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I look forward to the public apologies to William Hague.
The Guardian
So much political capital has been invested in the euro project that it is perfectly understandable that policy makers have been desperately trying to buy time until they can piece together a fiscal union to buttress monetary union. There are a number of problems with this idea: it would take time Europe doesn't have to organise; it would involve the weaker countries being dictated to by the strong in an even more direct way than they are at present; it would involve not just years but decades of austerity, and it would mean ignoring the seemingly obvious conclusion that monetary union is – and always was – rotten economics.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/economics-blog/2011/nov/13/euro-breakup-would-avoid-crisis
...and Douglas Alexander
The twin pillars of pro-Europeanism, prosperity and a bulwark against continental war, no longer hold such sway. He also suggests that "anthems, flags and the apparent aping of the symbol of nationhood left the impression of a half-built superstate, and provided a rallying point for Europe's opponents". In a speech on Monday, foreshadowed in a Guardian article, Alexander will argue: "There's even a tendency … to say people keep rejecting pro-European propositions because they aren't proposed in a pro-European enough way."But shouting louder is not a winning strategy. He defends the Labour government's refusal to hold a referendum on the Lisbon treaty, but does concede the failure to consult the British people contributed to a "haemorrhaging" of support for Europe in the UK.
The free movement of labour within the EU (something he supports) has also proved difficult.
Alexander therefore concludes: "For those of us who see Britain's national interest as best served within the European Union, a defence of the status quo simply isn't good enough."
http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2011/nov/13/labour-power-european-union
EU =/= €
And the end of the quote is quite important:
Alexander therefore concludes: "For those of us who see Britain's national interest as best served within the European Union, a defence of the status quo simply isn't good enough." [b]The UK should, in his view, have two goals: extending the single market into services, the digital economy and energy; and to realise Europe amplifies the UK'S voice on a world stage dominated by America and China.[/b]
3/10
So you expect Hague to apologise based on 2 guardian articles?
Unlikely, I doubt he reads it.
I think you'll find that your average Guardian reader wanted us in the Euro so they wouldn't have to change currency when they flew to Tuscany for their Olive oil sampling and Chianti Vineyard tours 😉
A single common currency can only work with fiscal union. Even then the restrictions to free movement of labour will still constrict a system. In the long term it simply cannot work as we have too many barriers unlike the united states. Language and culture being the two significant factors that we cannot control.
monetary union is – and always was – rotten economics.
I thought that was a peach of a statement from the economics editor of the Guardian to slide out, but somehow fail to acknowledge that they had been banging on about xenophobic Little Englander Eurosceptics for 15yrs. Shameless.
still a load of wishful thinking guys - they Euro will still be there in much the same form for a long time to come
still a load of wishful thinking guys - they Euro will still be there in much the same form for a long time to come
Not according to the Guardian.
TJ what would it take for you to to admit "mmmmm maybe you guys have got a point."?
If yo had a point?
Seriously its so funny watching people so desperate for the euro to fail wittering on about it.
It will not an cannot fail, it is not an experiment - it is the reality
what would it take for you to to admit "mmmmm maybe you guys have got a point."
A blow to the (ill protected, helmet covered) head.
TJ what would it take for you to to admit "mmmmm maybe you guys have got a point."?
Is that [i]all[/i] that's important to you. Good to see you're reading the Guardian though. Good journalism is great innit? What did you read before today's revelation?
I think TJ's right. They'll do everything possible to keep it together. As the alternative doesn't stand comprehension. At some point it might collapse. But by that point it'll all be academic anyway. As we'll probably be in the middle of such a monumental economic shitstorm we'll be selling our houses for a can of Tesco Value Beans, and clubbing each other to death with human bones
Interesting article in the Observer yesterday saying the best way out of the present crisis wouldn't be for Greece, Ireland, Portugal, Italy or Spain to leave, but instead for Germany to walk away.
The economic benefits would be immediately felt by everyone else in the Eurozone, and Germany would have to deal a European economic system not geared exclusively towards its own interests. An interesting thought
Going back to the original point. The labour party (well.... Gordon Brown) were never going to take us into the Euro in a million years!
I'm a subscriber thanks
It will not an cannot fail, it is not an experiment - it is the reality
And what would you count as failure tj?
I can see you still arguing the toss if most of the participants left the euro, and the currency ended up as the deutschmark by another name. 🙂
It may survive or it may not. I doubt it will be in its current form and membership if that is the case however.
No one will leave it - its not going to happen.
mcboo appears to be unacquainted with the facts:
1. The Guardian supported Labour from 1997 to 2010
2. Labour didn't take us into the Euro
supported labour? - don't you mean the lib dems?
supported labour? - don't you mean the lib dems?
They only switched support to the Lib dems at the last election.
Surely the question is will any form of Democracy survive the Euro (ists)
The Guardian only briefly flirted with the Lib Dems immediately prior to the last election
Like everyone else who voted Lib Dem they soon found themselves pretty embarrassed by the fact that they'd inadvertently supported the paramilitary wing of the Tory Party, putting them in power. D'OH!!!!
You know this TJ, as you live next door to Polly Toynbee 😉
Edit: And I agree with IanW - The present Euro-federalists are the most anti-democratic bunch on the planet. At least with the Chinese, you know you're getting a dictatorship
No one will leave it - its not going to happen.
la la la ...la la la.....
I thought that was a peach of a statement from the economics editor of the Guardian to slide out, but somehow fail to acknowledge that they had been banging on about xenophobic Little Englander Eurosceptics for 15yrs. Shameless.
What a ridiculous conclusion. The Eurosceptic wing of the Tory Party is very much inhabited by "xenophobic Little Englanders", saying so, doesn't automatically make you pro-single currency, or even necessarily a Europhile.
