Forum menu
The Coronavirus Dis...
 

The Coronavirus Discussion Thread.

Posts: 0
Free Member
 

The draft plans, seen by Health Service Journal, say that the “bulk” of vaccines of the last group are likely to occur in March, meaning that almost the whole population should have been offered jabs by Easter.

The dates pencilled in for beginning each group are:

Care home residents and staff, healthcare workers – from beginning of December
Ages 80 plus – from mid-December
Everyone aged 70-80 – from late December
Everyone aged 65-70 – from early January
All high and moderate risk under 65s – from early January
Everyone aged 50-65 – from mid January
Everyone aged 18-50 – from late January, but with the bulk of this group vaccinated during March

Have you got a link for this?


 
Posted : 20/11/2020 5:47 pm
Posts: 31037
Full Member
 

Impressive how the NHS has been adapted this year… just been in for an X-ray… it’s fixed appointments, no hanging around (for obvious reasons). I was in and out in 5 minutes, and this is a large hospital. Impressive. No doubt inefficient in terms of staff time etc… but as a response to the current situation, as good as you could get.


 
Posted : 20/11/2020 5:49 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

Have you got a link for this?

3:57pm update on here:

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/global-health/science-and-disease/coronavirus-news-oxford-vaccine-christmas-lockdown/

(Probably paywalled, but there are some good browser extensions available which jump over that)

Edit: here is the original:

https://www.hsj.co.uk/coronavirus/exclusive-nhs-planning-to-start-covid-vaccination-of-under-50s-by-end-of-january/7029015.article


 
Posted : 20/11/2020 5:50 pm
Posts: 1014
Full Member
 

I can also confirm cancer patients have not been overlooked or forgotten during coronavirus. Yes, my checkup appointments are now over the phone however blood tests etc are still done and analysed prior to my checkup.

@Tired, as someone who is deemed immunosuppressed (post chemotherapy) it's unclear which of the current vaccines be most appropriate, is there any particular benefit or drawn backs of Moderna v Pfizer v Oxford? Incidentally I live in Scotland and the current plan is to vaccinate all 18+ by ~April so would like to understand a little more. Thanks.


 
Posted : 20/11/2020 6:17 pm
 gray
Posts: 1372
Full Member
 

Probably worth bearing in mind that those time frames are probably a 'best case scenario' from the perspective of vaccine availability, which then forms a useful target for logistics planning. It would be pretty rubbish to end up with loads of vaccines in storage but not having yet put in place the logistics to distribute and administer them!


 
Posted : 20/11/2020 6:21 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

Probably worth bearing in mind that those time frames are probably a ‘best case scenario’ from the perspective of vaccine availability, which then forms a useful target for logistics planning.

That is what I inferred from Hancock's press conference just now.


 
Posted : 20/11/2020 6:26 pm
Posts: 8324
Free Member
 

Those timelines are pie in the sky I reckon.

If you have any ailments that put you at 'moderate' risk I reckon it's worth checking with your gp to ensure you are on the list. I have asthma, didn't get a letter about the flu vacine. Queried it and sure enough I should have but for no good reason was missed off. Hopefully I'll be included when it comes to the covid vaccination, if and when under 65s with a risk factor get the call.

Interestingly, it now appears that under 50s will be offered the jab. I first saw this mentioned in Scotland. Everything ive read so far seemed to suggest under 50s wouldn't be included in the vaccination plans, so it's great news this no longer appears to be the case.


 
Posted : 20/11/2020 6:38 pm
Posts: 27603
Free Member
 

Those timelines are pie in the sky I reckon.

My first thought.  We'll be asking for Hancocks resignation again by March.


 
Posted : 20/11/2020 6:45 pm
Posts: 145
Free Member
 

I’ve just finished nights on ITU, a sweaty, awkward, physically and mentally draining experience complete with a number of body bags; they’re not points on a graph, they’re dead people.

This+1 and Thanks indeed, infact my younger sister is an ICU nurse and they are experiencing double the first wave. Her friends parents came through last week after catching if from their kitchen fitter. The dad died this week and the mum was intubated today :_(

Really hammers home why we are doing this.


 
Posted : 20/11/2020 6:50 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

My first thought. We’ll be asking for Hancocks resignation again by March.

