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Because I have 2 kids and I want them to live in a U.K. which isn’t in such huge debt
Serious question, why do you want us to be in debt? I remember the last time labour were in charge. They left a message saying coffers were empty, good luck! Different flavours of turd
They left a message saying coffers were empty, good luck!
Did this actually happen?
I always thought it was a Tory fabrication, to excuse what came next and blame it on someone else?
Did this actually happen?
I always thought it was a Tory fabrication, to excuse what came next and blame it on someone else?
Nope, the idiot actually wrote the note
Did this actually happen?
Yea, Liam Byrne left a note for David Laws a LibDem MP (intended to be a private joke) it said "Dear Chief Secretary, I'm afraid to tell you, there's no money left"
The left’s best hope is to shut up for the meantime and let the Labour party fight on a centrist platform and hope that he delivers something more progressive once and if he gets into office. Kind of like what’s just happened in America.
Problem is Biden was polling well above Trump for months before the election, when it came to it it was closer than predicted.
Labour sitting quietly is a huge gamble and revolves around the Tories making EVEN MORE mistakes than they have in the last year to shift voting intention.
I struggle to even imagine what the Tories would need to do to get Labour polling above them.
Serious question, why do you want us to be in debt?
Because without govt debt, there can't be a private side surplus. (they have to balance) In reality the Bank of England is just an arm of the govt, it writes it's own cheques effectively. So "govt debt" is, in reality, money we owe ourselves. To prevent inflation running away (because of excess money) we tax it out of circulation. If we didn't just conjure up money from nowhere, where do think the Tories got the nearly £400billion to help furlough all the workers?
Because I have 2 kids and I want them to live in a U.K. which isn’t in such huge debt
Serious question, why do you want us to be in debt? I remember the last time labour were in charge. They left a message saying coffers were empty, good luck! Different flavours of turd
You do realise that government finances are totally different to personal finances? I don't pretend to understand economics as it is a huge topic that even experts disagree on, but to state in such terms vastly over-simplifies things. It's what the Tories have done for the past 10 years to great effect. Labour left a note as a joke as is apparently tradition and the Tories weaponised it.
Do whatever you need to to get into power, do whatever you want once in power.
Ok cool how's that going?
Austerity is not about paying down the debt it's about reducing employees' standards of living to restore or enhance profitability. It generally goes along with deregulation in the labour market and more money and pay rises for those who are employed to crack down on the predicted protests. That's why the 'debt' has spiralled under the tories and greed and capitalism are still very much alive and well.
Despite the claim to be the party of business, all they've done is spaff money at failing businesses or just give it away to a PPE start-up chums down the pub. You'd like to think that a LOTO would erupt at least some of this rather than just 'get a grip' or 'be fair'. Johnson has got a grip, he's doing exactly what he wants, unopposed.
Serious question, why do you want us to be in debt? I remember the last time labour were in charge. They left a message saying coffers were empty, good luck! Different flavours of turd
Because a national debt rerpresents a surplus in the economy, which is then invested to create jobs and wealth and we are all better off because of it. If we pay back 'the debt' then we take money out of the economy and get recessions. The national debt is a mirage, most of it doesn't really exist as it's the government owing itself money in the form of QE, a big chunk of it is central bank reserve accounts which stops the banking system from collapsing, and the rest is savings accounts. Only a small amount is real debt which is at tiny interest rates which are easily manageable. Honestly I'm not making this up, do a bit of research and you'll find the thing you're worried about is actually beneficial to you.
https://twitter.com/RichardJMurphy/status/1340619006412288003?s=20
Nope, the idiot actually wrote the note
It's interesting isn't it, becaue he was either taking the piss (almost certainly the case), or he really is an idiot as he was chief secretary to the treasury and doesn't appear to understand how money is created or how government finances work, which would both seem to be prerequisites for the job.
It's a tradition apparently, the out going chief secretary writes a welcoming jovial note to his/her successor. The Lib/Dem/Tory govt weaponised it for their own purposes.
Do whatever you need to to get into power,
I actually agree with this despite binners' monty python fantasies. Rule no 1 is have a united party. How's that going?
If anyone's really intersted in what Keir thinks then this is a useful look under the bonnet. It would appear his instinct is for us to work more. That's all well and good but with automation accelerating and neoliberalism collapsing it's hopelessly out of date.
