What would it take ...
 

[Closed] What would it take for house prices to REALLY plummet?

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I’ve been working in the refurbishment of social housing for the majority of the last 20 years and i’d confidently wager that there are way more bad tenants in the world than there are evil landlords.

But working in social housing means you're working with a decent landlord all the time, and tenants statistically more likely to be a problem. Think this is probably going to cloud your judgement?


 
Posted : 20/08/2020 3:10 pm
 5lab
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I suspect that rents have also risen to balance some of it out.

perhaps - in particular the fees (which is kinda fair - the total cost to a tenant doesn't need to change, just the nature of them being hidden). In general though, rental property prices are driven by what the local market can afford and not by costs to the landlord - mortgage rates dropped hugely in the past 10-15 years (from ~6% to ~2% for btl mortgages) and none of that was passed onto the tenants.

We are getting towards the tipping point where the majority of people will be renting – things will change then

I think the tipping point will only be when the majority of voters are renting - and this will lag by a significant amount as younger folks tend not to vote as much


 
Posted : 20/08/2020 3:10 pm
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^ exactly and the rental market is held up by small subset of the population being given btl mortgages. Easily fixed, but some people would have to lose some (pretty much unearned) money to do so.


 
Posted : 20/08/2020 3:16 pm
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ah yes, renters are scum was waiting for this. – is it possible you are only seeing the worse cases as this is your job?

No. Some renters are scum, a minority who by their actions, prevent other people gaining access to decent social housing and prevent investment in more social housing.

It's not just a landlord problem

is it possible you are only seeing the worse cases as this is your job?

I've seen all the cases, good and bad. I once did two surveys in the same street in Paisley. One guy refused to have his kitchen replaced beacuse he had fitted out his own kitchen in italian marble. It was a £30k kitchen in a £30k council flat that he didn't own. One of his neighbours had ripped up and burned 90% of his floorboards as he was cold and had already stripped and sold the central heating system for scrap.
I'd like to think that gives me a feel for the balance of good tenants to bad.


 
Posted : 20/08/2020 3:19 pm
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I’d like to think that gives me a feel for the balance of good tenants to bad.

But you only deal with social housing tenants?


 
Posted : 20/08/2020 3:26 pm
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But you only deal with social housing tenants?

Are they different form "normal" tenants?

Are are they just people who want somewhare to live?

People are people. Some will care for a property that they don't own but have the use of. Some won't.


 
Posted : 20/08/2020 3:35 pm
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A deeper question here is wether or not society should exist to help people enjoy their lives, or is it just a framework for moving money around?


 
Posted : 20/08/2020 3:51 pm
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A deeper question here is wether or not society should exist to help people enjoy their lives, or is it just a framework for moving money around?

Originally, you spent most of your waking hours hunting and foraging for food, and getting yourself shelter.

It then progressed to the peron who was good at making huts made huts, and the peron who could make clothes made clothes, for the entire village, while they all worked farming, and the builder and clothier got food as payment.

These days we have jobs - which provide usefulness to somebody - and recieve money for it. While my ancestors toiled every daylight hour to avoid starvation, I can feed myself (on all manner of varied, balanced diets) for less than one hours work at minimum wage a day, and can even get it delivered to my door if I wanted. Its far more efficient to outsource my food aquisition to Mr Sainsbury, than it is to hunt and farm myself.

Those extra hours in the day give me time for both productivity (earning money) and leisure (spending it); both of which create more and better jobs for other people in society, who then get more leisure, and so on


 
Posted : 20/08/2020 4:28 pm
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which is all well and good, but now we have the situation where some people can do absolutely nothing and make money from simply having access to credit.


 
Posted : 20/08/2020 4:50 pm
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The definition of patronising


 
Posted : 20/08/2020 4:53 pm
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Think he means you’d pay CGT on your primary residence as well. Seems fair to me and would definitely slow down the market.

Cant see how it would though. If your house value rises by £Xk and theres a 20% tax on that, you're not going to take a hit on the asking price (unless the tax is >100%).