So xxxx-up after xxxx-up and he's still there. Why would this be any different ?
plus he's got the extra excuse the EU stole our vaccines or something?


 
Posted : 20/11/2020 6:53 pm
 StuE
Posts: 1841
Free Member
 

My biggest worry about vaccination is the number of people that will refuse to have it,I have seen a couple of informal polls on weather or not people would be vaccinated and something like 40% of those that replied said they wouldn't even consider having it


 
Posted : 20/11/2020 7:17 pm
Posts: 8527
Free Member
 

I don't believe for a minute that when the vaccine is actually here, 40% will be thick enough to turn it down.

Gobshites.


 
Posted : 20/11/2020 7:36 pm
Posts: 8469
Full Member
 

If me and mine all have it, what is the risk to me if the anti-vaxxers refuse?


 
Posted : 20/11/2020 7:41 pm
Posts: 33113
Full Member
 

If me and mine all have it, what is the risk to me if the anti-vaxxers refuse?

Vaccination isn't just about you though


 
Posted : 20/11/2020 8:11 pm
Posts: 26881
Full Member
 

Vaccination isn’t just about you though

I think that was his question


 
Posted : 20/11/2020 8:15 pm
Posts: 16498
Full Member
 

Anti-vaxiteers?

Blue on blue surely?

Through the more that have it the better I know. I mean the vaccine, not the disease!

My sister/ bil are saying they won't have it (both at risk due to age/ conditions) as "it's not been tested". They love Boris though, so might do if he tells them it's world beating or something.


 
Posted : 20/11/2020 8:20 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

I don’t believe for a minute that when the vaccine is actually here, 40% will be thick enough to turn it down.

Why? What's it matter to them unless there is some sort of reward or penalty?
Unless they make it something like no access to public transport or schools, the ballet etc. why would people get vaccinated - ?

They love Boris though, so might do if he tells them it’s world beating or something.

Based on current form and assuming he's still here I can't see him actually doing anything to encourage those...and the rest are basically going to say "no" to stick it to the man anyway.


 
Posted : 20/11/2020 8:34 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

My sister/ bil are saying they won’t have it (both at risk due to age/ conditions) as “it’s not been tested”.

To be honest there is a lot in that I think. Drugs normally take a very long time to develop (going by new reports) and all we hear about this is how quick its been done. It doesn't make you wonder how safe is it. Likely a lot of NHS staff will get some work/social pressure to get it and the rest of us will be waiting until the new year.


 
Posted : 20/11/2020 8:40 pm
Posts: 8324
Free Member
 

Unless they make it something like no access to public transport or schools, the ballet etc. why would people get vaccinated – ?

I'd love the rule to be if you don't get vacinnated you pay for your own treatment when you get sick.

I think the risk of others not getting vaccinated very much depends on what the vaccine actually does. If it just massively reduced symptoms but not transmission I don't really give a shit about other folks not getting it, with the caveat that they are last in queue for treatment.

If vaccination also prevents transmission then there need to be a few more 'incentives' for folks to be vaccinated. That said, if school kids aren't getting vacinatted then there will always be a fair amount of it floating around


 
Posted : 20/11/2020 8:45 pm
Posts: 16498
Full Member
 

joepud

To be honest there is a lot in that I think. Drugs normally take a very long time to develop (going by new reports) and all we hear about this is how quick its been done. It doesn’t make you wonder how safe is it. Likely a lot of NHS staff will get some work/social pressure to get it and the rest of us will be waiting until the new year.

I'd agree, of all the reasons I've heard for not having the jab it's the most understandable. That said, given the relevant risks involved vs catching Covid and the assurances I've read on here/ elsewhere that the vaccine trials have not cut corners I don't think it's valid.


 
Posted : 20/11/2020 8:51 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

I’d love the rule to be if you don’t get vacinnated you pay for your own treatment when you get sick.

but most people won't get sick, certainly not enough to need medical treatment

I think the risk of others not getting vaccinated very much depends on what the vaccine actually does. If it just massively reduced symptoms but not transmission I don’t really give a shit about other folks not getting it, with the caveat that they are last in queue for treatment.

Unless it reduces transmission there is little point most people getting it.


 
Posted : 20/11/2020 8:51 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

That said, given the relevant risks involved vs catching Covid and the assurances I’ve read on here/ elsewhere that the vaccine trials have not cut corners I don’t think it’s valid.

