Nigel! Farage!
 

Nigel! Farage!

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On a Farage note he is sulking again during PMQs and sitting in the gallery vs the chamber for some reason or other.

Apparently its some form of protest because he doesn't get to ask Starmer any questions at PMQ's. The arrogant, self-important twonk objects to the same rules applying to him as all the other MPs. He thinks it should be him and not Kemi Badanoch at the despatch box. So, yeah... he's sulking like the oversized toddler he is


 
Posted : 17/12/2025 6:45 pm
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Posted by: somafunk

Posted by: 13thfloormonk

Interesting spat with my wife last night (we don't often discuss these things...) but her and her family are still in a thrall to GB News which they treat as gospel and us showing footage of apparently 'thousands' of fit young illegal immigrants coming across in boats every day.

I don't really know how to counter this, are there any trustworthy, non-partisan facts out there?

Tell her if we refuse access to fit young immigrants who can work in this country then in 10 years time we will not have a sufficient working population (due to low birth rates) paying taxes and working to keep her parents alive

1) That's great in theory - but the work, education and linguistic profile of asylum seekers and refugees is much lower from those of immigrants selected on the basis that they're needed in the economy (and that includesthe Boriswave of low skill immigrants, so it's not a high bar to begin with). There are obvious and legitimate reasons for that - but the point is that it's not as neat as saying "brilliant, asylum seekers are going to solve the UK's skills and labour gaps".

https://migrationobservatory.ox.ac.uk/resources/briefings/migration-to-the-uk-asylum/

2) it's not a conspiracy theory that thousands of asylum seekers are arriving by small boats - although it's not anywhere close to thousands every day, even if some days might see big spikes.

since 2021 there have been between 29,000 and 46,000 small boat arrivals each year, with the highest number of arrivals in 2022 (45,774). Whilst small boat arrivals decreased in 2023, small boat arrivals in the year ending September 2025 (45,659) were 53% more than in the year ending September 2024 and were close to the peak number in 2022.

Small boat arrivers are 40% of all asylum seekers.

71% of irregular arrivers (which includes a few thousand air and ferry arrivers in additional to small boat passengers) are adult males. There are some fairly obviously and legitimate reasons why asylum seekers are going to be predominantly male.

https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/immigration-system-statistics-year-ending-september-2025/how-many-people-come-to-the-uk-irregularly

3) Yogurt knitters (including me) have to shake off the collective dismissal of small boat arrivals as being insignificant numerically or financially, or just a distraction exaggerated by racists, or simply a conspiracy theory. It's real, it's a ****load of people every year, and it's 40% of £5.5 billion annually the government pays to (mis-)manage it.

https://migrationobservatory.ox.ac.uk/resources/briefings/migration-to-the-uk-asylum/

 


 
Posted : 17/12/2025 8:41 pm
pictonroad reacted
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The numbers arriving on small boats is very small and the vast majority are allowed to stay.  The problem is the length of time it takes to process them.  No doubt the government is also paying way over the odds for sub standard hotel accomodation that otherwise would probably be shut down.


 
Posted : 17/12/2025 9:29 pm
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Posted by: stevenmenmuir

The numbers arriving on small boats is very small 

45,000 people (y/e Sep 2025) is a small amount of people to be arriving in the country on unsafe rubber dinghies crossing one of the world's busiest shipping lanes?

What would you consider a big number?

The problem is the length of time it takes to process them.

Have you ever been involved in submitting or review a claim for asylum?

How do you think the government could speed up processing?

 


 
Posted : 17/12/2025 10:27 pm
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Posted by: politecameraaction

45,000 people (y/e Sep 2025) is a small amount of people to be arriving in the country on unsafe rubber dinghies crossing one of the world's busiest shipping lanes?

What would you consider a big number?

So about 10% of net migration then (2024 figure from the Migration Observatory). The other 90% is a big number.

