I've had the 'extremely vulnerable' text. I've got moderate asthma, pretty well controlled, so presumably they are looking at what dosage of steroids people are on and going from that (mine is pretty high).
My wife didn't, but then, the surgery possibly doesn't have her mobile no.
think i just caught the end of the 6 music news stating that boris says if you cant WFH you can go to work, no other details.....
This "80%" of wages figure is fine in theory. It should take the pressure off employers and help with the shutdown.
BUT, have you seen the form to claim it!!!!! They have made it as difficult as humanly possible. I have no chance unless my accountant can help out and deal with HMRC for me.
Nobeerinthefridge
Member
@seosamh77 I’m with you Joe, this government is the only show in town now, and let’s face it, Boris won’t be making any decisions anyway, at least until it comes to bitty time. 😊Hope yer well mate.
Cheers, I'm good aye, hope all's well at yours... Just need to get on with it. tbh, worst comes to the worst and there's no help, I'll just google 'how to safely fiddle your taxes down to zero when you need to eat'.... 😆 I do have a wad sitting there to give the gov that I'm eyeing up as an emergency fund. 😆
Mrs dd has taken dog for a walk for her one outing today and reports that, yes, despite last night’s address, the playground in our nearby park has plenty of parents and kids.
big spike in cases in France yesterday – what’s going on ?
It looks as though France (and Spain) had a very low capacity for testing according to this article a few days ago, EUobserver article on testing, that appears to have increased slightly now so could account for spike in cases. They both also have huge numbers in intensive care so guessing the system is heavily strained right now.
Just been to my local Asda, was all very civilized with a one in one out policy, people queuing 2ms apart with local hospital/fire/police workers being allowed straight in. Also one person at a time on the belts
The local Tesco is apparently still a free for all
An app from Kings College to track progress, if anyone could fill it in
It asks you some symptom questions etc. Nothing more.
An app from Kings College to track progress, if anyone could fill it in
It asks you some symptom questions etc. Nothing more.
No permissions required either i.e. it doesn't track you in the location sense unlike apps in some more authoritarian countries, just sex/height/weight/age and the symptoms you report. Postcode will take just first three digits too.
I’ve had the ‘extremely vulnerable’ text. I’ve got moderate asthma, pretty well controlled, so presumably they are looking at what dosage of steroids people are on and going from that (mine is pretty high).
@martinhutch what is your medication?
(waiting to see if I get the txt or not)
No text here. Just the chosen few? Are they selecting people for the B Ark?
We watched Snowpiercer the other night, reckon we could get something rigged up with HS2 switching back at either end? With Theresa May as Tilda Swinton.
Serious question:
My 80 yr old mother is self isolating as is her (not live in) man friend.
He came down with symptoms of CV several days ago, which thankfully turned out to be a cough and cold. His self isolation time is up on Sunday. As I understand it, as he doesn't live with her, then he shouldn't be visiting. Is that correct?
Also is there a way that you can pay for a CV test to make sure you're clear before you go and live with someone? She says she can't live with out him and I'm worried.
@martinhutch what is your medication?
(waiting to see if I get the txt or not)
asthma society published some info this morning. fortunately my son is a long way below the threshold but we'll be keeping a close eye.
https://www.asthma.org.uk/advice/triggers/coronavirus-covid-19/
Just got a text! It's lovely of them, thinking of me when I am so far away in another country. As I have been for the last two years.
On the plus side, I now have summer tyres on my bike
the mrs has just been furloughed, so now she's on that scheme where the govt pay 80% of her wages.
(edit)
@jambo - thanks - on 2nd reading I'm just under
the mrs has just been furloughed, so now she’s on that scheme where the govt pay 80% of her wages.
Good to hear its actually existing and working?
the playground in our nearby park has plenty of parents and kids.
Much to my surprise, our village playground is empty. Possibly as the Neighbourhood Watch were keeping a live running total of the number of kids hanging round there at the weekend via the village Spotted page 🤣
Quite a few families with little ones out walking and pedalling. Hopefully enjoying some time together that they weren't expecting to get.
Good to hear its actually existing and working?
I'm assuming shes actually going to get paid, I'll believe it when it happens.
Sounds like a few people at our place were furloughed today. I was sent to WFH until further notice (after questioning previously and turning up this morning). Hopefully it works out for all, and in a few months those people are back in like nothing happened.
Going into work today (I'm a nurse), there was Sunday level traffic on my local roads and motorway which made me curious as to how the government intend to police the whole not going out business?
For example how would they know if you were driving to "essential work" or not short of road blocks or check points?
