Jeremy Corbyn
 

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Jeremy Corbyn

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Posted : 18/07/2016 1:12 pm
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If having nuclear weapons is a deterrent against attack why don't we make a lot more and share them around everyone.

World peace guaranteed.


Steals argument for future use


 
Posted : 18/07/2016 1:29 pm
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But who are we deterring?

Russia? China? The USA??? Perhaps France - we've been at war with them more times than most other countries

Not in the nuclear age we haven't.

We're not necessarily deterring people from waging war, we're deterring people form waging *nuclear* war.

If Iran / Isreal or ****stan / India want to nuke each other let them get on with it.

Ah, no. Don't. It'd be the biggest environmental catastrophe since Yellowstone.


 
Posted : 18/07/2016 1:40 pm
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molgrips - Member
Hmm.. those leadership testimonials posted by CaptJon are pretty damning.

Any Corbyn supporters care to comment?

Here's another, this time from Lilian Greenwood

http://www.newstatesman.com/politics/staggers/2016/07/lilian-greenwood-mp-jeremy-corbyn-continually-undermined-me-job-i-loved

Extract:

"HS2 has always been controversial, including in our Party, but it is something that I believe is vital for the future of our country. It has the support of all the rail unions. It has the support of Labour leaders in the great cities like Birmingham and Manchester and Leeds and Nottingham. It is important for jobs and skills in Derby and Doncaster and across the country and it is our official policy to support it, as agreed by the Shadow Cabinet and our National Policy Forum. I’ve been one of HS2’s strongest supporters, so I when I took up the job in Jeremy’s Shadow Cabinet I wanted to be absolutely sure we were on the same page.

I met his Director of Policy to talk it through. We talked about the most difficult parts of the project, the impact at Euston in London. I'd been working with Councillor Sarah Hayward and her colleagues at Camden for more than two years to try and help them get what they wanted for their local residents. It had been very difficult. I'd been to visit several times, meeting residents and businesses and dealing with some hostile media. But we secured real concessions – changes that will make a difference to local residents. It didn’t matter that it was in a nominally safe seat. It was the right thing to do.

Despite our agreed policy, despite Jeremy's Director of Policy and I agreeing our position, without saying anything to me, Jeremy gave a press interview in which he suggested he could drop Labour’s support for HS2 altogether. He told a journalist on a local Camden newspaper that perhaps the HS2 line shouldn’t go to Euston at all but stop at Old Oak Common in West London – but he never discussed any of this with the Shadow Cabinet, or me, beforehand. I felt totally undermined on a really difficult issue. And when two frontbenchers voted against the three-line whip at 3rd Reading in March he did nothing, telling one of them: “well I've done it enough times myself." Breaking the principles of collective responsibility and discipline without which effective Parliamentary opposition is not possible.

When I raised my concerns it was simply shrugged off. It undermined me in front of colleagues and made me look weak. It made me feel like I was wasting my time. That my opinion didn't matter. And it made me miserable."


 
Posted : 18/07/2016 2:04 pm
 ctk
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Hmm.. those leadership testimonials posted by CaptJon are pretty damning.

Any Corbyn supporters care to comment?

Yep pretty damning, cant help thinking he needs a better team. I thought that about Milliband aswell. Nevertheless I'll vote Corbyn over the other 2.

If Germany don't have nuclear weapons why do we need them?

Obama is making plenty - more than any US president I think I read somewhere.


 
Posted : 18/07/2016 2:05 pm
 dazh
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These 'testimonials' are hilarious. 'Jeremy undermined me and made me feel unhappy'. Honestly they should get a grip. They're MPs not 1st year graduates in their fist job.


 
Posted : 18/07/2016 2:10 pm
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We're not necessarily deterring people from waging war, we're deterring people form waging *nuclear* war.

So if we didn't have nukes, we'd have been nuked by France?

Grow up.

They're not toys, it's not monopoly money that pays for them, and hundreds of thousands of people die if they're used.

How has us having nukes stopped us from being nuked by anyone else? Why haven't non-nuclear nations been nuked? Who will we nuke with our second strike if ISIS manage to sneak one into London?