 


 
Posted : 17/12/2025 10:36 pm
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Yes - when you compare it to a very big number, 45,000 people seems small. The same logic also applies to the £5.5 billion spent per annum - it's much less than is spent on pensions, so what's the problem? The amount of money Michelle Mone stole was very little compared to total COVID costs...the number of people at Johnson's No 10 parties was nothing compared to what was happening in pubs everywhere...a few exec tickets for rhe football given to Starmer is nothing compared to political donations to Reform...

This is exactly the hand-wavey, margin of error, deny-and-dismiss attitude I was speaking about. It's a logical fallacy.


 
Posted : 17/12/2025 11:10 pm
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Maybe we could employ more people to do the processing?  The quicker you allow asylum seekers to get jobs the sooner they can start paying taxes and get out of the hotels, saving more money.  Let's not pretend Reform are concerned for the safety of the people in the boats and they're not bothered about the 4.3 million children in poverty either.


 
Posted : 17/12/2025 11:29 pm
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The numbers arriving on boats are what they are because we don’t have a land border to the East/South and we’ve put so much in place to effectively close all other routes in for asylum seekers. Stop people arriving by air, tunnel or ferry… what does that leave?

That and we cancelled lots of arrangements with European countries, that asylums seekers have to pass through, when we left the EU.

How many asylum seekers arrived by small boat 10 years ago?

”We” created this small boat situation, with our increased “controls”, and our decision not to cooperate fully with other countries.

And look who’s ready to make then most political capital out of it…


 
Posted : 18/12/2025 12:11 am
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Posted by: stevenmenmuir

Maybe we could employ more people to do the processing?  The quicker you allow asylum seekers to get jobs the sooner they can start paying taxes and get out of the hotels, saving more money.  Let's not pretend Reform are concerned for the safety of the people in the boats and they're not bothered about the 4.3 million children in poverty either.

 

That's always been my position, broadly speaking. Keeping people in limbo just costs the public purse and annoys people, granted for different reasons, but get them bloody processed quickly, and they either get booted out or they can start working and paying tax.

I know thats kind of a simplistic way of loking at it, but fundamentally keeping them housed in crappy accomodation and in limbo helps no one.. they get depressed and/or start working in the black market, the gammons rage, and the public as a whole pays for the whole fiasco.

 


 
Posted : 18/12/2025 12:55 am
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Governments don't want/need to solve the small boat problem because it distracts from all their other policy failures. 

They'd sooner join Farage with the fake outrage than remove the one thing that sustains him and the far right.


 
Posted : 18/12/2025 8:44 am
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How do you think the government could speed up processing?

Quite easily I would imagine.  Give me a week to review it in person and I will speed it up.

The process is here --> https://www.gov.uk/claim-asylum and the first thing to do is make quicker decisions on eligibility and have no comeback from it, what is decided is decided.

However, the problem is clearly getting the person back to the country they have fled.  That is a much harder thing to fix and takes a lot of work and deals with the countries involved which would need to start with the top ten. 


 
Posted : 18/12/2025 9:13 am
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Posted by: kerley

make quicker decisions on eligibility and have no comeback from it,

Not a believer in due process and the right to impartial decison-making then?


 
Posted : 18/12/2025 12:33 pm
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Not a believer in due process and the right to impartial decison-making then?

Nope.  They are not being tried in court, they have just come half way across the world to somewhere they fancy living.  If incorrect decisions are made it is not a big deal.  Just get on with making them so people are not in hotels for 18 months.


 
Posted : 18/12/2025 1:12 pm
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Posted by: kerley

How do you think the government could speed up processing?

Quite easily I would imagine.  Give me a week to review it in person and I will speed it up.

This is the Dunning-Kruger phenomenon in full effect. "I would imagine" doing a lot of heavy lifting.

Applicant is a 33 year old Afghan Hazara man. He is applying for asylum based on well-founded fear of persecution based on political views (formerly worked as a drver for US corporation contracted by US military, allowed daughters to be educated) and religious views (Hazara Shia). Says he and his family have already been robbed and assaulted by Taliban groups in his town. Says he was unable to claim asylum in ****stan or the Netherlands, through which he transited en route to the UK.

