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What would it take for house prices to REALLY plummet?
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squirrelkingFree Member
This all sounds great, when is this happening?
Oh, yes… it’s not.
Again, I’m sick of saying this, try looking beyond your own borders. It is up here. Not as much as it should be but it IS happening.
kerleyFree MemberYep, you cannot just give examples of people buying houses in very cheap parts of the country. A lot of people don’t live in cheap parts of the country and we can’t all move to them can we. Are half the country supposed to move to where property is cheaper to sort of this issue?
A new estate was built a few miles down the road from me a few years ago (and this was in a cheaper area) and on one end are the 6 very basic looking affordable terrace houses they had to build. £400K each and nothing else is being built that is any cheaper.
EwanFree Member100% inheritance tax or near 100% would help resolve this. Randomly giving people huge sums of money on the basis of which vagina they happened to fall out of drives huge inequality.
johndohFree MemberSo how does the 100% inheritance tax get distributed to those in need of support in a fair way?
trail_ratFree MemberSo how does the 100% inheritance tax get distributed to those in need of support in a fair way?
I think you missed his point.
jam-boFull MemberYou give it to the treasury so the tories can give it to their mates. Simple..
jamescoFull MemberReading this with increasing sympathy for all sides and can’t see any obvious solutions, all I will say is that we are walking backwards into the future so what we see in the past has to be used to each of our own advantages and priorities going forward, it’s a wise man who learns from the mistakes of others. Anecdotally I’d like to say that I was happy to be renting when my pal and his wife were paying an 18% mortgage in the eighties and working 24/6 , getting reported to social services for leaving their kids home alone ‘cos they were working ALL the time to feed themselves and the bank, his wife only cooked for husband and kids , eating leftovers to save pennies.Now they are quids in but it’s been a struggle for them. Another interesting case…..12 years ago a Bulgarian lad turned up at my workplace, straight off the bus penniless, we are 25 miles from Manchester city centre, he didn’t know where he was but our boss set him on as a labourer on minimum wage, now he is still on minimum wage but is buying a nice semi near the park is married with two lovely daughters and drives a 3 year old Merc, he thinks England is great, don’t know what this proves, just saying……….
trail_ratFree MemberNo one inherits anything was his point…..
But that would require whole world revolution other wise those with money would offshore it.
The problem with any radical policies is there always another country willing to accept your money and undermine the original country
johndohFree MemberNo one inherits anything was his point…..
Ahh I see. Of course that is an impossible solution as people would simply gift their property to whoever before they die.
MarinFree Member100% inheritance tax would not work. Marin you have 3 weeks left to live. Oh bugger, turn all my savings into gold if I have any and give the godchildren a shoe box of gold to go sell off as and when. Illegal yes, impossible no.
g5604Free MemberUniversal basic income solves all these issues, but people will somehow have to get over their lazy stereotypes to any sort of ‘benefit’ system.
polyFree MemberA lot of people don’t live in cheap parts of the country and we can’t all move to them can we. Are half the country supposed to move to where property is cheaper to sort of this issue?
Well covid has taught the world that we don’t all need to go to offices to work – so therefore the clustering of people around our big cities and the consequential impact on house demand/prices is something which could change.
perchypantherFree MemberOh bugger, turn all my savings into gold if I have any and give the godchildren a shoe box of gold
You wait….
Time passes….
Marin sits down and starts singing about gold…
EwanFree Member100% (or something close to it) inheritance tax would be possible with the correct political will. Just apply the same deprevation of assets rules that apply to care homes or just say that any gifts within 15 years of death are subject to the tax.
EwanFree MemberThe gold problem is also fairly easy to address. A box of gold only has a value to the holder if they can use it – if you gave your kids a box of gold what are they going to say when they come to use it for a house deposit and they’re asked where it comes from?