The left’s best hope is to shut up for the meantime and let the Labour party fight on a centrist platform and hope that he delivers something more progressive once and if he gets into office. Kind of like what’s just happened in America.
An absolutely stupid idea; you'd marginalise significant numbers of party members, supporters, activists and voters. As well as actually suppressing democracy. As I've said repeatedly; the problem with Labour isn't the 'left', it's the very small minority who make up the right wing of the party, who have the wealth and power, who are really causing the damage. If the 2017 election had been fought by a leader with perhaps a bit more public appeal than Corbyn, Labour would probably have won. It's not about the policies.
No. Labour's best hope is if it quietly moves the right wing grandees out to pasture somewhere, and gets a lot more progressive thinkers in. Offering a watered down version of what the tories do, is like having low-fat stuff; it might be a little more 'healthy', but it's insipid and appetising. Time to change the menu.
And people need to understand that the notion of where the 'centre' in British politics is, has shifted significantly. Blair dragged the party well over towards the right, enabling the tories to drag things even further right, so Starmer is now roughly around where John Major was. It's very interesting how more objective international observers saw Corbyn as much more 'centre left' than the far left wing extremist the UK media made him out to be. Whoever leads Labour, needs the skill and ideas to be able to gently steer Labour back on course. Right now, Starmer is the captain of the Ever Gullible; stuck in a narrow canal, with no room to turn round.
Rule no 1 is have a united party. How’s that going?
There's a probably a whole raft of reasons the Conservative party is often called the "the most successful political party ever" but I doubt "united party" has ever been in the top five reasons. I'd say disassociation is probably the thing they're best at.
Most elections in this country boil down to "It's time for a change" or "Lets keep going" and the Tories in every election (regardless of how long they've been in power) manage to make themselves the answer to both those questions, both at the same time the Brave Defenders of and the uppity Challengers to the status quo, always rescuing the nation from a leftist takeover that never quite seems to materialize.
You only have to look at Johnson who can (and is) all things to all men: Clown and Wartime leader, Libertarian and Authoritarian. I think the "problem" with the "left" is that we always feel the need to make people understand, to educate and I think a huge swath of folk just want to be told, "it's fine, it's going to be fine, and everything will get better", and that's what the Tories say every time.
Nope, the idiot actually wrote the note
It's interesting how on a forum where so many dismiss the common man as being a thick idiot who swallows Tory lies, the great Tory/LibDem deficit lie appears to have gained some traction.
Context is everything. A couple of years previous to the note being written the world had experienced the worse global financial crisis since the 1930s.
The reason some people might have forgotten this is probably due directly to the actions that Gordon Brown's government took. Despite the magnitude of the crisis its effects on the average person were far less than the Tory recessions of the early eighties and early nineties. Thatcher's recession caused historical levels of unemployment, John Major's recession caused historical levels of home repossessions, both with devasting effect on millions of people.
What Gordon Brown did was classic keynesian economics, he pumped money into the public sector to protect both the economy and people's jobs. It worked spectacularly well and it was a strategy that was used throughout the world. In fact although George W Bush was elected as a conservative US president he left office more or else a socialist, eg at one point the majority of mortgages in the US were owned by the US government.
As someone who had always been deeply critical of the Blair/Brown years I was hugely impressed. Although not everyone was impressed, for example LibDem Vince Cable, despite his later damascene anti-deficit conversion, critised Brown on an almost daily basis for not, according to him, pumping enough money into the economy.
Obviously in a recession budgetary deficits grow, at least they should, as revenue from both income and sales taxes fall and spending on investment and benefits increases. Labour even went as far as cutting taxes, ie VAT, to help protect jobs.
The result was that of course there wasn't any money left when a government elected on the deficit lie came to power. In fact the real scandal would have been if after enduring the worse global financial crisis in 80 years there was found to be a budgetary surplus.
The note was clearly a joke as in "haha there's no money left, see if you can do any better!". The mistake the author made was not to realise that the coalition government would use it to bolster the Great Deficit Lie.
No. Labour’s best hope is if it quietly moves the right wing grandees out to pasture somewhere, and gets a lot more progressive thinkers in.
Like who?
Richard Burgon?
Laura Piddock?
Rebecca L-B?
Name this pool of talent
Rule no 1 is have a united party. How’s that going?
They don't have to be united, a ceasefire and front bench collective responsibility works just fine
Ok cool how’s that going?
I would say it is going spectacularly well, have you not seen the Tory party majority?
