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The Coronavirus Dis...
 

The Coronavirus Discussion Thread.

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Meanwhile, in the strange and twisted world of the anti-vax, anti-lockdown mob....

https://twitter.com/DavidLammy/status/1404755154004553729?s=20


 
Posted : 15/06/2021 3:01 pm
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I’d like to think they will be taking a cautious approach however, which would be to give everyone a booster within 12 months of the 2nd jab at latest

Another unknown is whether exposure the the virus in the wild will build ongoing immunity that way doing the booster's job for it; it seems highly likely (but not certain, yet) that the vaccines all protect to a degree against falling badly ill, but don't necessarily protect against infection itself. Which I guess is glaring obvious when you think about it, the point is that we train the immune response so it's ready for the real thing. It enables you to mount a swift effective response to infection, it doesn't wrap you in a virus impervious cocoon.

Then counter to that are mutations - so far the vaxes all seem to be somewhat effective against new variants but the chance of escape is there. But would it escape to a less harmful variant, as some histroical virologists say is the general direction of travel.....

It's a real life page turner, starring Chris Whitty as Chris Whitty.


 
Posted : 15/06/2021 3:03 pm
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It’s a real life page turner, starring Chris Whitty as Chris Whitty.

And Boris Johnson as Mr Silly


 
Posted : 15/06/2021 3:12 pm
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Starring Harry Hill as (puppeteer and voice of) Chris Whitty... I hope.


 
Posted : 15/06/2021 3:15 pm
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Meanwhile, in the strange and twisted world of the anti-vax, anti-lockdown mob….

The DM 'best rated' comments on this make me want to weep. This is what happens when the government and the likes of the Mail whip up a hysterical mob of morons with populist anti-science bullshit.


 
Posted : 15/06/2021 3:18 pm
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They're not "anti-science"... they've just found their "own" science on the internet. You should do some more research of your own. Youtube has some very interesting clips that you won't see on the mainstream media.


 
Posted : 15/06/2021 3:23 pm
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Re boosters.
I’m on the az trial. Had 2 doses June and September 2020. Antibodies last checked in March and will be checked in September, 12 months after 2nd dose. Expect this data will be needed to decide if boosters needed. We were told they weren’t needed in March 6 months after 2nd jab. Weekly PCR tests finish at the end of June. I’m hoping my immunity doesn’t want in the next 3 months…


 
Posted : 15/06/2021 3:31 pm
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You should do some more research of your own.

Had to quickly check the username. Use more smileys in future. 🙂


 
Posted : 15/06/2021 4:00 pm
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Re boosters.

Is it bad I hope we do need Boosters? I mean on one hand there is the continued strain on the NHS, the expenses of running the centres and, of course, the likelihood of a continued human cost of Covid...

On the other, the Mrs is bringing home an extra £400-£500 a month from 'volunteering' in one.

That's bad isn't it?


 
Posted : 15/06/2021 4:25 pm
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I think it's okay to hope that we all get offered a booster, and that you other half gets to help with the rollout.


 
Posted : 15/06/2021 5:59 pm
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So when we say boosters, is it just a boost of your immunity, or are they reworking the vaccines a bit in response to variants?


 
Posted : 15/06/2021 6:10 pm
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It does bother me that we don't have a roadmap to all our freedoms back. Instead, we live under the caprices of politicians and scientists.

I do understand the sentiments of the lockdown sceptics if only because, in general, freedoms surrendered to the state are not readily given back.


 
Posted : 15/06/2021 6:17 pm
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Jamze, current plan is to use a different but already available vaccine (Moderna for people who had AZ) but the government have things in place to use adapted and new vaccines if they are needed and become available.

i_scoff_cake, to further frustrate you, we bending at the whim of a virus, not a politician, or a scientist. The scientists are only telling us what is happening, and likely to happen, and developing tools to help us. The politicians are deciding which tools to use when. But it’s the virus calling the shots, not people, utlimately. Makes us humans seem a bit meek, doesn’t it… but we’ll ultimately have the upper hand, have patience… don’t listen the those that claim politicians and scientists get a power trip from using the tools we have to get on top of the virus. They don’t. They hate being the party poopers.


 
Posted : 15/06/2021 6:31 pm
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i_scoff_cake, to further frustrate you, we bending at the whim of a virus, not a politician, or a scientist.

I see your point but we do choose what price is worth paying for our freedoms. We do this every winter, for example, when influenza is more prevalent. What price is worth paying with covid? Nobody in power is formally articulating this so that we can know where we stand. I very much fear that the implication is that every death is preventable and that ultra-caution becomes normalised.


