The Greens are comi...
 

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[Closed] The Greens are coming! Quick, panic!

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Who here expects all election manifestos from the "mainstream" parties to be fulfilled in their entirety?

Would it not therefore be reasonable to assume the Greens will become somewhat more moderate or gentle in implementing the more contentious issues some of you assume will blow the economy out of the water?

Also as the Greens become somewhat more mainstream, surely there will be a loss of the more "loopy" characters, and perhaps a move to re-assess some of the more, unscientific, influence that the genuine sandal-wearing, motorway tunnelling [i]actual[/i] tree hugging crusties used to express?

IMHO, it'd be a bit of a shame, but this seems likely to me.

Final point:
[img] [/img]


 
Posted : 20/01/2015 8:00 pm
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I don't get it. Why is earning more money better?


 
Posted : 20/01/2015 8:02 pm
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I don't get it. Why is earning more money better?

You might not get it, but it's the reason why there are vast amounts of immigrants in this country.


 
Posted : 20/01/2015 8:03 pm
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[img] [/img]

Let's have a further-educated debate 🙂


 
Posted : 20/01/2015 8:10 pm
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What's failed? Capitalism? That thing that took Europe out of the dark ages

Ahh yes, the 13th century, that great paragon of unfettered global capitalism.


 
Posted : 20/01/2015 8:22 pm
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Ahh yes, the 13th century, that great paragon of unfettered global capitalism.

You're assuming the 18th century was different to the 13th.


 
Posted : 20/01/2015 8:23 pm
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Doing the rounds at the mo..

Woman Realizes Her Customers Are Drunk And Unemployed.
Her Solution Is Genius

Mary is the proprietor of a bar in Dublin. She realizes that virtually all of her customers are unemployed alcoholics and, as such, can no longer afford to patronise her bar.
To solve this problem, she comes up with a new marketing plan that allows her customers to drink now, but pay later. She keeps track of the drinks consumed on a ledger (thereby granting the customers loans).

Word gets around about Mary’s “drink now, pay later” marketing strategy and, as a result, increasing numbers of customers flood into Mary’s bar. Soon she has the largest sales volume for any bar in Dublin.

By providing her customers freedom from immediate payment demands, Mary gets no resistance when, at regular intervals, she substantially increases her prices for wine and beer, the most consumed beverages. Consequently, Mary’s gross sales volume increases massively. A young and dynamic vice-president at the local bank recognizes that these customer debts constitute valuable future assets and increases Mary’s borrowing limit. He sees no reason for any undue concern, since he has the debts of the unemployed alcoholics as collateral.

At the bank’s corporate headquarters, expert traders figure a way to make huge commissions, and transform these customer loans into DRINKBONDS, ALKIBONDS and PUKEBONDS. These securities are then bundled and traded on international security markets. Naive investors don’t really understand that the securities being sold to them as AAA secured bonds are really the debts of unemployed alcoholics. Nevertheless, the bond prices continuously climb, and the securities soon become the hottest-selling items for some of the nation’s leading brokerage houses.

One day, even though the bond prices are still climbing, a risk manager at the original local bank decides that the time has come to demand payment on the debts incurred by the drinkers at Mary’s bar. He so informs Mary.

Mary then demands payment from her alcoholic patrons, but being unemployed alcoholics they cannot pay back their drinking debts. Since Mary cannot fulfill her loan obligations she is forced into bankruptcy. The bar closes and the eleven employees lose their jobs.

Overnight, DRINKBONDS, ALKIBONDS and PUKEBONDS drop in price by 90%. The collapsed bond asset value destroys the banks’ liquidity and prevents it from issuing new loans, thus freezing credit and economic activity in the community.

The suppliers of Mary’s bar had granted her generous payment extensions and had invested their firms’ pension funds in the various BOND securities. They find they are now faced with having to write off her bad debt and with losing over 90% of the presumed value of the bonds. Her wine supplier also claims bankruptcy, closing the doors on a family business that had endured for three generations, her beer supplier is taken over by a competitor, who immediately closes the local plant and lays off 150 workers.

Fortunately though, the bank, the brokerage houses and their respective executives are saved and bailed out by a multi-billion euro no-strings attached cash infusion from their cronies in Government. The funds required for this bailout are obtained by new taxes levied on employed, middle-class, non-drinkers who have never been in Mary’s bar.