Name this pool of talent
I can't say anyone really stands out for me. Possibly Zarah Sultana, Nadia Wittome, Bell Ribeiro-Addy, as being refreshingly different to many of the old Blairites. Piddock was ok, shame she lost her seat. Labour obviously have some recruiting to do. Perhaps they could start a grassroots campaign to engage new members? The certainly need to gain some momentum on that score...
They don’t have to be united, a ceasefire and front bench collective responsibility works just fine
If you look at the Tory front bench, surely as bereft of obvious political talent as Labour (Gavin Williamson FFS?), any single one of them would happily knife Boris in a heartbeat if they thought it would get them the top job. And when the time comes, they will do, with utter ruthlessness. Rishi Sunak is obviously itching to do so.
But in the meantime they all just smile and wave for the cameras. A picture of unity and harmony. 'form a square around the Pritster'
Labour could do with a bit more of that instead of feeling the need to do all its dirty laundry in public.
The result was that of course there wasn’t any money left when a government elected on the deficit lie came to power. In fact the real scandal would have been if after enduring the worse global financial crisis in 80 years there was found to be a budgetary surplus.
I'm sorry Ernie this is utter nonsense.
You have hit the nail on the end in re-enforcing the tax and spend narrative which Labour keep running with, and will lose every time against the Tories. Prudence for Labour - spend what you like if you're a Tory.
Few labour MPs understand this. Hence the note.
A sovereign country with a central bank cannot run out of money or default. Ever.
It's spend does not come from taxes, all Government spending is new money creation.
Going to the bond market to 'borrow' is political choice and not necessary - hence the wrap around with Q/E.
The Labour chap who wrote that threw a massive cookie to the establishment.
Gordon Brown did okay actually in messed up situation.
I can’t say anyone really stands out for me. Possibly Zarah Sultana, Nadia Wittome, Bell Ribeiro-Addy, as being refreshingly different to many of the old Blairites
Are these your immediate thoughts when asked to list thinkers of the labour left?
Could you link to their published articles where they discuss how they plan to transform Britain. I'm looking forward to be inspired by these "refreshingly different" labour thinkers
Always remember chaps lack of talent in the Tory front bench hasn't stopped them being elected.
Labour's single biggest problem (apart from the Hodges, Streetings, Bradshaws etc) is poor marketing and branding. I hate to be all agency about it but they need to sort out their Comms as well as the substance.
If you look at the Tory front bench, surely as bereft of obvious political talent as Labour (Gavin Williamson FFS?), any single one of them would happily knife Boris in a heartbeat if they thought it would get them the top job. And when the time comes, they will do, with utter ruthlessness. Rishi Sunak is obviously itching to do so.
Goddamn agree.
Are these your immediate thoughts when asked to list thinkers of the labour left?
No; they're just a few examples of Labour MPs, recent and current, that I think offer something a bit different to Hodge, Hilary Benn, Yvette Cooper etc. The kind of people who are more likely to be found in a fancy restaurant in Highgate, than actually out and about amongst their constituents. Has Cooper ever even been to Pontefract or Castelford?
Labour’s single biggest problem (apart from the Hodges, Streetings, Bradshaws etc) is poor marketing and branding. I hate to be all agency about it but they need to sort out their Comms as well as the substance.
Arse! Is that me and you agreeing twice in two posts?
Their comms are generally awful. Whoever's in charge of it needs handing a revolver and a whisky and instructed to go for a long walk
Love him or hate him, Alastair Campbell/Malcolm Tucker had that sorted out in no uncertain terms. They need to get someone in who can get a similar grip
Labour could do with a bit more of that instead of feeling the need to do all its dirty laundry in public.
I don't recall you saying this when they were busy undermining the previous leader.
Believe it or not, nobody listens to me, so what I say has no relevance to anything. I'm just one of several million gobshites on the internet shouting into the abyss
But if you're an MP or part of the party machinery you need to sort your shit out. Both 'sides' of the party are as bad as each other for having vicious spats very publicly.
The Torys don't. With them its just a stiletto between the shoulder blades in the middle of the night and its all done and dusted. Just look how Johnson cleared out all the non-brexiteers and cast them into political oblivion.
