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The Coronavirus Dis...
 

The Coronavirus Discussion Thread.

 dazh
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The two posts were the medium stats article, and the Washington post article, both of which were giving clear logical encouragement to practice social distancing.


 
Posted : 18/03/2020 9:19 am
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Good. One less platform for the panic merchants.

Denying people a platform to amplify and spread shite doesn’t equal censorship.

Except this isnt sharing to the outside wider world of groups its sharing on your own personal page. Sharing from legitimate main stream media - some may have views on the Indy on that front. Seen an article on Techcrunch saying it was a glitch with the filters or over zealous application of them - I still prefer my cat memes theory.


 
Posted : 18/03/2020 9:48 am
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Facebook censoring posts about the virus now.

Great! I hope they extend it to the anti-vaxers and all other associated ****-wits spreading dangerous lies and misinformation.

I'm always staggered that people look to social media for information, given that its an unregulated space where any old lunatic can say whatever they like and pass it off as fact.

But apparently people do, so if this marks the beginning of some kind of reigning in of the wilder excesses, then it's a good thing and would mark them actually taking responsibility for the horse-shit that gets peddled as 'facts' on their platforms.

Command economy, police and army on the streets (soon), and censorship of social media.

Don't be ridiculous! Hysterical nonsense! pointing out that people are talking bollocks on the interweb is hardly the establishment of a police state, is it?


 
Posted : 18/03/2020 9:48 am
 dazh
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Hysterical nonsense! pointing out that people are talking bollocks is hardly the establishment of a police state, is it?

No the police state is currently being enshrined in law as we speak. I'm not saying it's not necessary, given everyone here is carrying on as normal and still saying 'it's just the flu, what's all the fuss about' it almost definitely is. Sharing non-official news articles should not be censored though, especially if they're critical of the government's deficient response.

https://twitter.com/Peston/status/1240042142678089730?s=20


 
Posted : 18/03/2020 9:54 am
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null


 
Posted : 18/03/2020 9:56 am
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I’m always staggered that people look to social media for information, given that its an unregulated space where any old lunatic can say whatever they like and pass it off as fact.

As we noted earlier in this (or possilby another coronavirus thread), that's not far off Kuensberg's Tory re-tweets on the BBC News Homepage.


 
Posted : 18/03/2020 9:58 am
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In work today, partially closed school, have one lesson to teach, bored off my tits but cant stay at home and work there till needed.


 
Posted : 18/03/2020 10:02 am
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I’m always staggered that people look to social media for information, given that its an unregulated space where any old lunatic can say whatever they like and pass it off as fact

Johnson has been skipping critical or tough interviews (Neil, Today,GMB)

In favour of carefully selected questions on Facebook

& It's worked very well for him so far


 
Posted : 18/03/2020 10:08 am
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Can we just go for - Facebook filtering have done something odd, alarmist nonsense outside the safe space of the rabbit hole is bad. Seems like it's a tech issue. Otherwise we're going to chew through all the tinfoil never mind the bog roll before we're finished. We all need hats now and then.


 
Posted : 18/03/2020 10:10 am
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Are Peston and Kuensburg being used as mouthpieces to soften us up? Seems to me that they're being fed pieces with more extreme numbers and dates than the government subsequently announces.

On a similar note, ITV news was on in the background yesterday- for a while it seemed like one of those Pathe newsreels from WWII designed to keep morale up.


 
Posted : 18/03/2020 10:10 am
 tomd
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Except this isnt sharing to the outside wider world of groups its sharing on your own personal page. Sharing from legitimate main stream media – some may have views on the Indy on that front. Seen an article on Techcrunch saying it was a glitch with the filters or over zealous application of them – I still prefer my cat memes theory.

Most of the hysterical content on facebook I've seen is being very widely disseminated through popular local news pages, not through individuals. Mrs Miggins take a snapshop of her decimated local Tesco and posts it to "News and Views Cleethorpes" and it gets pinged out to 10,000 people who share it. For all the BBC News facebook feeds, you have many more of the opaque "News and Incidents North East" volunteer type outfits that share any old crap with zero accountability. "Panic reported at A&E after man with CV dies the general hospital". This isn't to mention all the overtly conspiratorial groups in Facebook.