Now, do you understand economics in 2015?


 
Posted : 20/01/2015 8:50 pm
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Wow... Every day a school day.... Is that off Facebook?? 😉


 
Posted : 20/01/2015 8:59 pm
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Anyone who thinks that the Greens' manifesto is bonkers should go and have a read of the mainstream parties' manifestos.


 
Posted : 20/01/2015 9:08 pm
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NW speaks much sense on this thread

it won't. It will just put more pressure on the state sector as people stop paying the fee's and schools close.

It wont really they just say this. No company/ trade organisation has ever said yes of course we could afford to pay tax or the minimum wage or holidays or maternity pay etc.....PS isnt the market perfect anyway so if they close its good news

funnily enough someone on the radio this morning commented that the reduction in people taking private health insurance in the recession had increased the pressure on the NHS

Was it not yesterday? Radio 4 anyway they did not offer any evidence to support it

Possible but untested and worthy of research


 
Posted : 20/01/2015 9:28 pm
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binners - Member
Nope. Sorry. Still not getting the whole centralisation thing at all there Wopster.

I'll give you that one, binners.

I was ALMOST swayed by the "**** it, let's just give them a go" argument, but...

I just can't support the high tax and spend (a lot of which will be thrown at useless wiffle like windmills that won't provide our energy needs) and the profound anti-technology stuff.

I'm all for nuclear power, fracking, and GM foods. Also, animal testing, until there's something better.

There's something profoundly Luddite at the core of the Green Party, so I think I'll pass.

As far as the economy, I'll stick with Osborne. The alternatives are too horrible to contemplate.


 
Posted : 21/01/2015 9:35 am
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I'll stick with Osborne. The alternatives are too horrible to contemplate

Our political system has come to this.

WTF.


 
Posted : 21/01/2015 9:37 am
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Balls.


 
Posted : 21/01/2015 9:39 am
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As far as the economy, I'll stick with Osborne. The alternatives are too horrible to contemplate.

And is there a more profound example of the bankruptcy of our present economic and political system than that?

The Chicago School model of capitalism has nearly destroyed the economy. The solution? More of the same. But even more extreme this time. What could possibly go wrong?

And in the face of the abject failure of this model of neoliberal economics, nobody is proposing any alternative at all.

Oh.... apart from the Greens.


 
Posted : 21/01/2015 10:03 am
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The Chicago School model of capitalism has nearly destroyed the economy

Odd. I hadn't noticed that anybody was trying it. As was mentioned by someone else, even the Conservatives, who claim to champion Free Marker Capitalism, are actually in thrall to corporatism, shored up by the taxpayer when failing.

However, under Osborne, the economy IS growing at last, and the country's debts reducing. If he achieves his aim of a surplus, the next decision will be how much to spend, and what on.


 
Posted : 21/01/2015 10:10 am
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Agreed Wopster. The bank bailouts, and subsequent QE couldn't have been more socialist unless they'd have quoted tractor production figures while doing it.

That doesn't change the fact that all thats being proposed is more of the same. So lets have a look shall we

1. Unsustainable property bubble? Tick
2. Economic recovery* based on credit fuelled consumer spending on imported goods? Tick
3. An unreformed, and over-powerful banking sector, still 'too big to fail' serving its own interests, with barely a consideration for the 'real' economy? Tick

Like I said.... what could possibly go wrong? Its hardly surprising if a lot of people have had enough, and think its about time we gave something else a go

* The word is used figuratively in this instance


 
Posted : 21/01/2015 10:18 am
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However, under Osborne, the economy IS growing at last, and the country's debts reducing. If he achieves his aim of a surplus, the next decision will be how much to spend, and what on.

You mean that the interest on the country's debt is being paid back?


 
Posted : 21/01/2015 10:28 am
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Well I agree that there seems to be a head of "let's just give something else a go" building up, but I don't think that's a good enough basis on which to vote. Especially in the case of the Greens, who just sound like a bunch of hopeless meddlers to me.

In an ideal world (hah!) we'd all get exactly what each of us wanted but as I hope we've all noticed by now, life ain't like that.