Our corner of the government was sent home this morning, whether you can WFH or not, but we are apparently on call to help out HMRC when they need us 🤞
I has to go out and get my brown Asthma steroids as I ran out last week. I was shocked at the number of people about. Then, whilst standing in a queue at the chemist 2 metres apart - it was one in, one out at the chemist - a young couple stood right behind me, then as I stepped back and ask them to distance themselves started arguing "what YOUR problem?"
So many people just bumbling about as if nothing was going on, FFS. This will promote enforced lockdown and/or deaths.
For example how would they know if you were driving to “essential work” or not short of road blocks or check points?
Think you've just answered your own question there! Here (Madrid) they've been stopping people and given that most people aren't anything like as good at lying as they think they are it hasn't been too hard to work out who's taking the piss and who has a genuine reason for being out.
My wife has just lost her job, though not totally unexpected as she only started last week. Was in the office all last week and was told to wfh yesterday. Though not fully trained up yet, she was doing work, rather than sitting on her hands! I guess she didn’t qualify for the 80% scheme?
it hasn’t been too hard to work out who’s taking the piss and who has a genuine reason for being out.
We're getting a letter to brandish. Although if they try to stop me when riding in, they'd have trouble. Maybe I'll tape it to my backpack
Mrs SR is just in and popped into a small bakers on her way home. They're thinking of closing as no one is coming to the shop. Last week: no bread to be had. This week: bakers have no customers.
I live by myself and am getting furloughed from my work from home job (until my contract finishes in a couple of months then I'm oot). My girlfriend lives in a different town.
Been like that for a while, and even pre-lockdown I felt like I wasn't getting enough human interaction - and that's when I could visit people and go out for dinner or to gigs etc. I really looked forward to my once a week PT sessions too, and was getting to know folk to speak to at the gym, and my band was picking up and doing regular practices.
I knew the lockdown was coming, but figured on it being on a couple of weeks.
The reality of this is starting to sink in a bit. I am going to get very lonely! I see myself taking a lot of long walks. It's like a weird kind of solitary confinement.
Going into work today (I’m a nurse), there was Sunday level traffic on my local roads and motorway which made me curious as to how the government intend to police the whole not going out business?
For example how would they know if you were driving to “essential work” or not short of road blocks or check points?
Cos they're trusting people to do the right thing and not be dicks.....oh, hang on...
Anyway, keep these names in the forefront of your minds for when this is over:
Britannia Hotels
Pets At Home
Wetherspoons
Sports Direct
Obviously any self-respecting person tries to steer clear of at least one of them.....
But in their own little ways they have shown themselves to be utterly venal and undeserving of any custom when this all goes away and we get back to some kind of normality.
I worry about the US. They're openly talking about sacrificing the elderly to prop up the economy. How long before there are riots on the streets? Those pictures of them all queueing to buy guns might not have been so crazy after all.
https://twitter.com/ndrew_lawrence/status/1242245135129346050?s=20
The reality of this is starting to sink in a bit. I am going to get very lonely! I see myself taking a lot of long walks. It’s like a weird kind of solitary confinement.
Make some plans. No matter if they are a bit woolly.
Short term stuff you can get done without any pre-faff, bike maintenance, read some books you always wanted to but never got round to.
This might lead you into a good mindset and allow you to think about the things you are going to do when this is over.
Anyone who isn't struggling more than a little bit to come to terms with this is either good at kidding themselves or a moron.
I am going to get very lonely! I see myself taking a lot of long walks. It’s like a weird kind of solitary confinement.
I did, WFH last week. Had to stop reading a book about prison cos it was too relatable 😀
I don’t use them, but what have Pets At Home done?
Surely they’re open as a food retailer?
FWIW, the shop we buy dog food from does both delivery and a collection but no shop access service.
Article about the Germany death rate anomaly. Are we more Geman than Italian or something inbetween?
Well, I only work(ed) part time anyway, and had all the little jobs done as well as doing loads of reading, brewing, riding, playing guitar etc
I wrote a lock down list of things to do - stuff I'd been putting off, but I'll be done in a week or so.
Having things to do/mindset isn't the issue I already had that to deal with my semi-isolated life, it's the not interacting with people that's going to push the balance too far to one side. My GF and I have had a semi-long distance relationship for a few years now and frankly, I'd already had my fill of WhatsApp video calls <- they're not a good substitute.
To be fair, I'd already planned on getting a new job where I got some more interaction with people, so maybe that'll work out.... Might look at the food distribution volunteering stuff that's going around.
@martinhutch what is your medication?
Sirdupla 250mg x 4 daily
Tiotropium Bromide 2.5mg 2 puffs daily
Salbutamol when required (not often).
No regular oral steroids or nebulised meds. Did have one course of steroids/antibiotics about this time last year.
EDIT: So I qualify for the high dose of Sirdupla + Tiotropium, according to the Asthma UK link published earlier.
Germany has a higher average age than the U.K. I think.