Please verify all information and give me a written, reasoned decision by next Thursday 9am. Should be quite easy, I imagine. "Just get on with it".

If incorrect decisions are made it is not a big deal.

No big deal to give an ineligible person a lifetime of residence and social security in the UK? No big deal to deport an eligible person back to the government that is putting them in reasonable fear of their life?


 
Posted : 18/12/2025 1:30 pm
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They are not being tried in court, they have just come half way across the world to somewhere they fancy living.

> I don't have the words <

Just get on with making them so people are not in hotels for 18 months.

Absolutely. Which needs resources and people, not snap decisions and the removal of appeal processes.


 
Posted : 18/12/2025 1:30 pm
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Please verify all information and give me a written, reasoned decision by next Thursday 9am. Should be quite easy, I imagine. "Just get on with it".

Where did I say I will reduce it from 18 months to 1 week?  I have spent 30 years simplifying processes, most people tend to overthink and overcomplicate things in all aspects of their lives.

Says he was unable to claim asylum in ****stan or the Netherlands, through which he transited en route to the UK.

Why not?

 

 


 
Posted : 18/12/2025 1:54 pm
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Posted by: kerley

Says he was unable to claim asylum in ****stan or the Netherlands, through which he transited en route to the UK.

Why not?

That's for you to determine the facts about, then apply the law and HMG policy in a written, lawful decision that can survive administrative and judicial review. Hurry up!

 


 
Posted : 18/12/2025 2:46 pm
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Not when I change the process it won't be.  They need to prove why they were unable to claim and if they can't then I don't believe they tried to claim and off they go. Remember, they were safely out of the country they are fleeing from at this point so could have taken the time in ****stan or the Netherlands to get their claim submitted.  

See how easy it is.


 
Posted : 18/12/2025 3:30 pm
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See how easy it is.

You have to get here to claim asylum, you can't do so from countries on your route here. That's not down to the asylum seeker, it's how the system has been made to "work" by the UK government.


 
Posted : 18/12/2025 3:44 pm
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Quick question:

What would make you leave your home, culture, family, friends, property and use a small boat to cross the channel? A free iPad? Doubt it.


 
Posted : 18/12/2025 3:57 pm
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Posted by: kerley

Not when I change the process it won't be.  They need to prove why they were unable to claim and if they can't then I don't believe they tried to claim and off they go...

You've, err, changed the process to match what the rules already are. 

In broad terms, asylum claims may be declared inadmissible and not substantively considered in the UK, if the claimant was previously present in or had another connection to a safe third country, where they claimed asylum, or could reasonably be expected to have done so (or, for claims made before 28 June 2022, where exceptional circumstances didn’t prevent such a claim), provided there is a reasonable prospect of removing them in a reasonable time to a safe third country.

https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/inadmissibility-third-country-cases/inadmissibility-safe-third-country-cases-accessible

See what happens when you come in with big opinions on a topic you know nothing about (and aren't interested to learn about)?

 


 
Posted : 18/12/2025 4:28 pm
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...I don't believe...

That doesn't sound open to abuse, at all, does it.


 
Posted : 18/12/2025 4:29 pm
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Posted by: kerley

See how easy it is.

Have you thought that possibly it might be too easy?

Could you clarify what you mean by "so could have taken the time in ****stan or the Netherlands to get their claim submitted.  "? is that a claim to the UK or???


 
Posted : 18/12/2025 8:05 pm
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Why would you want to claim in the UK over the Netherlands? There must be a reason 45k people make the crossing.


 
Posted : 18/12/2025 8:39 pm
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Why would you want to claim in the Netherlands over the UK? There must be a reason 30k people apply for asylum there.


 
Posted : 18/12/2025 8:55 pm
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People have reasons innit?


 
Posted : 18/12/2025 10:02 pm
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Posted by: kelvin

30k people apply for asylum there.

 

Less than a third of those applying to the UK and only 2/3 of the number crossing in small boats. Why is the UK so appealing? It can't be the language as the majority of Dutch speak English. 


