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[Closed] Next generation of EV?

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Yes, we’ve all seen that graph. Trouble with that is the sample set used to collate the data.

Its been debunked ‘000’s of times.

I look forward to seeing your better data....

and quite how many people are doing more than 150 miles a day which is basically the easy to handle range of these things.


 
Posted : 12/01/2019 9:43 pm
 Drac
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I’d be very sceptical of Dracs claims that VW are claiming for such range, VW have history of lying to the public so whatever they say has to be countered with empirical evidence before I go near any VW or subsidiary thereof.

Me too too but I do that for every manufacturer since owning a car with their claims of range compared to real world.

I bet your 62mph you get is was below what the manufacturer claims.


 
Posted : 12/01/2019 9:59 pm
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the next practical generation will have small capacity petrol engines to generate,top up battery capacity not to drive wheels

Mazda are doing this, with a small, single-rotor ****el rotary engine mounted horizontally in the bottom of the car to provide a constant supply to the electric motor/s and battery. Seems like the best of both worlds to me.
As far as range is concerned, it’s certainly the case that for the majority of driving, an EV would be fine - I drive around 35 miles/day as my commute to work, which I could do on one charge per week, around 155 miles. I have no access to chargers at work, but a charger at home would be fine. However, in rural areas like the West Country, filling stations are becoming rarer, and 24-hour almost non-existent. If you forget to fill up and drive home from Bristol late at night on the A420, there are no filling stations open at all as far as Chippenham, where I live, and none in the town. The one closest to me stopped 24 hour service several years ago, the only service is on the M4! That also means no vehicle charging either.
There are companies who are converting old classic cars to EV, like Morris Minors.
However, there is a cost implication - the conversion can cost somewhere around £20k...


 
Posted : 12/01/2019 10:19 pm
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I thought this was an interesting read that highlights where we aren't quite there with the UK infrastructure.
https://www.autocar.co.uk/car-news/features/kona-edinburgh-700-miles-hyundais-new-ev-masses

Slightly OT (public transport rather than cars) I'm always surprised there isn't more noise being made about trolley buses as a solution to city pollution.


 
Posted : 12/01/2019 10:32 pm
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There's a 50kW Pod Point in Lidl on the A420 in Bristol which is open till 22:00 every night except Sunday and it's free. There are others in the science park and at motorway sevices near Chippenham.

I'm sure you'd find a charge point somewhere in the last 200km of your journey home, Countzero. Check:

https://www.zap-map.com/live/

Edit: interesting Mick, on our trip in the UK we found one out-of-order charger, it worked but cut out after a couple of minutes. We drove slowly to the next one. The mobile app usually tells you when chargers are broken or in use so I don't know why that journo turned up at so many broken ones.


 
Posted : 12/01/2019 10:52 pm
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re: the i3 range extender being dropped here but not in the USA, there were some interesting stats from Tom Callow of Chargemaster:

USA
- 1,000,000 EVs (1 per 327 people, 1 per 3 sq mi)
- 2,368 rapid chargers (1 per 420 EVs, 138,000 people and 1,250 sq mi)

UK
- 185,000 EVs (1 per 360 people, 1 per 0.5 sq mi)
- 1,798 rapid chargers (1 per 103 EVs, 37,000 people and 52 sq mi)

link - that's per charger (not site) and includes Tesla superchargers.

Take away Tesla's huge presence in the US (which you can't use with non-Teslas) and it's a pretty dismal state of affairs if you have a Leaf, i3, Volt, etc. Even on busy California routes like LA-SF where you'd expect plenty of EV drivers, the infrastructure is dismal if you're outside the Tesla network - the main interstate has virtually nothing, you have to go another way in most cars.

Compare with the UK's map of CCS rapid chargers (the type the BMW i3 and most European cars use, but less common than the Chademo standard that the Leaf uses):

[img] [/img]

We're actually pretty well served for rapid charging, as is much of Europe. The Ionity venture (of which BMW is part) is about putting more and faster non-Tesla rapid charging points along major European routes.