Would you bet against that side of the party staging an equally viscious comeback, given even half a chance? You don’t hear them countering about it though. If it comes it will be fast and brutal
Theres no way on earth that a Tory leader would get to lose 2 consecutive elections. Not a chance. The knives would have been out as the first exit polls came in
No; they’re just a few examples of Labour MPs, recent and current, that I think offer something a bit different to Hodge, Hilary Benn, Yvette Cooper etc
You are dodging the question, you suggested the three MPs you listed and added Laura Piddock as the sort of progressive thinkers that Labour need to lead them into government. I've asked for examples of their thinking as I want to see that they are hoping to bring forward as a new direction for Labour.
So if they aren't the thinkers who is?
You are dodging the question
No I'm not, I'm simply ignoring it. I gave those three as examples of current Labour MPs who aren't white, privileged middle class right wing types. Ergo, possibly a little closer to the kind of people they represent in parliament, ie, their constituents. It's this disconnect between MPs and their constituents, that has left Labour out in a political wilderness; they don't know how to move the party forward, because they have very little in common with their constituents, party members, supporters and the public at large. They consider themselves above 'ordinary' people, so won't actually listen to their concerns, wants and needs. I have no idea if the four people I've mentioned would actually be any good if in government. But if Labour are to move forward and actually be an attractive proposition to voters, they have to actually offer something that's a bit more than the sugar-free alternative to toryism.
I’m sorry Ernie this is utter nonsense.
There's really no need to apologise rone, I'm sure you have your reasons for not understanding the context that the comment was made.
No, no one actually believes that the Treasury has coffers stuffed with bank notes. When Liam Byrne left the note it wasn't meant to be taken literally, ie the last drawfull of twenty pound notes has been used up. The reference was of course was being made to the deficit.
You have hit the nail on the end in re-enforcing the tax and spend narrative which Labour keep running with, and will lose every time against the Tories.
I wouldn't like to call that utter rubbish but I am fairly sure that the highest tax burden the UK has ever experienced was during the Thatcher years, those millions of unemployed didn't pay for themselves. Plus the Tories have a worse deficit record than Labour. Check it out.
Got to agree with nickc's point about the lefts insufferable habit of having to educate and explain things. It's a pursuit of perfection that also accounts for them washing their dirty laundry in public, everything has to be morally right and out in the open lest it casts a stain on their integrity and principles.
No one gives a shit. Some of us on here wait on tenterhooks for Starmers rare appearances, hoping he says the 'right' thing. The thing is, it's only us that cares, no body else does. He doesnt need to say the right thing he needs to say the best thing.
Like others on here I do care though and would desperately like to see them get their comms right, get a few Ad Men in or something. With that in mind I've given it a little thought....I reckon the most effective comms strategy for Starmer would be sarcasm. The public at large doesn't pay the slightest notice to the accuracy or correctness of anything that he says so he might as well tell jokes.
Ok, jokes from Starmer might be stretching it but simple sarcastic comments about Boris's inability to comb his hair, or responding to things like the statues policy with "10 years? Why not the death sentence?" would be far more effective. They are the kind of sarcastic comments people are making at home sat in front of the telly, even if they themselves voted Tory. Everyone likes a bit of a laugh now and again and no one likes a clever dick.
Starmer lacking a sense of humour and his all round lack of wit are Labour's biggest problem. Policy 'ain't got nutthin' to do with it.
If you want sarcasm as a political tool then Mark Steel is your man. But bleedin 'ell it wears thin after year after year of the same predictable stuff. He takes it to such extreme that I'm reminded about the most sarcastic priest in the world in Father Ted.
I was being sarcastic.
But really, Labour needs to reflect what people are saying at home, it's how you connect with the electorate.
You want the electorate to be thinking "He's saying what I'm saying". They really aren't in the detail or veracity of an argument, if they were then we'd still be in the EU.
But really, Labour needs to reflect what people are saying at home, it’s how you connect with the electorate.
Agree, but the problem is they are saying things that are more in line with Tory than Labour.
That is why the Tories have an easier job as they don't need to convince people as they already have them. Convincing selfish people that equality is a good thing, being generous with foreign aid is a good thing, helping the worse off in society is a good thing etc,. is not an easy sell.
No I’m not, I’m simply ignoring it. I gave those three as examples of current Labour MPs who aren’t white, privileged middle class right wing types. Ergo, possibly a little closer to the kind of people they represent in parliament, ie, their constituents. It’s this disconnect between MPs and their constituents, that has left Labour out in a political wilderness; they don’t know how to move the party forward, because they have very little in common with their constituents, party members, supporters and the public at large.