Unless you're at risk then the risks from you catching the virus are not very high...
TiReD gave them earlier... but fatality is something very low if you're under 60... very very low if you're under 50... there is of course the risk of long tail etc. but I'd guess (pre guess) that's not much different to the risk to the vaccine long term?

I suspect people with living older parents who didn't already have the virus might be accepting...
Those who lost parents/grandparents from covid might go one way or another..


 
Posted : 20/11/2020 8:58 pm
Posts: 16498
Full Member
 

^^ I agree, carer for a 91 year old here so she'll be getting it asap hopefully. Me? I'd like to get it when I can due to long Covid but mostly due to the fact (I hope) it makes me less likely to transmit it to her, effectively enhancing the effectiveness of her jab.


 
Posted : 20/11/2020 9:03 pm
Posts: 4333
Full Member
 

I'll have it because it's a tiny relative risk to me age 56 of something bad happening and it will reduce the risk of me (or someone like me in the wider population) giving it to my friend's immunosuppressed child. And also old(er) people.

It's all about risk. If you get a hip replacement there's a risk of adverse outcome up to death but if it works (which is far more likely) you'll be able to walk again. There's a risk of serious injury or death of riding your bike but it's far more likely that you'll have a good ride and it'll help your mental health.

I don't have a problem with people making a different choice. I hope people will consciously make their choices taking into account all the available info.


 
Posted : 20/11/2020 9:05 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

It’s all about risk. ....

I don’t have a problem with people making a different choice. I hope people will consciously make their choices taking into account all the available info.

Based on our local FB most objections are not about risk.
Obviously a few nutters who think Bill Gates is injecting a mind control device operated through 5G... but most people who object seem to be doing so due to "not being told what to do"

If the vaccine is presented honestly then most people have a very low risk anyway... vs apathy and doing nothing.


 
Posted : 20/11/2020 9:18 pm
Posts: 3631
Full Member
 

I'm 39, no health issues and pretty fit. I'd happily have it, not because I think I'll be seriously ill or die but because I'd like to see mine and the Mrs's family. I also really, really don't want the long term issues.

On a side note, my cousin who is 2-3 years older but pretty overweight, was on a ventilator for 10 days really early on, is now back to being healthier and fitter than he's ever been.


 
Posted : 20/11/2020 9:18 pm
Posts: 7123
Full Member
 

I think I might get it not because I'm worried about infection, but for the simple pleasure I will derive from pissing off all those mad anti-vaxxers, 5G conspiracists and HCQ fantasists out there.


 
Posted : 20/11/2020 9:30 pm
Posts: 66098
Full Member
 

dantsw13
Free Member

If me and mine all have it, what is the risk to me if the anti-vaxxers refuse?

It's not 100% effective, is the thing. But 95% effective plus massive reduction of prevalence = pretty damn good, 5% of not much is very not much. 95% effective but not enough people getting it to really smash prevalence (because of course infection rates will be reduced by vaxxination but increased by returning to normal)- not so good.

Still, I think once they've seen the benefits and the lack of downsides, most doubters'll change their minds and only the actual idiots will refuse it. That's a much smaller demographic. I don't know about anyone else but, I've met enough sensible adults who're worried about the vaccine that I've had to stop thinking about it as the work of idiots.

It's a bigger scale vaccination program than I was expecting? A lot of the chat seemed to be moving away from mass vaccination and really focusing on targeting the vulnerable/exposed but this feels like it's almost closer to eradication than it is to that limited plan...


 
Posted : 20/11/2020 10:38 pm
Posts: 17327
Full Member
 

Reduction in risk of hospital admissions and protection against COVID19 (the disease) would be good outcomes for all. Such a therapeutic vaccine would be a huge advance because we’d still be able to open up contacts.

Instead of viewing it as sterile protection from the virus, think of it as giving you the lifetime of past infections you did not have. Kids will continue to build up their immunity as they do for other cornoaviruses.

The sterile protection and reduced transmission might be upsides.