BMW needs the range extender in the US. With 180+ miles in the latest i3 and easily available rapid charging, it doesn't make so much sense over here to add the weight and complexity of an engine, fuel tank, etc just to give you another 80 miles of cruising range.


 
Posted : 12/01/2019 11:17 pm
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Madame has just checked the charge points for picking up junior from Toulouse airport. It's about 400km round trip so we'll need a charge somewhere. Charging too soon will be slow because a nearly full battery is slow to charge and charging too late is risky so we'll charge at about half way, with another half a dozen charge points to go at if the first doesn't work. The charge will be about 1hr and 2e unless we charge on the autoroute in which case it's 18e/hr.


 
Posted : 12/01/2019 11:20 pm
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the Zoé offers no saving compared with the equivalent petrol Clio even with cheaper insurance and servicing, and that’s with low French electricity prices.

Back when we drove a lot more and used off-peak electricity our Zoe was 1/10th of the price per mile in fuel as our Skoda Fabia. It was a more expensive car, but the servicing is much cheaper, the insurance is about the same and the tax is zero. If we had kept doing that mileage it would have been cheaper overall in just a few years.

HOWEVER the Fabia doesn't have remote preheat and defrost, which for this bit of the year is so incredibly awesome I don't think I could face having a car without it now. I haven't scraped a windscreen or waited for it to clear in a year and a half, and the car is always nice and warm when I get in. And all EVs do this, even the cheap ones.


 
Posted : 12/01/2019 11:27 pm
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That map looks great but how many different apps, subscriptions and cards do you need for it, Simon? In Germany there are about 50. Until all chargers can be used with a credit card charging will remain problematic for the long-distance traveller. Imagine petrol station infrastructure if you could only fill your BMW at a BMW petrol station and your Renault at a Renault station with a working mobile phone. We charged our Renault at Nissan in a UK dealers for free. 🙂

Our most comical expereinces was in Spain in the middle of nowhere where there was a shiney new Recargas charger in the car park. I checked the phone, no mobile network, went to a bar for wi-fi, wi-fi too unreliable to connect. But the nice man told us to wander around because there was a phone network in some places. So Madame went for a walk while I waited with charger. She set the charger off when she found a phone signal and I plugged the car in.

Edit: you've forgotten to factor in the battery lease cost per mile in addition to the leccy, Phil. When you do that it's about the same price as petrol.


 
Posted : 12/01/2019 11:32 pm
 igm
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There is an argument that 500-1000W V2G enabled chargers everywhere (so not even 3kW, and at that level they could be dirt cheap AC connections) supplemented by a few fast chargers may be the best charging solution. A few metering issues to sort but nothing insurmountable (mind you, SMETS2 😳). Better matches the profile of low carbon generation and I hate the idea of running fixed storage to charge an EV battery

Fast charging is not good. Ask the techies at car companies, ask those who understand power flow on grids.

Long journeys? Supplementary towable power packs are already available, and maybe motorail will start to rise again. Reality is average mileage is about 10kWh a day (or a quarter of a 2018 Nissan LEAF’s battery). Long journeys are the exception and we need to think differently about them.

And ICE? Well it’s going, the only question is when.


 
Posted : 12/01/2019 11:51 pm
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You can buy a battery trailer for the Zoé.

Pretty sure it's not type approved for a tow bar. Friend wanted to fit a bike rack to his leaf and tow bar was out, roofrack would kill the range too much.

I'm with Molgrips on the "performance for free" thing. Used to race RC cars as a kid (from about 1990) and I always thought you should be able to build a real car with that kind of acceleration and Tesla proved if and in terms of all out power it doesnt have much, it just makes the torque very usable. A gen 1 leaf only has something like 100hp but it uses it very well. The power band of a petrol and diesel engine is a curve and that quoted figure is only available at the correct RPM so you have to be at that RPM to get the full power. The rest of the time you don't have that power.

An electric motor just makes the power so much more accessible and at a low rpm. Where the EVs fall flat is top speed, that can be fixed with a gearbox of course but there is no point. Enjoy the torque at nice safe speeds!

