswar/status/1576651408262111234?t=wjx_10_8-bO8wgajDA6vww&s=19
Some of the claims are getting bigger, thats just ludicrous.
Any “dramatic actions” in Kherson at the moment seem to be based principally on a twitter hashtag, some maps and nothing else.
Quite a few seem to rely on Russian channels, not that means its any more reliable.
ISW does the same tbf, although with more cross checking.
But there have been times where it seems likely disinformation is put out there to unbalance the opponent.
The Russians seemed keen on scorched earth on the way in anyway. Running off with their tails between their legs probably leaves them less time to smash stuff needlessly.
Scorched earth is the Russian way of moving forwards, basically mowing down everything in front of them with artillery. Like johnny says, trickier to do when they are regrouping running for their lives, not that I'm sure they won't have a go at it but looking at the equipment and ammo supplies they've left behind in previous UKR pushes they are certainly travelling light when they go.
This whole Western Kherson salient is very flat open ground. A bit like Norfolk and The Fens.
If you had spent the last 6 weeks cutting it off from re supply, blowing up command centres and ammo dumps, probing to destroy what Armour the enemy had, and exhaust the opposition, it would be ripe territory to bring in your fresh mobile troops and smash through where you had assessed a weakness in the line………
Russia have been putting a lot more reinforcements into southern regions
More important than eastern oblasts to Putin, better access to Crimea & black sea - makes harder for Ukraine to export via sea
Just been reading in Novaya Gazeta Europe that the RA has managed to misplace 1.5m army uniforms (link here: missing kit )which, along with the fact that there are reports of new conscripts having to camp in fields as there is no space/equipment/food etc in military barracks for them will help make the mass recruitment a bit interesting...
To quote Blackadder goes forth:
Private "Bob": "Don't send me back, I want to see how war is fought, so badly"
Captain Blackadder: "well you've come to the right place. A war hasn’t been fought this badly since Olaf the Hairy, High Chief of all the Vikings, accidentally ordered 80,000 battle helmets with the horns on the inside"
Or indeed, so well. At least from the POV of the UA.
Meanwhile, interesting developments seem to be afoot in Kherson. The UA seem to be attacking down the right bank of the Dnipro river, driving a salient that may have reached as far as Dudchany which is on the road to Beryslav.
Success here would see RF forces' options to retreat across the river significantly decreased as well as creating the conditions for another potential encirclement in Northern Kherson. Could be yet another devastating setback for Putin is on the cards..
Some blunt words from another former US General/CIA Director
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/oct/02/us-russia-putin-ukraine-war-david-petraeus
The US and its allies would destroy Russia’s troops and equipment in Ukraine – as well as sink its Black Sea fleet – if Russian president Vladimir Putin uses nuclear weapons in the country, former CIA director and retired four-star army general David Petraeus warned on Sunday.
Not an "official" line
Waiting for satellite updates of that recent airfield 'accident' in Crimea
Ru claimed it was a plane leaving the runway and apparently causing a huge ammo explosion
That's a big statement. Promising to fully engage direct nato action on RF forces if a battlefield nuke is deployed. I guess it would be air assets, drones, ltg missiles and rockets as opposed to boots on the ground.
Scary stuff