 
Posted : 20/11/2020 10:55 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

Cases are not a true representation of underlying community transmission. They are confounded by testing practices. Look at hospital admissions, which are based on symptoms not testing. Analysis of hospital admissions at the acute trust level shows that the Tier 2/3 hospitals had a slower rate of growth (longer doubling time) than those in Tier 1. This is also evident at the NHS region data. Which is publicly available. North West (lots of Tier 2/3) admissions turned over from the end of October. South West (Tier 1) did not.

North West – showing turnover due to Tiers 2/3 from Oct 14 feeding in a week later

South West – showing limited effect of Tier 1 and later turnover due to lockdown from Nov 04 feeding in a week later

This is not immunity in the NW and not the SE, immunity is only about 10-20% of any restriction of growth. It is contact restrictions working.

Tier 3 appears to restrict spread, Lockdown will add to that, but the additional incremental benefit of lockdown with schools open is still being studied.

Tired, thanks for the reply. I agree that hospital admissions are a more reliable metric so I have found what appears to be the same data set that you are using and have broken down the data for the Liverpool City Region hospitals.

Just trying to figure out how to link the charts...

https://flic.kr/p/2k8Dbbc

https://flic.kr/p/2k8HvjU

Think the analysis is sound but happy to be challenged on anything that doesn’t look right.

Do the charts not suggest that the hospital admissions in the Liverpool City Region had already plateaued before tier 3 was introduced? Am I missing something?


 
Posted : 21/11/2020 1:13 am
Posts: 17327
Full Member
 

I use postimage for images. I only share analyses of public domain data. My other analyses are based on trust-level admissions across all tiers. I’m not sure if those are public, but point me in the right direction of the source. Wales abs Northern Ireland admissions fell off a cliff during their restrictions. I’m working on a policy plot to show this more clearly.

Looking at that data, it looks like tiers have an effect, but it’s also possible that other hospital admissions policies might have also helped with Liverpool university(did they move to other hospitals instead?) or not. Single trusts have relatively noisy data, but aggregation to regions shows a clearer less noisy picture. But it is nice data


 
Posted : 21/11/2020 1:17 am
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

Have had a search and have found reports of Liverpool hospitals approaching capacity but can’t find anything suggesting people were being directed to hospitals outside the region. Also, the flat spot in the overall North West line coincides with the beginning of the drop in Liverpool. If people were being transferred to other hospitals this flat spot wouldn’t be there would it?

https://flic.kr/p/2k8Dbbc

Have added the trend line for cases on top. I can’t find the data for positivity rate. Nevertheless, assuming they haven’t reduced the quantity of testing while the region is experiencing a surge (why would they?) the infection rate is dropping long before tier 3 restrictions were introduced.

Note that the hospital admissions appear to drop 8 days after the case rate starts to drop (as would be expected).

https://flic.kr/p/2k8UqSV

I’m by no means suggesting that they shouldn’t have gone into tier 3 but the data available seems to suggest (to me at least) that infection rate was dropping about 2 weeks before we would expect to see any effects of the tier 3 restrictions.

Can anyone explain this? Have I missed something?


 
Posted : 21/11/2020 3:23 pm
Posts: 17327
Full Member
 

I don't really count cases as truly informative due to sampling, other than ONS and REACT (which are randomized). universities returned last week of September, at which point there was a bit of a testing epidemic in university towns and cities.

The admissions shows a more expected shape. With dip from Tier 3 - which also coincides with school holidays so as to confound things further. Also admissions fall slower than cases, again implying sampling bias in cases.


 
Posted : 21/11/2020 4:05 pm
Posts: 8469
Full Member
 

Squaredog - thanks for the graphics - very clear and easy to understand.


 
Posted : 21/11/2020 4:39 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

Tired.

Thanks for the reply.

I don’t have any data to suggest otherwise but do you have any data to demonstrate that the shape of the cases curve reflects an increase in testing in Liverpool?

Also, why do the hospital admissions peak about a week later than the peak in cases? Isn’t this what we would expect to see?

Irrespective of whether case rate reflects actual infection rate this still does not explain why hospital admissions started dropping before tier 3 was introduced.

There are two independent data sets, cases (even if less reliable) and hospital admissions, both suggesting that infection rate was dropping before tier 3 was introduced.


 
Posted : 21/11/2020 4:56 pm
Posts: 818
Free Member
 

Haven't read all the comments but seems to be a lot of hate for people who might choose not to vaccinate.