I would suggest that the proportion of the community that are former labour party workers (the common theme of the four) is less than you think. Piddock got dumped both as a councillor and an MP
However I agree that Labour needs to get people who can turn ideas into policies and then sell them. What they seem to get are grifters and fellow travellers who like opposition because they don't have to compromise their principles making decisions in the real world
The sad reality is that the new progressive thinkers don't seem to be around, more than happy to be proved wrong if you could name a few of them
Two polls out today with Tories on 45% and Labour on 36%. Take Scotland and Wales out of the picture and Tory support in England must be close to 50%.
@Kerley yes Labour pandering to Tory voters entrenches Tory viewpoints.
But also telling people they are wrong...
It is a tricky one but I cant help thinking fighting the Tories on traditional lines of Tax, spending, NHS etc is a battle that cant be won. Labour need either a very new way of talking about these things or new things to talk about.
Many 'selfish' people are insecure have-nots and need to be made aware of how the system works, how they are exploited and the higher standards of living in an egalitarian society ie 'enlightened' self-interest. That would be a lot easier if you could present and argue for policies rather than just 'elect us'.
It is a tricky one but I cant help thinking fighting the Tories on traditional lines of Tax, spending, NHS etc is a battle that cant be won. Labour need either a very new way of talking about these things or new things to talk about
Yep. Requires some imagination and guts to go after a better society.
Labour themselves need to come to terms with the neo-classic lies of tax and spend. (They might struggle with this as their economists are stuck in the dark ages and think it's just Keynesian.)
If we can spend 400 billion in a pandemic we can do it other times too.
It pains me everyday to realise how much better things could be.
Without getting too "deficit myth" most bloody spending goes straight back into the economy anyway. People will understand that.
Imagine £500m spent on cycling routes.
You'dd get all that and more back quite quickly and have something that would bring in tourism cash forever.
*most bloody spending leaving aside all the bungs that go to Tory donors and end up in tax havens.
Two polls out today with Tories on 45% and Labour on 36%. Take Scotland and Wales out of the picture and Tory support in England must be close to 50%.
That can't be right. Are you sure?
Everyone here thinks the Tories are rubbish.
What if it just means the Tories are accurately reflecting the views and wishes of the electorate?
What if it just means the Tories are accurately reflecting the views and wishes of the electorate?
Probably more reflective of the lack of opposition, in part due to covid, in part due to not making an impression, I heard the shadow home secretary in the radio for the first time last week. Don't know his name, labour seem to be largely absent
What if it just means the Tories are accurately reflecting the views and wishes of the electorate?
Well that would surely break the generally accepted order of things. Historically the British electorate are never happy or satisfied with their existing government. A ruling party can expect to lose seats to opposition parties in by-elections as they suffer the inevitable mid-term blues. Their fortunes generally improve when a general election campaign kicks off.
If Labour are in opposition but the electorate are dissatisfied with them the Liberal Party/LibDems can historically expect to do very well in a by-election.
However, and quite remarkably, the LibDems are consistently polling a third of what they were polling when Charles Kennedy was leader. They appear not to have recovered at all since Nick Clegg swung them dramatically to the right and rendered them an irrelevance.
BTW I consider Charles Kennedy to have been the best leader of any party since the death of Labour's John Smith. Damn you Scots with your high cholesterol diet and alcohol. If Scots ate more fresh fruit and greens, and drank more sensibly, I'm sure British politics would be in a much better place today.
BTW I consider Charles Kennedy to have been the best leader of any party since the death of Labour’s John Smith
And what are you using as your metric for that? Someone who transformed his parties fortunes from the doldrums of being a political irrelevance all the way to the heady heights of being a political irrelevance?
I can think of one contender for your title, who won three consecutive elections but we all know that winning elections isn’t important, whereas being idealogically pure counts for everything, so we’re not allowed to give him any credit for anything
And anyway, the most successful political leader of the last ten years is Nigel Farage.
He’s basically achieved everything he wanted without ever even being elected as an MP. The Tory’s are so scared of him, they delivered everything he wanted, then turned themselves into him
He stands as the ultimate benchmark of power without responsibility. Boris Johnson is his tribute act
At a time of war it's an excepted norm that incumbent government's are returned to office or enjoy a temporary boost in public 'confidence'. In recent times for example, both Thatcher and Bush secured second terms under these conditions.