 
Posted : 15/06/2021 6:51 pm
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We do this every winter, for example, when influenza is more prevalent. What price is worth paying with covid?

But flu costs 10-20,000 deaths a year. Covid costs 150,000.

I share your concern about politicians taking advantage of the situation, but looking at all the scientific info on this thread and elsewhere, I think the sacrifices have been necessary.


 
Posted : 15/06/2021 7:57 pm
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But flu costs 10-20,000 deaths a year. Covid costs 150,000.

Sure but it's not either/or now right? We have some protection as a population with the vaccines. Surely we have to live with it at some level?


 
Posted : 15/06/2021 8:04 pm
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Surely we have to live with it at some level?

All we're doing now is trying to figure out how to get to the "right" level


 
Posted : 15/06/2021 8:33 pm
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Surely we have to live with it at some level?

I'm not sure anyone is suggesting anything else


 
Posted : 15/06/2021 8:43 pm
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All we’re doing now is trying to figure out how to get to the “right” level

Sure but what is the 'right' level?


 
Posted : 15/06/2021 8:46 pm
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More than 58% fully protected by a vaccine seems to be the current view.


 
Posted : 15/06/2021 8:50 pm
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But flu costs 10-20,000 deaths a year. Covid costs 150,000.

You can't compare the two right now, Influenza has been around for a long time so the population around the world has built up natural immunity over the years and then we've had vaccines for years.


 
Posted : 15/06/2021 10:09 pm
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Re boosters.

Expect modified vaccine coding varied spike protein - the E484K would be first on the list, since this escapes AZ protection from symptomatic disease prevention. Some are working on mRNA vaccines that deliver multiple mRNAs to simultaneously code several spike proteins. This seems like a natural extension of the technology.


 
Posted : 15/06/2021 10:22 pm
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Interesting that the US is now opened up. California and New York lifted most of their restrictions today. They seem to be using 70% single-shot vax as the threshold. Fingers crossed delta doesn't catch them out - although they don't use AZ.


 
Posted : 15/06/2021 10:29 pm
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The British government handling of the pandemic has been a complete mess in every respect other than vaccinations, with corruption on a scale that is hard to credit. From personal protective equipment for medical staff, through the app, to the test-and-trace system, contracts have been handed out to mates of government ministers using emergency legislation that bypasses all the usual qualification and tender requirements.

What a stunning somethingion of the last 16 months. Source


 
Posted : 15/06/2021 11:24 pm
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This is good news for Mrs_oab. As someone with no real immune system permanently, this is a development of the treatment she is on already.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-57488150


 
Posted : 16/06/2021 8:50 am
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Excellent news Matt, there's been a massive amount of progress in a short time, built on earlier research.


 
Posted : 16/06/2021 9:09 am
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That is good. When they said it was “expensive”, I was expecting to see a huge price tag… not £1000. Considering who it is aimed at, when they are likely to need it, and the possible benefits including freeing up off hospital resources… that doesn’t seem expensive to me. Am I missing something? And this is one of the treatments they gave Trump way back when, yes? Perhaps it was super expensive at that stage and the label has stuck.


 
Posted : 16/06/2021 9:18 am
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I was expecting to see a huge price tag… not £1000.

Exactly my thoughts..

Sure it's more expensive than that off the shelf steroid which has great results but a pittance to pay to save someone's life. I wonder when it will be come readily available.


 
Posted : 16/06/2021 9:42 am
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I was expecting to see a huge price tag… not £1000.

Worth it in monetary terms too - a day in ICU costs £1932


 
Posted : 16/06/2021 10:42 am
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Considering who it is aimed at, when they are likely to need it, and the possible benefits including freeing up off hospital resources… that doesn’t seem expensive to me. Am I missing something?

For many it wont work as a one off.

For mrs_oab that is about her weekly treatment cost - and this is a treatment I think would be administered regularly (weekly for fortnightly) for many.


 
Posted : 16/06/2021 11:06 am
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So the cost isn't ~£1000, it's many times that? Okay, that sounds like the cost benefit decision is a bit different then (I still say use it for those it benefits most, it benefits us all if we do), but the BBC piece didn't say that.


 
Posted : 16/06/2021 11:52 am
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Mandatory vaccines for care workers:

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-57492264

Exemption for those medically unable to have it.

Consultations will begin on a similar rule for other health and care staff.


 
Posted : 16/06/2021 12:07 pm
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The RECOVERY news article for Regeneron explains that the trial was for people already hospitalised with COVID, so the cost is not ongoing. It also cut median hospital stay from 17 to 13 days.