I'm but no means an anti-vaxxer, and probably wouldn't have given it much thought had I not been working with someone who's son was one of a minority who developed narcolepsy from the swine flu vaccine and heard just how much impact on his life it's had.

Even if the risk is low, I think I'll let others go first on this one thanks.


 
Posted : 21/11/2020 4:58 pm
Posts: 31037
Full Member
 

the infection rate is dropping long before tier 3 restrictions were introduced

You could well be correct… but without admissions being seen to be dropping, deciding not to act at that point could well have been dooming hospitals to cope with a continuing rise. The decision was made working with figures that suggested admissions could keep rising… and rising from a high point. The hindsight knowledge about admissions dropping (but still high) might well have made a different decision possible (for a time traveller)… but even then you could have been missing an opportunity to drive admissions down before we get into winter proper, and the now usual winter hospital crisis.


 
Posted : 21/11/2020 5:04 pm
Posts: 8469
Full Member
 

Each vaccine already has been put into approx 50,000 people, and millions by the time it gets to you or I.


 
Posted : 21/11/2020 5:17 pm
Posts: 31037
Full Member
 

Even if the risk is low, I think I’ll let others go first on this one thanks.

That’s alright, we’ll take it for you. For the sake of you and your family, just hope that there is enough of us to do so to help keep you safe as well.


 
Posted : 21/11/2020 5:26 pm
Posts: 24816
Free Member
 

Also some of the vaccines (not so sure about the new RNA type but attenuated virus types) are essentially based on old technology with years of safe use, so the changes are relatively minor and pretty well understood from a safety POV

Kind of like having to redo the whole NCAP testing on a car because you changed the colour of the upholstery (massive exaggeration but....)


 
Posted : 21/11/2020 5:26 pm
Posts: 818
Free Member
 

Sure, but the point made is that in the not too distant past we have an example of a rushed out vaccine causing problems, and whether slightly irrational or not, it is understandable that people may be hesitant about taking it until it’s more of a known quantity.


 
Posted : 21/11/2020 5:38 pm
Posts: 31037
Full Member
 

Don’t have the vaccine then. Just hope that enough other people do. I’m not judging.


 
Posted : 21/11/2020 5:51 pm
Posts: 8527
Free Member
 

Every drug has potential for side effects.

I work in big pharma, albeit on a different scale, we produce penicillin in its bulk form, before it goes into the secondary process, and you wouldn't believe the quality and validation that it goes through, even on an age old, tried and tested process.

There's no hate btw, just frustration at people making decisions without being informed. If you've done your homework and not sure, fair enough, it's your choice.


 
Posted : 21/11/2020 5:56 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

Don’t have the vaccine then.

That’s what he said he was going to do


 
Posted : 21/11/2020 6:06 pm
Posts: 818
Free Member
 

I'd say throughout this thread there is hate & I think judgement clearly is being made.

If the government wants a high uptake then it has got to really understand the reasons why people might be fearful of this and do more to address that; because those fears are not unfounded.

It will have to do more to spell out exactly why it is in people's interests to vaccinate, and even more so if they are in a group that feels invulnerable to this disease because statistics are overwhelmingly in their favour.


 
Posted : 21/11/2020 6:07 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

You could well be correct… but without admissions being seen to be dropping, deciding not to act at that point could well have been dooming hospitals to cope with a continuing rise. The decision was made working with figures that suggested admissions could keep rising… and rising from a high point. The hindsight knowledge about admissions dropping (but still high) might well have made a different decision possible (for a time traveller)… but even then you could have been missing an opportunity to drive admissions down before we get into winter proper, and the now usual winter hospital crisis.

100% agree with everything you said Kelvin.

I accept that what I presented is based on a limited data set and am happy for this to be challenged. Assuming the analysis is sound though, I think it is interesting that the infection rate appears to have been attenuated by something other than additional restrictions.


 
Posted : 21/11/2020 6:53 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

Squaredog – thanks for the graphics – very clear and easy to understand.

Thanks dantsw13.

Here’s another interesting one which I created recently. This shows the ‘Registered Deaths/Expected Deaths’ by week for each region and plots the first wave against the second wave. Data up ton 6th November.