Facebook is an absolute aberration at the best of times, and this type of event just highlights how flawed a concept it is. They're stuck between the fact that fear and anger drives interactions (which is good for business), but building a business on stoking fear and anger is corrosive.


 
Posted : 18/03/2020 10:16 am
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On a similar note, ITV news was on in the background yesterday- for a while it seemed like one of those Pathe newsreels from WWII designed to keep morale up.

BBC news actually said the following to end their Coronavirus report last night

"This is the challenge of our generation... to find the great in Britain and defend our proud island nation"

I swore at the telly. They've been at it on Radio 4 this morning too with the world war 2 references, in this case Vera Lynn and the 'Spirit of the Blitz'

Oh do just **** right off!!


 
Posted : 18/03/2020 10:16 am
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Most of the hysterical content on facebook I’ve seen is being very widely disseminated through popular local news pages, not through individuals

and on this thread


 
Posted : 18/03/2020 10:23 am
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Posted : 18/03/2020 10:27 am
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and on this thread

+100..


 
Posted : 18/03/2020 10:37 am
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I reckon that police state law was coming anyway after Brexit - quell the rebellion and so on. The Government have just seen an opportunity to bring it in 8 months early.

To some (mostly the very very wealthy), this is an unbelievable opportunity and it has the double bonus that when a No Deal Brexit crash-lands on 1st January 2021, we'll all be softened up by months of virus restrictions and all the shortages and massive recession can be blamed on coronavirus.


 
Posted : 18/03/2020 10:40 am
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Just wondering when the STW public opinion might swing to actually closing schools?


 
Posted : 18/03/2020 10:40 am
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https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/18/japanese-flu-drug-clearly-effective-in-treating-coronavirus-says-china

Some hope, I’d assume it’d require a huge testing network to catch cases early enough to be effective, assuming you have ready access to the drug in the first place.


 
Posted : 18/03/2020 10:43 am
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Just wondering when the STW public opinion might swing to actually closing schools?

Schools are making that call. Waiting for the government to give instructions is pointless risk. Schools are, and will increasingly, shut or reduce the number of kids and teachers attending.


 
Posted : 18/03/2020 10:46 am
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Some hope,

That's another reason why following self-isolation advice is so crucial. We need to flatten the peak to give research like the above the chance to test more widely, and for pharma companies to scale up production of candidate drugs.

Nice to see at least some hope out there though.


 
Posted : 18/03/2020 10:47 am
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If there’s a lock down …could I drive 3 miles from my house to my shop?
I wouldn’t be in contact with anyone.

If we follow what other European countries are doing, yes. You wouldn’t be opening your shop and travelling to/from work is ok.
RM.


 
Posted : 18/03/2020 10:48 am
 dazh
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Just wondering when the STW public opinion might swing to actually closing schools?

They should have shut on Tuesday when they announced the social distancing measures. Keeping them open is giving people all the justification they need to carry on as normal. Until the govt discovers it's backbone and enforces this no one is going to take it seriously.


 
Posted : 18/03/2020 10:50 am
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Like everything the government plan to shut schools when no one turns up...

I took my kids out of school yesterday.


 
Posted : 18/03/2020 11:03 am
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@dazh: kids are at pretty much zero risk. The grandparents who'd be looking after many of them, even if aged under 70, are higher risk of getting seriously ill. Kids with coughs go home, family isolates, full lockdown happens more slowly.


 
Posted : 18/03/2020 11:05 am
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Schools are making that call.

Only as and when they dont have enough staff, without government action schools will stay open as much as they can.


 
Posted : 18/03/2020 11:06 am
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The risk “to kids” is irrelevant, it is about controlling the spread of this virus. Something that should be priority number one, together with testing, and should have been last week.