 
Posted : 18/07/2016 2:10 pm
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'Jeremy undermined me and made me feel unhappy'. Honestly they should get a grip. They're MPs not 1st year graduates in their fist job.

kinder gentler politics


 
Posted : 18/07/2016 2:14 pm
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So if we didn't have nukes, we'd have been nuked by France?

Well given that the French are on our side no. Ruasins, maybe.

And I would suggest that you grow up. I would prefer a mature intelligent discussion about nuclear deterrent and MAD to a slanging match. You being facetious doesn't really do anything for that. It's not a new concept, there isa lot of history here.

it's not monopoly money that pays for them

The money spent - where does it go?


 
Posted : 18/07/2016 2:19 pm
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there isa lot of history here.

There is. And the wars and threats the world now faces show us that it's just that. History.

By far the biggest threat the UK faces is from stateless terrorism. How do you deter that with nukes?

I'm not being facetious. Answer that question. Tell me how renewing Trident reduces the current and future credible threats to the safety of the British people. Then tell me why Australia, New Zealand, Canada, most of Europe, in fact most of the rest of the world, are at threat from nuclear war.

That's not facetiousness. It's a pertinent question that surely you must be able to answer, seeing as you're advocating spending over 200 bn on one of the most horrific weapons ever invented.


The money spent - where does it go?

Weapons manufacturers. I'd prefer to see it go to the NHS, schools, universities, the needy, nation-building infrastructure, and the wider economy in the form of a tax cut. It seems we have different priorities.

Heck, we could spend a chunk of it on foreign aid and more effectually prevent conflicts before they start 💡


 
Posted : 18/07/2016 2:26 pm
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dazh - Member
These 'testimonials' are hilarious. 'Jeremy undermined me and made me feel unhappy'. Honestly they should get a grip. They're MPs not 1st year graduates in their fist job.

Seriously, that is your response?

An agreement is made on how to handle HS2, but without warning or consultation Corbyn suggests something different. That isn't how any organisation should operate, and it shouldn't matter who is undermined, it is impossible to do you job if you think the plan is 'A' but the boss says it's 'B'.

And if you sack someone, it is usually a good idea to tell them.


 
Posted : 18/07/2016 2:26 pm
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Binners as a bloke you'd have been quite unpopular outside Greenham back in the day. The camp and the cruise missiles are long gone now of course so you'd be a bit lonely and your protest would be even more pointless.

Intersting points made today about how unrepresentative of Scottish public opinion are their MPs as public opinion is fairly even on Nuclear weapons pro/con but the MPs are very one sided in a show of political expediency rather than democracy.


 
Posted : 18/07/2016 2:30 pm
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Tell me how renewing Trident reduces the current and future credible threats to the safety of the British people

Well, I'm far from an expert in global politics, but the issue is that a nuclear programme cannot simply be stopped and re-started later if it DOES become an issue. If us and our allies all scrapped nukes, and say Russia and China did not, then the balance of power would shift hugely. If in the future there were to be a new cold war, we'd be pretty vulnerable to any kind of gunboat diplomacy even if there were no outright thread of conflict.

That's not facetiousness. It's a pertinent question that surely you must be able to answer, seeing as you're advocating spending over 200 bn on one of the most horrific weapons ever invented.

I'm presenting the other side of the argument, for the sake of discussion. I'm actually undecided myself about Trident. I'd love a nuclear free world, however us scrapping Trident won't achieve that.

And for clarification, I was referring to the quip about France being facetious. We clearly don't keep a deterrent against our allies.

Then tell me why Australia, New Zealand, Canada, most of Europe, in fact most of the rest of the world, are at threat from nuclear war.

Well they probably aren't, but maybe that's because most of them are allied with nuclear powers...?

A question for you then - what do you think would stop North Korea from using a nuke if they develop one?


 
Posted : 18/07/2016 2:35 pm
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A question for you then - what do you think would stop North Korea from using a nuke if they develop one?

Frankly, sweet FA.

With intergenerational national brainwashing and a million-strong fiercely loyal standing army, I don't think they'd be deterred by all the tea (or nukes) in China.

We clearly don't keep a deterrent against our allies.