The impact of covid has similarities to war .From the get go the economic impact was couched in reference to the cost of World War 2, similarly comparisons in death rates and a slew of government mandated restrictions, the likes of which haven't been seen since the 1940's.
Add Brexit to the mix and it's hardly surprising we are where we are. The compound effect of the two viruses (one self inflicted) has created a state of anxiety, one where caution rules and the status quo is likey to be maintained, or even craved for. (The desire to get back to normal).
Calls for change will fall on deaf ears. Ideas about reshaping the nation will be little more than white noise to most voters, people are just lookong to survive, both the pandemic, the looming economic catastrophie and the accompanying social upheaval.
Then there the likely escalation of civil disturbances eand that will form the major opposition to the government in the short to medium term.
Labour can't afford to be seen to side with the protesters, the party will have to keep their distance from umfolding events, their only hope will be to pick up the pieces in a couple of years time but for that ro happen the party will need to appear stable and credible.
I do not see a shift to the left in the party. I expect the left wing of the party to be further marginalised, silenced even. Things look desperate for Labour right now but events dear boy events. The most important thing right now is that the party sticks together, and unfortunately for some on here, that means the left shutting up for a little while lest they break the party in two on a point of 'principle' (RLB's favourite word.)
The chickens will come home to roost for the govern,ent sooner or later, Labour needs to look like a responsible government in waiting, not a radical one. Save the radical ideas for when you get into power and for God's sake don't put them into the manifesto, don't put them to commitie meetings and for double God's sake dont put any ideas to 'duh membership' to vote on.
Get an advertising agency in to handle everything up until you get the keys to Number 10.
Calls for change will fall on deaf ears. Ideas about reshaping the nation will be little more than white noise to most voters, people are just lookong to survive, both the pandemic, the looming economic catastrophie and the accompanying social upheaval.
That is always the case even though clearly more so now. People don't like change, they are going to fear any radical changes proposed. You need to fool them with simple messages of it all being alright, "Things can only get better" maybe
Charles Kennedy to have been the best leader of any party since the death of Labour’s John Smith
Founder member of the SDP IIRC
Are you trolling the labour left on here?
Maybe big n daft.
Or maybe the pursuit of a political agenda which serves the best interests of working people requires an analytical and pragmatic approach based on the reality of the situation, not what you might have wished for.
The Labour Party is and has always been a social democratic party, I have never been a social democrat. Past support I have given it has never been based on "idealogical purity". It has instead been based on the need for "immediate gains" in the interests of working people, eg a national health service, health and safety at work, race discrimination act, etc etc. Utopia can wait, although it always remains the goal - as long as there are societal issues the aim of constantly improving society should never be abandoned.
Charles Kennedy built LibDem support to its highest historical levels by challenging New Labour, both on domestic and international issues. Supporting him and the LibDems at that time definitely imo served the best interests of working people.
Sorry to edit my previous comment it's really not appropriate to claim that the Labour Party has always been a social democratic party. It's mostly always been a social democratic party. It's clear that during the New Labour era it no longer was. It was, during that period, a centre right conservative party. It certainly didn't support a mixed economy.
I have no idea what it is today. I don't think anyone has.
Wot inkster said
I do. It's a party committed to maintaining the status quo and regards socialists as a greater threat than Tories. Disparaging egalitarians is an ideological accepted norm in the Labour Party.
Given that most in this thread think that Labour are pretty much tories then I have to assume you all vote for Green party (what other option is there?) Or do you all just strop because no party represents you?
Based on that and the 'fact' people want fairer and more progressive stuff why do you think the Green Party hovers around 4%
Especially as climate stuff is probably more in peoples mind year on year which should help them not hinder them
The most important thing right now is that the party sticks together, and unfortunately for some on here, that means the left shutting up for a little while ... and for double God’s sake dont put any ideas to ‘duh membership’ to vote on.
So basically; shut down democracy within the party? Exclude anyone who doesn't subscribe to a form of 'ideological purity'? So; the answer to claims that Labour aren't listening to anyone, is, to not listen to anyone? Great idea. I can't see how that can go wrong. 😀
I have to assume you all vote for Green party
I'll be voting green next time probably assuming they stand a candidate (they didn't last time). Or possibly the NIP if they get their act together.
Or do you all just strop because no party represents you?
Yes we all post simplistic memes.
Based on that and the ‘fact’ people want fairer and more progressive stuff why do you think the Green Party hovers around 4%
One obvious problem for the Greens is some of their science positions have been batshit insane. Admittedly plenty of tory and labour MPs seem to believe the same rubbish but it doesnt tend to be so front and centre.