Health care availability is another question, as is effectiveness of containment.
Any of the data trackers like to guess the actual number of infected people in the U.K.?
@jam bo
nice one, ta
@danstw
super wooly assumption, confirmed cases represent around 1-2% of actuals.
gives the mega wide angled guess of around 750k
(projecting deaths back to point in time two weeks ago, multiply by 100, then apply the same growth as the confirmed cases, has seen that guess within a reasonable margin)
the mrs has just been furloughed, so now she’s on that scheme where the govt pay 80% of her wages.
She deosn't work for Wetherspoons I hope. Honestly - just when you think a man can't become a bigger tosser, Tim Martin proves you wrong.
Any of the data trackers like to guess the actual number of infected people in the U.K.?
My guess would be in the millions based on how contagious it is and 50% of people being asymptomatic with a lot of the other 50% having mild symptoms. I know a lot of people who have had it (and I would put money on one being myself). None tested but a few in hospital but as in the pneumonia stage the virus has been dealt with by the body and no longer tests positive.
Not helped by the doctor of one family who all had fever and dry cough were told it was probably just a cold and to carry on as normal.
She deosn’t work for Wetherspoons I hope. Honestly – just when you think a man can’t become a bigger tosser, Tim Martin proves you wrong.
Him, Mike Ashley and Richard Branson are getting pretty bloody competitive for the worlds biggest stroker award
The billionaire class is revealing its true colours.
I haven't shopped for a couple of weeks so after seeing all the news about the chaos in supermarkets I surprised when I went to Morrisons at lunchtime to find only a handful of cars in the car park and only 1 or 2 people mulling in each aisle. There still wasn't any tinned, frozen or dried stuff though.
I was on the way back from collecting my workstation from the office 70mile round drive, very few cars, still plenty of delivery vehicles and trade vans. Saw a few teenagers hanging about together but other than that everyone appears to be getting the message.
The forthcoming economic armaggedon caused by this is the perfect opportunity for a concerted and coordinated effort from all countries to raid off-shore tax havens and use the trillions squirreled away to drag the whole world back from the brink.
Shame it'll never happen.
Social media circulating in the far east is saying that "leaked" information from allegedly "insider" of the PRC army is that biochemical weapon was traded by "rouge" agent of PRC army (traitor) went wrong at Wuhan market. Apparently the biochemical weapon was in a development for the purpose of "mind control" (to be used in HK to degrade their mind) but it was too lethal that they abandoned the project. But rouge agent then wanted to sell it to CIA and during the exchange process at Wuhan a gun fight resulted and the biochemical weapon was dropped on the floor. The rest of the news after that was just a cover up. So there you go X-Files stuff ...
So based on above^^^ we are possibly looking at 1 in every 30-50 people in the country infected 😱
I heard it was Jimmy Saville behind it, helped out by Lord Lucan and Elvis.
They're all still alive, you know. Living in a Bond Villain style lair in Wuhan, next to the market, where they conduct experiments on bats which they then force feed to local children
So based on above^^^ we are possibly looking at 1 in every 30-50 people in the country infected 😱
Apparently the Chinese govt cover up or under reported the death rate otherwise they would have chaos. The information from the social media circulation is very lengthy and rather "detail". 🤔
That is why when I mentioned earlier in this thread that whoever have managed to contain or to control the virus first should be the one that is suspicious.
I heard it was Jimmy Saville behind it, helped out by Lord Lucan and Elvis.
They’re all still alive, you know. Living in a Bond Villain style lair in Wuhan, next to the market, where they conduct experiments on bats which they then force feed to local children
"Once you eliminate the impossible, whatever remains, no matter how improbable, must be the truth." (Sir Arthur Conan Doyle)
But rouge agent then wanted to sell it to CIA
Did they catch him red handed?
Innocence Burned, Alive on the Stage
Tortured and Dumped in nameless graves
Centuries weighed, authority died
Scattering seeds of bleach and lye
Sinister Rouge
Coming back for more to even the score
Did they catch him red handed?
The person that "leaked" the information was a person working on the project but did not say he witnessed the drop.
Oh ya, apparently CIA wanted it to try it on South Americans ... why I don't know.
I remember when this used to be a "wheres-the-coronavirus-were-all-going-to-die-conspiracy-thread". Those were the days, they still had toilet paper in the shops, and tins
A timely reminder about the blocking script...
@danstw
Maybe half that.
World confirmed cases just hit 400k.
UK report 422 deaths now. Recent growth around 22% daily for the past few days.
Fortunately the new cases figure is going up around 17% daily, hopefully the "please stay out of pubs" wishy washy request around a week ago, actually had some effect. With yesterday's change, that reduction in daily growth should continue. This might put us in a slightly better place than Italy, when its all done.
Spain is not looking cool, though.