Russia were our allies less than a century ago. Allegiances change. Still doesn't mean they'll nuke us if we disarm.


 
Posted : 18/07/2016 2:43 pm
 DrJ
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Feel free to quote my specific post today on this thread which is factually inocrrect.

subs without weapons

You're welcome.


 
Posted : 18/07/2016 2:44 pm
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With intergenerational national brainwashing and a million-strong fiercely loyal standing army, I don't think they'd be deterred by al the tea (or nukes) in China.

Yet they haven't invaded the South. Weird coincidence I guess.


 
Posted : 18/07/2016 2:44 pm
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It seems to me if we don't have nukes, then we are in danger of being invaded despite the valiant efforts of the RN to hold back the invaders with our fleet air arm flying from our aircraft carriers (I'm sure we'd be able to afford a few kamikaze hang-gliders even if we can't afford real planes).

Now who would invade us is what puzzles me.

However assuming we're conquered, how long is it before life returns to normal? Take Germany as an example.

If we have nukes and have to use them, then the response will be nationwide devastation and the deaths of most of the population. It won't be like Japan recovering because only 2 nukes were used there and they were tiny compared to modern nukes. Welcome to country where most of it is a glowing no go zone, and our surviving descendants are cancer ridden mutants.

The money would be better spent on conventional forces.


 
Posted : 18/07/2016 2:45 pm
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Yet they haven't invaded the South.

Correct. Thank goodness Trident has prevented that. I assume the moment Corbyn becomes PM it'll all kick off?


 
Posted : 18/07/2016 2:50 pm
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what do you think would stop North Korea from using a nuke if they develop one?
they have them

We did not invade when they did not, they have not invaded since they have them we have not used them and they have not used them
What are you are arguing nukes do exactly?


 
Posted : 18/07/2016 2:50 pm
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What are you are arguing nukes do exactly?

Put people off using them.

We could scrap Trident and then just pretend that we haven't. That would still work. Or.. maybe we already have.. makes you think, doesn't it?

Thank goodness Trident has prevented that. I assume the moment Corbyn becomes PM it'll all kick off?

Sarcasm isn't any better.


 
Posted : 18/07/2016 2:56 pm
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If Germany don't have nuclear weapons why do we need them?

Can we nip this one in the bud, (1) They aren't allowed them under there own control (2) they have through NATO weapons sharing access to US nuclear weapons which they can deploy from their own planes.


 
Posted : 18/07/2016 2:59 pm
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What are you are arguing nukes do exactly?

Put people off using them.

But we didn't nuke them before they had nukes, we haven't since. I fail to see your point.

Sarcasm isn't any better.

It's significantly better than supporting the purchase of a 200bn weapons system capable of erasing most of the life on the planet.

You still haven't told me how it will prevent the only credible threat we face right now (ISIS and similar stateless terrorists), and you haven't told me which credible threats it would deter in the future. Try answering the central question to your argument, and perhaps I won't have to treat your non-answers with quite so much disdain.

P.S. Have you worked out how to overtake cars without nuclear weapons yet?


 
Posted : 18/07/2016 3:07 pm
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they have through NATO weapons sharing access to US nuclear weapons which they can deploy from their own planes.

Which would be shot down before they got close to their target


 
Posted : 18/07/2016 3:08 pm
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The money would be better spent on conventional forces.

So, you think a 6% bigger conventional armed forces would make a huge difference to a potential aggressor?


 
Posted : 18/07/2016 3:14 pm
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With regard to all these nukes supposedly preventing their actual use because the consequences would be self-defeating...

Erm, they haven't ever been used.

Funny, that.


 
Posted : 18/07/2016 3:17 pm
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It's significantly better than supporting the purchase of a 200bn weapons system capable of erasing most of the life on the planet.

I haven't said I support it. I am presenting another side of the argument. But that's really dreadful arguing.

you haven't told me which credible threats it would deter in the future.

I don't know. Neither do you know they won't be a credible threat deterred by nukes, nor if there have their been credible threats deterred by nukes.

Try answering the central question to your argument, and perhaps I won't have to treat your non-answers with quite so much disdain.