Another is the issue that getting a decent representation in FPTP the post means people are unlikely to vote for them.
Logically it would make more sense to hijack one of the other parties and hope the traditional voters dont notice for a while.
The only way forward is a hung parliament and a progressive coalition where there is compromise and a large dose of common sense on all sides. It seems that single party politics will never accommodate all the differing views of the electorate. Doubt I’ll see this in my lifetime.
The only way forward is a hung parliament and a progressive coalition where there is compromise and a large dose of common sense on all sides. It seems that single party politics will never accommodate all the differing views of the electorate. Doubt I’ll see this in my lifetime.
I don't know about that - the electoral arithmetic is pretty devastating for labour right now. They're in the cellar to the tune of 123 seats - an epic swing that will take a Martian invasion to deliver by 2023. Scotland off the table but the SNP running out of steam. FPTP is delivering a votes per seat of 26K SNP, 38K Con, 51K Lab, 336K(!) Lib.
The nadir doesn't offer a good perspective for predictions, things will change, but it doesn't seem crazy to think of coalition politics in the near medium term.
On a more serious note, people will increasingly realise that opposition or demands for change can only come from the workplace or the streets as the LP has positioned itself firmly behind the head bangers and those trapped in wealth like Me-Me's friend Jacob. It's bad enough having to wait for the next election before anything can happen in a major crisis but absolutely pointless if you're given nothing to fight for. Even the right in the PLP are getting a bit uncomfortable about giving up their seats on the gravy train. Incidentally, when Corbyn was leader, Hartlepool returned Labour twice.
but it doesn’t seem crazy to think of coalition politics in the near medium term
It's more likely than a Labour majority. Still very, very unlikely.
Someone, I forget who, posted that any Conservative supporter reading this thread will be laughing their heads off. It's an easy Tory win come the next election, as the opposition vote fragments, and the biggest of them continues to refuse to work with anyone else.
Incidentally, when Corbyn was leader, Hartlepool returned Labour twice.
Yes, yes, before Johnson successfully transformed most of the UKIP/BP support into Tory support. I fully expect Labour to increase their share of the vote, but still lose the seat, as UKIP/BP voters (many who would have voted Labour long ago) vote Conservative in huge numbers next month, many for the first time ever.
They’re in the cellar to the tune of 123 seats –
Sure, but not worse than the Tory position in 2005.
Yes, yes, before Johnson successfully transformed most of the UKIP/BP support into Tory support
When did this transformation occur?
In 2019, when Boris Johnson was Prime Minister, Labour still managed to receive a larger share of the vote on Hartlepool than it had done in 2015, when Ed Miliband was leader.
Furthermore in 2019 the UKIP/BP vote in Hartlepool was the highest it has EVER been. More than double what it had been 2 years previously in the 2017 general election.
Where is your evidence that Johnson has successfully transformed most of the UKIP/BP support in Hartlepool into Tory support?
I agree that I don't expect the UKIP/BP to hold up in the Hartlepool by-election, there's really not much reason for anyone to vote UKIP now, is there?
But why should it not go to Labour rather than the Tories?
In 2017 52% of voters in Hartlepool voted Labour, and Brexit was definitely still an issue then. Presumably in 2017 Hartlepool voters believed Corbyn's false election pledge that Labour would respect the EU referendum result.
Why should Starmer do worse in 2021 in Hartlepool than Corbyn did in 2017, when Brexit isn't even an issue anymore for voters there?
Why should Starmer do worse in 2021 in Hartlepool than Corbyn did in 2017, when Brexit isn’t even an issue anymore for voters there?
Because the combination of Farage, a succession of Labour leaders, and now Johnson have resulted in many people moving from Labour to UKIP/BP to Tory. Many only previously voted Labour out of a vague notion that they were the party "for them"... and now that habit has been broken, it's going to be very hard to get many of them back. Allegiance is intangible, and doesn't just come about by proposing the "right" policies and explaining how they benefit voters.
Btw if Brexit is still an issue for Labour in Hartlepool, though I don't think it is, why FFS, did Labour choose a candidate who was a totally committed to remain.
It's either incredibly draft or Starmer no longer thinks it's an issue.
