we'll deal with it
My translation:
-2bn temporary westmonster austerity = work of Satan leading to food banks and suicides
-10bn ongoing SNP austerity = a satisfying challenge for a brave young nation.
no one really knows
Translation:
SNP based the book of dreams on GERS when oil was expensive, and have made changes to how the data is collected to make it more accurate (and it comes with error bars of about 1bn I think). But now it's just a remote guess because it doesn't follow my preferred narrative.
[subtext: No-one can know _anything_ about the future _ever_, all evidence that disagrees with me is useless and I'll probably be killed by a truck I saw coming but ignored.]
On the bright side, you all seem to accept that indy would lead to massive hardship for the weakest in society for a long time.
But you don't seem to care as long as the right people are making the cuts. Fair enough I see where you are coming from and your Conservative party membership card is in the post.
Alright people stop believing in self determination because it makes Hurtmore's aunt unhappy.
Thm you should have brought this up long ago.
Boris could have left the bus unpainted.
Jamba might never have been factchecked
On the flip side we're just sick of constantly being told we are charity cases and are happy to live on our own efforts.
btw your 2bn in austerity completely ignores rates of inflation.
You also continue still ignore the fact that these poor numbers come under the structure of the uk.
km79 stop calling "certain austerity" "uncertainty" your dictionary is broken.
seosamh77 I refer you to my post above. You can live on your own efforts and those who rely a welfare safety net can just tighten their belts a bit more. For the next 20 years.
Charity cases .. Jeebus give me strength ..
Here have a read of this: [url= https://chokkablog.blogspot.com/2015/04/full-fiscal-autonomy-for-dummies.html ]FFA for dummies[/url]
Theres a lot more in there about GERS and everything else you probably don't really want to know. Fill yer boots.
you also ignore that every small country surrounding us, that isn't run by the uk, performs significantly better than scotland.
km79 stop calling "certain austerity" "uncertainty" your dictionary is broken.
So under the UK how long will the '10bn hole' in Scotland be tolerated?
It's coming one way or another, only a question of how much. We can chose to spend all of our money how we would like to or chose to spend a portion of it how we like to. It's not really a tough choice.
aye given the tolerant nature emanating from south of the border, important question. The oil money is waning, how long will the altrustic nature last beyond that? 😕km79 - Member
km79 stop calling "certain austerity" "uncertainty" your dictionary is broken.
So under the UK how long will the '10bn hole' in Scotland be tolerated?
£10bn - That's £192m per week for rUK NHS.
At a stroke they could reduce the rUK deficit and take years off of austerity if they just cut Scotland loose? Can't understand why nobody is campaigning for this south of the border.
I feel an order for new bus decals must be imminent! 😆
Because its utter bobbins zigzag.
Scotlands deficit 'hole' only becomes a real deficit under independence. Until then the areas of the UK that perform less well economically are supported by the areas that perform better. That's sort of the advantage of being part of a country rather than part of an Amazonian tribe with tiny horizons and no wider 'pooling and sharing' of resources.
You could probably make a case that pretty much any area outside London is running a deficit in terms of cash generated vs cash spent. But no one is doing the calculations because they're not planning to set out on their own and make it real.
Anyway, I'm glad we all seem to see at least the initial problem with the economic argument for independence (that there isn't one) and we can move on to whether the people of Scotland think it's a price worth paying.
This kinda sensationalism is why politics should not be involved in education...
Is not sensationalism, it's my opinion as a teacher seeing the continual pointless tinkering by the SQA who are accountable to no one and keep moving the goal posts sometimes between pupils sitting exams and those exams being marked, the record levels of stress and anxiety amongst pupils and teachers, the woefully underfunded schools, the courses that don't meet the needs of pupils,the shoehorning of pupils into courses that don't suit and the ever increasing burden of assessment.
But you are right. Politics shouldn't be involved in education. Unfortunately it is and children's futures are used as a political football.
Scotlands deficit 'hole' only becomes a real deficit under independence.
That's creative.
Until then the areas of the UK that perform less well economically are supported by the areas that perform better.
That's sort of the advantage of being part of a country
Scotland is a country, not an area of one.
Can't be bothered with the rest.