As for the pickup, had my eye on this since they announced it. IT was said to be around £60k, a lot of money but if it is rated for 3 to 3.5T then I will get one (and break my rule about financing cars). I know it's aimed at the leisure market but it would be great for towing the sheep trailer.


 
Posted : 12/01/2019 11:54 pm
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So reading through bits of this thread, how many different types of chargers are there? Are they all compatible with each other?


 
Posted : 12/01/2019 11:56 pm
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just to add, I suspect it will be a lot more than £60k though 🙁


 
Posted : 12/01/2019 11:59 pm
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I bet your 62mph you get is was below what the manufacturer claims.

It is exactly what the manufacturer claims.

Dont forget, and this is a huge point... I drive very very conservatively and slowly... y’all should know that as I’ve posted that 00’s of time on here. Other owners get 45-56mpg.. just says more about driving styles doesn’t it.

As far as data, Mike you are great at chucking stats out, but I for one would like to know what car you own/drive. And more to the point, would you own/drive an EV now, today?


 
Posted : 13/01/2019 12:01 am
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Europe has screwed up with chargers by not adopting the japanese ones IMO.

tbh it would have been nice if Tesla or whoever was first to the post had just created an open standard with an AC connector and a very different DC connector.

It is also a shame with all these skateboard chassis concepts that there can't be a couple of standard battery shapes. Maybe it will come eventually as designs mature but I doubt it as by then battery technology will be at the point cost has really come down, degredation reduced and charge rates so fast that hot swap is not needed as an option.


 
Posted : 13/01/2019 12:03 am
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As far as data, Mike you are great at chucking stats out, but I for one would like to know what car you own/drive. And more to the point, would you own/drive an EV now, today?

I don't own a car, I hire what I need when I need it, since coming back from Oz I've got no day to day need for one, in fact having one sitting around would be a pain and just cost me money for nothing, I've got access to a share car scheme for short easy trips. Proper hire for everything else, had everything from golf/astra/beatles to Transits for the days I need.

There are 6 or 8 charging points within 500m of where I live so an EV would be a simple and easy option but I don't need to pay depreciation on an asset.

What that has done (i've not owned a car for 3 years now I think) is you lose the addiction to the car, the idea of owning something that simply cost you money makes very little sense.

But anyway lets have your stats on the UK's mileage, there is a reason I like data and stats, it means you can actually make informed rather than impassioned decisions.


 
Posted : 13/01/2019 12:07 am
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There a three common modern plugs and a few historic one that you can get adaptors for.

1, the humble domestic plug - 18hrs (greenup) or 24hrs to charge Zoé.
2, "Type 2" which is AC and rated at 3,7,18,22 or 43kW. 1.5-14hrs
3, CHAdeMO which is 50kW DC. under an hour to 80% with a Leaf.

Type 2 are the most common because they don't require a big thick cables and a big trnasformer nearby to run them. There are about thousand towns/villages in France with a type 2. CHAdeMO needs a three phase supply and a solid electricity supply to they can't be installed anywhere and everywhere.

Edit: Type 2 which Tesla use is the common standard.


 
Posted : 13/01/2019 12:13 am
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As far as milage goes we get through about 15k per year. I have no idea how but we do, probably a lot to do with location and having to take the long way to get anywhere. Public transport is one bus or train to Glasgow per hour or a bus that will get me to Ayr in the same time I could drive to Edinburgh (not that I would but, you know). I work 7.5miles away, the missus gets free train travel to her work so we're in as good a position as we can be work wise but to visit friends or family is a 50 plus mile round trip.

Still reckon an EV could cope with that.


 
Posted : 13/01/2019 12:27 am
 Drac
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What car do you own Bikebouy I have a Golf GTE it doesn’t do what the manufacturer claims as I don’t drive on treadmill but it seems so Ok.


 
Posted : 13/01/2019 12:30 am
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Still reckon an EV could cope with that.

Yeah easily, before I left the UK apart from the fact I had a converted van as my main drive I reckon 98% of my journeys would have been fine with a 300 mile EV, 95% with a 180 mile one so long as the main work car park or big chain hotel had charging points, I think I was up at 30k a year. 125 mile trips twice a week, 40 mile round trip commute on the other days. Do those miles at 5p/mile and it would pay for itself.