I am trying to do that. You're dragging the argument through the dirt in lieu of a proper debate. As evidenced by referencing overtaking. If you're going to do that, then this is going nowhere and I'll leave it.

Back on track then - can any Corbyn supporters counter CaptJon's quotes of a few pages back about poor management?


 
Posted : 18/07/2016 3:18 pm
 dazh
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Seriously, that is your response?

Absolutely.

[i]"When I raised my concerns it was simply shrugged off. It undermined me in front of colleagues and made me look weak. It made me feel like I was wasting my time. That my opinion didn't matter. And it made me miserable."[/i]

Any MP saying something like that above should really think about getting another job. Just what did Lilian Greenword think being an MP was all about?


 
Posted : 18/07/2016 3:20 pm
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Erm, they haven't ever been used.

Are we sure ?

[img] [/img]

Atomic weapons were used against a country that had a development program but had not managed to create a functional weapon.

[url= https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Japanese_nuclear_weapon_program ]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Japanese_nuclear_weapon_program[/url]

There is probably a lesson to be found in there for those who say we don't need nuclear weapons because there isn't a clearly defined threat at the moment. Asking a threatening nation to come back and threaten us again at a later date when we've started making nuclear weapons again is stupid. As stupid as a party that failed, due to being too left wing to appeal to voters, selecting Jeremy Corbyn as its next leader.


 
Posted : 18/07/2016 3:29 pm
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dazh - Member

Seriously, that is your response?

Absolutely.

"When I raised my concerns it was simply shrugged off. It undermined me in front of colleagues and made me look weak. It made me feel like I was wasting my time. That my opinion didn't matter. And it made me miserable."

Any MP saying something like that above should really think about getting another job. Just what did Lilian Greenword think being an MP was all about?

Why are you focusing on how she felt about Corbyn's actions, and ignoring the fundamental point that if what she says is true, Corbyn's actions demonstrated poor leadership?


 
Posted : 18/07/2016 3:40 pm
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dazh - Member
Absolutely.

"When I raised my concerns it was simply shrugged off. It undermined me in front of colleagues and made me look weak. It made me feel like I was wasting my time. That my opinion didn't matter. And it made me miserable."

Any MP saying something like that above should really think about getting another job. Just what did Lilian Greenword think being an MP was all about?

Presumably she thought that she'd be developing policy in a particular area as agreed, rather than agreeing it then having it changed without consultation. You appear to be ignoring the actions of Corbyn and focusing on the response.

You're also ignoring the utter disorganisation about what Debonaire's role was/wasn't and sacking her without telling her.

If he can't organise who is doing what within his shadow cabinet, or stick to agreed policies, how is he going to run the country?


 
Posted : 18/07/2016 3:43 pm
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I may have switched sides, actually.


 
Posted : 18/07/2016 3:50 pm
 dazh
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You appear to be ignoring the actions of Corbyn and focusing on the response.

Not at all. I've said a few times I think he's less than competent. I do wonder though if Corbyn were to write a similar self-pitying confessional whether there would be the same level of sympathy.


 
Posted : 18/07/2016 4:06 pm
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You're welcome.

Pretty clear I meant nuclear weapons, certainly to me or anyone else reading the discussion I would have said. Petty point scoring and nit picking on your behalf. Same old same old hence the yawn


 
Posted : 18/07/2016 4:10 pm
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Sky believes 50% of Labour MPs will vote for Trident. Also saying that as the renewal decsion was effectively taken in 2007 this debate and vote (pointless) was a deliberate move by Cameron to further humiliate Corbyn as he has teed up Labour MPs to publically speak and vote against Corbyn.


 
Posted : 18/07/2016 4:13 pm
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Isn't the vote just on renewing the subs - the issue of renewing the missiles isn't due for another decade - so this vote won't stop the trident program.


 
Posted : 18/07/2016 4:37 pm
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The point is simple though - to make it not worth it for anyone to think they could gain from launching a strike against us.

Like the school bully not picking on someone because he knows that the guy has a bigger brother and the cost of picking on the younger one is not worth it - just taken to the extreme.

Sure the leadership might think they could survive in some bunker, but it would be a nuclear wasteland above them.