This is based on Public Health England data from here....

https://fingertips.phe.org.uk/static-reports/mortality-surveillance/excess-mortality-in-england-latest.html

https://flic.kr/p/2k8EFkL

I think someone (pondlife?) had suggested earlier in the thread that London was the region hit hardest during the first wave of the pandemic.

If we are using these metrics, he/she appears to be correct.


 
Posted : 21/11/2020 7:05 pm
Posts: 5169
Free Member
 

If the government wants a high uptake then it has got to really understand the reasons why people might be fearful of this and do more to address that; because those fears are not unfounded.

How do they do this exactly? They've said it will be fully tested and appropriate regulatory scrutiny applied. I'd argue that Joe Public knows more about the testing regime of these vaccines than almost any other given how much of it has been headline news. It appears to me that you are saying that you are aware of that but aren't going to take it anyway because of the side effects of a completely different vaccine. Not entirely sure of the logic.


 
Posted : 21/11/2020 7:08 pm
Posts: 8324
Free Member
 

Chances of an adverse reaction to the vaccine..I'd say given 50000 have taken it so far and it's deemed safe, probably reasonably low. Whether it causes us all to become zombies in 6 months, who knows..

Chances of long covid, a debilitating illness ..1 in 10 cases apparently

Chances of myocarditis of the heart if you get covid.. Well according to one report I saw it was 50% ..

I'm more than happy to be getting a dose..


 
Posted : 21/11/2020 7:14 pm
Posts: 8469
Full Member
 

Squaredog - do you have any graphics on hospitalisation rates from 1st/2nd wave?

Im down in E Sussex, which has been one of the lowest hit throughout the pandemic. In the last few weeks its gone crazy though. I know of 5 households in the village with positive cases. In all cases the vector seems to have been 6th form age children.


 
Posted : 21/11/2020 7:20 pm
Posts: 18590
Free Member
 

Well according to one report I saw it was 50% ..

If you can remember where it was I'd appreciate a link to show my doctor.


 
Posted : 21/11/2020 7:31 pm
Posts: 7278
Free Member
 

I think someone (pondlife?) had suggested earlier in the thread that London was the region hit hardest during the first wave of the pandemic.

If we are using these metrics, he/she appears to be correct.

I did some numbers in a post a couple of days ago that also appeared to show this contention is correct.


 
Posted : 21/11/2020 7:53 pm
Posts: 66098
Full Member
 

Nobeerinthefridge
Free Member

There’s no hate btw, just frustration at people making decisions without being informed.

Speaking for myself, I absolutely do hate anyone and everyone who's trying to discourage people from getting the vaccine, and who actively works to undermine health measures. Doing it yourself is one thing, trying to get other people to do it? Hate is the proportionate response.


 
Posted : 21/11/2020 9:41 pm
Posts: 5825
Full Member
 

There will be a high number of adverse reactions, but the vast majority will be mild. It is simply a reflection of the massive numbers being produced.
It however shouldn't put people off the vaccine, as anyone who has ever read the pack insert for any medicine will tell you, the list is terrifying.
my particular favourite found in a load is 'may cause death'
Judging from the various trial numbers and also the numbers the Chinese and Russians are coming out with (not that those 2 examples should give any faith in safety reporting) there will have been way over 1 million given one of the various vaccines by now


 
Posted : 21/11/2020 9:52 pm
Posts: 17327
Full Member
 

I develop drugs for a living. It's my day job. And I will state that I believe everyone should have the right to remove treatment consent. The only time that falls over is for children, where matters are more complex. But I don't believe in mandatory vaccination. I certainly believe in vaccination though!

The Moderna vaccine reported Grade 3 adverse event at about 2%. Grade 3 is severe, so for 1/50 it may not be the most pleasant experience. For 1/50 with infection, worse is true. For 1/200 the outcome is much much worse.


 
Posted : 21/11/2020 9:59 pm
Posts: 5825
Full Member
 

I think they have to be expecting sae's at 1-2% for the traditional vaccines. Which has to be in line with normal levels anyway
Edit, the moderna levels are way higher than the astra stage 2 trial. But the scale was significantly smaller


 
Posted : 21/11/2020 10:02 pm
Posts: 18590
Free Member
 

When sampling raw sewage was one of my tasks I was vacinated against a long list of tropical illnesses. One of them gave a reaction not far short of flu, but I didn't catch any tropical diseases. 🙂

I had the H1N1 vaccine, one of roughly a tenth of the French population who turned up to be vaccinated. If you think take up is likely to be low in the UK I reckon it wil be a lot lower in France. I'll turn up for the Covid vaccine, the lower you think turnout will be the more reason to go yourself.


