More of a wish than a prediction but hoping people be a little nicer to each other, especially those with different opinions and views. I predict some wins and some frustrations.

I hear @gdm4 and Benji’s prediction of more diversity. I’m in hope.

I’m going out there and predicting 2<span style=”font-size: 0.8rem;”>022 is the year of:</span>

– ‘country mtb’, the evolution of ‘gravel’ and ‘bikepacking’ to the bikes and rides we all used to do in the 1980-1990’s around hills,fields and woods.

– utility bikes become fashionable and the next N+1

– hardtail renaissance, related a lot to cost of bikes and the above countryside biking.

– colours will be more earthy and naturistic.

– Enduro and DH continue to grow as spectator sports.

The gravel massive will transition onto balance bikes, to make it even more difficult for themselves, making your local rugby pitch moar fun to lap round, while maintaining a vice like grip around the neck of the morally bereft heretics who dare to have suspension and sensible bars.

– utility bikes become fashionable and the next N+1

I love the idea of a utility bike, my trailer on my commuter kinda works, but I’d like to try a proper one.

There’s a guy locally I see with an old Peugeot, triple clamp forks and a big plastic box fixed to the bars, must be horrendous loaded!.

Personally, I’d like to see N+1 in the sea, a waste of money and resources.

The DH, Enduro and XC race scenes will die as event organisers realise they can make 10x the money with 1/10th of the effort by organising gravel “events”. Slap up a few signs, give 1000 people a gpx, pay a few marshals, charge £60 a head………..

ok i wood like to see back some good hardtails from bc likes of chromag and covebikes back and much more xc raceing in south wales and more some help with trail building in afan and afan bike shed is haveing a new building at last.

We’ve had the predicted death of XC for more than 20 years now – with the younger riders to lead the way (Lecomte, Richards, Pidcock, VDP, etc) I think those of us who do like XC will be more hoping for a resurgence…..
I’ll actually predict that BMX could also increase after the olympics – perhaps BC will now realise that supporting grassroots should be a given (although we’ve been asking for that for over 20 years as well….)

Agree with more lightweight ebikes, it’s a big gap in the market for only 3 manufacturers to fill.

And I do hope that short seat tubes and 200mm droppers become standard, after riding with a 200mm dropper on my hardtail I’ve realised I need a 200mm on my FS too.

A 200mm reverb AXS would be nice too. Maybe?

Thanks for the backhanded compliment, @oldfart 🙂
I think what I’m trying to get at is that, whereas I would worry about not getting to every single event and weekend away I could, now I’m happy to have fewer, bigger impact events – and I won’t beat myself up about the ones I miss.

more stack = yep deffo!

I’m with the generalist on big days out, lighter is better. If the prediction was around 13kg that would have been more realistic for an all day hard-tail.

I’m with the generalist on big days out, lighter is better. If the prediction was around 13kg that would have been more realistic for an all day hard-tail.

For a hardtail, maybe. But this is referring to FS trail bikes.

What utter garbage, really really really.
16kg for a big day out…. what have you been smoking?

Under 16kg is a realistic limit, 13kg is xc race whippet territory (ok, maybe 120mm downcountry) sorry… No.

Both my bikes are around 15.5kg with pedals, one carbon framed 150/160mm trail bike with carbon wheels, bars, coil shock, 37mm forks, trail tyres with inserts. The hardtail is the same just with a gearbox and a titanium frame.

Even after 5 days, 90 miles and 13k ft of climbing I was never wishing my bike was 2kg lighter.

On a long day, hell multiple long days, give me a coil shock, 150/160mm travel trail bike with big tyres and inserts over a 120mm XC bike EVERY day.

I wouldn’t agree that’s garbage. My bike is about 16kg and it’s fine on big days out (regular rides in the Dales, Lakes for example). Sometimes I wish it was a bit lighter for sure, but personally I prioritise robustness over weight.

OK, fair play. You must be much fitter than me ( not hard). Personally speaking I find it hard enough lugging my Occam anything north of 50km or ~1600m. I’d really not be keen on another 2.5kg on top.

( just realised my Occam with big tyres and an insert IS probably knocking on 14.5 kg in mountain mode) Still wouldn’t want another 1.5kg if I could help it

@wheelsonfire1 sorry, I did get the tongue in cheek bit and then started thinking about the wear thing… 😉

Yes, I do wonder about chainline and stuff too. I’m relatively new to 1x after being sceptical for ages.

Ah, my prediction is coming true already, @gowerboy has doubts about 1X and is thinking of investing in 8 & 9 speed double and triple again (or 10 speed at a push)!
Anyone else with predictions, or hopes?

Personally speaking I find it hard enough lugging my Occam anything north of 50km or ~1600m. I’d really not be keen on another 2.5kg on top.

( just realised my Occam with big tyres and an insert IS probably knocking on 14.5 kg in mountain mode) Still wouldn’t want another 1.5kg if I could help it

Yeah, My Occam is 13.6kg ready to roll. On a “big” day out I’d likely be carrying food, spare clothing and even shelter. That starts adding up so there’s no need to start with a heavier than required bike.

14kg Bronson, carted it on WHW in a day, was brilliant apart from *that* section. It’s bloody comfy to pedal all day, no doubt I’d be quicker on a light XC HT, but my hoop would be in bits.

Each to their own.

Edit- its no dick swinging, I’ve hardly rode much at all in the last couple of years!

Ah, my prediction is coming true already, @gowerboy has doubts about 1X and is thinking of investing in 8 & 9 speed double and triple again (or 10 speed at a push)!
Anyone else with predictions, or hopes?

Yeh. Anyone want to buy some Eagle stuff?

ta11pau1
Full Member

And I do hope that short seat tubes and 200mm droppers become standard, after riding with a 200mm dropper on my hardtail I’ve realised I need a 200mm on my FS too.

Nah, I don’t want to have to lose 10mm.

Forecasting is a mugs game, but I reckon 22′ will see more “utility” bikes, based on MTBs.

More people will be trundling about to shops and pubs by bicycle this spring/summer (many on the bikes they purchased last summer).
MTBs make excellent “utility bikes” once you shove a pannier on the back.

So that is my prediction, more shopping bikes, which is probably what the world actually needs…