It's "nothing" to do with Brexit... but Brexit was one of the tools used to create the sense that Labour aren't "for them" and that Johnson and his people are (as maddening as that nonsense is). In some areas Labour are now seen as a party of London and the home counties (don't mention Eton), who do not understand their concerns (looking after "our own" and sticking it to people who speak funny on the train).
Where is your evidence that Johnson has successfully transformed most of the UKIP/BP support in Hartlepool into Tory support?
There is none yet. The vote next month will reveal it. If, as I suspect, Labour grow their share of the vote, but loose the seat (or come close to doing so) when the Conservative share grows far more, absorbing most of the BP vote share at the last election.
Btw if Brexit is still an issue for Labour in Hartlepool, though I don’t think it is, why FFS, did Labour choose a candidate who was a totally committed to remain.
It’s either incredibly draft or Starmer no longer thinks it’s an issue.
He's a serial candidate, was standing for PCC etc. Someone in labour think he's worth the effort
Brexit has redifined the political axis in the UK, tho the shift has been coming for a while, its just that it crystalised around it
the issues that fed into it arent going away & Brexit itself isnt really done: negotiations still ongoing & its effects on the Union itself are a long way from over
Because the combination of Farage, a succession of Labour leaders, and now Johnson have resulted in many people moving from Labour to UKIP/BP to Tory. Many only previously voted Labour out of a vague notion that they were the party “for them”… and now that habit has been broken, it’s going to be very hard to get many of them back.
Well it wasn't 'very hard' for Corbyn to get 52% of the vote in Hartlepool in 2017, he managed to do it with one hand tied behind his back by the PLP.
It's a fact that the UKIP vote has never been anything other than a protest vote, that's why UKIP has always done extremely badly in general elections - voters simply go back to the two main parties.
That's why Nigel Farage tried 7 times and failed 7 times to win a parliamentary seat.
Because the combination of Farage, a succession of Labour leaders, and now Johnson have resulted in many people moving from Labour to UKIP/BP to Tory. Many only previously voted Labour out of a vague notion that they were the party “for them”… and now that habit has been broken, it’s going to be very hard to get many of them back. Allegiance is intangible, and doesn’t just come about by proposing the “right” policies and explaining how they benefit voters.
Not in Hartlepool.
They did not move away from labour last time.
If they do now, that will be new losses.
Starmer's losses on starmer's watch.
Not in Hartlepool.
28% of the vote at the last election when to the Brexit Party. The Labour Party share fell 15% on 2017. UKIP vote was strong before that... 28% in 2015. The Tories used to be left far behind by Labour here... the rise of UKIP/BP has helped break that link with Labour... and now Johnson looks to have motivated those voters to vote for his party in numbers that Starmer has failed to do. I still predict that Labour will increase its vote share, but either lose, or come close to losing, the seat.
There is none yet. The vote next month will reveal it. If, as I suspect, Labour grow their share of the vote, but loose the seat (or come close to doing so) when the Conservative share grows far more, absorbing most of the BP vote share at the last election.
Okay fair enough.
Btw any opinion on what happened to the LibDem vote in Hartlepool? Not that long ago the LibDems were the second largest party in Hartlepool polling 3 times more than the Tories.
It's almost as if swinging to the right after Charles Kennedy and cosying up to the Tories did them no favour. They seemed to have lost the appeal they once had in Hartlepool when they provided a leftwing alternative to New Labour.
It’s almost as if swinging to the right after Charles Kennedy and cosying up to the Tories did them no favour.
No shit sherlock. 😉
And now they have one of the few MPs more boring than Starmer as their leader.
I recently googled who the LibDem leader was as I couldn't remember, and now again I can't remember.
There's some kind of spell cast over him to make you forget.
Layla Moran had some good ideas, and I quite liked the revenge of the geeks style she brought to broadcast interviews. That's not for this thread though.
Quite like Ed Davey. Knows his onions on energy/climate change.
Well done for remembering him. And yes, he's has been consistently strong across that brief. I'd take him as a minister over anyone currently in government. Not going to inspire people to vote LibDem in Hartlepool though, in any serious numbers, is he?
Slightly off topic. *Macroeconomics*
Richard Murphy has made available a round up of all of his lengthy tweets about the economy and monetary system for the UK.
Free and easy to read.
Richard does tend to wander a bit but essentially an MMT proponent with lots of surrounding opinions.
He's been an advisor to Labour in the past and one of the GND architects.
Thnaks rone. always enjoyed reading his tweets, having them all in one book is cool