ETP - you can recycle when you have a properly functioning union with monetary, fiscal and political union combined. Plus you get high levels of devolved power thrown in as a Brucie bonus. In contrast, there is a new "desire" to become shackled with a union that lacks this basic requirement and which "kills" smaller,deficit nations.
The coffee smell great.....
Ah, the wishful thinking amongst our ill-wishers.
Never mind chaps, although we will be gone soon, you'll have Empire 2.0 to occupy your time. Lots and lots of brown people to exploit and feel superior to....
The only ill wishers are those wanting to commit self harm.
Some reality on the likley defence spending requirements for a iScotland
Overall, the new landscape has forced Norway to raise its defence budget to €5.5bn (£4.8bn), investing in a formidable new range of joint strike aircraft, submarines and spotter planes in what is described as the country’s biggest onshore investment in its history.
From: [url= https://www.theguardian.com/world/2017/mar/13/troubled-waters-norway-keeps-watch-on-russias-arctic-manoeuvres ]Guardian linky[/url]
[i]Some reality on the likley defence spending requirements for a iScotland [/I]
That's Norway's choice, doesn't have to be ours - and not sure you've noticed but they actually border Russia plus any fleet movements out of the north go directly past them.
Good graph and resources:
http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/MS.MIL.XPND.GD.ZS
A bit less than 1% of GDP looks a good 'aim' (circa £2bn pa), mainly taken up with air-sea rescue and a very small professional multi-purpose force that can 'practice' with UN duties etc.
What we don't want to do is get caught up in inheriting any long-term expensive contracts from the UK.
A bit less than 1% of GDP looks a good 'aim' (circa £2bn pa), mainly taken up with air-sea rescue and a very small professional multi-purpose force that can 'practice' with UN duties etc.
The Scottish Nationalists always seem to get very confused when answering defence questions.
You do realise that the only reason the UK Military performed SAR duties was because they were available for the recovery of ditched pilots? It was never a primary role.
You have an extensive coastline and some major offshore assets, how will you protect them?
What's a muti-purpose force?
epicyclo
I'm content that I've made my point and kind of moved on from this .
But I'm not going to let pass your implication that opposing scottish independence is somehow related to a vision that includes;
you'll have Empire 2.0 to occupy your time. Lots and lots of brown people to exploit and feel superior to....
In this thread I have been accused of being a racist once already by someone who failed to produce any evidence and the implication of your comment isn't far off the same thing.
Its obviously not enough that you (and not only you) can't come up with any evidence that iScotland would not be an economic basket case. But it seems that anyone who disagrees with you or uses facts must somehow be an outsider with reprehensible character traits.
Such people can't be Scottish,
They can't live in Scotland,
They must be tories,
They must support brexit,
They must have certain attitudes about "brown people",
Whats next maybe "traitor" "quisling"?
If thats what your "joyful" "inclusive" "non-nationalistic nationalism" has to offer to those who dissent. then you can definitely keep it.
I never called you racist. I just asked why you hate us.
Sturgeon to make an important announcement at 11-30
another referendum then?
Anyhow, seems sturgeon going to make an announcement of sorts at 11.30 this morning.
🙄 Thanks for making my point.
eat_the_pudding - Member
Bearing in mind a central thread of at least two posters on here is that indy is all because of hatred of the English, you are very one eyed. Or had you not noticed that part of the debate?
UKIP, 1.6% of the electorate in 2015 (Scotland)
UKIP, 14.1% of the electorate in 2015 (England)
You do seem to like statistics; while somewhat colourful, epic's comment on Brown people would seem to be increasingly reflected by England's voters...Both in 2015 and 2016.
[i]What's a multi-purpose force? [/I]
Best imagine something along the lines of the US Marines, a single force with multiple abilities - we haven't the money to throw at having large expansive bureaucracies (Army, Navy, Air Force) etc.
Main focus is on 'defence' of Scotland, so coastlines etc plus commercial protection (fisheries mostly). Will need to be amphibious based.
Planes' wise, be pointless trying to keep up with the UK/USA/Russia, so coastal rescue plus I'm sure we could cover our Nato commitments by long-range surveillance - esp. the Scotland to Iceland 'gap'.