The only issue would be if the other side thought they had the technology to locate all the subs and to knock out the missiles before they got to them, or if they were religious nuts thinking that they were all destined for 70 virgins.


 
Posted : 18/07/2016 4:41 pm
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ninfan - Member
'The money would be better spent on conventional forces.'
So, you think a 6% bigger conventional armed forces would make a huge difference to a potential aggressor?

If it's invasion we are protecting against as opposed to killing brown foreigners in their own country, it would buy a much bigger armed service.

TurnerGuy - Member
...The only issue would be if the other side thought they had the technology to locate all the subs and to knock out the missiles before they got to them...

Which is the most likely scenario. Bye bye the south of Scotland and our fishing grounds.

Ultimately the use of nuclear weapons is primarily a weapon to be used against civilian populations, not military.

Anyone prepared to use them should be automatically debarred from public office because they have just demonstrated the mentality of a mass murdering war criminal.


 
Posted : 18/07/2016 4:58 pm
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If it's invasion we are protecting against as opposed to killing brown foreigners in their own country, it would buy a much bigger armed service.

"much bigger"? How much bigger do you think, with 6% more money?

If you're talking about an doctrinal shift away from expeditionary warfare towards a pure home defence force, then you would entirely undermine our ability to intervene in foreign theatres - lets look at what that means for a minute;

Genocide in the Balkans - nope, sorry, not interested any more
Regional conflict in Africa - nope, sorry, not interested any more
Russia invades Ukraine, Bulgaria, Georgia, Finland - nope, sorry, not interested any more
Turkish forces invade Greece or Cyprus (again) - nope, sorry, not interested any more

Funny, I thought it was the Brexiters and right wingers who were 'Little Englanders'!


 
Posted : 18/07/2016 5:43 pm
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If there where heightened tensions none of the nuclear equipped submarines would be at Faslane imo, they would all be at sea. The only scenario where Scotland get's nuked / attacked is a total surprise scenario.


 
Posted : 18/07/2016 5:44 pm
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The only scenario where Scotland get's nuked / attacked is a total surprise scenario.

Which is why theres always [b]at least[/b] one operational boat at sea, with 40 warheads unevenly spread over eight missiles.


 
Posted : 18/07/2016 5:48 pm
 DrJ
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Same old same old hence the yawn

Same old same old. Not taking responsibility for the words you write. Or did you mean "in my opinion" again?


 
Posted : 18/07/2016 5:48 pm
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ninfan - Member
"much bigger"? How much bigger do you think, with 6% more money?

If you're talking about an doctrinal shift away from expeditionary warfare towards a pure home defence force, then you would entirely undermine our ability to intervene in foreign theatres - lets look at what that means for a minute;

Genocide in the Balkans - nope, sorry, not interested any more
Regional conflict in Africa - nope, sorry, not interested any more
Russia invades Ukraine, Bulgaria, Georgia, Finland - nope, sorry, not interested any more
Turkish forces invade Greece or Cyprus (again) - nope, sorry, not interested any more

Funny, I thought it was the Brexiters and right wingers who were 'Little Englanders'!

Ah, the delusions of empire and being the world's policeman persist. How about we use up our nukes on one of those "little" problems next time one pops up, that'd fix it much better than conventional forces.

But to answer your question, no doubt we would still be in NATO and get involved where it is.


 
Posted : 18/07/2016 5:59 pm
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jambalaya - Member
If there where heightened tensions none of the nuclear equipped submarines would be at Faslane imo, they would all be at sea....

Mmmm, now if you were the enemy in charge of targeting, what would you do?

You'd make sure and hit Faslane and Rosyth to take them completely out of the picture as well as targeting last known positions of the subs.


 
Posted : 18/07/2016 6:03 pm
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The point is simple though - to make it not worth it for anyone to think they could gain from launching a strike against us.