 
Posted : 16/06/2021 12:14 pm
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I've had to call in sick today after my second jab yesterday that I was nervous about, because of how rough I was for almost three weeks after the first jab. Mentally and physicially wiped out, so far not quite as bad things got in mid April, but in no fit state for my physcial job. More annoying because I'm effectively on a 1.5 week holiday from tomorrow because of my shift rota.


 
Posted : 16/06/2021 1:27 pm
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Interesting Nature summary of the lab leak theory

As above, a good summary of the current thinking in the lab leak theory without all the shrill screaming found in social media


 
Posted : 16/06/2021 1:35 pm
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I've booked one day off work for my 2nd jab. For my first one (AZ), I did feel a bit rough but nothing horrendous. I was very much running out of energy the next two shifts though. Definitely felt deep fatigue when cycling home after working.


 
Posted : 16/06/2021 1:36 pm
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Mandatory vaccines for care workers:
> https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-57492264 < Exemption for those medically unable to have it. Consultations will begin on a similar rule for other health and care staff

This could really backfire.
Its already difficult enough to recruit/retain people in this sector, without adding a divisive barrier to employment.

Forcing people rather than encouraging vaccine take up could push more people to leave the health sector, at a time when they already being pushed to the limit.


 
Posted : 16/06/2021 1:55 pm
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could push more people to leave the health sector

Don't disagree with that however on flip side id not be happy if my nan was being looked after in a care home by folks that hadn't been vaccinated.


 
Posted : 16/06/2021 2:03 pm
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could push more people to leave the health sector

Will help identify those who lack the mental capacity to be working in the health sector.


 
Posted : 16/06/2021 2:08 pm
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flip side id not be happy if my nan was being looked after in a care home by folks that hadn’t been vaccinated

On the flip side to that, currently 48% of staff generally leave the industry after a year of starting. Placing a barrier to that could lead to there not being enough people to look after your nan.

You may have to look after her yourself.


 
Posted : 16/06/2021 2:18 pm
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I can totally see the two sides of the argument for the compulsory vaccination, for and against, though I'm inclined towards compulsion for the greater good, I think.

I don't see why someone in the health sector wouldn't want to be vaccinated, to protect themselves and those they care for. The known risks are relatively tiny compared to the known risks of Covid - and the effects of long Covid are still being assessed.

Would the government have to effectively underwrite any claims for side effects? Employees left ill or dying from complications for a jab the government says they must have can't be left to the employers insurers.


 
Posted : 16/06/2021 2:34 pm
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I can totally see the two sides of the argument for the compulsory vaccination, for and against, though I’m inclined towards compulsion for the greater good, I think.

I don’t see why someone in the health sector wouldn’t want to be vaccinated, to protect themselves and those they care for. The known risks are relatively tiny compared to the known risks of Covid – and the effects of long Covid are still being assessed.

Personally this is such a bad idea no one should be told what injections they do or don't get - with this precedent set where does it end. (a little dramatic I know). I agree I don't see why someone wouldn't get it, but if you don't want it no one should make you. However if you don't want it people need to be testing themselves on the regs.


 
Posted : 16/06/2021 3:10 pm
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This is a great result for Regeneron and antibodies in general (Disclaimer - I work on another mAb). What it shows, for the first time, is that an antibody against the virus, if administered to those who have not made an immune response, will reduce mortality and hospital stay even when added to other therapies. Other pathways to damp down inflammation have also shown benefit (dexamethasone, tocilizumab and anti-GMCSF). Biology appears to work as one would predict, but one needs BIG studies for her to reveal her methods with some confidence.

@matt_outandabout I'm glad she's on the therapy. It has a relatively short half-life so needs dosing monthly (£12k/annum). The AZ antibody combo may take that out to annual. That combination failed in post-exposure prophylaxis in all-comers who were exposed, but showed that if you did not have the virus when dosed, then there was 90% protection after 7-days (like a vaccine but faster!). It bodes very well for their bigger prophylaxis study due any day now.

Your wife and others will have some very effective long-term protection options.


 
Posted : 16/06/2021 3:12 pm
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we know that lockdowns can control transmission

Yet to see much evidence of that working, at least in the UK lockdowns. I suppose the argument goes that we needed to lock down faster and harder, but then that primes us for an absurd over-response to every new sniffle.


 
Posted : 16/06/2021 3:42 pm
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Yet to see much evidence of that working

Joke?

with this precedent set where does it end

With fewer cases of Covid amongst those that need care?

I'm also wary of compulsion of any form when it comes to vaccinations, but when it comes to care and medical staffing the arguments are more difficult than for the wider population.


 
Posted : 16/06/2021 3:50 pm
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