[Closed] The All Night Election Results Thread

Sunderland, First to declare, Labour Hold.

I've just saved you a bit of TV time, right there 🙂

Yeah, Sunderland seem a likely shoe in, shame it's getting so predictable.

I'd like someone to pip them to it, give the night an early sense of unpredictability.

So when will we know the final result by?

Can I just say that this is the first time I've been on STW?

Does it need a SPOILER alert in the thread title. 😉

Worth going in with predictions here?

I'm calling on an unexpected 300 seats for conservatives

Can I just say that this is the first time I've been on STW?

You get bonus points for that!!!

No way I'm taking tomorrow off work. The plan is to fall asleep about 11ish on the settee with the help of booze*, wake up about 2ish, watch the results, then go to bed about 4ish when it should be clear what is happening.

*that's a normal night anyway.

I'll spare you all the wait. To quote our new Great Leader General Zog, YOU WILL BOW DOWN BEFORE ME! BOTH YOU, AND THEN ONE DAY, YOUR HEIRS!"

To quote our new Great Leader General Zog

Are we albanians?

Bed at 10, up at 3, off to work at 7.

I have a hunch that the pollsters have misjudged it, just not sure in which direction.

Worth going in with predictions here?

I'm sticking with my predictions on the main election thread:

Tories largest party, but only by half a dozen or so.
Libdems to do slightly better than expected - 35 seats or so.
Clegg to lose his seat
SNP to gain all but a handful of seats in Scotland
UKIP to collapse
Labour/Libdem minority coalition + support from greens/PC/SDLP (based mostly on Clegg losing his seat)
Cameron/tories to whinge and whine like spoilt school children and an unedifying attempt to cling on to power.

Do we need another thread BTW?

I have a hunch that the pollsters have misjudged it, just not sure in which direction.

Well that clears it up.

Pretty much agree with Dazh.
Think tories will get a majority, but reduced.
Libdems to do better than expected.
Still not ruling out Labour trying to steal the show by linking up with SNP "in the interests of the country".

I'm going for:
Tories largest party, by 15 seats
Libdems to do slightly better than expected - 35 seats or so.
Clegg, Farage to lose.
SNP to gain all but a handful of seats in Scotland, Murphy, Alexander and the Ginger Rodent to lose.
UKIP to collapse
Labour to ask SNP to form some sort of confidence and supply arrangement.
Cameron/tories to throw the toys out of the pram and occupy Downing Street.
Second Election before the end of the year.

Good copy and paste job 😆

I think Clegg will cling on but only just, but otherwise I think the above may have it, last minute small swing to the torys but not enough to put them over, just give them an edge. UKIP might hold 1 of their existing seats.

Greens probably to stay at 1 seat, maybe - just maybe a 2nd.

1 hour to exit poll.

I predict it ends with Sturgeon strapped to a wooden hurdle and dragged though the streets to Smithfield, screaming some nonsense about freedom.

Greens to seize power in a calm cardigan and slippers way..
Wind turbines, bicycles and spd sandals for everyone!!!

Tory 289
Lib Dem 26
Labour 260
Scottish Non Unionist Party 48
UKIP 3
Others including speaker 24

To kill some time before the exit polls can anyone tell me what happens if you don't put your ballot paper in the box and try to leave the polling station with it? Can't seem to find the answer online.

Paxman & Mitchell doing a good job on Ch4,

I'll catch the replay.

Good copy and paste job

I was being lazy. We do however agree on something finally.

Others including speaker 24

That's an interesting point. Say that one party gets 325 or whatever number is needed given that Sinn Fein dont send their MPs to Westminster - does the biggest party lose one MP when the speaker is selected?

Does the speaker have to come from one of the two largest parties?

Edit: just checked and that's a no. They need enough votes for a nomination and some of those votes have to come from a different party to the nominee. So, we could have a SNP speaker 😆

Speaker votes with the government whatever party he belongs to if a tie, so having a speaker diminishes the party numbers.

My prediction:

Tory 280
Labour 274
SNP 38
Lib Dem 35
UKIP 1
Green 1
Others 21

eventual gov: labour/liberal coalition with SNP support.

Rutherglen should declare early(1.30/2am), which will be interesting in what will happen in Scotland, ultra safe labour seat(where i'm from and moving back to in a couple of weeks), if the SNP take that expect a landslide in scotland! I doubt they will though, be interesting to see how close it is though..

Balls if i'm staying up though, I'll set my alarm early! 😆

The red army Debate Me! Debate Me! One to one! Hell yes! becomes the new PM which spells the doom for UK for generations to come. The union is split into various fractions and Russia establish their first ever base in Plymouth 😆

edit: in the meantime I am roasting my chicken for late dinner ...

geeeeeeeeeeze... if the BBC poll is right, that's pretty extraordinary.