Stamp duty does do that though. About 25% of our deposit went to the government which stings bit! But doesnt really work except to stop short term investments in expensive houses. Probably why homes under the hammer is never in the SE, you cant make a proffit with some laminate flooring and an Ikea kitchen if theres stamp duty.

Personally I think council tax should double/treble/quadrupole. Encourage people to actually live in the house they need. No point in some 50+ people telling youngsters who cant afford a house that the solution is for more tax on buying a house.


 
Posted : 20/08/2020 5:00 pm
 5lab
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Cant see how it would though. If your house value rises by £Xk and theres a 20% tax on that, you’re not going to take a hit on the asking price (unless the tax is >100%).

it gives the person who is selling their first house less cash to buy their second house, thus depressing the market (as everyone else looking to buy is in the same boat). I would wager that the majority of the deposit most people have for their second/third house purchase is made up of inflation from the first one/two

Personally I think council tax should double/treble/quadrupole. Encourage people to actually live in the house they need. No point in some 50+ people telling youngsters who cant afford a house that the solution is for more tax on buying a house.

I don't disagree but it'll never happen politically as it puts a significant squeeze on retirees (who no longer have the income they had before) and they're very likely to vote.


 
Posted : 20/08/2020 5:18 pm
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The definition of patronising

Do you even understand what patronising means? I can explain it to you in really simple words that you and everyone else might just about understand if you all concentrate. 😉


 
Posted : 20/08/2020 5:22 pm
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Are they different form “normal” tenants?

Yes, statistically I believe so, and probably in ways which make significant property damage more likely. Please note, I'm not saying social tenants are scum. That would be ridiculous. Just that, by only working with social tenants, you will see a higher proportion of poverty, poor mental health and other issues.


 
Posted : 20/08/2020 6:04 pm
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Nonsense, it’s an objection to a warped version of predatory capitalism applied to a basic human right.

Owning your own house is not a "basic human right." Compared to other countries the UK is relatively unusual in having so many people who whose homes are privately owned by those living in them.

This problem is heading your way, then will you be suggesting moving out the country ?

You reckon?

A basic human right, yesterday:

https://www.rightmove.co.uk/property-for-sale/property-83522155.html

Or, if you want to get in on the capitalist pig market yourself:

https://www.rightmove.co.uk/property-for-sale/property-83800114.html

Why would you give stamp duty tax breaks at a time like this

That's exactly what happened about a month ago.

now we have the situation where some people can do absolutely nothing and make money from simply having access to credit.

Do you have access to credit? Why not make some money yourself?


 
Posted : 20/08/2020 6:14 pm
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Yes, statistically I believe so, and probably in ways which make significant property damage more likely. Please note, I’m not saying social tenants are scum. That would be ridiculous. Just that, by only working with social tenants, you will see a higher proportion of poverty, poor mental health and other issues.

As the person who brought the scum word to the thread, remember I was referencing MAOB's previous private tennants.


 
Posted : 20/08/2020 6:15 pm
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Sorry, wasn't poking at you mate, just used it subconsciously.


 
Posted : 20/08/2020 6:19 pm
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As per 5lab that is what I suggested CGT or even more punitive tax on house value inflation , suppressing the market , there might be a sliding scale depending on how long the property was owned tapering the tax over 25 years.
Too much house price inflation has only really benefited the banks and lenders , taking money out of other parts of the economy.


 
Posted : 20/08/2020 6:35 pm
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Is it though, really?

Yes.

Compared to other countries the UK is relatively unusual in having so many people who whose homes are privately owned by those living in them.

True. But private rental in the UK is nothing like renting in any other European country. Nothing inherently wrong with renting, but in the UK it is a financial trap without rights or security.


 
Posted : 20/08/2020 7:00 pm
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Owning your own house is not a “basic human right.”

Perhaps not the best use of that term, but I do believe everyone who is employed full time should be able to have the option to own their own home - why can we not aim for that? It's just a reallocation of credit.

Do you have access to credit? Why not make some money yourself?

Yes, now I do - but I don't tend to exploit people to make my money.


 
Posted : 20/08/2020 7:05 pm
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Not quite as simple as that though is it? Where you live isn’t an easy choice for lots of people, heavily influenced by family, friends and work.

