I don't know if Ken Rockwell is right or not in this assumption, but he describes it better than me. It's got nothing to do with keeping your computer/OS up to date as I understand it. It is purely to do with the fact that a RAW file from a particular camera is unique to THAT camera. And who knows in 20yrs whether anyone will support that particular camera RAW format anymore. Perhaps this is nonsense and there really is nothing to worry about, but here's a snip from Ken Rockwell's site that perhaps explains it better than i have been (I've bolded certain bits):
"Horror of horrors, I've heard that the latest Nikon software can't even read the NEFs from older cameras and that you need to load older software to read them. Just like raw eggs, unless you process it into something like an egg-albumen print or a JPG, the raw files may go bad if left unprocessed.
It's not the file that goes bad, silly, it's the potential ability of future software to read it. Since raw data is entirely unique to each camera, and different even for different firmware revisions for the same camera, raw isn't even a format, even though the different files have the same suffix like .CRW or .NEF.
Raw files themselves don't go bad. What goes bad is that in 10 or 20 years, whatever software we're running on whatever sort of computer we'll be using may not be able to open a long-forgotten 20-year old proprietary file.
JPGs are universal. Raw is proprietary to camera make and model and even camera firmware version. Without solid manufacturer support you won't be able to use your raw files again.
Can you find a computer to open word processing files from 10 or 20 years ago today in Lotus Notes or PFS Write or Brother Style Writer? I can't; that's why I converted my files from these programs to the universal .TXT format back when I could. Do you trust Canon, Nikon and Adobe to support 10 or 20 year old cameras? How about 30 or 40 year old cameras? If you do, go ahead and leave your raw files as raw. I convert all my raw files to JPGs or TIFFs for archiving."
I think I'll do some more digging on this to see what I can find.