 
Posted : 18/12/2025 10:02 pm
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Posted by: kelvin

Why would you want to claim in the Netherlands over the UK?

So I don't have to risk my life crossing the channel in a small boat?

Hell, if I thought it would work I'd apply for asylum there...


 
Posted : 18/12/2025 10:03 pm
Del reacted
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It is easier to make a living in the uk undetected. 

In most european countries,  there are more paper work needed.  We have id cards etc...


 
Posted : 18/12/2025 10:10 pm
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Less than a third of those applying to the UK

We are a much, much bigger country.

Hell, if I thought it would work I'd apply for asylum there...

For what purpose? You know it wouldn’t work, because you’re not fleeing a country like Syria, are you.


 
Posted : 19/12/2025 12:04 am
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NL population: 18,044,027

NL asylum applications received pa: 32,000 (2024)

NL asylum applications per million pop: 563

UK population: 69,281,437

UK asylum applications received pa: 108,138

UK asylum applications per million pop: 640

Interestingly, asylum applications in the NL have fallen by about half in the last couple of years. I have no idea why: https://www.cbs.nl/en-gb/news/2025/45/fewer-asylum-requests-in-first-three-quarters-of-2025

Sources:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Netherlands

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Kingdom

https://ecre.org/aida-country-report-on-the-netherlands-update-on-2024/

https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/immigration-system-statistics-year-ending-december-2024/how-many-people-claim-asylum-in-the-uk

 


 
Posted : 19/12/2025 12:21 am
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So pretty much the same, scaled by population.

Now do it per a square mile.


 
Posted : 19/12/2025 12:25 am
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Asylum seekers per square mile is self-evidently meaningless metric. If asylum seekers were looking for territory, they'd have Russia, Algeria, Libya, Ukraine, Saudi Arabia as their end destinations. UK-based asylum seekers make their way to Rannoch Moor and would never go to London. The exact opposite is happening.

But you're free to work it out yourself if you want.


 
Posted : 19/12/2025 12:58 am
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To Chris2lou's lack of ID and paperwork and thriving black economy I'll add the attraction of English, well established gheto communities of all sorts of origins. And believe it or not a lack of racism in the places they'll settle. Even in fiercely racist areas Brits are rarely overtly racist (though sadly this is changing) even if they feel and are prepared to vote that way, so the daily experience isn't oppressive. Farage was the exception in his school. When the Ugandan Asians arrived in my midlands secondary mod in the 70s they had plenty of pupils looking out for them and just a couple prepared to get racist.

Britain benefits from more pull factors than any other place I can think of. The local refugees in Pau might have nice weather to hang around the park but no-one will employ them because it's far too risky, they're isolated in their little group, women aren't interested in them and despite speaking two or three languages including English they're having to learn another one - a neighbour is one of the volunteers helping them. If I were them I'd take a chance on a boat if I could raise the cash.



 


 
Posted : 19/12/2025 7:07 am
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See what happens when you come in with big opinions on a topic you know nothing about (and aren't interested to learn about)?

I am just going along with your example.  The person went through ****stan and the Netherlands before getting to the UK but you stated they couldn't claim asylum in those countries for some reason.  In your follow up you stated it was my job to get any proof/documentation etc,. on that but in my process it is their responsibility to prove that they applied for asylum in those countries and if they didn't then get lost (which as you point out I can already do) so your example is a bit shit isn't it.

And it is hardly a "big opinion" to suggest a process that can take two years at times could not be improved drastically given a remit to change whatever I like.


 
Posted : 19/12/2025 11:29 am
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they're having to learn another one - a neighbour is one of the volunteers helping them

Language is a big issue. But remember, France has twice as many people seeking asylum as the UK (as you’d expect). What we need to counter is the idea that people coming to the UK to seek asylum are doing so because other countries aren’t getting, and accepting, asylum seekers. We just need to do our little (and it is little when you look at how many people are fleeing their countries in total) bit here in the UK. Forcing asylum seekers to use small boats to get here to do so is just the result of our geography and shutting down all other routes.


