bacon and booze not...
 

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[Closed] bacon and booze not that bad ?

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Is the BBC website trying to make us all eat more bacon/drink more booze ?

Have a read [url= http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/magazine/7937382.stm ]here[/url] and let us know how you interpretate that ? Doesn't it say: it is not as bad as it sounds (or better than it sounds even), so eat and drink as much as you like ?!?


 
Posted : 11/03/2009 3:38 pm
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Only if you dont understand how statistics work.


 
Posted : 11/03/2009 3:41 pm
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but isn't that what the whole article is about ? most people don't !


 
Posted : 11/03/2009 3:42 pm
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That article is also misleading, in a different way.

Applying stats to a group of people in those cases has no bearing on how you individually are affected (just like the classic 99 coin flips in a row all yield heads, but it's still 50/50 the the next flip will also be heads).

The point that 2x not much is still not much, but any increase on a 10% chance of cancer for example should be avoided if at all possible, since 10% isn't a particularly small chance.


 
Posted : 11/03/2009 4:48 pm
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Personally I avoid all statistics unless they're 100% 😀


 
Posted : 11/03/2009 6:02 pm
 Nick
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Glenh but a 20% increase on a 10% chance only means a 2% increase in instances, so an overall risk of 12%, so the headline chould read "eat bacon and you are 2% more likely to get colonic cancer" but that isn't as dramatic as "bacon causes 20% increase in the risk of getting cancer"


 
Posted : 11/03/2009 6:16 pm