Forum search & shortcuts

Brexit 2020+
 

Brexit 2020+

Posts: 0
Free Member
 

I wouldn't pay much attention to a single German auto magazine article.

That plant is going nowhere in the foreseeable future. It makes Qashqai and Juke which are huge sellers for Nissan. Take away that plant and and there would no cars for the dealers to sell. Yeah you could make it somewhere else but a transfer like that takes years and I've seen no evidence to suggest it.


 
Posted : 24/11/2020 7:49 pm
Posts: 144
Free Member
 

I wouldn’t pay much attention to a single German auto magazine article.

That plant is going nowhere in the foreseeable future. It makes Qashqai and Juke which are huge sellers for Nissan. Take away that plant and and there would no cars for the dealers to sell. Yeah you could make it somewhere else but a transfer like that takes years and I’ve seen no evidence to suggest it.

Is the correct answer.
Clearly though many on here would like nothing better than it to be true in order to say "see told you so". It's a rather ugly, spiteful attitude to be honest, I'm very much in the remain camp and always will be but at some point a certain level of acceptance of the situation is required. Or else just be bitter for the rest of your life and become the type of person who wishes economic ruin on others to teach them a lesson - that just makes you look worse than a brexit loon.
I suspect there's going to be some kind of deal, the betting sites certainly think a deal is nailed so I've stuck a few quid on no-deal as the odds are so good.


 
Posted : 24/11/2020 10:01 pm
Posts: 16534
Full Member
 

I think there is a fine line between actively wishing bad events on others and wanting them to simply take responsibility for their actions.

I think for those that still see Brexit as an act of self harm it will be very hard to ever accept this outcome. An outcome that will still have terrible effects on this country way after Covid is forgotten.

It's not just at a national level either, people are being hit by Brexit personally as well as through their family.

To expect many people not to take it, well personal, is a big ask.


 
Posted : 24/11/2020 10:25 pm
Posts: 1795
Free Member
 

Nissan at Sunderland can not make a profit with a 10% tariff. They can however make a profit by building in France and selling into the UK.

The x trail move was cancelled and the new hybrid qashqai hybrid put on hold until mid 2021.

The word from inside the Sunderland management team is if there is a no deal there will be a managed decline in production and possibly a UK only production line at best.

They will not build the new hybrid qashqai at Sunderland as margins are even worse on that model.


 
Posted : 24/11/2020 10:34 pm
 mrmo
Posts: 10720
Free Member
 

Looks like the border is going to function smoothly!

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2020/nov/24/trial-of-brexit-border-checks-causes-five-mile-lorry-queues-in-kent


 
Posted : 24/11/2020 11:11 pm
Posts: 31150
Full Member
 

That plant is going nowhere in the foreseeable future.

at some point a certain level of acceptance of the situation is required


 
Posted : 24/11/2020 11:13 pm
Posts: 16534
Full Member
 

mrmo
Free Member
Looks like the border is going to function smoothly!
> https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2020/nov/24/trial-of-brexit-border-checks-causes-five-mile-lorry-queues-in-kent

^^ lol, that'll have the Brexiteers frothing!


 
Posted : 24/11/2020 11:14 pm
Posts: 1048
Free Member
 

@dogbone no worries.

Ski seasons were the best thing I ever did. Amongst the many things that Brexit is ruining that is one close to my heart.


 
Posted : 24/11/2020 11:20 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

managed decline in production

If you do something stupid that affects a company's profitability, what do you think that company will do?

Overnight or more gradual, the end point is the same.


 
Posted : 25/11/2020 8:20 am
Posts: 6642
Full Member
 

Production plants and their workforce are nothing more than numbers on a spreadsheet. The only people who will do well are machine movers like Beck and Pollitzer.


 
Posted : 25/11/2020 8:32 am
Posts: 57422
Full Member
 

The 5 mile lorry jam in Kent was caused by the French side of the border trialing just one element of their new customs procedures. In the UK the IT systems (surprise surprise!) aren't even ready and nobody knows what the rules will be anyway. And what happened to those 50,000 additional customs staff?

And Boris is still holed up in number 10, banging on about fishing rights

The whole of the world is going to collapse into hysterics on January 1st as the UK 'Takes Back Control' of a lorry park that encompasses the whole south east of England, as the economy goes into freefall.