Exit polls: shit the bed 😯

Wow the Beeb have had a lot of time to kill...

Can I just say that this is the first time I've been on STW?

Exit Poll:

Tory 316
labour 238
SNP 58
Liberal 10
UKIP 2
Green 2

I reckon that's aways out.

Did I just see that right?

They'll only need the bloody DUP if that's the case.

Also, Nick Robinson's not going to survive the night.

christ...

NOOOOOOOOO!

Do we have the swing at Luton?

I stayed up late late time because I thought something pretty momentous was going to happen. It did and we failed to follow up on it. This time I think will be - meh.

]

[quote=seosamh77 ]Exit Poll:
Tory 316
labour 238
SNP 58
Liberal 10
UKIP 2
Green 2
I reckon that's aways out.

Yep, typically exit polls underestimate Tory results 😉

Mind you if it's anything like the one at my Polling station he was just stood talking to his mates and didn't ask anyone.

Tory 316

[img] [/img]

aracer - Member

Yep, typically exit polls underestimate Tory results

Lol @ z11

LOL.

BBC's "virtual house of commons". What the actual ****?

😯

[img] [/img]

Oh god, now the chinless wonder is on. Presumably everything he says is total bollocks?

Shame I couldn't vote for Oliver Cromwell

Well, I don't believe that. How are these polls done?

Oh FFS that preening **** gove is already on telly claiming the tories have won. Think I said last time that the people in this country get the govt they deserve. Wonder if I'll be saying it again?

[quote=aracer ]

Yep, typically exit polls underestimate Tory results
The 2010 and 2005 BBC exit polls had it spot on

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election-2015-32428768

Doesn't Gove have to be at his count?

****in ****in **** ****k ****. ****erty ****erty ****

Oooh, Fiona Bruce is just up the road. I'm off out.

If that is anywhere near correct then 4 and half years of work hasn't achieved much and I might be collecting my p45tomorrow.

Oh dear god not again

Doesn't Gove have to be at his count?

yes, there's definitely something vaguely familiar about that. Doesn't seem [i]quite[/i] right though

i've just finished my port and now i have to start the gin. i am excited and paddy ashdown is on bbc1. Cool guy.

[quote=unklehomered ]Doesn't Gove have to be at his count?

He needs to be there when the result is declared, which is scheduled for 3:30am. He's got plenty of time.

Looks like no PM Miliband. Time for a dram!

No. Please. If those idiots get in, the country's utterly screwed over. What possesses anyone to vote for the Tory mindless idiots?

Half a Banana republic cut off from the rest of the world with its head up its rear end in 5 years time.

And breathe......

😯

So SNP wiping out almost everyone else in Scotland, Greens and UKIP getting the same number of seats despite the massively unequal coverage (and support) UKIP get and the Tories only needing a party with about 10 seats to command a majority? Wow.

Nick Robinson has been having his sore throat for a while now I wonder if he has it checked by his GP yet as sore throat should not last that long ... think more than 2 weeks now.

😯

If the SNP share is right, Labour is well and truly ****ed, not only now, but from now on, because without Scotland the party can't win nationally.

… which means we could be facing a permanent Conservative state. 👿 😥

…which means [sarcastic applause] well done Scotland [/sarcastic applause]

Looks like no PM Miliband. Time for a dram!

If it's 19 seats less than 2010, then no more leader of Labour either.

The 2010 and 2005 BBC exit polls had it spot on
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election-2015-32428768

Goes to bed thinking happy thoughts

Is everyone else seeing a regional election programme rather than national?

YouGov

Tory 284
Labour 263
Lib Dems 31
SNP 48
UKIP 2
Plaid Cymru 3
Greens 1
18 members from Northern Ireland.

Poor Harriet got a hospital pass there.

Chewy

In early 2015 Robinson underwent surgery to remove a bronchial carcinoid tumour; he returned to work at the BBC on 13 April.

beer anyone?

[quote=martinhutch ]Did I just see that right?
They'll only need the bloody DUP if that's the case.

We should be discussing this surely? What is the DUP/Tory position on a coalition? If the poll is correct, I think this is the first time the question arises, where the Tories don't have a majority by themselves but do with the DUP.

So what time will Ed be sacked?

Hoping the yougov poll is on the money!

beer anyone?

Yes, please.

Apparently YouGov have done another exit poll that reflects the pre election polls.

Poor Harriet got a hospital pass there.

She's parked the pink bus though.

Which sounds wrong.

Hmm 22,000 polled across some 650 constituencies. About 30 people per constituency. It's probably more intelligent than that though i suppose.