Problem is this requires two things

1. Someone wanting to nuke us
2. Non nuke countries getting nuked - did not happen to Iran, North Korea, Vietnam, or any other war zone or pariah nation so pretty hard to make it a credible rather than hypothetical risk- even then Nato means our mates with nukes join in anyway


 
Posted : 18/07/2016 6:10 pm
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Emily Thornberry abstaining as the vote is just a trap for Labour, she is right about that. What's bizarre is she supports Trident and she's the Snadow Minister when the leader is against. He can't even fill a Cabinet with people that agree with him on his most important issues.


 
Posted : 18/07/2016 6:28 pm
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[quote=jambalaya ]SNP MP for Faslane will vote to renew TridentThat would be Brendan O'Hara. He's going to vote for renewal?


 
Posted : 18/07/2016 7:21 pm
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Problem is this requires two things

1. Someone wanting to nuke us
2. Non nuke countries getting nuked - did not happen to Iran, North Korea, Vietnam, or any other war zone or pariah nation so pretty hard to make it a credible rather than hypothetical risk- even then Nato means our mates with nukes join in anyway

in theory the attack need not be nuclear, could be the other two letters of NBC.

Same principle, we are saying that there can be no benefit from an attack.

We play a game of bluff so that any enemy cannot tell if we are serious about retalitating.

But then you get jerkoffs like Corbyn saying he definitely wouldn't use it, which stuffs the deterant idea up completely. Maybe he wouldn't use it, and would rather everyone died meekily, but he has just increased the chances of that happening.


 
Posted : 18/07/2016 7:25 pm
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Has he gone yet?


 
Posted : 18/07/2016 7:41 pm
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So I rang Brian, my agent, and my adviser, Laurence, to tell them. I wrote my resignation letter and I rang Jeremy to explain. And I texted asking him to call me. And I rang Katy Clark in his office and asked her to ask him to ring me.

After an hour or so he did ring me. And we had an amicable discussion and I explained that I has lost confidence in him.

He didn't even ask me why.

Or what was wrong , or how he could fix it.

I wasn't part of any coup.

I didn't plan it.

I didn't co-ordinate the timing of my resignation with anyone else.

I just knew that I could not go on.

[url= http://www.liliangreenwood.co.uk/lilian_s_speech_to_nottingham_south_labour_party_members ]Source.[/url]


 
Posted : 18/07/2016 7:49 pm
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You'd make sure and hit Faslane and Rosyth to take them completely out of the picture as well as targeting last known positions of the subs.

You'd have to hit the base in the US they use as well, which would open another even larger can of worms, and also I would hazard a guess that the locations of the submarines is an extremely closely guarded secret and they almost certainly won't use a regular route, so I can't imagine just hitting a few "last known positions" would really help even if you knew any...


 
Posted : 18/07/2016 7:56 pm
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that the locations of the submarines is an extremely closely guarded secret

Very. They go to great depths to stay hidden, so unless you can find one and then track it using another sub following it, you don't know where they are.


 
Posted : 18/07/2016 7:59 pm
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I think the interesting question is whether Trident can still actually sail around the oceans undetected, or whether sub-detection (underwater drones, better satellites, etc) will mean that our adversaries could figure out where they are and take them out pre-emptively.

If so, there's not much point in having it anymore.

But trying to argue that if we give it up, so will everyone else, seems naive.


 
Posted : 18/07/2016 8:01 pm
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That resignation letter is very damming of Corbyn's teamwork and leadership skills. But hardly a surprise when Corbyn has never worked in a team of ever had to leaf anything. The resignation letter is written in a very measured, calm way, I'd hate to think what he says about Corbyn down the pub.


 
Posted : 18/07/2016 8:14 pm
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Dragon, Lilian is a she. Oh, and it's a transript of a speech she gave, rather than a letter.


 
Posted : 18/07/2016 8:17 pm
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If so, there's not much point in having it anymore.

maybe that is why we need new subs...


 
Posted : 18/07/2016 8:23 pm
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TurnerGuy - Member
maybe that is why we need new subs
Will they have a P on them?


 
Posted : 18/07/2016 8:33 pm
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CFH that was very a informative read. Thanks.


 
Posted : 18/07/2016 8:42 pm
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If you're talking about an doctrinal shift away from expeditionary warfare towards a pure home defence force, then you would entirely undermine our ability to intervene in foreign theatres - lets look at what that means for a minute;

Not invading Afghanistan and Iraq, thus not being responsible for the power vacuum and shitstorm that resulted in Isis?