Whats the betting Rishi's statement today makes no mention of the 'B' word. Let's just carry on and pretend it's all going to be fine.

https://twitter.com/lisaocarroll/status/1331302190300925958?s=20


 
Posted : 25/11/2020 9:18 am
 Del
Posts: 8284
Full Member
 

Oh - so it was the French holding things up? 😋


 
Posted : 25/11/2020 11:50 am
Posts: 31150
Full Member
 

Oh – so it was the French holding things up?

Taking control of their border... it's what we voted for.


 
Posted : 25/11/2020 11:52 am
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

Oh – so it was the French holding things up? 

If posting a gif on here wasn't more difficult than proving Fermat's Last Theorem I would insert one of a gallic-looking chap in a beret and stripy top employing his best gallic shrug.

"It eez what you want, non?"


 
Posted : 25/11/2020 2:13 pm
Posts: 953
Full Member
 

Buying shares in portaloo companies seems to be the only way forward.


 
Posted : 25/11/2020 3:02 pm
Posts: 66127
Full Member
 

Del
Full Member

Oh – so it was the French holding things up

Joking apart, of course that's how it'll be spun but borders work both ways, on one side it'll be us holding things up and on the other it'll be the French. It's literally impossible for it to be otherwise because the new systems are always going to be longer winded.

70 seconds per vehicle is the least significant check imaginable and it's still enough to screw things. Imagine what happens if you want to have actual controls.


 
Posted : 25/11/2020 3:17 pm
 grum
Posts: 4531
Free Member
 

If posting a gif on here wasn’t more difficult than proving Fermat’s Last Theorem


 
Posted : 25/11/2020 3:24 pm
 Del
Posts: 8284
Full Member
 

I was going to do that ^ but couldn't figure out posting a gif...


 
Posted : 25/11/2020 4:49 pm
 dazh
Posts: 13399
Full Member
 

Been a while since I checked this thread, but I see many of the anti-brexit people have now moved on from stopping it to hoping it's every bit as bad as they said it would be. No doubt the schadenfreude will make them feel better. The funny thing is that while everyone's waiting for the great unwashed to start wailing about how bad it is and not what they voted for, they'll probably just shrug their shoulders and get on with it. Come the next election I'm pretty sure the popular view will be that brexit is a success, and Boris will be returned again with a landslide.


 
Posted : 25/11/2020 5:30 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

Don't worry daz. The fact that you are chuffed to bits with it as a Brexiteer yourself can keep me feeling warm inside.


 
Posted : 25/11/2020 5:36 pm
Posts: 57422
Full Member
 

As predicted, not a single mention of the 'B' word by Rishi Sunak today. Like it's not happening. Like it'll all be just fine.

No doubt the schadenfreude will make them feel better.

I can't see anyone, bar the Disaster Capitalists, taking any pleasure from the impending disaster. I can't see many people even having the energy or inclination for a bout of 'we told you so'

Come the next election I’m pretty sure the popular view will be that brexit is a success, and Boris will be returned again with a landslide.

I'll file that one away. Even for you, mate, thats a gem 😉


 
Posted : 25/11/2020 5:39 pm
Posts: 91169
Free Member
 

If I had a euro for every time Binners mentions disaster capitalists, I'd have enough to buy Bulgarian citizenship.. probably...nearly..


 
Posted : 25/11/2020 5:49 pm
 dazh
Posts: 13399
Full Member
 

I’ll file that one away.

You don't think so? I think you overestimate the ability of the great british public to take a rational objective view on something. Even if it is as bad the FBPE brigade hope it will be the public will still say it was worth it in order to 'have our country back'. Which is bollocks of course, because they won't, all that will have happened is that control of the levers of power will have been transferred from one distant, uncaring elite to another. Also by 2024 the sharper edges will have been ironed out or forgotten about. No one is going to not vote for Boris because there was a traffic jam in Kent.


 
Posted : 25/11/2020 6:03 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

The whole tone of Sunak's 'bad news' bit today was basically 'it is all down to covid'.

And not one mention by the Beeb that driving off an economic cliff in a little over a month might not be the greatest of ideas what with everything else. And some people have the front to call the Beeb a left wing cabal!


 
Posted : 25/11/2020 6:03 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

No one is going to not vote for Boris because there was a traffic jam in Kent.

No one will be voting for him then anyway. He's gone by end of march 21 latest.


