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EU Referendum - are...
 

[Closed] EU Referendum - are you in or out?

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That not only did we **** ourselves over, but we ****ed everyone else over too.

Yay us!


 
Posted : 07/12/2016 12:40 pm
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When we have left and everything within the EU is increasingly spiralling downwards out of control what will the Remainers say then ?

Oh shit our major trading partner and massive economy is in trouble, what can we do now that we have screwed our economy and left ourselves out of trading partners etc.....


 
Posted : 07/12/2016 12:41 pm
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@cchris (the picture is always very complicated but oil related is still a major driver, these are big ticket investmensts and the low oil price is severely restricting investment and in fact driving plant shut downs)

Total industrial production dropped by 1.3% in October, after falling 0.4% in September. The temporary closure of a major oilfield was the main factor.

BTW Economists had predicted a rise.


 
Posted : 07/12/2016 12:45 pm
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When we have left and everything within the EU is increasingly spiralling downwards out of control what will the Remainers say then ?

I would say we should have stayed with it to ensure that did not happen.


 
Posted : 07/12/2016 12:46 pm
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@mike the EU has been of declining importance for 10 years. It's a region is Economic distress and we need to refoxis away globally and leaving the EU allows us to do that


 
Posted : 07/12/2016 12:47 pm
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[quote=jambalaya ]
When we have left and everything within the EU is increasingly spiralling downwards out of control what will the Remainers say then ?

I know you live in a fantasy world, but do you honestly think that if the EU collapses as you want it to, that an independent UK would be immune from the fallout??? That we would be any less impacted by the implosion you're predicting???


 
Posted : 07/12/2016 12:47 pm
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jambalaya - Member
When we have left and everything is still shit and going rapidly downhill who will the Little englanders blame then?
When we have left and everything within the EU is increasingly spiralling downwards out of control what will the Remainers say then ?

Why did you break the EU, was it out of spite? 😆 (I doubt it'll happen anyhow life continues regardless.)


 
Posted : 07/12/2016 12:47 pm
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That not only did we * ourselves over, but we * everyone else over too. Yay us!

Which will greatly please anyone who voted leave to **** over the neo-liberal establishment.


 
Posted : 07/12/2016 12:47 pm
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Do you think that's a good thing then?

When something's broken you try to fix it, not set fire to it.


 
Posted : 07/12/2016 12:50 pm
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The figures are bad even with excluding the oil.

The EU commission has fined banks for fixing rates, I wonder what the UK government would have done, apart from giving them billions of taxpayers money?


 
Posted : 07/12/2016 12:54 pm
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"Do you think that's a good thing then?"

No.


 
Posted : 07/12/2016 12:56 pm
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When we have left and everything within the EU is increasingly spiralling downwards out of control what will the Remainers say then ?

Dear me you are pitiful, is that what you want? Europe to go bust?


 
Posted : 07/12/2016 12:59 pm
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Grumpysculler - what bad things the ECHR has done? Name 1

I disagree with both the Qatada and Ibrahim judgements and think it is wrong of the European court to intervene here. I also think the prisoner votes issue should stay out of Europe.

Recent judgements start to look like they are moving to making law rather than applying law. I disagree with the USA supreme court ruling on same sex marriage and their constitution for similar reasons (even though I believe in same sex marriage).

I believe that the individual right to petition is being abused, leading to the court being overworked.

I also believe that the European court has done a whole pile of good stuff. My argument is with the poster who said "look at all the good stuff the court has done" (even though some of it wasn't from that court) and suggested that because it had done some good in its existence then it must be good overall - which seems to me a weak argument.

Personally, I think the court needs reformed and the distinction between making and applying law needs to be reinforced. The role of the court has been lost over time and it is become too political. It needs to go back to being judicial.


 
Posted : 07/12/2016 1:17 pm
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Recent judgements start to look like they are moving to making law rather than applying law.

Isn't this one and the same thing?? No-one knows 100% what a particular statute means until it's tested in court.


 
Posted : 07/12/2016 2:08 pm
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Of ceases referred to the echr, what % uphold the uk court ruling and % find against uk court ruling.


 
Posted : 07/12/2016 2:10 pm
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The fact we're discussing the ECHR on an EU thread shows how little we (the public) understand all this.

Should never have been put to a public vote IMHO.


 
Posted : 07/12/2016 2:13 pm
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When we have left and everything within the EU is increasingly spiralling downwards out of control what will the Remainers say then

I'll probably rush out an buy a copy of the Daily Fail to advise me who I should blame next. Fortunately PISA has me already looking at the Welsh!