Note I don’t think it will happen, esp once Scotland leaves the union in the next few years. After that it’ll be a Tory driven race to the bottom.
trail_ratFree MemberUniversal basic income solves all these issues,
In what way does that mythical solution help….. Ubi will drive up the price of any in demand commodity by UBI value…. You’d just giving BTL owners more cash to throw at their port folio
MarinFree MemberYou could happily subsidise your life with gold sold off or a box of money whilst saving legitimate funds. There is no one easy solution and 100% inheritance tax will just lead to even bigger tax fraud on a massive scale.
g5604Free MemberUbi will drive up the price of any in demand commodity by UBI value…. You’d just giving BTL owners more cash to throw at their port folio
You are talking about inflation which is always the first argument against UBI. Governments can control inflation very successfully e.g vast quantitative easing did not lead to inflation. UBI gives everyone liquidity regardless of where they come form. It’s captalism just not from zero.
Also we have house prices inflation now, BTL is not built on cash it’s access to credit
CougarFull MemberHonestly, perhaps this is the issue. For me Cougar, it’s your scenario (houses at £60k, people on minimum wage buying a new build) that don’t have any basis in my reality. Average house price where I live is about £300k.
Sure, and I appreciate that we’re an outlier here in the opposite direction. I can only dream of being able to afford such a property, it’s taken me to my late 40s to get to this point. I could no doubt have made better decisions along the way as regards where my money went, but here we are.
Yep, you cannot just give examples of people buying houses in very cheap parts of the country. A lot of people don’t live in cheap parts of the country and we can’t all move to them can we. Are half the country supposed to move to where property is cheaper to sort of this issue?
All? Of course not. But I’ll wager there’s a lot fewer who cannot move than you’d think. Most people won’t want to move for any number of perfectly valid reasons: they like their job; they want to be close to ailing relatives; their mates are all down there; it’s been their home all your life; and so forth.
But ultimately that’s the choice you make. You can buy your quarter of a million pound house that’s falling apart whilst arguing that you “can’t” move elsewhere because you get free childcare from your parents; you could move 200 miles north, get a nicer property for half the price so you or your wife could stay at home looking after the kids, or put the sackload of cash you’ve just saved towards day care even; you could move your parents up with you.
Someone doesn’t want to move, that’s absolutely fine and totally understandable. If roles were reversed I’d be reticent to move also. This is the first time I’ve done it, I’m moving seven miles away and I’m frankly bloody terrified. But as someone said above and I’ve floated previously in other threads, the current situation is going to mean that a lot of people (and businesses) have suddenly realised that they don’t need to spend two hours a day commuting. And if the primary reason for living where you live is a job in the city that you can now do working from home then, well… no-one’s nailed your feet to the floor.
“What would it take for house prices to REALLY plummet?” How about a near-vertical drop in the demand for commuter belt housing?
trail_ratFree MemberYou are talking about inflation
I think your over complicating things.
Give everyone a UBI it lifts their spending power by UBI +wage.
Resetting/readjusting zero will not help.
kerleyFree MemberAll? Of course not. But I’ll wager there’s a lot fewer who cannot move than you’d think
Okay, and what do yo think would happen if 50% of the people moved from expensive places to cheaper places. The cheaper places would get a lot more expensive because of a A)shortage of supply and b) because more people live there and other things would come with that like the work opportunities.
squirrelkingFree MemberI think your over complicating things.
Give everyone a UBI it lifts their spending power by UBI +wage.
Resetting/readjusting zero will not help
Not in isolation, no, but with the right regulation it could.
g5604Free MemberLet’s follow the logical conclusion of everyone who can’t afford to live moving, how does this actually work the vast majority of jobs still require you to be present – who is going to deliver your parcels, serve your food, look after the elderly, fix your car etc.. I thought we learnt the importance of key workers..
thegeneralistFree MemberIt **** hard to get a house
Yes, but it’s hard for everyone, even counting those with parental help and/or other good fortune.
Sorry that’s just not the case. For those with well off generous parents it’s patently obviously easier.
thegeneralistFree Member100% (or something close to it) inheritance tax would be possible with the correct political will. Just apply the same deprevation of assets rules that apply to care homes or just say that any gifts within 15 years of death are subject to the tax
But those rules don’t work either, do they. All the informed, well off people nip off to Legal and General to get themselves a “life insurance investment policy” with their lids as trustees, job done
Or so I hear.
EwanFree MemberBut those rules don’t work either, do they. All the informed, well off people nip off to Legal and General to get themselves a “life insurance investment policy” with their lids as trustees, job done
There doesn’t have to be loop holes in tax law you know. They’re only their due to lobbying from interest groups.
