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[Closed] EU Referendum - are you in or out?

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Phosphate crisis

Not entirely sure that's an issue just yet.

Peak phosphor is about 100yrs away.

Fairly sure we'll have found an alternative by then, after all it's found in sh1t & there's no shortage of that in the World..


 
Posted : 01/04/2017 11:44 am
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Nahh - the continent would have ended up speaking Russian.

Actually Matt, we could have probably opted out of the 2nd Great Round of Stupidity as Hitler was entirely smitten with the idea of owning Russia - and actually pretty disinterested in annexing an island full of sheep and tea drinkers.


 
Posted : 01/04/2017 11:45 am
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I suspect his beady eye would have turned across the Channel in due course. Where an expansionist empire sees a threat it deals with it. Check out the Romans, they "conquered the world in self defence".


 
Posted : 01/04/2017 11:54 am
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Brexies indulging in petty bickering about events of seventy years ago and justifying their current Europhobia on prejudices from that period. Things have moved on, Tom. The challenges we face today do not include which language we are allowed to speak (though I did spot a thread in which someone was objecting to supermarket workers using their mother tongue in informal chit chat).


 
Posted : 01/04/2017 12:02 pm
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and actually pretty disinterested in annexing an island full of sheep and tea drinkers.

There was a piece of paper to prove it.


 
Posted : 01/04/2017 12:03 pm
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welshfarmer - Member

What I really cannot get my head round is how it came to be an US 7 THEM situation. WE WERE THE EU. I

this is what is utterly baffling to me.


 
Posted : 01/04/2017 12:04 pm
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Hitler united Europe, what colour is the sky in the world you live in.


 
Posted : 01/04/2017 12:06 pm
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Matt, just because Tom posts speculative, historically flawed, British bulldog trash doesn't mean you have to indulge him. It's nationalistic gutter press propaganda of the kind used to mobilise populations for war, ignore it.


 
Posted : 01/04/2017 12:06 pm
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Yeah thx for the prod, quite right.


 
Posted : 01/04/2017 12:09 pm
 AD
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Not sure if this doesn't belong in the April fool thread but it made me smile... http://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/uknews/the-brexit-facebook-group-are-losing-their-minds-over-an-april-fools-joke/ar-BBz8V8H?li=AAmiR2Z&ocid=spartandhp


 
Posted : 01/04/2017 1:13 pm
 sbob
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tjagain - Member

sbob - simply wrong. Look at the statement in response to the a 50 letter

the EU acts as one on trade and no country by country nor case by case negotiations are possible legally. We negotiate with the EU on trade - and yes any goods produced in the EU are EU goods. That's the whole point of the single market

No, you are still missing the point that the EU is not a single entity, and your above post is actually a strawman argument (though I doubt it is intentional).
One last go.

What is the unemployment rate of the European Union?


 
Posted : 01/04/2017 1:14 pm
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The EU average is 8.1%, sbob. Individual countries vary. Countries that had high rates of unemployment before joining the EU tend to have similarly high rates after joining.

If you look at the UK then high unemployment correlates better with the oil price than EU membership.


 
Posted : 01/04/2017 1:26 pm
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Hey Brexies!

Met one of your kind whilst riding my bike earlier. She was letting her dog have a shit in the bushes just off a path in a local country park.

Her: This is NOT a cycle path.

Me: I know, but it's safer than riding up the road.

Her: I DON'T CARE.

Me: Oh well, never mind.....

I just continued riding along.

I didn't ask her about her vote in the referendum, but she fitted the Brexie profile so well.

Bitter? Check.

Petty? Check.

Joyless? Check.

Seething with pent-up frustration about how the country has 'gone to the dogs'? Probably.

Prejudiced of me? Probably, but I'd be willing to bet a fiver I'm right.


 
Posted : 01/04/2017 1:33 pm
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The EU average is 8.1%

.....and in the under 25s in Spain it's closer to 20%....wouldn't you think the collective 'power' and 'intelligence' of the near 30 member states would've sorted this by now!?

I have no faith in the cooperative of idiots that call themselves the EU.


 
Posted : 01/04/2017 1:49 pm
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Unemployment in Spain was over 20% when I worked there before Spain was in the EU. Not just under 25s either. Now check out Spanish growth, Spanish stock index, Spanish exports, Spanish manufacturing etc since joining the EU.


 
Posted : 01/04/2017 1:57 pm
 sbob
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Edukator - Reformed Troll

Unemployment in Spain was over 20% when I worked there before Spain was in the EU. Not just under 25s either.

