Global warming update!

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  • Global warming update!
  • Premier Icon molgrips
    Subscriber

    The arctic region is indeed losing a lot of ice in recent years, but apparantly Antartica has more ice at the moment than has previously ever been recorded.
    Work that one out!

    Lolz at the pathetic challenge 🙂

    Warmer air – more water vapour in it = more snow = more ice over time. Central Antarctica could get a lot warmer and still be plenty cold enough for snow – obviously.

    Try harder.

    Rockape63
    Member

    More snow = more ice.

    Err…. No sorry, have another go!

    El-bent
    Member

    BTW El-bent, some mighty big assumptions there!

    So does this prove once and for all tbat all these ‘green’ taxes we’ve been forced to pay have been raised on the back of a fallacy?

    Any mirrors in your house?

    mrmo
    Member

    i thought it was more area covered in snow which is a very different thing to more snow.

    Premier Icon Northwind
    Subscriber

    The report was about sea ice, not landmass ice. But you’re on the right track- more water surface covered in ice, but not necesarily more ice.

    Premier Icon molgrips
    Subscriber

    More snow = more ice.

    Do go on…

    Premier Icon fatmax
    Subscriber

    Man induced climate disruption is a fact.
    I could understand if you want to discuss extent or scale of the problem, but even then you’d be sticking your head in the sand.
    Lifer at post 3 has it right.

    PJM1974
    Member

    Hmmm….

    So does this prove once and for all tbat all these ‘green’ taxes we’ve been forced to pay have been raised on the back of a fallacy?

    So we’ll be alright to use the infinite resources of fossil fuels then?

    Global Warming aside, we’re running out of oil. Sooner or later demand will more than exceed supply and by then it’ll be far too lake to entrust “The Markets” to come up with a better solution.

    I’m not in favour of the use of taxation to influence social policy at all, in fact I’d go so far as to say that I’d happily see whoever it was who came up with the idea publically flogged, but if we leave it to providence, we’re royally screwed.

    druidh
    Member

    PJM1974 wrote:

    Global Warming aside, we’re running out of oil.

    We’ve been running out of oil since man first started using it.

    Premier Icon fatmax
    Subscriber

    And unfortunately the carbon and other greenhouse gases present in the remaining oil/gas/coal will **** us over even more royally than we already are…but hey, don’t let that worry you OP…

    Premier Icon ahwiles
    Subscriber

    i love these threads!

    rockape; sources and graphs please?

    i especially like the graphs that start at 1997/98 – they’re hilarious 🙂

    Premier Icon Lifer
    Subscriber

    It was from a disingenuous standard article in the Mail on Sunday but he doesn’t like talking about it.

    +1 for post 3!

    the story is from the daily mail, they got some data from the MET office and gave it to a climate sceptic Judith Curry…
    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/home/search.html?sel=site&searchPhrase=judith+curry

    piemonster
    Member

    The Daily Mail, right up there with Fox News, PressTV, Truther websites and Truther you tube vids as totally unreliable

    I see this is still going, http://www.familyradio.com

    TooTall
    Member

    I’m not in favour of the use of taxation to influence social policy at all, in fact I’d go so far as to say that I’d happily see whoever it was who came up with the idea publically flogged, but if we leave it to providence, we’re royally screwed.

    Very few other methods (none I’ve found but I’m sure someone will tell me there are) will change behaviour more than hitting people in the pocket. It isn’t nice, but it works.

    joao3v16
    Member

    Of course, we’re all jiggered now that car ownership in China and India is escalating to crazy levels … all the good we do by recyling our Marmite jars and shopping bags will be anihilated!

    zokes
    Member

    What is wrong with reducing, and eventually eliminating, our dependency on fossil fuels

    One way or another, what with them being a finite resource and all, that will happen.

    The question is: how much are we going to **** it all up whilst pissing them up the wall before that time?