 
Posted : 25/11/2020 6:06 pm
 dazh
Posts: 13399
Full Member
 

The fact that you are chuffed to bits with it as a Brexiteer yourself

Sorry to disappoint but my views haven't changed about it being a monumentally stupid idea. I guess I'm a bit more accepting of it though as I at least have some empathy with the people who voted for it. They want those who rule over them to be less distant and more accountable. Which is a good thing, despite the fact that brexit won't deliver that, and once again they'll be shafted as they always are.


 
Posted : 25/11/2020 6:10 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

I at least have some empathy with the people who voted for it

You're a better man than me.

Empathising is a step towards condoning. I will never condone abject stupidity, especially stupidity stoked by racism and xenophobia.


 
Posted : 25/11/2020 6:57 pm
Posts: 31150
Full Member
 

No doubt the schadenfreude will make them feel better.

Very unlikely.

And find yourself some good British words.

They want those who rule over them to be less distant and more accountable.

Now you’re just mocking people who voted for Brexit. Try not to.


 
Posted : 25/11/2020 7:04 pm
 dazh
Posts: 13399
Full Member
 

Now you’re just mocking people who voted for Brexit.

How? You think people in Sunderland or Hull don't care about political accountability and effective representation of their interests?

Empathising is a step towards condoning.

And you wonder why they voted as they did.


 
Posted : 25/11/2020 7:40 pm
Posts: 31150
Full Member
 

You think people in Sunderland or Hull don’t care about political accountability and effective representation of their interests?

No. I think, like you do, that the end result of voting for Brexit, and then voting Conservative to deliver Brexit, has resulted in more distant and unaccountable decision making. This government could not be more distant and unaccountable.


 
Posted : 25/11/2020 8:03 pm
Posts: 1795
Free Member
 

Cant speak about Hull but i have a fair view on Sunderland folks.. political accountabilty is not something that registers with many people mainly due to having non historically.

Many remember Sunderland ship builders and full well paid employment in the 60s and early 70s - Nissan and all the supporting businesses took up some of that slack but not all. They want those days back, Brexit vote was no more than two fingers to the establishment- many in that community will suffer because of it but i am sure they know this. It is a form of vandalism or constructive destruction and they are happy to xause others problems because they are unhappy. I have said before there is a huge sense of entitlement in these communities- i know this as i still circulate in parts of it.

This will get worse.


 
Posted : 25/11/2020 8:11 pm
Posts: 1795
Free Member
 

The other issue that i think people dont get about the likes of Sunderland and Blyth is the drop from a well paid job to minimum wage job is not great typically less than 4k after tax per annum, allief to the fact that property and rents are often cheap and bear in mind these communities have been through Thatcherism and they can happily survive on "nowt" so the impact of brexit is not potentially that massive - its the lower middle class with big mortgages PCPs and kids in Uni that cant stand the drop.


 
Posted : 25/11/2020 8:29 pm
Posts: 7751
Free Member
 

oldman - I cut my ties with my home town of Wallsend many years ago but have absolutely no doubt that the attitudes you ascribe to Sunderland apply equally.


 
Posted : 25/11/2020 8:35 pm
Posts: 15555
Free Member
 

The BBC don't dare mention the 'B' word.

In other news:

The governor of the Bank of England, Andrew Bailey, warned earlier this week that the long-term negative impact of a no-deal Brexit on the UK economy would be more severe than the pandemic.

Th UK is double shafted, but no one dare talk about the bigger issue that we actually have some control over, if we so choose. Even the Chancer chancellor


 
Posted : 25/11/2020 8:43 pm
 StuE
Posts: 1857
Free Member
 

Why does the idea of a Festival of brexit make me think of this


 
Posted : 25/11/2020 8:58 pm
Posts: 16534
Full Member
 

Yeah, the Festival of Brexit. Wow, eh?

What a shining example of a positive world outlook for the future that will be.


 
Posted : 25/11/2020 9:02 pm
Posts: 91169
Free Member
 

Empathising is a step towards condoning.

No it's not.

Empathy leads to understanding, and understanding leads to wisdom.


 
Posted : 25/11/2020 9:17 pm
 dazh
Posts: 13399
Full Member
 

bear in mind these communities have been through Thatcherism and they can happily survive on “nowt” so the impact of brexit is not potentially that massive – its the lower middle class with big mortgages PCPs and kids in Uni that cant stand the drop.