So there you go X-Files stuff
Time for the mods to act. Not everyone knows to ignore this guy.
Anyway, my heavily qualified post about the ExCel field hospital turned out to be right. Scary times.
@nickc , advice from today’s press conference is specifically for couples in your situation to either only use one home, or to stay apart for the foreseeable, so you’ve called it correctly. Hard times for you… my thoughts are with you.
Edit: and thanks
No text here. Just the chosen few? Are they selecting people for the B Ark?
I got the A ark one.
So, I'm in the same position with my son being at his mums currently.
I was hoping to see him before his 14th birthday next weekend (he normally shares his time about 50/50, very informal and friendly) but I missed this evenings briefing - was it mentioned...?
No, my comment, and the press conference question, was about couples in different homes, not parents (ex-couples separated) and their kids. Advice yesterday was to keep contact with kids that you are joint carer for… you’d need to check with gov.uk to see if that is still the case.
Ah, that'll teach me to pay attention! Thanks for clarifying, kelvin.
Did they catch him red handed?
😂 and totally missed by Chewkw.
Why, exactly, do we have to moderate chewkw's comments? If you think he's a crank, just ignore him and move on.
I'm not saying I agree with him, btw.
A haiku?
The sun is shining
Bitter wind blows from the east
Easy on the bog roll
Why, exactly, do we have to moderate chewkw’s comments?
Because fake news is dangerous in these times. He knows what he is posting is nonsense. But it doesn’t need to be deleted. It can just be moderated. Flagging it as likely to be fake news would do the job better than deleting.
Or even better, he can edit it himself and make it crystal clear that it’s fantasy for the benefit of casual readers.
Finally a text from the government with advice
Because fake news is dangerous in these times
The true news is bad enough.
As for numbers infected @danstw It isn't knowable. The infectivity suggests that the eventual proportion to be infected (all susceptible) may be 80% if lifelong immunity is imparted (1 - 1/Case reproductive number), Since the case reproductive number, R0 is thought to be 2 but may be much higher - 5, you get up to 80%.
In an epidemic phase, what matters is the doubling time. Epidemics slow because 1) they run out of susceptibles or 2) transmission goes down due to behaviour. The world chose 2). It was the right decision.
Wait for webex to offer free meetings and we can have an STW virtual tea. The camera forces you to get dressed 😉
Wait for webex to offer free meetings and we can have an STW virtual tea. The camera forces you to get dressed
Im pretty sure that ignorance is probably bliss in respect of meeting your Stw peers...
So... new message appears to be
“Stay at home - unless you fancy a nice trip out in the car for a walk”
“Stay at home - Well actually go to work”
I despair. Swaledale is going to be like a bank holiday again this weekend. This is a total shambles.
But it’s ok. New hospital for London.
No bread, no meat, no tins, no bog roll, no hand-wash limitrd fruit and veg in my local big Tesco thisc evening
Flame awsy but i worked today. We are going to skeleton staff till friday then its goodnight. No point in anyone being there when the wage bill is 5x the turnover. Shame as bottles sales to supermarkets are the best they have ever been. Rebellion brewery missing the point and doing a drive through beer takeaway encouraging people out and about, we are doing a handful of local drops, pre psid by cc over the phone but its pitiful and simply a goodwill gesture
Real news: If the virus had gone unchecked with the same doubling time there would have been an estimated 3.6 million deaths in around 10 weeks. No matter what nonsense is spread about China they have set an impressive precedent of containment in this issue. Pity it comes mainly because they have significant abrogation of human rights but you win some, you lose some.
I despair. Swaledale is going to be like a bank holiday again this weekend. This is a total shambles.
If it is then next week will be TOTAL lockdown.
Meanwhile, about that agent. Was he/she wearing lipstick too?
To resume UK situation :
1000s of people out of work but need to wait end of April to get 80% salary.
1000s of people still going to work in cramped sites and public transport
1000s of people shopping till they drop.
WTF??
I am quite scared to be honest, I dont want to die.
I set up a business 3 months ago after buying some bicycle building equipment now im probably going to not be able to pay the rent in 2 months. Scary on both fronts.
Every press story in the tabloids seems to convey death is likely .
In case anyone missed it, here's the link to sign up to volunteer. t's & c's apply, do your best
Every press story in the tabloids seems to convey death is likely
That's what you get from reading tabloids. You need to change your press sources. Most of what I've seen - predominantly BBC, but also quotes from NHS and Dept of Health - seem to stress that many people will hardly notice they've got it, about half will be "ill" of which a few will be very ill, a few of them will need hospital treatment, a few of them will need ICU, a few of them will die.
It's still big numbers when you look at it across the population but if you are relatively healthy, as far as I have seen, you are unlikely to die.
Can you change it in Google news?