    Rockape63
    Member

    Latest news just in:

    It appears the Met Office ‘quietly’ readjusted its figures on Christmas eve regarding Global warming. Until then it had been predicting rises of at least 0.2 degrees per decade, with a succession of years exceeding even the record breaking high of 1998.

    Its latest chart tells a very different story…….no more global warming until at least 2017.

    You couldn’t make it up! All the awful predictions they’ve been making for the past 20 years have come crashing down around their ears. Its almost as bad as their prediction for a barbecue summer last year!!

    Premier Icon ahwiles
    Subscriber

    Rockape63 – Member

    Its latest chart tells a very different story…….no more global warming until at least 2017.

    all of 4 years away.

    meanwhile:

    cool graph…

    Rockape63
    Member

    Oooh nice graph! All of 4 years away, but at this rate it will cooling down again! 😯

    birky
    Member

    Climate model forecast is revised

    “the average temperature is likely to be 0.43 C above the long-term average by 2017, as opposed to an earlier forecast suggesting a difference of 0.54C”

    “it still stands by its longer-term projections that forecast significant warming over the course of this century”

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-20947224

    Premier Icon teamhurtmore
    Subscriber

    So this finally got raised! I saw the Met Office climb down yesterday. Well hidden and hardly covered – and unsurprisingly ignored by the BBC TV news (but was on the web). Good to see that the Met acknowledged that “this is an extremely challenging area of research” and that, “our knowledge is continually increasing and it is therefore not surprising that our models and predictive skill will continue to improve”. That will be a relief – not in the rainfall sense though (sorry bad, geographers pun!).

    Also good to know that global warming (sic) has stalled/slowed down since 2000 with last year being below the average of the past decade but I would suggest that taking their predictions that there will be no global warming for a period of 20 years probably need taking with a large pinch of salt.

    Dr Peter Stott, Head of Climate Monitoring and Attribution at the Met Office…pointed out that warming has slowed down since 2000, in comparison to the rapid warming of the world since the 1970s.
    “Although the first decade of the 21st century was the warmest on record, warming has not been as rapid since 2000 as over the longer period since the 1970s,” he said. “This variability in global temperatures is not unusual, with several periods lasting a decade or more with little or no warming since the instrumental record began…. {no S*** sherlock]… “We are investigating why the temperature rise at the surface has [inconveniently?] slowed in recent years, including how ocean heat content changes and the effects of aerosols from atmospheric pollution may have influenced global climate.”

    But wait for it…

    Dr Stott warned that global warming could speed up again at any time, and insisted that the general pattern of warming was not in doubt.

    With their record, its good to know they can still be so categorical (and as equally likely to be right or wrong)

    Premier Icon teamhurtmore
    Subscriber

    Re the complaints about sources – it would indeed be so helpful if the Met Office made this a little easier to find on their website. It would be too cynical to suggest any motive though!

    mt
    Member

    So if it warms up more crocodiles will be able to breed more effectively?

    Seriously, who cares about global warming anyway, we love being on a self propelled journey to destroy the well being of the planet. It’s the human way. All this doing the right thing on pollution, energy saving, protecting the only planet we have, it’s got to be better to mess on our home. Still I have no kids to leave planet to so no need to care.
    As far as oil goes on the finite front, i’d be as concerned about other things also.

    Other important questions are: Will this thread go one ages and will someone be booted off for being to clever (the tj effect).

    retro83
    Member

    molgrips – Member
    Lolz at the pathetic challenge

    Warmer air – more water vapour in it = more snow = more ice over time. Central Antarctica could get a lot warmer and still be plenty cold enough for snow – obviously.

    Try harder.

    Source? Because your post is somewhat at odds with this article from the register
    http://www.theregister.co.uk/2012/11/12/antarctic_ice_growth_investigated/

    I couldn’t read the full publication as it’s behind a paywall, but the abstract doesn’t mention snow.

    wrecker
    Member

    That’s exactly how I feel. I’m no scientist so not qualified to comment about global warming but the list is all good shit which we should do anyway. A bit of global housekeeping if you like.

