A mix of reasons why prices may go up next year, materials forward ordered on contracts that have know expired and been renegotiated at higher rates, the Pound is still weak, fuel prices are rising again, raw material prices are beginning to climb again.
As for selling out, bike manufacturers only import what they think they can sell, if they think they will sell 100 units then they will import 100 units, if 100 units sell they can then choose to import more or hold off until the next year. Manufacturers aren’t in the business of selling bikes off cheap at the end of the year. If they do it is because they f***ed up.
There was a lot of talk of reduce sales so i suspect manufacturers imported smaller volumes this year, so the discounts may or may not appear, no different to any other year.
I have been told by one manufacturer that some of the Tiawanese factories have been hammered, unsold stock, refused deliveries etc.