 
Posted : 19/12/2025 11:29 am
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Yes, we need to do our little bit but we need to do it a lot faster for everyone's benefit.  Pretty much everything can be done more quickly if the intent is there.

 


 
Posted : 19/12/2025 11:32 am
kelvin reacted
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Even in fiercely racist areas Brits are rarely overtly racist

Really? That ship sailed on June 24th 2016


 
Posted : 19/12/2025 11:37 am
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Posted by: kerley

See what happens when you come in with big opinions on a topic you know nothing about (and aren't interested to learn about)?

I am just going along with your example.  The person went through ****stan and the Netherlands before getting to the UK but you stated they couldn't claim asylum in those countries for some reason.  In your follow up you stated it was my job to get any proof/documentation etc,. on that but in my process it is their responsibility to prove that they applied for asylum in those countries and if they didn't then get lost (which as you point out I can already do) so your example is a bit shit isn't it.

No, it just proves that you're inattentive. You were informed "Says he was unable to claim asylum in ****stan or the Netherlands, through which he transited en route to the UK", and that it was your job to determine the facts. Those are different things to relying on the Applicant's statement or gathering fresh facts - and these are both distinctions that are important in policy and law, and will get your determination binned if you mess it up.

Face it, you've looked at your experience of 30 years of writing process documents in engineering or whatever, decided everyone else is an idiot and only you can see clearly, waded into an area you know (and evidently care) nothing about with big opinions...and made yourself look like a bit of a numpty. The only saving grace is that is all happened online instead of you being appointed like Dom Cummings, who was similar Billy Big Bollocks energy.

 


 
Posted : 19/12/2025 11:42 am
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Impolitecameraaction still incapable of dicussing things with people xithout insulting them I see.


 
Posted : 19/12/2025 11:59 am
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Shut it, big ears


 
Posted : 19/12/2025 4:36 pm
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Animal farm, Orwell... .


 
Posted : 19/12/2025 5:30 pm
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If you want to annoy him, tonight's a good night to make a donation to his least favourite 'water taxi service'

 

Tonight because it's the anniversary of the Solomon Browne / Penlee lifeboat tragedy. I had chance to visit the memorial garden earlier this year, I was aware of the tragedy but actually learning more about it, and listening to the BBC documentary is just - well, I defy anyone to not have a lump in their throat as the Falmouth coastguard keeps calling into the sudden radio silence (about 28 mins on this Sounds documentary)

https://www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/m0012plp

The Christmas lights will go out in a short while, and then as they did in 1981, will come back on again because those that live and perish on the sea know that life goes.

https://www.aspects-holidays.co.uk/webcams/mousehole

 


 
Posted : 19/12/2025 8:56 pm
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I'm not racist! some of my best friends are failed chancellors with dodgy tax affairs......

 

How predictable.

 

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c0lxn75gw1do


 
Posted : 12/01/2026 1:19 pm
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If there was a prize handed out for the prediction of "Ex-Tory most likely to defect to Reform", Zahawi has got to be on most folks top trumps surely?


 
Posted : 12/01/2026 1:32 pm
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“We can all see that our beautiful, ancient, kind, magical island story has reached a dark and dangerous chapter,” he said, adding: “You know in your heart of hearts that our wonderful country is sick”.

Please stop talking out your anus of anuses.

 

 


 
Posted : 12/01/2026 1:58 pm
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Posted by: nickc

Zahawi has got to be on most folks top trumps surely?

I do wonder at which point the subset of Reform voters who talk about the Labour/tory uniparty are going to start thinking maybe reform isnt so different.

Amusingly he forgot to delete his old tweets in advance so has had to do a hasty pruning.


 
Posted : 12/01/2026 2:25 pm
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Obviously not taking any responsibility for a mess that is largely due to previous Tory governments, probably thinks he as more chance of getting elected with Reform so that he can carry on lining his own nest.


 
Posted : 12/01/2026 2:40 pm
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Zahawi really didn't seem at ease answering the questions did he? 