 
Posted : 13/01/2019 12:35 am
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We are moving in 6 weeks and my cross-country commute will increase to 30 miles but the motorway alternative will stay the same at 35 miles.

I am desperate to switch to EV but sadly a 24kwh leaf just won't work and something like an outlander phev would maybe get 80% of the way there before turning into an expensive to run petrol SUV.

40kwh leafs are holding their value well and the high capacity battery Zoes are all on lease which will cost more than my current diesel bill. Current car is a mercedes E250 CDI estate which I love, having suffered for 5 years from getting T-boned in a small hatchback by an MPV the merc feels indestructible but I am racking up the miles on it and the cross country route is not exactly getting great mpg through the winter.


 
Posted : 13/01/2019 12:46 am
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"Preorder the R1T™ Truck to experience the thrill of navigating the world in an Electric Adventure Vehicle™. Starting price of $61,500 after Federal Tax rebate. Range of 250+ to 400+ miles."

I wasnt imagining things. I suspect that is not the one with the battery getting 300 miles range though.

US specs state 5000kg tow weight which is fantastic but it will be capped at 3500kg in the UK (as with all US pickups) but good to know that our measly 3500kg trailers wont stress it.

The payload is only 800kg, presumably due to the batteries, which means it wont qualify for the commercial BIK savings so that will rule out a lot of potential business purchases in the UK.


 
Posted : 13/01/2019 1:22 am
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The big mistake about EV, I think so any way, is the non standardisation of batteries and charging between the Car companies.

Petrol and diesel are the same from every garage. Wouldn’t it be nice if, instead of stopping to slowly pump electrons back into a battery, you could just pop in a new freshly filled battery cell?

Yes, the complete battery change would need many cells swapping out, but most commutes and regular drives do not empty the battery entirely. Maybe you could just install the number of cells you need for your journey?

Some people may need assistance with the battery cell swapping, but that just means having a person employed to do so. As in days of old when attendents would pump the fuel for you!


 
Posted : 13/01/2019 9:07 am
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That’s why we need governments stepping in to control the situation. Batteries should be recycled into more batteries at EOL.

The problem is the length of that life. Both in resources and cost. Having the major part of the car suffer such massive degregation over 8 years is no good. Love electric cars but the batteries life is a major issue. I posted a interesting link on page one for interested parties.


 
Posted : 13/01/2019 9:07 am
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The largest mineable reserves are in Argentina, Australia, China and Chile, carried on big ships bunkering the worst heavy oils to pollute the atmosphere. In 2017, 50% of lithium used was in batteries; some estimates are 80% by 2027 (roskill.com). This will mean a massive increase in mining, production and transportation, and the associated pollution, to stay ahead of consumption
Lithium in batteries is recyclable, but very little effort is put into this, which considering the 5-year warranty for EV batteries from some manufacturers is odd. A lot more thought needs to be put into battery production, recycling and standardisation before EVs become the pancea that the motor industry is promising


 
Posted : 13/01/2019 9:47 am
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people are generally too selfish to make the necessary sacrifices to shift to non-ICE cars.


 
Posted : 13/01/2019 10:28 am
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people are generally too selfish to make the necessary sacrifices to shift away from private car ownership.

FTFY

Classic case in point - electric cars are great for cities, suburban areas etc. You mean the exact same areas that are likely to have better public transport or cycling infrastucture to begin with never mind what could be achieved with less cars clogging up streets?

If you want to make serious environmental change it's modal shift you need, not the method of propulsion.


 
Posted : 13/01/2019 10:51 am
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Wouldn’t it be nice if, instead of stopping to slowly pump electrons back into a battery, you could just pop in a new freshly filled battery cell?

Because the fast charge is the exception, on the go charging is for the rare journeys that go outside of the normal range.


 
Posted : 13/01/2019 10:57 am
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Having the major part of the car suffer such massive degregation over 8 years is no good.