I said something similar on the original brexit thread and was called an appeaser. Even now it's pretty illustrative that the people still banging on about brexit are middle class metropolitan types. They don't realise that people in places like Sunderland don't give a shit. They've been through worse, and never really recovered so one more knock makes little difference, but they know it makes a difference to the chattering classes who are worried they may not be able to retire to the Dordogne in their dotage.

I cut my ties with my home town of Wallsend many years ago but have absolutely no doubt that the attitudes you ascribe to Sunderland apply equally.

My folks still live not far from Wallsend (near Killingworth) and I go up regularly (less so this year for obvious reasons) and can confirm it's the same. They haven't changed their mind, and they won't be surprised or particularly angry when they're disappointed again. They expect to be shafted, because they always are. If remainers are waiting for some sort of epiphany in these places where everyone suddenly realises they were wrong and changes their mind they're going to be very disappointed.

The world will keep turning, lost jobs will be replaced by new ones, normal life will be much the same, traffic jams in Kent will be long forgotten, and in a few years brexit will be seen as a roaring success for no other reason that it happened and nothing much changed in the lives of people at the bottom.


 
Posted : 25/11/2020 10:16 pm
Posts: 31150
Full Member
 

If think you managed to patronise absolutely everyone there, well done.


 
Posted : 25/11/2020 10:28 pm
 mrmo
Posts: 10720
Free Member
 

http://kordon.sfs.gov.ua/en/home/countries/pl/o no one will ever notice 12hour queues to get out of the UK.


 
Posted : 25/11/2020 11:17 pm
Posts: 16534
Full Member
 

@dazh

Even now it’s pretty illustrative that the people still banging on about brexit are middle class metropolitan types.

I can assure you than I and many people I know personally do not fit into that criteria.

Also I think that anyone thinking things cannot get worse for them might be in for one hell of a shock.


 
Posted : 25/11/2020 11:28 pm
 dazh
Posts: 13399
Full Member
 

Also I think that anyone thinking things cannot get worse for them might be in for one hell of a shock.

How do things get worse if you're on the dole with no hope of a job or a minimum wage zero hours gig worker with no means of escape? You're not doing much to counter my suspicion that many remainers have switched to wanting it to be as disastrous as possible. I do agree it could be much worse, but many in places like Sunderland will just shrug their shoulders as they've never known any different.


 
Posted : 26/11/2020 12:00 am
Posts: 31150
Full Member
 

How do things get worse if you’re on the dole with no hope of a job or a minimum wage zero hours gig worker with no means of escape?

Quadruple whammy of benefit cuts, public service cuts, fewer jobs and lower wages.

Who do you think will be made to pay for Brexit? The same people that are always made to pay when the economy is hit.

And that’s before the “accountable less distant” UK government gets on with lowering standards and removing rights.


 
Posted : 26/11/2020 12:07 am
Posts: 16534
Full Member
 

How do things get worse if you’re on the dole with no hope of a job or a minimum wage zero hours gig worker with no means of escape? You’re not doing much to counter my suspicion that many remainers have switched to wanting it to be as disastrous as possible.

As someone likely to be affected by the negative impact of Brexit, just as many others will, I certainly do not wish the impact on anyone. That said, people from both sides of the spectrum need to realise that there are consequences to their actions and inactions, in regard to Brexit, general elections or even their approach to Covid.

As for the people on the dole or zero hour contracts, at the moment there is still a modicum of help available if only in health terms and a semblance of social care. Much of the financial help has been cut to the bone but unless someone is living on the street, without even a pitiful amount of benefits they absolutely have something to lose.

I suspect homeless is likely to increase further as it has during Austerity V1.0 and will simply be a more visible sign of economic social collapse.

Do I wish for people you endure that? Of course I don't. Frankly that's rather insulting.


 
Posted : 26/11/2020 12:15 am
Posts: 5054
Free Member
 

Whats the betting Rishi’s statement today makes no mention of the ‘B’ word. Let’s just carry on and pretend it’s all going to be fine.

The bit I don't get is there wasn't even an acknowledgement of the stuff that is fact and caused by us leaving the SM & CU - known known's.

As for the people on the dole or zero hour contracts, at the moment there is still a modicum of help available if only in health terms and a semblance of social care. Much of the financial help has been cut to the bone but unless someone is living on the street, without even a pitiful amount of benefits they absolutely have something to lose.

But until it occurs, they won't know (nor care). This is how we got into this mess IMO.


 
Posted : 26/11/2020 9:02 am
Page 78 / 306