 

Apparently free speech means you can change long held opinions at the flip of a coin and it makes AI kiddie porn ok too.

 

Who knew? 

Anyway...

I think that's why Farage basically had to answer the questions for him. 

Also loving how the self processed "free speech party" had to reply on Farage and Zahawi labelling questions they really didn't have any good answer for as "stupid" to allow them to duck them. 😂

I bloody guarantee that a lot of Reform voters wont like this latest Tory import either for very obvious reasons. My neighbour I got some shopping for earlier is one of them unfortunately.☹️

 


 
Posted : 12/01/2026 4:08 pm
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Zahawi should be utterly embarrassed. His family fled Iraq to seek refuge in the UK, he is now standing next to an outright racist who seeks to blame those fleeing persecution for every ill in this country. What a disgusting hypocrite. 


 
Posted : 12/01/2026 4:23 pm
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Posted by: Poopscoop

Also loving how the self processed "free speech party" had to reply on Farage and Zahawi labelling questions they really didn't have any good answer for as "stupid" to allow them to duck them

It is normal for Farage. If you ever watch the full press questions he dodges as many questions as any other politician its just instead of waffling he just insults the questioner.


 
Posted : 12/01/2026 4:44 pm
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none of this will change anything

the cult of farage means that his followers will tick the Reform box no matter how corrupt, hypocritical or insane the candidate may be

Zahawi wants a comfy seat in the lords - badenoch tunred him down but apparently farage will have to appoint 500!! new ones if he wants to get any legislation through shpould he become PM!


 
Posted : 12/01/2026 5:46 pm
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The great thing about the Reform Party is it gives us a way of recycling all our disgraced former Tory MPs instead of sending them straight to landfill


 
Posted : 12/01/2026 7:22 pm
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Posted by: kimbers

the cult of farage means that his followers will tick the Reform box no matter how corrupt, hypocritical or insane the candidate may be

Yes and no. Whilst there are plenty who do fall into that category they couldnt get the current polling purely dependant on those. Few months back a study was published which seems to make sense.

Several of the categories would be vulnerable to switching eg the reluctant reformers in particular.

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2025/nov/13/who-votes-for-reform-and-why-charts-that-show-who-supports-farage-party


 
Posted : 12/01/2026 8:57 pm
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Reform peaked?

https://bsky.app/profile/electionmaps.uk/post/3mcc5ymun2s2n


 
Posted : 13/01/2026 10:35 am
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I have been wondering if the US Governments were.... behaviour as of late and Farages relationship to the American right might impact things. Probably take a closer look at that polling to see if there's anything more detailed.

 

 


 
Posted : 13/01/2026 11:04 am
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I predict plenty of fake (we're not in power so we can) "standing up to the Americans" from the Conservatives to try and turn things back their way and away from Farage (and away even further away from the government).


 
Posted : 13/01/2026 11:36 am
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I go on X once or twice a month, usually when the latest bit of insanity hits the news to drop a few verbal hand grenades. It's a pressure release valve that I seem to need these days.

Anyway... Was on there yesterday and went on Reform UK to see how the latest dingleberry defection was being taken. Ignoring the obvious trolling from people like me that despise Reform, interestingly, even many of the true believers aren't happy about Zahawi. 

For some it's purely about his skin colour and birthplace (shocker...) but some understandably see him as being completely and utterly tarred with the big smelly Tory brush that's lead to most of the issues we have in the country. 

I think it's actually a very big miscalculation from Farage, it's an own goal I'd usually expect him to be too politically savvy to make.

Long may it last.


 
Posted : 13/01/2026 12:52 pm
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Z prob brought ££££ to the table. One thing Farage apparently loves above all else is money. 


 
Posted : 13/01/2026 12:55 pm
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^^ Yep, I noted he literally mentioned that fact during the conference!


 
Posted : 13/01/2026 1:02 pm
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It would appear that the man-frog is having some sort of reunion for Boris Johnson’s old, utterly useless cabinet 

Are we betting on who’s next? It’s surely got to be Cruella? 