The average life of a UK car has only recently risen from 8 to 10 years - how many of the cars that go to the breakers have already had major engine/gearbox work to keep them on the road?. Lots. 8 years for the lithium batteries is a guess, we still don't know if they will suffer massive degradation over eight years. What we do know is that Tesla taxis go to 400 000 km and still have good batteries.And even if they do "massively degrade" the battery can be changed in 15 minutes on a Zoé. One of the reasons I chose the Zoé was that I think leasing the battery is a good deal, if capacity drops significantly they change it. If you sell the second hand buyer benefits from the same system so there's no need to worry about the state of the battery when you buy.

What you say about Lithium mining and transport is true, Timba. The oil industry pollutes far more to bring you oil from around the world which you then simply burn with 0% recycling. As for recycling lithium, there are some plants running that recycle very high percentages of lithium and use the residue in building blocks. What they lack at present to go large scale and profitable is large quantities of end-of-life batteries.

"make sacrifices" are the wrong words, Brakes. If you go through this thread then I think you'll find "poor", "impossible to charge at home", "stingy", "justifiably sceptical about finding working fast chargers", "mislead and ignorant", "confirmed petrol head" as reasons or justifications for not buying an EV. If I'm being "selfish" it's because I'm using an EV that still has a high carbon footprint and clogs up the road network however green it's marketed to be.


 
Posted : 13/01/2019 11:01 am
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Love how bikebouy always manages to find a way to have a dig about bikes on the a32 in just about every thread.


 
Posted : 13/01/2019 11:10 am
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The real issue around EV’s is just that as above - they aren’t green.
By the time a Prius or Zoe is on the showroom floor it’s as polluting as a small 16v ice car being built and run for around 8yrs.
Using batteries isn’t the way to go ultimately but it’s easy to tell people it is as it isn’t that hard to develop from existing tech.


 
Posted : 13/01/2019 11:15 am
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people are generally too selfish to make the necessary sacrifices to shift to non-ICE cars.

That's never going to change so you need to make policy that reflects that. One important thing will be government policy that makes EVs attractive for users. In order to achieve that, you need to ditch the annoying smugness because that offends voters and politicians have to respond to voters or they will be voted out of power. See D.J. Trump vs H.R. Clinton, for example. Polls showed that many people who voted for Trump believed he lacked the temperament and ability to do the job, but they loathed Clinton so much that they voted for him anyway. Calling people "selfish" because they don't do what you want is counterproductive to achieving the changes you want.


 
Posted : 13/01/2019 11:20 am
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Having the major part of the car suffer such massive degregation over 8 years is no good.

There is an ad at the moment for the Corsa, playing on the perceptions of nothing being included on the base model of a car. Flip that around to ICE vs EV. Yep the battery could need replacing at 8 years.
They don't explain to you in the sales pitch that the ICE contains a magic fluid that needs replacing 1-2 times a year and is more expensive than anything you heard of, or that it will require consumables like filters to be swapped out on a regular basis etc.
Anyone got the 8-10 year cost of oil, filters etc. for their car? Couple that with the cost improved pence per mile you get every day makes the life costs look a lot different.
That you have to travel to a special place to increase your millage range, and you have to do the chemical transfer yourself, it won't just do it over night when you are at home.


 
Posted : 13/01/2019 11:29 am
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Interesting thread and the one stand out point for me has been the realisation that extracting the raw material for the batteries, manufacturing the cells, shipping them to market and the relatively new and not yet fully implemented large scale recycling of them kinda makes the whole EV initiative a bit smoke and mirror-ish.

I guess, for the end consumers’ conscience, it removes them from their direct involvement with pollution creation by not directly burning fossil fuel to get from A to B and possibly C and thereby gives them a warm fuzzy feeling of doing their bit. However, the pollutants and environmental impact created from the aforementioned mining, production and lack of recycling skews the whole argument. I guess, that once these issues and their effects are minimised, then EV will becomes the lesser of all evils.

Overall, it’s a lovely concept, let’s not forget the overall impact and cost before the holier than thou attitude 😉


 
Posted : 13/01/2019 11:38 am
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By the time a Prius or Zoe is on the showroom floor it’s as polluting as a small 16v ice car being built and run for around 8yrs.

What's your source for this claim?