Arranging for the economy to be run on Friedman's or even Schumpeter's ideas would meet so much resistance from entrenched corporate interests (to which any Government has to pander if it is to survive) that it would take a revolution as profound and probably bloody as the failed attempts at socialism/communism that the planet suffered in the last century, that nobody is willing to risk it. Hence the "semi-free market" model that Osborne is following.

I'd like to see us let the free market rip and make some real progress, but in the meantime, I'll just go with it's nearest copy which in 2015 in the UK is....


 
Posted : 21/01/2015 10:29 am
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let's not forget that Osborne's economic recovery is also heavily dependent upon an interest rate of 0.5%.

how many people would be financially buggered if interest rates soared to the lofty heights of ... say ... a staggering 3%?

ie. it's not really a recovery at all.


 
Posted : 21/01/2015 10:30 am
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Mr Woppit - Member

Well I agree that there seems to be a head of "let's just give something else a go" building up, but I don't think that's a good enough basis on which to vote. Especially in the case of the Greens...

Ffs. no-one who is thinking of voting for the greens actually thinks they're going to win much if anything.

for many, it's simply seen as an effective way of telling the other left-sympathetic parties that there are votes in environmental and social policies.

and, that broadly speaking, one wouldn't mind a bit more tax if spending was increased on groovy things like social care, education, public transport, schools, environmental protection, etc.


 
Posted : 21/01/2015 10:31 am
 dazh
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I'd like to see us let the free market rip and make some real progress

Last time I went to the US the main memory I came back with was the dozens of severely mentally ill people roaming the streets because of the wonderful free-market health and social care system they have over there. Progress indeed.


 
Posted : 21/01/2015 10:33 am
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However, under Osborne, the economy IS growing at last,

let's not forget that Osborne's economic recovery

Flippin''eck there's some naivety here 😯
That a modern chancellor of a single nation decides whether the global economy is in boom or bust


 
Posted : 21/01/2015 10:37 am
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quite.

if it needs to be said (and it does seem so), one was simply paraphrasing.


 
Posted : 21/01/2015 10:37 am
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Mr Woppit - Member

the country's debts reducing

If when you say "reducing" you actually meant "increasing" then yes, I quite agree.


 
Posted : 21/01/2015 10:38 am
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Why does there need to be 'growth' at all? We (as a species) can't go on consuming at the rate we have been and expect there to be much left for future generations. It's perhaps time that we (as a species) started to think longer-term than the next payday/windfall/shareholder meeting.

[IMG] [/IMG]

How many anti-change/Green posters on here have to drive to work every morning, bumper to bumper, to a job they perhaps hate to pay for stuff they don't need that was bought on credit?


 
Posted : 21/01/2015 10:40 am
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I agree with the sentiment, but don't we have to keep the economy growing because the population is ever increasing and getting younger


 
Posted : 21/01/2015 10:44 am
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Ffs. no-one who is thinking of voting for the greens actually thinks they're going to win much if anything.

There's an "I'll vote Green if you do" hashtag going around.

EDIT:

getting younger

Not in this neck of the woods:
The average age of the population in the UK has increased from 36 years in 1992 to 40 years in
2009

[url= http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/rel/social-trends-rd/social-trends/social-trends-41/social-trends-41---population.pdf ]SOURCE[/url]


 
Posted : 21/01/2015 10:46 am
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g5604 - Member

don't we have to keep the economy growing because the population is ever increasing...

neither of those things are sustainable.

...and getting younger...

the population of the UK is getting older.


 
Posted : 21/01/2015 10:47 am
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If when you say "reducing" you actually meant "increasing" then yes, I quite agree.

Excuse me. I meant "deficit" of course. As to the debt - well, we need a surplus so we can reduce it.

Why does there need to be 'growth' at all?

Because more people like having more stuff. I know I do.

I get dressed to go to work on my bicycle which is paid for in order to get to a job that I enjoy that pays for all the other stuff I'm interested in but not for the house because it's mine.


 
Posted : 21/01/2015 10:48 am
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But economic growth is just a concept, same as state/country borders and monarchies. Yes, I've gone a little hippy-dippy tin foil hat in my dotage, I know. Fortunately I'll be dead in thirty or so years and we haven't had kids so we can enjoy our time as temporary tenants on this pale blue dot trying to abide by Rule Number One*.

* Don't be a ****. There are no other rules.