 
Posted : 18/03/2020 11:08 am
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Just wondering when the STW public opinion might swing to actually closing schools?

The government are passengers on this in particular.

The usual demographics will still apply so the sub section of staff and pupils who would always have been looking for an opportunity for a free holiday will take it. This will make it less and less possible for the remainder to hold any sort of line.

There will be many genuine cases too - so ability to function will fall away. By hook or by crook they'll be closed by the end of Friday IMO.

FWIW I do believe that the vast majority of staff and pupils wouldn't try to game it, but when the dam breaks, it breaks.


 
Posted : 18/03/2020 11:09 am
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Various measures from local schools and colleges :

- some are completely closed from today or tomorrow

- some are staying open just for children of medical and other key staff (child minding not teaching)

- some are staying open for some year groups only (youngest and/or exam year)


 
Posted : 18/03/2020 11:15 am
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kids are at pretty much zero risk. T

What about staff and the families of staff?

The government are passengers on this

They are choosing to be passengers.

By hook or by crook they’ll be closed by the end of Friday IMO.

I'm not convinced, without government instructions schools will stay open with ever dwindling numbers of staff and pupils.


 
Posted : 18/03/2020 11:17 am
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They should have shut on Tuesday when they announced the social distancing measures.

Should they?

I thought the thing was that shutting schools was one of the least effective isolation measures. Plus, major disruption, etc.


 
Posted : 18/03/2020 11:18 am
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Wife works in a school. They're still open until told otherwise. However a number of staff at having to self isolate so if it reaches a tipping point they'll have to close due to lack of staff.

We'll that is until the Gov alter rules on staff:pupil ratios.

A few schools round here are already closing due to lack of staff.


 
Posted : 18/03/2020 11:20 am
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I thought the thing was that shutting schools was one of the least effective isolation measures.

Why would you think that? Does it stand up to any serious examination at all? Or are you just repeating something you’ve been told?

Plus, major disruption, etc.

This is very true, and key. But should the government not be involved in mitigation measures, and giving both schools and parents clear guidance and support?


 
Posted : 18/03/2020 11:21 am
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We (school) are still open, but several schools around here have closed. We're looking at partial closure, starting with years 9, 10 and 12. We'll also be offering child care for students with parents in NHS/important services etc. About half of my form were out this morning.

We have no idea what's going on, schools are all making their own decisions, guidance from the government is non-existent.


 
Posted : 18/03/2020 11:22 am
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I think it is in the Imperial report that shows that all the other measure on social distancing are more effective than shutting schools so that will be the last thing. There is a link to the report a few pages back.


 
Posted : 18/03/2020 11:24 am
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There’s been a bit of fake news over ibuprofen and CV, but it seems from the BMJ there might be something in it, so paracetamol only in my house.

BMJ article


 
Posted : 18/03/2020 11:24 am
 dazh
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Should they?

Pretty much everyone I know who has kids has said to me 'What's the point in us not going out if we are sending our kids to school to catch it and bring it home'. They're right. If reducing the spread is the primary goal, then we should eliminate what is probably the primary vector for that spread. The risk to kids is irrelevant, it's their ability to spread it to those who are at high risk.


 
Posted : 18/03/2020 11:24 am
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I thought the thing was that shutting schools was one of the least effective isolation measures.

Macron said the opposite.

We have years 7, 11 and 13 in today, about half of year 7 arent in. Not sure on others.


 
Posted : 18/03/2020 11:25 am
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My daughter is a primary teacher & says about 50% of pupils didn't arrive today. Mainly due to someone in their home with symptoms. Pupils predominately from the Asian community which means many homes will have family members covering several generations. A couple of homes in my street also have that added issue of very young and very old living together.


 
Posted : 18/03/2020 11:26 am
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Should they?

I thought the thing was that shutting schools was one of the least effective isolation measures. Plus, major disruption, etc.

Yup, the downsides of shutting schools are not too difficult to understand.

Stikes me as the right call for all the obvious reasons.