Sounds like quite a Plan


 
Posted : 18/07/2016 8:56 pm
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whether Trident can still actually sail around the oceans undetected, or whether sub-detection (underwater drones, better satellites, etc) will mean that our adversaries could figure out where they are and take them out pre-emptively.

Hmm, as a thought there - have a look at what has happened after plane crashes/missing planes, e.g.. Air France 447

the equipment on board the plane is [i]activley[/i] transmitting a signal, yet despite knowing the rough location of it going missing, and within a few days finding wreckage and bodies - it still took some of the most sophisticated naval and marine assets two years to find it

now have a look at the other planes that have gone missing in similar circumstances, ensuing in huge naval searches - again, despite knowing rough locations and transmitting a detectable signal. how many of them have been found?


 
Posted : 18/07/2016 8:59 pm
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then you get jerkoffs like Corbyn saying he definitely wouldn't use it, which stuffs the deterant idea up completely. Maybe he wouldn't use it, and would rather everyone died meekily, but he has just increased the chances of that happening.

By how much? 5%? 50%? 95%?

C'mon, we're talking about 200bn on a weapons system with the ability to mete out a horrific death tha a large proportion of the world's population. If you think it's justified that we as a nation have that power, you must have quantified evidence of the increased risk if we don't, and who poses that risk.


 
Posted : 18/07/2016 9:01 pm
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the equipment on board the plane is activley transmitting a signal

For a few days it is yes. It's also the size of a large briefcase, and doesn't float.

If finding submerged subs was so impossible, nobody would have bothered with hunter-killer subs designed for the purpose.

Assuming some transferable tech to drones, and a similar rate of increase in sophistication as we've seen in aerial drones over the past 30 years, it's quite conceivable that by the time the new trident subs are launched, they're about as stealthy as the Vulcan.


 
Posted : 18/07/2016 9:07 pm
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Dunno whether it's true or just drunken mumblings but i went to school in the 80's wi someone who ended up on one of the vanguard subs (I'm not naming the sub in particular), he left the navy back in the early 2000's and once whilst extremely drunk at our local bar the subject of his previous employment came up and how much he regretted wasting his life whilst patrolling under the sea and the effect it had continued to have on his mind to this day, it was brought up that the technology of undersea sonic detection by the propellers signature pressure wave was coming on to such an extent that there was very-very few places in the worlds oceans where the subs could hide without detection, they could find subs and identify them across thousands of miles of ocean so i expect with todays technology and the vast amount of underwater listening stations that the subs would be quite easy to pinpoint.


 
Posted : 18/07/2016 9:10 pm
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they have a new stealth mode these days call "scattered across the seabed".


 
Posted : 18/07/2016 9:14 pm
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[quote=scotroutes ]

jambalaya  » SNP MP for Faslane will vote to renew Trident
That would be Brendan O'Hara. He's going to vote for renewal?

The same Brendan O'Hara that said today
"there is absolutely no evidence the threat of nuclear attack has increased."
He told BBC Radio Scotland's Good Morning Scotland programme: "It would also suggest that 190-odd countries that don't have nuclear weapons somehow can't sleep safely in the beds at night.
"It's nonsense - it's another extension of project fear. It's to whip up fear and to make a nation or a people feel insecure in order to secure you're own political ends."

Has he voted for renewal then?


 
Posted : 18/07/2016 9:20 pm
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they have a new stealth mode these days call "scattered across the seabed".

It's a pity they don't have to leave a known point like me their base to get there, otherwise there's a risk they might be found and followed 🙄


 
Posted : 18/07/2016 9:36 pm
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CFH cheers for the correction. I did realise after I posted but was too busy to edit.

The SNP position on the military I always find a bit of a mess, especially considering it is a fairly big employer.


 
Posted : 18/07/2016 9:40 pm
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There was an interesting series on the BBC a few years ago called The Silent War, which was about how the US/UK and Soviet Union nuclear submarine fleets vied for supremacy during the Cold War. It included interviews with the US/UK and Soviet naval officers serving at that time.