 
Posted : 21/11/2020 10:06 pm
Posts: 17327
Full Member
 

The UK has some of the highest influenza vaccine take-up in the world (about 75% of target and about 75% effective). SARS-CoV-2 won't be short of people who will want vaccination. It's just media noise.

Those reactions in full - it might smart a bit but that's your immune system at work.

Grade 3 (severe) events greater than or equal to 2% in frequency after the first dose included injection site pain (2.7%), and after the second dose included fatigue (9.7%), myalgia (8.9%), arthralgia (5.2%), headache (4.5%), pain (4.1%) and erythema/redness at the injection site (2.0%).


 
Posted : 21/11/2020 10:08 pm
Posts: 34499
Full Member
 

It is simply a reflection of the massive numbers being produced.
It however shouldn’t put people off the vaccine, as anyone who has ever read the pack insert for any medicine will tell you, the list is terrifying.

The problem is that the covid sceptics, anti maskers etc will seize on every example as proof it's dangerous


 
Posted : 21/11/2020 10:10 pm
Posts: 5825
Full Member
 

Agreed, can't have it both ways though. Hide the numbers and it makes things worse. Plus regulators won't let you


 
Posted : 21/11/2020 10:16 pm
Posts: 7278
Free Member
 

Seems to bear out points above


 
Posted : 22/11/2020 1:00 pm
Posts: 5825
Full Member
 

WSJ write up of long haul covid
You would hope this might make people think of the consequences of not having the vaccine


 
Posted : 22/11/2020 6:24 pm
Posts: 9600
Full Member
 

TiRed - thought you may be interested in my friend: She is an NHS worker, who (she's pretty sure she caught C19 last week of January with all the symptoms except loss of smell and taste) still has the antibodies months later. She is tested often due to now working on a covid ward.


 
Posted : 22/11/2020 6:39 pm
Posts: 17843
 

You would hope this might make people think of the consequences of not having the vaccine

Are you against anyone making their own informed decision?


 
Posted : 22/11/2020 6:56 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
Posts: 5796
Free Member
 

What a fING farce of an afternoon I've had. I'll share my experience in the hope it helps others.... And maybe sharing will help me feel better.
Upon waking today my 3 year old daughter had a cough. It seemed better at breakfast but returned at lunch. Wife and talk it over.. Decide it probably fits 'continuous cough'. Quickly online I book a test at the nearest centre, 1.1 miles away, walk in testing at Streatham common. No 3yo will enjoy the test so wife and I try and explain what will happen, calmly. Leaving wife with 5 yo and 20 wo, I head off with sweets for bribes, Peppa pig on the phone, and the very nervous 3 yo. Arrive. Directed to a bay in a marquee....all fine until this point. Now it all goes wrong. In the next bay a little kid is really upset.... Understandable. His incredibly selfish mother is going batsh1t crazy at him, ranting that he has to do the test. Now it's going to be a stressful experience for a little kid, and I'll vouch for the fact that it's also stressful for parents.. But FFS,AS A PARENT YOU HAVE TO MANAGE THAT STRESS. SHOUTING AT YOUR CHILD FOR 20 MINUTES ISN'T GOING TO HELP THEM.... AND HAS A BIG IMPACT ON OTHER KIDS IN THE MARQUEE! I spent 30 minutes just cuddling and trying to calm my now crying daughter before giving up and leaving. I've now ordered a home test kit.... But the 3yo (a determined little minx at the best of times) currently won't consider that even. I'm not convinced I'd have succeeded if I'd tried, but I'm wishing I'd got in the car for the 6 mile journey to the nearest drive in centre, where I'd have had my daughter in familiar surroundings (the car) and without the distractions of other SELFISH F
ING IDIOTS! I chose the walk in as it was closer and had more slots/less demand.... My mistake.

The 5yo is now crying that she'll miss school, the 3 yo is determined she won't do the test....15 days of self isolation awaits....oh balls.