 
Posted : 13/01/2019 11:48 am
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Overall, it’s a lovely concept, let’s not forget the overall impact and cost before the holier than thou attitude

And put a full side by side with the ICE for comparison, as said above the used batteries are going into bulk storage in many cases which allows home users to get more out of locally installed renewable.
Also you can't discount the direct impact of air pollution in cities and built up areas - see the Variable speed limit thread about the need to slow the M1 down to reduce pollution levels to the LEGAL MAXIMUM at schools.
It's a complex equation


 
Posted : 13/01/2019 11:49 am
 Drac
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Interesting thread and the one stand out point for me has been the realisation that extracting the raw material for the batteries, manufacturing the cells, shipping them to market and the relatively new and not yet fully implemented large scale recycling of them kinda makes the whole EV initiative a bit smoke and mirror-ish.

Where as petrol and diesel just magically appears.


 
Posted : 13/01/2019 11:49 am
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the ICE contains a magic fluid that needs replacing 1-2 times a year and is more expensive than anything you heard of

I've heard of a substance called "cocaine" which is apparently quite expensive. If I sell the magic fluid in my car, how much "cocaine" do you figure I'll get?


 
Posted : 13/01/2019 11:49 am
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I’ve heard of a substance called “cocaine” which is apparently quite expensive. If I sell the magic fluid in my car, how much “cocaine” do you figure I’ll get?

I'd imagine you would get more "cocaine" than you would saffron.

Where as petrol and diesel just magically appears.

Missing the point again. Which, oddly enough is made in the paragraph you didn't quote.

I guess, for the end consumers’ conscience, it removes them from their direct involvement with pollution creation by not directly burning fossil fuel to get from A to B and possibly C and thereby gives them a warm fuzzy feeling of doing their bit. However, the pollutants and environmental impact created from the aforementioned mining, production and lack of recycling skews the whole argument. I guess, that once these issues and their effects are minimised, then EV will becomes the lesser of all evils.


 
Posted : 13/01/2019 12:00 pm
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Where as petrol and diesel just magically appears.

Tedious. Where did I suggest that petrol and oil extraction wasn’t as environmentally damaging as extracting lithium?

As Mike correctly states, it’s a complex equation. My point was supporting the earlier comment that EV is not the panacea that some would like it to be.

Edit: @squrrelking said it for me, cheers


 
Posted : 13/01/2019 12:02 pm
 Drac
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Missing the point again. Which, oddly enough is made in the paragraph you didn’t quote.

No, we get that but you seemed to forget drilling, shipping and refining oil then the fuels also has impact.

Tedious. Where did I suggest that petrol and oil extraction wasn’t as environmentally damaging as extracting lithium?

Right next to the page where people claim there is no impact from mining for lithium.


 
Posted : 13/01/2019 12:02 pm
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Another aspect of the standardisation/recycling discussion is the rare earth elements used in the motor, electronic and magnet components. Standard components would help here too


 
Posted : 13/01/2019 12:02 pm
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Where as petrol and diesel just magically appears.

I agree with the sentiment, the point is that you exchange one form of pollution for another. China has massive reserves of lithium, and a less than sparkling record in industrial pollution


 
Posted : 13/01/2019 12:04 pm
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The real issue around EV’s is just that as above – they aren’t green.
By the time a Prius or Zoe is on the showroom floor it’s as polluting as a small 16v ice car being built and run for around 8yrs.

That smells like bollocks to me.


 
Posted : 13/01/2019 12:04 pm
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Well done hols digging in deep again!!
What's the 10 year cost of running your car? Anybody got a figure for that? Somebody must have all the receipts and be able to split out ICE vs running gear/brakes stuff that you need on an EV

That’s never going to change so you need to make policy that reflects that. One important thing will be government policy that makes EVs attractive for users. In order to achieve that, you need to ditch the annoying smugness because that offends voters

The current petrol golf has a blue track thing that tracks how you are driving, get an output from that into an app, most new cars do something similar. If you could harvest that data and then show people how their life would need to change in an EV - ie How many of their journeys would not have been possible in different vehicles.


 
Posted : 13/01/2019 12:06 pm
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