 
Posted : 07/12/2016 2:24 pm
 igm
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Should never have been put to a public vote IMHO.

How true.


 
Posted : 07/12/2016 3:13 pm
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Should or shouldn't be put to the vote - doesnt matter - it was. Live with it.

What does a red, white, and blue Brexit actually mean?

Why the angst over this - its a simple tag line. It means that TM will seek a unique outcome for the UK - good luck Theresa! - nothing new in this, they have been saying that all along. Plenty to criticise but that is hardly up there with the important issues.


 
Posted : 07/12/2016 3:39 pm
 igm
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It's funny THM. I'm finding more and more to laugh at in Brexit.


 
Posted : 07/12/2016 3:52 pm
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Perhaps we should have a news blackout for a week? Other than the SC ruling, now't is going to happen of significance


 
Posted : 07/12/2016 3:57 pm
 igm
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True again


 
Posted : 07/12/2016 4:02 pm
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My mate Bob still hasn't got his £36k job and doesn't understand why it's not all sorted, rumour has it the business he works for has stopped importing European furniture due to cost and lack of UK demand and may be downsizing...


 
Posted : 07/12/2016 4:26 pm
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Of ceases referred to the echr, what % uphold the uk court ruling and % find against uk court ruling.

It's not too far off 50:50 of those that go to judgement (60:40 maybe), but the overwhelming majority of cases that go to the ECtHR get filtered and never reach judgement. So if you look at the % of submitted cases, it's probably in single digits.


 
Posted : 07/12/2016 5:23 pm
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the overwhelming majority of cases that go to the ECtHR get filtered and never reach judgement.

This is one of the popular misrepresentations of the ECHR I think.

Certain papers happily crow on about how the pedo/rapist/terrorist/baddie is [i]"taking his case to the European Court of Human Rights"[/i] but they fail to report that the ECHR then threw it out as complete nonsense.

In fact a huge number of cases are struck out or declared inadmissible:

[img] [/img]
(Sauce: [url= http://www.echr.coe.int/Documents/Stats_analysis_2015_ENG.pdf ]ECHR stats (PDF)[/url])


 
Posted : 07/12/2016 5:43 pm
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iirc its something like 99.5% go our way so 10 cases a year dont??
(im not sure if you count teresa may missing appeal deadlines in that number 😉 )

but it gives the little englanders somethging to rant about


 
Posted : 07/12/2016 5:44 pm
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In terms of UK violations of the convention, in 2015 there were 13 such judgements made and the UK was found to be violating the convention in 4 of them.

Source:

(page 11)


 
Posted : 07/12/2016 5:48 pm
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Hence the shouting about the echr being bad is bull. This is something I already knew but I find it amazing that people moan about it without having an idea about h many cases are overturned and and on what fine points of law they may rest.

But let's not let information get in the way.

Also second the entire European court is not the EU!


 
Posted : 07/12/2016 6:49 pm
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Anyone know when we can expect a result on today's motion?
Thought it was being voted on this evening?


 
Posted : 07/12/2016 8:09 pm
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@oldman €/£ was down around these levels in 2009 and 2011 (from memory)

@el_bent if we had PR it's likley UKIP would have had a far bigger vote share than 12% imo

@matty later tonight, 10 or 11pm ?

The motion is hardly a climb down if May wins hands down is it ? Publishes a [s]wishy washy[/s] sorry detailed Brexit negotiation plan at last minute in March and via the amendment means there has been explicit A50 approval. Job's a good 'un

Dear me you are pitiful, is that what you want? Europe to go bust?

We've been in the EU for 40 years and we've done all we could to stop their idiocy and all we get is critism and snide remarks that we are "holding back their progress". We have repeatedly pointed out the fatal flaws of the euro but they have just ploughed on regardless and expanded it to new members like Greece.

Pigface we have tried and failed to get them to see their folly. We (Cameron) offered them a golden opportunity to make some key chnages which could have avoided the Leave win but they only have Plan A in mind. Watch the segment on Newsnight, it's depressing how blind is the ex-EU commsioner.

Their fate is their responsibility. We must distance oirselves as much a possible as quickly as possible.


 
Posted : 07/12/2016 8:25 pm
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We have repeatedly pointed out the fatal flaws of the euro but they have just ploughed on regardless and expanded it to new members like Greece.