If you need to get a little'un tested, I hope you don't have batsh1t crazy people in the test centre, and I hope your little'un doesn't get too upset.


 
Posted : 22/11/2020 7:05 pm
Posts: 5825
Full Member
 

@cinnamon_girl
I didn't say that, I believe everyone should be accurately educated in the risks of having the vaccine against the risks from having the virus.
eliminating the hysteria and misinformation should lead to a simple conclusion which is that the vaccine should be taken


 
Posted : 22/11/2020 7:06 pm
Posts: 27603
Free Member
 

eliminating the hysteria and misinformation should lead to a simple conclusion which is that the vaccine should be taken

It’s a generalisation currently though? What about complications with existing illness, do we have any data in that?  Mrs K is in he No camp because she has Lupus.  A bad reaction to a vaccine could be very serious for her, and the trials of that combo could take years to work through (Lupus displays very varied symptoms across individuals).  In her world she’s a better chance of everyone else taking it to avoid a C19 infection by overall reduced chance of transmission.


 
Posted : 22/11/2020 7:17 pm
Posts: 5825
Full Member
 

Yes agreed. Where medical conditions are there then consultants have that decision. My cousin will be in exactly the same place as she has sle too.
for people without medical issues then they should work on the general risk


 
Posted : 22/11/2020 7:20 pm
Posts: 43913
Full Member
 

It's really quite simple. If you don't have a genuine medical reason for not being vaccinated (supported by a certificate of exemption from your GP) then you either take the vaccination or self-isolate permanently.


 
Posted : 22/11/2020 7:22 pm
Posts: 31037
Full Member
 

In her world she’s a better chance of everyone else taking it to avoid a C19 infection by overall reduced chance of transmission.

Absolutely. I won’t be taking the vaccine for myself, but I absolutely will take it as soon as possible, to help stop community transmission and help people currently shielding (even if the government have issued some double speak already about them not shielding) get more of their lives back.


 
Posted : 22/11/2020 7:27 pm
Posts: 818
Free Member
 

Can anyone link to confirm that these first generation vaccines will stop spread or just protect the person vaccinated? Genuine question that would affect my own personal decision.


 
Posted : 22/11/2020 7:43 pm
Posts: 5825
Full Member
 

Essentially it should be that by protecting the individual it should mean they don't get infected and then are not able to pass it on.
it is possible that someone could be infected and in the short time before their immune system hopefully clears the virus they could infect someone else.
But it should reduce the numbers they could infect if not eliminate it completely.
plus if you are immune then you automatically reduce the population that can be infected. Herd immunity.


 
Posted : 22/11/2020 7:47 pm
Posts: 24816
Free Member
 

That's the intention - if you can't catch it then you can't pass it on.

https://www.vaccines.gov/basics/work/protection


 
Posted : 22/11/2020 7:54 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

...and then, maybe, perhaps I can go to the pub.

I just want to be able to go out for a walk on the moors with an old crossword and a pen in my bag and then call in when it's quiet, sit in the corner, drink my pint and then wander home.

Please.


 
Posted : 22/11/2020 8:00 pm
Posts: 33113
Full Member
 

Are you against anyone making their own informed decision?

That clearly wasn't what he was saying.

How about you?


 
Posted : 22/11/2020 8:05 pm
Posts: 31037
Full Member
 

Please.

It’s glib to say… but you’ve earned it.


 
Posted : 22/11/2020 8:10 pm
 loum
Posts: 3624
Free Member
 

@Kryton57

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-55022288

There's hope. There may be alternatives on the way for those that can't be vaccinated. Sorry, don't know if that would be applicable with lupus, but best wishes anyway.


 
Posted : 22/11/2020 8:11 pm
Posts: 0
Free Member
 

It’s glib to say… but you’ve earned it.

I know, I'm just playing to the gallery there 🙂

I do really miss it...


 
Posted : 22/11/2020 8:14 pm
Posts: 8324
Free Member
 

It’s really quite simple. If you don’t have a genuine medical reason for not being vaccinated (supported by a certificate of exemption from your GP) then you either take the vaccination or self-isolate permanently.

As much as I'd like to see that happen, it'll never be mandatory. Luckily I reckon the vast majority of sensible, rational folks will be happy to take it.


 
Posted : 22/11/2020 8:17 pm
Page 251 / 499