 
Posted : 13/01/2026 1:49 pm
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Is there somewhere I can bet on Johnson joining Farage in the last 6 months on the run up to the general election? He's still too tainted to join them now... but by then he'll be forgiven and Covid long forgotten by a big chunk of the electorate Reform need/want. He enjoyed being at the Foreign Office. Not saying he was any good, but he enjoyed shooting off Kipling quotes in front of the scenes, and rubbing shoulders with dodgy billionaires behind the scenes. I think he'd be quite happy not being PM, but still getting lots of attention and bribes.


 
Posted : 13/01/2026 2:56 pm
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Posted by: kelvin

Is there somewhere I can bet on Johnson joining Farage in the last 6 months on the run up to the general election?

Think most bookies would do it.

Seems somewhat unlikely to me since Farage likes to be the only big fish in the pond.


 
Posted : 13/01/2026 5:58 pm
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I think @binners used to do a bit of political betting from memory?


 
Posted : 13/01/2026 6:02 pm
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Posted by: Edukator

To Chris2lou's lack of ID and paperwork and thriving black economy I'll add the attraction of English, well established gheto communities of all sorts of origins. And believe it or not a lack of racism in the places they'll settle. Even in fiercely racist areas Brits are rarely overtly racist (though sadly this is changing) even if they feel and are prepared to vote that way, so the daily experience isn't oppressive. Farage was the exception in his school. When the Ugandan Asians arrived in my midlands secondary mod in the 70s they had plenty of pupils looking out for them and just a couple prepared to get racist.

Britain benefits from more pull factors than any other place I can think of. The local refugees in Pau might have nice weather to hang around the park but no-one will employ them because it's far too risky, they're isolated in their little group, women aren't interested in them and despite speaking two or three languages including English they're having to learn another one - a neighbour is one of the volunteers helping them. If I were them I'd take a chance on a boat if I could raise the cash.



 

TBH, I did always wonder if the false claims that the far right bang on about of all the things that that an asylum seeker will get is actually turning into an advertisement for asylum seekers.

(Partially tongue in cheek but going by how Brexit returned the reverse of what was promised)

 


 
Posted : 14/01/2026 8:18 am
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Posted by: kelvin

Is there somewhere I can bet on Johnson joining Farage in the last 6 months on the run up to the general election? He's still too tainted to join them now... but by then he'll be forgiven and Covid long forgotten by a big chunk of the electorate Reform need/want. He enjoyed being at the Foreign Office. Not saying he was any good, but he enjoyed shooting off Kipling quotes in front of the scenes, and rubbing shoulders with dodgy billionaires behind the scenes. I think he'd be quite happy not being PM, but still getting lots of attention and bribes.

I think he’s more last minute and tbh he wanted to take the Tories back and his triumphant return.

I’m also not sure the two of them could share the same limelight.

I can’t see him not trying to get back in thou and who knows in what shape the Tory party will be in that time,it folding/merging into reform wouldn’t be a surprise.

 


 
Posted : 14/01/2026 8:25 am
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Posted by: Poopscoop

I think it's actually a very big miscalculation from Farage, it's an own goal I'd usually expect him to be too politically savvy to make.

Name recognition. The thing Reform needs is MPs, for better for worse people/voters know who Zahawi is, Farage has probably calculated that the chances of him winning a seat are a multiple over Reform's current unknown candidates - some random bald/shaven headed dude called Whitey Mcwhiteface in an ill-fitting rented burton suit (see every election so far), especially in constituencies with large south Asian populations, a demographic Reform (understandably) don't do well with. Plus, Zahawi knows poeple and the institution of Westminster/Whitehall. Zahawi can open doors, get meetings, get stuff...I think from both their perspectives its a win, Zahawi gets an MPs salary, has probs been promised his choice of constituencies, and Reform get a knowledgeable insider with a iPhone contacts list and the obvious camouflage. OK, so you might loose some die-hard racists, but you'll probs attract more voters of the back of it. 