If you're talking about the currency, you'll have to explain the fatal flaw to this stupid bystander, as I see no fatal flaw.


 
Posted : 07/12/2016 8:30 pm
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We must distance oirselves as much a possible as quickly as possible.

Start up the engines… what's the eventual distinction? Moor just off the east coast of the USA?


 
Posted : 07/12/2016 8:42 pm
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"There is nothing to stop Parliament blocking A50 via an opposition motion"

That is interesting, as I thought that opposition motions were in no way binding on the government. Need to do some reading…


 
Posted : 07/12/2016 8:46 pm
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Anyone know when we can expect a result on today's motion?
Thought it was being voted on this evening?

Passed 448 vs 75. Timetable agreeed for A50 by end March. Must be a decent chance the Surpreme Court case is dead.

@kelvin it was a legal argument so there can be a counter argument, ie not certain.


 
Posted : 07/12/2016 8:53 pm
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Passed 448 vs 75. Timetable agreeed for A50 by end March. Must be a decent chance the Surpreme Court case is dead.

Well I suppose the court case is now irrelevant in the context of brexit, as parliament have technically now been consulted, but it still needs to be ruled on no? To prevent government bypassing parliament in future, which is the broader scope of the case?


 
Posted : 07/12/2016 8:56 pm
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Captainsasquatch. Acoording to Jamba and THM the euro will collapse 2 years ago and Greece will be thrown out 2 years ago. Dunno why it didn't happen

There is an issue in that it prevents countries devaluing if they need to.


 
Posted : 07/12/2016 8:59 pm
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Captainsasquatch. Acoording to Jamba and THM the euro will collapse 2 years ago and Greece will be thrown out 2 years ago. Dunno why it didn't happen

I hate it when other people have to answer on Jamba's behalf.
Cheers. 😀


 
Posted : 07/12/2016 9:02 pm
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If you're talking about the currency, you'll have to explain the fatal flaw to this stupid bystander, as I see no fatal flaw.

TMH is far more eloquent than I. I deleted what I was typing as it got a bit long, basically one monetary policy (eg interest rate) but many fiscal policies (eg country by country tax, spend and borrowing), no banking union (whatever central regulations say local oversight varies widely). Countries within the euro don't guaranty each other and it is widely believed the euro could not survive the default of one soveriegn member. All this creates huge stresses which many believe mean the euro could never work and have been saying so since it was created.


 
Posted : 07/12/2016 9:02 pm
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Court case is not irrelevant. Todays motion does not cover what the courts are looking at.

WE MUST hgave a vote in parliament on the triggering of article 50. todays motion merely says that the government expects MPS will vote for triggering article 50


 
Posted : 07/12/2016 9:02 pm
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mattyfez - Member
... but it still needs to be ruled on no? To prevent government bypassing parliament in future, which is tje broader scope of the case?

No sure about the court case but at least the majority of the politicians fall in line with the will of the people. 😛


 
Posted : 07/12/2016 9:03 pm
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Jamba - wasn't the Euro supposed to collapse two years ago? I seem to remember you stating it would.


 
Posted : 07/12/2016 9:03 pm
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Passed 448 vs 75. Timetable agreeed for A50 by end March. Must be a decent chance the Surpreme Court case is dead.

How do you come to that conclusion?


 
Posted : 07/12/2016 9:04 pm
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EDIT TJ you changed your post in inc editing out TMH who has consistently said the euro was fatally flawed. You removed the reference to Greece.

TJ I said that's what should happen, a Greek default. I worked on the contingency plans for a Greek default in 2010 (at direct instruction of the UK regulator, applied to all banks) and potential euro collapse as a result. The problems haven't gone away they have expanded due to being pushed off into the future.

@Nipper Parliament has approved the A50 timetable which means they have approved invoking A50. That's the argument and consistent with remark (note not judgement) by one of the Supreme court judges.


 
Posted : 07/12/2016 9:05 pm
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No - you said thats what [b]would[/b] happen. I told you at the time you were wrong.


 
Posted : 07/12/2016 9:09 pm
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tjagain - Member
No - you said thats what would happen. I told you at the time you were wrong.

Yaa, they are just prolonging the inevitable ...

It's just common sense innit who are going to give free money to Greece forever? Germany?

If they want to maintain EURO they need to cut their losses ... cut them loose.

Greece is like a business selling at a loss everyday with no chance or recouping the cost.


 
Posted : 07/12/2016 9:12 pm
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