    Rockape63
    Member

    But that’s not the point Wrecker. I fully agree with you, but I like many others feel aggrieved that we have had this shoved down our necks, had our holiday flights taxed to the hilt (and beyond) in addition to having to listen to barmy scientists witter on relentlessly………only to find out its all BOLLOX!

    And……don’t get me started on carbon footprints!! 😳

    ormondroyd
    Member

    Lewis Page of the Register has constantly pressed an AGW-sceptical viewpoint. His opinion alone proves or disproves nothing.

    The MetOffice is releasing experimental data based on its open analysis in an open manner. They don’t claim their data is everything, nor does a small readjustment in their data mean that a whole branch of science is “BOLLOCKS”

    Premier Icon molgrips
    Subscriber

    Are you people completely thick or just pretending?

    There’s no such thing as a climb-down ffs.

    The way scientists work is that they keep trying to figure stuff out and they learn more in the process. So when they say ‘we think this might happen’ they’re not making a stand they are telling you what they currently think.

    Then, when they learn more, they might change their mind. So it’s not a climb down, it’s just keeping you informed of current thinking. They can’t help it if you’re a bonehead.

    mefty
    Member

    As George Orwell said

    At any given moment there is an orthodoxy, a body of ideas which it is assumed that all right-thinking people will accept without question. … Anyone who challenges the prevailing orthodoxy finds himself silenced with surprising effectiveness. A genuinely unfashionable opinion is almost never given a fair hearing, either in the popular press or in the highbrow periodicals.

    Rockape63
    Member

    Oh really….in 2007 its Hadley Centre for climate change research produced a briefing document for the Government claiming its state of the art computer models left no doubt: man made global warning was a very real threat which needed to be urgently addressed by the policy makers.

    What if it is all BOLLOCKS? What if caron dioxide isn’t responsible for global temp changes? what if all the job killing, environmentally destructive measures we’ve taken have been a spectacular waste of money?

    ormondroyd
    Member

    Oh really….in 2007 its Hadley Centre for climate change research produced a briefing document for the Government claiming its state of the art computer models left no doubt: man made global warning was a very real threat which needed to be urgently addressed by the policy makers.

    and why did the Christmas Eve data contradict that? It’s predicting a SLOWING OF THE RATE of warming, not a lack of warming, not a reversal. The decade preceding this one was the warmest on record. 2012 was the 9th warmest year on record by some measures.

    The whole thing is immensely complex to model, and there are lots of datasets, and they won’t all match up, and using a single one as the basis of ANYTHING is tabloid dumfeckery, but a shallowing out of a rate of growth in one set of data doesn’t disprove warming, it just indicates an increased amount of uncertainty in where things are predicted to go from here.

    Rockape63
    Member

    The whole thing is immensely complex to model

    Clearly!

    nerd
    Member

    To the OP: please explain:
    1. How releasing carbon dioxide into the atmosphere doesn’t cause the atmosphere to warm. Please make a reference to the cretaceous period and Venus.
    2. Please provide a breakdown of the “green taxes” you pay and how they are spent.

    spchantler
    Member

    the mind boggles as to why anyone would want to debate this, the point is shirley, who’s willing to gamble with THE EFFING EARTH? oh, everyone.

    Premier Icon Brainflex
    Subscriber

    good thing there was never an ice age.

    marcus7
    Member

    Brainflex, there was an ice age you know! I prefer ice age 2 myself but will watch any of them at a push

    CountZero
    Member

    I was enjoying Ice Age 3, then there was a power cut and I missed the end.

    Premier Icon aracer
    Subscriber

    who’s willing to gamble with THE EFFING EARTH? oh, everyone.

    Yes, especially all those who are gambling that AGW is the most important issue we face.

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