This almost sounds like you're equating employment rates with EU membership...

[IMG] [/IMG]


 
Posted : 01/04/2017 2:11 pm
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People forgot that Spain had also only been a democratic country for ten years when it joined the EU, and there had been a coup attempt only 5 years before. It is impossible to know how much of subsequent growth is due to EU membership or simply political change.


 
Posted : 01/04/2017 2:17 pm
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On the contrary, sbob, read my previous post. I'm saying Spanish unemployment is not correlated with EU membership.


 
Posted : 01/04/2017 2:21 pm
 sbob
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Right you are.


 
Posted : 01/04/2017 2:31 pm
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sbob - is this deliberate by you?

I clearly stated FOR TRADE the EU ACTS as a single entity. As it does. as it will do. Thus the fantasy of the leavers that somehow because we are a market for German cars that Germany will do a deal with us is simple nonsense. they legally cannot, they EU is determined to be united in its approach to the negotiations with the UK and its been clearly stated numerous times tht on trade the EU will act as one


 
Posted : 01/04/2017 2:36 pm
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"Thus the fantasy of the leavers that somehow because we are a market for German cars that Germany will do a deal with us is simple nonsense. they legally cannot,"

I agree, that's my take on it. But the counter argument is some countries carry more weight than the others - Germany always seems to get the interest rates that it wants.

...I suppose the other counter argument is that influence is not correlated to membership. I bet the USA have more say in this than Malta...

But yeah, seems to me that any of the 27 nations can veto any deal and therefore I can't see how many deal can be done in 24 months. (but everyone else thinks it can, so maybe I'm wrong about that)


 
Posted : 01/04/2017 3:44 pm
 br
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[I}.....and in the under 25s in Spain it's closer to 20%....wouldn't you think the collective 'power' and 'intelligence' of the near 30 member states would've sorted this by now!?

I have no faith in the cooperative of idiots that call themselves the EU.
[/I]

Hmm, if it was me I'd be asking what the Spanish politicians were going to do about it because the UK (for example) has <5% unemployment and is in the EU.


 
Posted : 01/04/2017 3:52 pm
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But yeah, seems to me that any of the 27 nations can veto any deal and therefore I can't see how many deal can be done in 24 months. (but everyone else thinks it can, so maybe I'm wrong about that)

I don't see a trade deal happening, we'll do the "walk away".

That's why May has mentioned it many times - she knows it's the only outcome she can both promise and deliver.


 
Posted : 01/04/2017 3:53 pm
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Oh and I don't totally understand the logic of the EU's Gibraltar clause. How does moving Gib out of the FTA prevent the Spanish using it as a veto? Surely they can veto for any reason they want.

The Gib issue being in the draft terms doesn't bode well for a moderate process though. On our side it gives the flag wavers a cause to rally around and dig in. Not sure how that helps the EU unless they've totally given up on a moderate outcome or even revocation.


 
Posted : 01/04/2017 3:57 pm
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The Gib issue being in the draft terms doesn't bode well for a moderate process though. On our side it gives the flag wavers a cause to rally around and dig in. Not sure how that helps the EU unless they've totally given up on a moderate outcome or even revocation.

Like everything, it's pre-negotiation posturing, imagine the draft as their version of 'cake and eat it' - nobody seriously thinks that the EC will take it on as a negotiating point, but it allows the Spanish to play the big man to a domestic audience with a populist gesture.

On the other hand however, if you view it from a Scottish indyref point of view, you could say it's the Spanish resorting very much to type, and the type of thing they could very easily do to send a domestic message where they actually do have a veto.


 
Posted : 01/04/2017 4:04 pm
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https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2017/apr/01/asylum-seeker-fights-for-life-after-hate-attack-in-london

Using xenophobia as a political tool has consequences


 
Posted : 01/04/2017 4:07 pm
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Our version of "cake and eat it" is:

"le beurre, l'argent du beurre et le sourire de la crémière".

Which I've heard modified to "baisser de la crémière" or even "fesses de la crémière" in the context of Brexit. Which indicates that people have fully understood that the UK wishes to gain unfair advantage and that it would be a good idea to protect our crémières.


 
Posted : 01/04/2017 4:17 pm
 sbob
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tjagain - Member

sbob - is this deliberate by you?

Yes.
I am deliberately failing to misunderstand the difference between a trade agreement and actual trade.
🙂


 
Posted : 01/04/2017 4:18 pm
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Teenager beaten to near death for being an asylum seeker.

A horror.

