This is all of course basing the vote on things within the EU as they stand, by the time the vote takes place (June?). And given whats happening at the moment, thats one hell of an assumption.
The EU leaders don’t want to admit it, but the whole freedom of movement principle, which the whole EU thing is based on, is teetering on the verge of collapse. Under pressure from the greatest movement of people since the second world war. Estimates are that over a million more refugees are going to arrive on europes shores this year. Hows the EUn going to cope with that. Not very well, if present chaos is anything to go by.
And if the borders close, which is looking increasingly likely, then Greece will immediately become what is essentially a huge bankrupt refugee camp, who’s economy will then completely collapse. And what chain reaction will that cause in the still ridiculously fragile Euro? It certainly isn’t going to be pretty. It could potentially be absolutely catastrophic, and as a worst case scenario, cause the messy end of the whole Shengin EU project.
In which case, this is all academic