I’m super excited for today’s stage. Sun is finally out at home, sitting watching a big Alpine stage in the TdF – seems like summer has finally arrived!
And the works IT system is all buggered thanks to Crowdstrike so just going to have to sit and watch the whole Tour stage instead. What a shame.
I think this stage will be brutal.
Tadej will want to win as Isola 2000 is his altitude base so he will want to win ‘at home’. He can attack on the final climb and win.
Jonas needs to take big time so I wouldn’t be surprised to see him attack on the Cima di Bonnette and then catch Van Aert/Laporte or whoever is in the break from Visma at the top.
Queue a huge fight for the break.
The Intermediate sprint is before the first climb, the Col du Vars, so I think Alpecin will control up to here for Phillipssen to get some points.
Then up the Col du Vars all hell will break loose going for the break. I expect an early grupetto and some sprinters to not make it up the first climb before abandoning (but I reckon Cav will battle on).
UAE won’t want to let a break go containing Visma riders for the reasons above. Lots of teams need to get into the break with only two stages to go. I expect a top 10 GC to get into the break. But I reckon this will take ages to form and may only have a small gap over the top of the Col du Vars.
In the words of Adam Blyth, it’s going to be a cracker