It's perhaps worth remembering that it a [i]Tory Party[/i] leader, and Prime Minister, who famously described Eurosceptics within the Tory Party as "bastards" ...... not the Guardian. I don't think he's ever apologised for that.
And I say all that as someone who is more than just "sceptical" of the EU, I'm opposed to it. Unlike previous Tory Prime Ministers, including Heath, Thatcher, and Major.
The guardian supported the Lib dems right from the SDP days. always has done.
Sorry Uncle Jezza. You're wrong on this. The Guardian backed Nu Labour all the way from John Smith, to jumping ship before the last election, Sun-style. They saw that even they couldn't support Gordon Brown for re-election and expect anyone to read their political opinions without s****ing, then snorting contemptuously and wiping their arse on it
Here you go.
[url= http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2010/apr/30/the-liberal-moment-has-come ]Clegg-mania (remember that?) bandwagon jumping[/url]
TJ - whilst I admire your tenacity in defending the Euro, I don't think I've ever read anything from you to back up your assertations.
Would you care to explain why you believe the Euro will not fail/will always be around/no-one will ever leave?
The guardian supported the Lib dems right from the SDP days. always has done.
You obviously don't read the Guardian TJ. Or if you do, you don't bother reading the editorials, in which case, I commend you.
The flying Ox
I rather feel the boot is on the other foot. Many folk on here with barely suppressed glee keep shouting the Euro experiment will fail without anything to back this view up.
As far as i can see there is no reason that it will fail. I have never seen anyone make any coherent argument that it will fail. Its backed by a huge econimic block, its holding it value.
Show me a single reason why it will fail ( whatever that means)
I have never seen anyone make any coherent argument that it will fail.
It's failing before your very eyes mate.....just "look".
where? Sorry - its still holding its value, there is no run on the banks.
What should I be looking for here? why will it fail?
I suspect I know which way this is about to go
*backs slowly away from the thread, leaving the 'Big Hitters' to go around in endless ill-tempered circles*
Well according to the Guardian the Eurozone is in "crises", I would call that "failure" ........I'm fairly sure it's [i]not supposed[/i] to be in crises.
[url= http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2011/nov/14/eurozone-crisis-uk-jobs-market-contraction?newsfeed=true ]Eurozone crisis blamed as UK jobs market faces 'painful contraction'[/url]
If the Guardian says the Euro is in crises, then it [i]must[/i] be true.
so a crisis is a failure to you ernie? - unusally imprecise language for you.
there are economic difficulties right across europe including the eurozone yes - but failure of a currency?
Not seen any evidence of it yet at all nor can I see any reason why it would "fail"
The stated aims of the Euro were to promote Growth, Employment and Stability.
mcboo - Member
Growth - Over the last 5yrs Italy has experienced average GDP growth of 1%Jobs - Unemployment in Spain is 20%
Stability - To date Ireland, Portugal and Greece have had to be bailed out by the IMF. It's only lunchtime so I may have to add Italy and/or Spain to that by tea-time.
So how has it succeeded then Jeremy?
Remember
wishful thinking does not make it so.
Actually I was wrong about Italian GDP growth. It has averaged 1% for the last 10 YEARS.
So aims versus results = FAILURE
In an attempt to avoid the usual...
Are the current economic difficulties in Europe because of the Euro? I don't think so, but am happy to be persuaded.
so a crisis is a failure to you ernie?
Oh perhaps I was wrong after all, currencies are supposed to be in crises.....it doesn't represent any failure at all.
..... I think I'll leave it there for now.
As I ponder the new meaning of "failure".
So mcboo - because Italy has not grown the euro has failed? 😕
Can You actually show me a way the euro has failed adn why countries will be force to leave it?
I'm struggleing to understand this dogged defence of the Euro. It was a political project but a fiscal gamble. That gamble has failed.
It may well survive but its already caused enourmous damage to the world economy and I fear the worst is yet to come.
GB at least made one good decision and that was to keep us out of it.
Frodo - and I am struggling to see why it was a gamble and how it has failed.
You see its still trading at a good value, it has not needed much intervention of the central banks to hold its value, there is no run on the banks.
so in what way has it failed?
All I see are lots of dogmatic assertions that is a failure , a gamble, an experiment but no one seems to be able to come up with anything concrete that shows this
I could just go repeating myself above if you like....aims v results.
The Euro has been a disaster for Italy because it was locked it into a common currency with Germany and therefore could no longer devalue its way out of trouble. At the same time they were able to borrow at low rates and therefore went ahead and did so to the extent they are now 120% of GDP in the red as the music stops. Couple that with a Prime Minister who posed as a liberal reformer but was nothing of the sort and you get the perfect storm.
France and Germany are now talking behind the scenes about forming a core northern block of themselves plus Holland and Finland with the others allowed back in as and when. I actually dont think Italy should or will leave the Euro soon, once we are right on the cliff edge the ECB is going to print money and buy Italian govies and the Germans will live with it.
Thats my definittion of failure. Now, can you demonstrate how the Euro has been a success? It's been great for Germany, but for everyone else.....
Edit and yes for the record, hats off to Gordon Brown for setting 5 impossible tests and keeping us out.
You cannot simply state that as it is holding its value it has not failed. For the average German it has not failed but for those in Grece and Italy it most certainly has.
Lets consider it like this - as a currency it has not failed.
As a single currency it most definitely has.
So actually you are basign your claim the euro has failed on the fact that the italian economy is rubbish.
I still see nothing there that says the Euro has failed - its the italian economy that is the issue surely?
FrodoAs a single currency it most definitely has.
How? Why? In what way has it failed - its still a single currency still has the same value right across Europe and the world.
do yo actually have something concrete to base your asertions on? In what way has it "failed"