 
Posted : 14/01/2026 8:37 am
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Posted by: dissonance

Seems somewhat unlikely to me since Farage likes to be the only big fish in the pond.

Farage doesn't like scrutiny or responsibility. Hiding behind Boris as his front man may not be as big a leap as we think.

Though the Venn diagram of Reform voters and covid/lockdown deniers has a big overlap, so who knows.

 


 
Posted : 14/01/2026 8:50 am
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Posted by: MoreCashThanDash

Though the Venn diagram of Reform voters and covid/lockdown deniers has a big overlap

Those folks who're die-hard conspiracy nut-bars that are showing up in polls as support for Reform, they generally don't vote. I think personally that the poll lead for Reform is mostly made of folks that have either never voted, or haven't for some time. I think a massive amount of their support comes form the "They're all the same" category and the more mainstream Reform become, the more these folks will shy away from supporting them.  


 
Posted : 14/01/2026 10:20 am
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I think personally that the poll lead for Reform is mostly made of folks that have either never voted, or haven't for some time.

The polling data doesn’t support that. Dig into any poll dataset and they show you who respondents said they voted for at the last general election.


 
Posted : 14/01/2026 10:38 am
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I think a massive amount of their support comes form the "They're all the same" category and the more mainstream Reform become, the more these folks will shy away from supporting them

Didn’t we complacently say the same about the Brexit vote? 


 
Posted : 14/01/2026 10:43 am
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Indeed. The “protest vote” can become stronger not weaker when a win looks more possible as voting day approaches. The more it looks like it won’t be a “wasted vote” the more likely people will be to turn out for Reform (and turn out for others this time as well, assuming that lesson has been learnt and not forgotten).


 
Posted : 14/01/2026 10:47 am
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Posted by: kelvin

Dig into any poll dataset and they show you who respondents said they voted for at the last general election.

Yep, I know, I said the poll lead. Loads of ex-Tory voters have switched their allegiance to Reform, but included in those polls are also folks who haven't voted for anyone ever especially not the Tories or Labour. This is broadly true for all '3rd' parties in traditional 2 party systems, it's not a Reform only phenomena (der der dee der der) 

It's why sometimes it looks like the SDP/Liberals/whatever they're calling themselves now, will take seats and are showing well in the polls and their leaders are tricked into saying things like "Go back to your consultancies and prepare for govt"

I'm not saying Reform aren't doing well, I'm saying polls aren't always good indicators of reality- especially true in the era of SM


 
Posted : 14/01/2026 11:56 am
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Fair enough.


 
Posted : 14/01/2026 12:20 pm
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ermmm

 

https://bsky.app/profile/chadbourn.bsky.social/post/3mcfhg4fvzc2i


 
Posted : 14/01/2026 6:13 pm
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^^ How the hell did that happen. I mean, to square that in your head would require some sort of brain trauma surely?


 
Posted : 14/01/2026 7:21 pm
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Well he did vote for Brexit, but also shows you what a disparate group Reform are, so fingers crossed they'll struggle to stay as one...

I think what the polls don't show is how much effect "anything but reform" will have at the polling booth, I mean I'd vote conservative if it meant keeping reform out.


 
Posted : 14/01/2026 7:45 pm
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Posted by: Poopscoop

^^ How the hell did that happen. I mean, to square that in your head would require some sort of brain trauma surely?

Career politicians innit... no morals, no principals, just in it for the easy money and the gold plated pension.

See also Lizz truss, once a ...lib dem then Tory, was pro remain before brexit, after the vote, she was pro brexit.

They just follow the money and shift opinions accordingly.

 


 
Posted : 14/01/2026 8:05 pm
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Posted by: mattyfez

Career politicians innit... no morals, no principals, just in it for the easy money and the gold plated pension.

Not sure that applies to councillors


 
Posted : 14/01/2026 10:00 pm
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horseshoe theory?

i have a mate whos all into the hippy & green stuff but also fell down the wellness route which is antivax adjacent and thats very reform, he sometimes comes out with some very farage like comments


 
Posted : 14/01/2026 11:52 pm
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