 
Posted : 21/01/2015 10:50 am
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I get dressed to go to work on my bicycle which is paid for in order to get to a job that I enjoy that pays for all the other stuff I'm interested in but not for the house because it's mine.

Sure- but this doesn't mean it's sustainable.

"The tragedy of the commons is a dilemma arising from the situation in which multiple individuals, acting independently and rationally consulting their own self-interest, will ultimately deplete a shared limited resource even when it is clear that it is not in anyone's long-term interest for this to happen"

http://www.princeton.edu/~achaney/tmve/wiki100k/docs/Tragedy_of_the_commons.html


 
Posted : 21/01/2015 10:51 am
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Why does there need to be 'growth' at all? We (as a species) can't go on consuming at the rate we have been and expect there to be much left for future generations. It's perhaps time that we (as a species) started to think longer-term than the next payday/windfall/shareholder meeting.

One of my favourite quotes of recent times (especially when sat in company meetings where the main purpose of the company appears to be to "GROW! FASTER!"):

"Growth for the sake of growth is the ideology of the cancer cell." - Edward Abbey. Interesting guy.


 
Posted : 21/01/2015 10:52 am
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I get dressed to go to work on my bicycle which is paid for in order to get to a job that I enjoy that pays for all the other stuff I'm interested in but not for the house because it's mine.

* Other lifestyles are available* 🙂


 
Posted : 21/01/2015 10:53 am
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Don't be a ****. There are no other rules.

So does that mean you don't want to screw up what you've had for others?


 
Posted : 21/01/2015 10:53 am
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Pimpmaster Jazz- I think so, I don't know if I've understood the wording of your question properly. I meant just try to be a good person, take what you need rather than everything you can get. If somebody needs help, try and give it without expecting reward or acclaim.

Just general clean-conscience (in my opinion, YMMV) sort of living.


 
Posted : 21/01/2015 11:01 am
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The current policy is infinite (unevenly distributed) growth on a finite planet.


 
Posted : 21/01/2015 11:06 am
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and if you question that then you're a tree-hugging commie.


 
Posted : 21/01/2015 11:09 am
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I think so, I don't know if I've understood the wording of your question properly. I meant just try to be a good person, take what you need rather than everything you can get. If somebody needs help, try and give it without expecting reward or acclaim.

Just general clean-conscience (in my opinion, YMMV) sort of living.

Sounds like a decent way to live kayla1. I only asked because since becoming a parent I have started to look longer term - it's not about me and what I can get anymore. A lot of politics (and attitudes?) in recent times seem to be catered toward the short term gain of the individual, which again is not terribly sustainable.


 
Posted : 21/01/2015 11:15 am
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A lot of politics (and attitudes?) in recent times seem to be catered toward the short term gain of the individual, which again is not terribly sustainable.

We're currently seeing that it's not particularly sustainable in the short term - my kids are going to have very different economic circumstances to my parents.


 
Posted : 21/01/2015 11:17 am
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and if you question that then you're a tree-hugging commie.

😆


 
Posted : 21/01/2015 11:18 am
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The current policy is infinite (unevenly distributed) growth on a finite planet.

So you're saying we need to put more effort into space research?


 
Posted : 21/01/2015 11:27 am
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Quite right to say our debts are still increasing but at a much lower rate and amount than if we had had an alternative government. You only need to look at the situation in France where the economy is in deep trouble to see that the "ignore austerity" policy has not worked. In fact France is now making cuts as it acknowledges it got it wrong. As Obama said the US and UK are growing, "we must be doing something right"

1. Unsustainable property bubble? Tick
2. Economic recovery* based on credit fuelled consumer spending on imported goods? Tick
3. An unreformed, and over-powerful banking sector, still 'too big to fail' serving its own interests, with barely a consideration for the 'real' economy? Tick

@binner's
1) Property supported by significant foreign buying, these buyers are long term holders and are buying for cash - no mortgage. Hundreds of new multi-millionaires in Asia are buying property in London which look much cheaper than their domestic property markets. London and SE are outperforming as that's where the foreign money wants to buy and where the employment is for Brits and significant number of immigrants who are coming to the UK to work as EU economies are shrinking.
2) Credit much harder to get now, not sure what you say is true at all.
3) Huge changes to the banking sector which has shrunk massively (IMO contributing significantly to fall in average earnings, 100,000's of very well paid jobs have gone). Big changes in regulation mean banks continue to shrink, reversing the excesses of prior years. Bonus and total pay down significantly since 2008, resulting in much less tax revenue for the UK.