According to the programme, NATO was substantially outnumbered by the conventional Warsaw Pact forces in the 1960s, and the US/UK realised that the cheapest and most effective miltary option was to invest in the Polaris subs to neutralise the Warsaw Pact's superiority in conventional forces.

Apparently the US/UK always had the edge in that part of the Cold War due to technological superiority and geography, and its hunter killer subs tracked and followed the Soviet ballistic missile subs when they left Murmansk, and supposedly on only one occasion did a Soviet sub manage to reach the Atlantic and lose its shadowers.


 
Posted : 18/07/2016 10:53 pm
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@scot no he voted against in the end.

The SNPs policy on most things is determined by its primary agenda which is independence. The anti-Trident thing is just a stick to beat Westminster and a giant NIMBY campaign.

Robertson's statement after the vote was all about another Referendum. Same old, same old.


 
Posted : 18/07/2016 11:00 pm
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[quote=jambalaya ]@scot no he voted against [b]in the end[/b]. 🙄 😆

I take you it you'd heard [i]on very good authority[/i] he was going to vote for renewal then? Seriously buddy, you're just becoming a joke on these threads. Stop typing trash and making a fool of yourself.


 
Posted : 18/07/2016 11:02 pm
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The anti-Trident thing is just a stick to beat Westminster and a giant NIMBY campaign.

No, it really isn't. It's about getting value for scarce taypayers' money, and the morality of threatening to obliterate millions of innocent civilians.

Apparently the US/UK always had the edge in that part of the Cold War due to technological superiority and geography, and its hunter killer subs tracked and followed the Soviet ballistic missile subs when they left Murmansk, and supposedly on only one occasion did a Soviet sub manage to reach the Atlantic and lose its shadowers.

I wonder what an equivalent show in Russia would say about how well their hunter-killers fared against the Resolution class leaving Faslane? The truth is we'll never know how much real success NATO and the USSR had against each other in the cold war, in much the same way we don't know how much success NATO and Russia have against each other under the waves now. However, if finding boomers was an impossibility, then nobody would bother with attack submarines designed specifically for that purpose.


 
Posted : 19/07/2016 12:35 am
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I am trying to do that.

You're not trying very hard.

1) How will nukes deter stateless terrorists (the largest threat to the UK itself we've faced for a very long time)?
2) Which states would be seriously tempted to attack us, with nuclear or conventional forces, if we did not renew Trident? What proof is there that in having Trident, we've prevented this?
3) If we did choose not to renew Trident, and consequently joined the hundreds of non-nuclear powers who are allied with a nuclear power, how would that make us any more vulnerable than German, Australia, Canada, Spain, Italy, etc.?

Surely those are the questions you'll have very good answers to if you're advocating spending 200bn on something as horrific as a major strategic nuclear weapons system?


 
Posted : 19/07/2016 12:44 am
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[img] [/img]

[img] [/img]


 
Posted : 19/07/2016 6:52 am
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[img] [/img]


 
Posted : 19/07/2016 7:09 am
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They've missed the '...less' off the end of that! 😆


 
Posted : 19/07/2016 7:16 am
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Hope

Is the last thing to die.


 
Posted : 19/07/2016 7:26 am
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A new hope?

[img] [/img]

(I'm sure it's been posted but I'm not wading through all the witterings)


 
Posted : 19/07/2016 7:48 am
 ctk
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Insanity is doing the same thing...

Corbyn isn't the same thing as Brown or Milliband.


 
Posted : 19/07/2016 8:18 am
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No, he's more like a low rent Michael Foot, without any of the intelligence, integrity, patriotism or panache.


 
Posted : 19/07/2016 8:23 am
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I think that Star Wars analogy works but not in the way intended as Obi-wan Kenobi dies early in Episode VI yet the Emperor is still ruling many years later, right up to the end of Episode VIII.


 
Posted : 19/07/2016 8:23 am
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Insanity is doing the same thing...

Corbyn isn't the same thing as Brown or Milliband.

I think the insanity/ doing the same thing over thing is the PLP trying again to get the result they want


 
Posted : 19/07/2016 8:23 am
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