This is a weird thread. A few suggestions have been made as to how to achieve a fairer society – e.g. a well structured 100% inheritance tax perhaps combined with UBI. Sure it’s unlikely, but that’s because people such as those saying it’s impossible on this thread or those who are suggesting that people who are struggling to buy a house just need to work harder won’t vote for policies such as this. There are plenty of things in the past that sounded like they could never happen until they did – e.g. the welfare state, banning of hunting with dogs, the universal declaration of Human rights, gay marriage, etc etc. All things that we now look back on and think that the old status quo was insane.
As we live in a democracy everyone is entitled to their view and that’s fine. Evidentally there are many people on the thread who are fine with the status quo – I just hope those people are objectively honest about why that is with themselves.
CougarFull MemberOkay, and what do yo think would happen if 50% of the people moved from expensive places to cheaper places.
I’ve no idea. I’m saying most people have options. I’m not speculating about whether it’d be good or bad if they took different ones, your guess is as good – probably better, I’m no economist – as mine.
crikeyFree MemberA few suggestions have been made as to how to achieve a fairer society – e.g. a well structured 100% inheritance tax perhaps combined with UBI.
Which ended up with shoeboxes full of gold…
Evidentally there are many people on the thread who are fine with the status quo
I think you’ll find that most people are not happy with it, but they recognise that as pretty much the entire UK economy is based on it, the best option for most people is to use the status quo as the framework to work within in order to live their lives.
I just hope those people are objectively honest about why that is with themselves.
If you’re going to do this kind of passive-aggressive shite at least make it interesting.
the-muffin-manFull MemberHouse prices have gone up 1% since this thread started! 🙂
crikeyFree MemberLet’s follow the logical conclusion of everyone who can’t afford to live moving, how does this actually work the vast majority of jobs still require you to be present – who is going to deliver your parcels, serve your food, look after the elderly, fix your car etc.. I thought we learnt the importance of key workers..
…and yet that London with the worst house price nonsense in the UK still works…parcels are delivered, food is served, the elderly are looked after, cars are fixed. It’s a poor system but it works and in the absence of any other system and with its’ economic implications, it’s probably best to get on with it.
RichPennyFree Member…and yet that London with the worst house price nonsense in the UK still works…parcels are delivered, food is served, the elderly are looked after, cars are fixed. It’s a poor system but it works
There’s a shocking amount of poverty in London, which suggests that the system works for you if you’re online shopping, eating out, getting your arse wiped or having your bimmer serviced. Less so if you’re doing any of that work.
andyrmFree MemberEvidentally there are many people on the thread who are fine with the status quo – I just hope those people are objectively honest about why that is with themselves.
I’m not “fine with it” but I’m pragmatic enough to recognise I’m powerless to change a financial system, that I’ve only got do many units of energy, and so I need to deploy them sensibly to get the most favourable outcome I can.
crikeyFree MemberThere’s a shocking amount of poverty in London, which suggests that the system works for you if you’re online shopping, eating out, getting your arse wiped or having your bimmer serviced. Less so if you’re doing any of that work.
yes….
yes………We know this and no one is celebrating it or cheering it or happy with it, but that’s how it is, that’s how it has been and that’s how it will be for the foreseeable future.
molgripsFree MemberIn what way does that mythical solution help….. Ubi will drive up the price of any in demand commodity by UBI value…. You’d just giving BTL owners more cash to throw at their port folio
You are right, except portfolio is one word 😉 but whilst I am a strong believer in UBI it cannot be introduced on it’s own. It needs at the very least rent controls as well, and possibly other measures to ensure it isn’t just gobbled up by inflation.
Of course, if you’re a Tory and want to see it fail, not doing these things is a great way to torpedo it for generations.
nickcFull MemberLifetime housing. The house is re-sold when you die. No exceptions. If your children want it, they get an automatic 20% off the price, houses can’t be passed on within the purchaser lifetime, Money goes to a local quango that builds social hosing.
i reckon house prices would plummet.
scotroutesFull MemberLifetime housing. The house is re-sold when you die. No exceptions
You mean rental?
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