Yesterday someone put me on a Twitter list called "Next time an immigrant commits rape, blame these".


 
Posted : 01/04/2017 4:18 pm
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Hmm, if it was me I'd be asking what the Spanish politicians were going to do about it because the UK (for example) has <5% unemployment and is in the EU.

Though it's about 11% in the under 25s.


 
Posted : 01/04/2017 4:18 pm
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On the other hand however, if you view it from a Scottish indyref point of view, you could say it's the Spanish resorting very much to type, and the type of thing they could very easily do to send a domestic message where they actually do have a veto.

OUCH ! 🙂

EU unemployment. So why did Junker say the [b]Economic Crises[/b] was the number 1 priority of the EU ? Answer because it is in a terrible state.


 
Posted : 01/04/2017 4:27 pm
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Edukator I do wonder what will happen when the French realise that post Brexit they will be paying a lot more into the EU.


 
Posted : 01/04/2017 4:29 pm
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Paying more is entirely your invention, Jamba.

I'll be equally inventive and suggest the UK will end up paying more one way or another. See Norway and Switzerland and adjust for scale. 💡

It's just speculation at this stage and the French have got more interesting things to busy themselves with. Such as being as welcoming as possible to the forward-looking companies and individuals that are looking for somewhere with a high quality of life within the EU post Brexit.


 
Posted : 01/04/2017 4:37 pm
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2/ Le Pen has a following based on her manifesto which appeals to a demographic similar to the Brexie demographic but as the French are generally better educated in terms of history, politics and philosophy that demographic is smaller.

Le Pen will get double the vote UKIP ever managed. Ditto Wilders, Austrian Far Right, Hungary and Poland. Eurosceptism is just as strong outside the UK it's just people are not given an explicit membership referendum. France voted against the EU constitution but got it anyway via Lisbon.

The whole of the rest of the world manages just fine not being in the EU and that nationalism hasn't resulted in Hitler Mk2 or WW3 either


 
Posted : 01/04/2017 5:03 pm
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My wager Edukator is we are going to pay close to zero. We have a trade deficit. It makes no sense to pay anything. Switzerland and Norway have large EU trade surpluses.


 
Posted : 01/04/2017 5:06 pm
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The whole of the rest of the world manages just fine not being in the EU and that nationalism hasn't resulted in Hitler Mk2 or WW3 either

Of course, other areas with a war stricken past are seeking to emulate the EU and create their own blocks to increase trade and cooperation.


 
Posted : 01/04/2017 5:13 pm
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Eurosceptism is just as strong outside the UK

False. Links are needed for claims like that. All the polls I've seen say the majority of the core EU/Euro zone peoples are happy with the Euro in their pocket and EU membership.

France was against and Lisbon wasn't the same thing. France was also against TITP for what ever the acronym for the trade deal was and that was stopped to the relief of many Europeans including Brits. It's nice to have a country and indeed a continent looking after the interests the people. Now you'll just have to trust May to look after your human rights, health, working conditions etc..


 
Posted : 01/04/2017 5:15 pm
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What was it the Remainers where telling us, just wait till A50 is triggered and see what happens to the £ ? Up !

[img] [/img]


 
Posted : 01/04/2017 5:17 pm
 br
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[I]My wager Edukator is we are going to pay close to zero. We have a trade deficit. It makes no sense to pay anything. Switzerland and Norway have large EU trade surpluses. [/I]

I'll have a tenner on that wager, based on how confident you are you'll have no problem offering good odds - 10-1, or maybe 100-1?


 
Posted : 01/04/2017 5:18 pm
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True Edukator. The Dutch are much more negative as are the Swedes.


 
Posted : 01/04/2017 5:20 pm
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sbob - what you are actually doing is continuing to dig when you are in a hole. You (deliberately?) misstated my point then keep on claiming I said something I didn't


 
Posted : 01/04/2017 5:20 pm
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Future ongoing payments. A straight wager. Done. We'll settle up in April 2019.


 
Posted : 01/04/2017 5:22 pm
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I think you need a ten year rather than three month currency chart, Jamba. The level I sold at is half way up my last post. I saw some bank predicting under 1.1 if Brexit finally happens but that obviously is just a prediction.


 
Posted : 01/04/2017 5:29 pm
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[quote=jambalaya ]What was it the Remainers where telling us, just wait till A50 is triggered and see what happens to the £ ? Up !

Come on Jambas you can do better than that. 1 swallow doesn't make a summer 🙂 Lies, damn lies, and statistics......

[img] [/img]


 
Posted : 01/04/2017 5:30 pm
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