I'm all for diversifying the UK economy but when I think about trying to compete with the likes of German high quality manufacturing all I can think of is Delorean.


 
Posted : 21/01/2015 11:54 am
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shame that is all you can think of you need more hope*

* see what i did there eh

Not sure that using France as an example is all that helpful - didnt Greece have a right wing govt when it went belly up - seeing as we are highly selecting stats to prove our view and then making assumptions that "other untested" approaches would have been worse - really they teach this "thinking" at Oxford?

and of course ..bless those bankers eh

In early 2010, it was revealed that through the assistance of Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan Chase and numerous other banks, financial products were developed which enabled the governments of Greece, Italy and many other European countries to hide their borrowing.[137][138] Dozens of similar agreements were concluded across Europe whereby banks supplied cash in advance in exchange for future payments by the governments involved; in turn, the liabilities of the involved countries were "kept off the books"


 
Posted : 21/01/2015 11:59 am
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...I'm all for diversifying the UK economy but when I think about trying to compete with the likes of German high quality manufacturing all I can think of is Delorean.

why would you think of an American car made in Northern Ireland?


 
Posted : 21/01/2015 12:01 pm
 dazh
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Bonus and total pay down significantly since 2008, resulting in much less tax revenue for the UK.

They can have their bonuses back when they've paid back the hundreds of billions in bailout money that the rest of us are now having to pay for.


 
Posted : 21/01/2015 12:04 pm
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If he achieves his aim of a surplus, the next decision will be how much to spend, and what on.

Unmarked graves for Atos victims? Compensation for families?

The current policy is infinite (unevenly distributed) growth on a finite planet.

We've always been smart like that. Who needs bison now we've got cattle where there was once forest?

[img] [/img]


 
Posted : 21/01/2015 12:07 pm
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Of course a high tech manufacturing economy also tends to need healthy foreign markets to export to.

Some of the more interesting ideas in sustainability have actually cropped up through austerity, I was at a meeting the other day being filled in on how surrey county council had signed a deal with the wildlife trust (who manage most of the council owned open spaces like woodlands and nature reserves) to wean them off of subsidy with a more commercial focus, which will see them selling a lot more firewood from woodland management, expanding their sawmill and selling more furniture to the public, putting the grazing on a more commercial footing etc.


 
Posted : 21/01/2015 12:14 pm
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JY the banks did what Greece asked them too, hide their borrowing from the markets. The fact is everyone, including the EU governments and central bank, knew or at least suspected what was going on they just ignored it. France is a useful example of an economy which chose a path other than budget cuts as a solution to the crises. What happens in Greek elections will be interesting, left wing government potentially defaults on debt (again !) and exits the euro. If Greeks are complaining now about austerity they are going to get a very rude shock with the consequences of what I just described.

why would you think of an American car made in Northern Ireland?

As an example of trying to create a high quality manufacturing business out of thin air.

They can have their bonuses back when they've paid back the hundreds of billions in bailout money that the rest of us are now having to pay for.

Two types of bailout funds, loans and equity (like RBS and Lloyds). The loans and guarantees have been profitable (ie net benefit to the tax payer), the equity investments where at a paper profit back in 2010 but further regulations and restrictions on the banks put them back underwater. Its worth noting that the US has exited all it's equity investments at a profit, they where smarter about how they went about it. You have to pay people to work to sort the mess out, most of those responsible for it are long gone. In any case pay is materially lower - half to a third of what it was in many jobs, as I said one reason tax receipts are so much lower than expected/hoped for.


 
Posted : 21/01/2015 12:27 pm
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Some of the more interesting ideas in sustainability have actually cropped up through austerity, I was at a meeting the other day being filled in on how surrey county council had signed a deal with the wildlife trust (who manage most of the council owned open spaces like woodlands and nature reserves) to wean them off of subsidy with a more commercial focus, which will see them selling a lot more firewood from woodland management, expanding their sawmill and selling more furniture to the public, putting the grazing on a more commercial footing etc.