Will need to be amphibious based.
Probably the most expensive option for any armed forces.
Planes' wise, be pointless trying to keep up with the UK/USA/Russia, so coastal rescue
You can't have amphibious forces without air cover.
Using military assets for coastal rescue is an extremely expensive option.
duckman
So [i]they[/i] started it.
Well that makes it all right then; generalise away; perfectly justified; can't see what I was complaining about at all now.
Whataboutery achievement unlocked.
Good swerve...I just thought if you were going to complain about the tone of posts then you would recognise it is a two way street. But maybe not, at least you are consistent.
[i]Using military assets for coastal rescue is an extremely expensive option. [/I]
That's your statement not mine. Where did I say that?
But better than them sat doing nothing.
We'll need to rethink how we do it, these may be a good place to start:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_Zealand_Defence_Force
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Portuguese_Armed_Forces
Not swerving, but thanks for making assumptions.
Yes it is a 2 way street. Thought that would go without saying based on my clearly expressed attitude.
Specific enough for you?
Honestly I think that Norway is a more realistic model, with close integration with rUK. Remember Scotland needs an effective SAR capability, for the North Sea oil rigs,, along with the fishermen and tourists.
For more proactive defense from the Russia's maybe iScotland could as the Yanks to stick some F-22 in Leuchars as they love a bit of golf 😆
Wont there be an EU army along soon?
The BBC comments section is basically a very long series of angry little englanders posting abusive things about Sturgeon.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-scotland-politics-39253934
You can easily see why the Scots want to get away from what appears to be a nation of trolls!
PS Now that I've made it clear that such generalisations are reprehensible from wherever they come, would it be foolish to assume that maybe others on here will apologise for conflating opposition to iScotland for an:
a) inclination to dominate brown people (epicyclo) and
b) a hatred of Scottish people (seosamh77)
Seems only fair. No?
But not holding my breath.
Also
Despite the fluff and misdirection, I'm still waiting for a list of 10-14Bn worth of progressive, forward looking, socially responsible and fair public spending cuts (or tax rises) that an iScotland could make while protecting the poor and disadvantaged more than the current situation?
But again, not holding my breath.
The economic plan for iScotland really is beginning to look like its flags all the way down.
so do we get to do this thread all again in winter '18?
Nah, just keep this one running, or copy and paste the last one.
eat_the_pudding - Member
Despite the fluff and misdirection, I'm still waiting for a list of 10-14Bn worth of progressive, forward looking, socially responsible and fair public spending cuts (or tax rises) that an iScotland could make while protecting the poor and disadvantaged more than the current situation?But again, not holding my breath.
The economic plan for iScotland really is beginning to look like its flags all the way down.
Referndums are about the head not the heart 'Its the economy, stupid' does not apply
Oh god another 18-24 months of 'debate' FFS, thought we'd got this done and dusted in 2014.
How many times does zee mention HARD Brexshit? So if we get a sensible deal, does that take the referendum off the table?
Zee even has to lie now, god knows what the next two years are going to be like. No need to out trump Trump.
Could it boil down to which crowd of clueless muppets* we want governed by, Westminster or Holyrood?
I apologise if that sounds like a trite or stupid comment, but it seems we're damned if we do, damned if we don't.
I'd always hoped the SNP might pave the way for another vote by actually trying to do the best they could with the powers they have, but have they even done this?
It seems like the outcome of another vote will be:
- NO vote: Sturgeon resigns, chaos, bitterness, then what, reduced SNP majority in Holyrood?
- YES vote: SNP get to imitate the current Tory/Brexit strategy of 'oh **** we didn't think we'd actually win, now what?'
[s]flags[/s] all the way down
Self obsessed careerist politicians all the way down? 🙁
I at least hope they'll have the sense to admit the economic argument is extremely shaky or at least impossible to prove, rather than go for outright B.S.
*well obviously not 'clueless' but just 'clue-ically malajusted' or something.
Wondering if that Private Eye subscription was really a good idea, at least a the moment they spend most of their time tearing strips of Westminster politicians, could be pretty embarassing once they turn their focus on Holyrood... 😳