 
Posted : 18/03/2020 11:28 am
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Kelvin

Schools are making that call. Waiting for the government to give instructions is pointless risk. Schools are, and will increasingly, shut or reduce the number of kids and teachers attending.

From our school it seems that they are waiting to be told.
Yr 6 had a trip to the football club arranged Tue/Wed (which is partly a council trip who are also landowners) this week [FC already closed with conformed cases] but the school just carried on as normal until 7am
The email said the council had cancelled the trip.... the way I read that is "we didn't have the balls to make a decision".

johnx2

kids are at pretty much zero risk.

Yeah so tell that to my boy, here is is in St. Thomas' P-ICU intubated for 10 days with novovirus.
He stopped breathing and had resuss countless times in those 10 days

https://photos.google.com/share/AF1QipN_vuCs4tavnaiy1pJ6buYYWJVgNSuHU8hU2afdyq3-RxK8QkPuS2gAnWdqHQnVEw?key=a1Y4NjdjZDhKTWxFR3NFanV2R3JwRnNSUGZHdE5n

The grandparents who’d be looking after many of them, even if aged under 70, are higher risk of getting seriously ill. Kids with coughs go home, family isolates, full lockdown happens more slowly.

So what happens to the parents in a high risk group or grandparents who live with them?

dazh

They should have shut on Tuesday when they announced the social distancing measures. Keeping them open is giving people all the justification they need to carry on as normal. Until the govt discovers it’s backbone and enforces this no one is going to take it seriously.

Amongst other things yes amongst some... and it's also amongst others simply making for a feeling of hopelessness that whilst the plan seems to be to infect everyone through their kids there is no point taking other measures. I also happen to be in a vulnerable group (possibly but who knows) because I have a compromised immune system so from a personal PoV I feel it would be better to get it ahead of the curve as the school will spread it back regardless of whatever else I do or do not do.


 
Posted : 18/03/2020 11:28 am
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Macron said the opposite.

They're a bit further down the path than we are. No doubt there will come a time when the balance changes and the UK closes schools too. (An obvious time would be around the Easter Holiday.)


 
Posted : 18/03/2020 11:30 am
 dazh
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As if things are not bad enough, the whole of central govt is about to grind to a halt...

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/18/top-uk-covid-19-expert-neil-ferguson-self-isolates-after-developing-symptoms


 
Posted : 18/03/2020 11:30 am
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Some hope, I’d assume it’d require a huge testing network to catch cases early enough to be effective, assuming you have ready access to the drug in the first place

Don't hold your breath. I reviewed the PMDA review of the approval

plus the recent publication on inhibition of COVID-19 in vitro. Whilst it may be possible, it will require large doses, issues of toxicity and IV administration. We shall see.

It's not approveed in EU or US.


 
Posted : 18/03/2020 11:31 am
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How soon is the start of the Easter school holidays? Perhaps the backstop was get to that as people are more likely to have some form of plan in place for kids being out of school. Then there is an 'island' to deal take the next steps from. That said events are moving so fast. Despite our relative concerns about government methods there is an massive amount to get through - ok, maybe an understatement - it is how do you eat an elephant. Thinking about most this is - yes, got that, oh but, repeat.

It's like opening shops for early for high risk groups. Entering a clean environment - good. Better chance of finding stock on shelves - good. How do they get there... public transport, early bus, clean, good. What about the later ones once other people have used them. How about by car? What about risk... The only certainty is people in communities will pulling together to get it to work. We're all just making this up as we go along. We are all facing different permutations of situations - most of us are stressed to some degree or other.

Despite my views on Mr Johnson - you have to want him to have got the right answers but have to accept no major situation ever, ever goes to plan.


 
Posted : 18/03/2020 11:31 am
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the plan seems to be to infect everyone

Yes, there's no vaccine and may never be one so everyone has to be infected to get resistance. There's no alternative.

It's just a case of trying to limit new cases to a level where we all get infected without overwhelming the NHS.


 
Posted : 18/03/2020 11:34 am
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