Hang on, isn't this exactly the sort of local, sustainable and environmentally focused economy that the Greens say that they want to try to stimulate?


 
Posted : 21/01/2015 12:30 pm
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I saw a programme on iPlayer the other day about the moon, hosted by the enthusiastic Maggie Aderin-Pocock.

It would seem that the technology already exists to enable us to wrap the moon in an enormous belt of a thin membraneous energy panel that could transmit, by microwave, [i]unlimited[/i] energy back to the earth. I believe the word "cheap" was also used, solving all our energy problems at a stroke. No need for nuclear fission or fusion or any silly windmills or the like.

Of course, you need 1: the political will and 2: a HUMUNGOUS amount of money.

The first is a matter of convincing the public ("ask not what your country can do for you...") and conjoining all the industrialised countries of the planet into the effort, and the second is a matter of everybody focusing on arranging the economic systems to grow an absolutely huge "pie" so that we can afford to do it.

Any takers, I wonder? No no no. Let's all just drivel on about "localism" and local shops.

For local people...


 
Posted : 21/01/2015 1:40 pm
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I'm in!

[img] ?w=680&h=453[/img]


 
Posted : 21/01/2015 1:43 pm
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All is forgiven! 😆


 
Posted : 21/01/2015 1:46 pm
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how surrey county council had signed a deal with the wildlife trust (who manage most of the council owned open spaces like woodlands and nature reserves) to wean them off of subsidy with a more commercial focus, which will see them selling a lot more firewood from woodland management, expanding their sawmill and selling more furniture to the public, putting the grazing on a more commercial footing etc.

Yes they are definitely doing this in Surrey, clearing lots of forest and as a side effect destroying a lot of trails. Of course these trails are not permanent but harvesting forests earlier than they would otherwise isn't necessarily universally good.


 
Posted : 21/01/2015 1:47 pm
 DrJ
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I'd like to see us let the free market rip and make some real progress

That's working out pretty poorly wherever it's being tried. Like Somalia for example.


 
Posted : 21/01/2015 1:59 pm
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Jambalaya - I believe most of that is based around heathland restoration

There's a fairly strong critique of this here: http://www.self-willed-land.org.uk/heath_madness.htm

Very much led by Natural England priorities, especially nightjar and carbon. (And I was chatting to the NE regional officer yesterday, who we are going to have a decent session talking about mountain bike management with) Certianly little or nothing to do with economic forestry


 
Posted : 21/01/2015 2:12 pm
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This return to heathland and also grazing is in evidence on Cannock Chase. In the last year they have re-introduced highland cattle to small, fenced-off areas of the AONB.

The amount of forestry work, and thereby destruction to mtb trails (most of which is an unintended consequence, but some of which is deliberate) has risen significantly. I have lived on the Chase for over ten years and, in the last two or three, have seen more felling of trees and mowing of heather and heathland than ever before.

I do worry whether some of the work is misguided. There are places where it seems the trees are doing a very good job of reducing rainwater erosion of the sand and gravel bunter ground.


 
Posted : 21/01/2015 3:21 pm
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The amount of forestry work, and thereby destruction to mtb trails (most of which is an unintended consequence, but some of which is deliberate) has risen significantly. I have lived on the Chase for over ten years and, in the last two or three, have seen more felling of trees and mowing of heather and heathland than ever before.

This is happening in Thetford too. I'm only an occasional visitor there now, but it was very apparent a few years back.


 
Posted : 21/01/2015 3:46 pm
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Property supported by significant foreign buying, these buyers are long term holders and are buying for cash - no mortgage. Hundreds of new multi-millionaires in Asia are buying property in London which look much cheaper than their domestic property markets. London and SE are outperforming as that's where the foreign money wants to buy and where the employment is for Brits and significant number of immigrants who are coming to the UK to work as EU economies are shrinking.

The obvious problems here are that A. it's removing properties from the market as 'holiday homes' which could otherwise be lived in (although I realise the people that would buy to live in wouldn't exactly be poor) but it also artificially raises property prices around the country as Londoners can't afford to buy in London, so move into the 'burbs, and so forth and so on.

It was a problem in Cornwall and Devon several years ago - Londoners buying holiday homes at inflated prices - and it's subsequently priced locals out of the market.


 
Posted : 21/01/2015 3:52 pm
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