sorry, I was implicitly thinking the HT2 period onwards.
I do think I’m going to miss my HT2 BBs soon. My 6 month / 1000km external Dub BB started to creek pretty early in it’s life, but seems to be okay at the moment.
My last bike was external BB, I’d kill one a year, usually without warning, it would be fine, then a annoying squeal mid-ride, get home and sure enough the next day one of the cups would be seized, but it was okay – I’d walk 15 mins down the road to the LBS, they have one of those large blue Shimano displays with all the various bits and shits you might need. £18 later (and sometimes kick myself why I didn’t buy one from CRC for £10 and keep it in stock) I’d be back up and using my 15 year old tool I’d have it swapped in 20 mins.
I already know what going to happen, because I’m a bit stupid. My DUB BB is going to fail, I can’t remove the crank because I lost the outer bolt thing that you use to self-extract and I haven’t bought a replacement, but lets say I do. I can’t remove the BB because I don’t have the right sized tool. I seem to remember that boxed replacements come with a plastic adaptor, but that might not be true. I’ll walk down to the LBS, they won’t have one, because they seem hard to find in stock, they’ll offer to order me one, but I’ll decline and spend a few hours trying to find one locally because I want to ride the next day, say I can. The adaptor either won’t exist because I dreamt it, or wont fit my tool for some reason or other. I’ll swear a lot, book it into the LBS to be done. Miss a ride, feel stupid because even as I type this, I still won’t order one, or the bolt, or the tool until I need it because I’m tight and a bit thick.