No, of course it isn't, I was being gently facetious. Everyone's situation is different of course, I could work from the surface of the moon for the difference it makes but other people aren't so lucky. I too have friends and family (for some value of, it's just my mum) locally so moving to the other end of the country would have cons rather than pros.

I just rather think the blame here is misplaced.


 
Posted : 20/08/2020 7:21 pm
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True. But private rental in the UK is nothing like renting in any other European country. Nothing inherently wrong with renting, but in the UK it is a financial trap without rights or security.

I looked this up, and we're not the outlier in Europe, Germany is. We're about on a par with France in terms of ownership, well behind Spain and Italy.


 
Posted : 20/08/2020 7:36 pm
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Yes, now I do – but I don’t tend to exploit people to make my money.

Could I ask your view on farmers?

If we're taking issue with basic human rights, surely food is in the same pot.


 
Posted : 20/08/2020 7:37 pm
 5lab
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everyone who is employed full time should be able to have the option to own their own home – why can we not aim for that

it costs more than £60k (4x the minimum wage - seems like a reasonable figure to work with) to build a home in many parts of the country, even if you excluded the cost of land (by building it on land already publicly owned, or whatever..). even if you did figure out a way of doing that, it means your minimum wage earner would have to save 12k (deposit) whilst paying all other costs on minimum wage. its just not viable, which is where social housing should pick up those who cant.


 
Posted : 20/08/2020 7:43 pm
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Perhaps not the best use of that term, but I do believe everyone who is employed full time should be able to have the option to own their own home – why can we not aim for that?

You have the option, you just need to manage your expectations. If you're on minimum wage you shouldn't be astonished to discover that you can't afford a 4-bed detached in Surrey.

The government recently started a scheme which will basically loan you your deposit for first-time buyers, and there are other options too.

https://www.moneyadviceservice.org.uk/en/articles/help-to-buy-homebuy-and-other-housing-schemes

Yes, now I do – but I don’t tend to exploit people to make my money.

You do like to use disingenuously emotive language, don't you. It won't wash.

Repackaging that: you could use your superior buying power to purchase a house and then rent it out to someone who otherwise wouldn't be able to afford anywhere to live. You could turn a modest profit for your troubles rather than price-gouging or just aim to break even if you were so morally compelled and who knows, if you undercut other landlords then you might end up influencing the market bringing prices down in other properties in the area.

That property I linked to above is up for £50k and comes with boil-in-the-bag long-term tenants who will be there for at least another year. Do they sound "exploited" to you?

And sixth time lucky. What's the alternative? Someone cannot afford to buy, you want to shut down the rental market, what are you proposing instead? A sudden uptick in tent sales?

It's not the fault of BTL landlords that mortgage lenders currently want a 20% deposit, take that up with the lenders. It's actually a response to a sudden increase in buying during the CV crisis. Affordable 100% mortgages would likely kill the BTL market stone dead.


 
Posted : 20/08/2020 7:43 pm
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https://www.theguardian.com/money/2020/feb/10/home-ownership-ons-rent

What’s the alternative?

All the alternatives would make buy to let unfeasible*, so I doubt you genuinely want to hear about them. Rent controls and caps for instance. Anyway, if you happy to see that the current situation creates problems for a lot of people, that’s a great start. The current system is very complex, as would anything better be, and would be hard to outline in a post here, no? And landlords really aren’t the problem here… the system is.

[ *not really true… perfectly feasible, just that such changes are resisted with claims that that they would make it so hard for landlords, that they’d all leave the market… which has never seemed plausible ]


 
Posted : 20/08/2020 7:52 pm
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If the farmer was renting me a chicken for £1, while selling to others for 25p, yeah I would have a problem with it.

Food is a highly competitive market with lots of choice for any budget, I can also grow my own food and use a food bank if I really need it ... not sure what comparison you are trying to make.


 
Posted : 20/08/2020 7:52 pm
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I just got a full survey done of a property I am hoping to buy. And then 2 independent builders and damp proofing professionals to assess cost.
Ex rental property near a hospital. The landlords are also doctors but living out in the nice villages.
The survey shows high levels of damp and insect infestation and a more dilapidated state than I noticed on my first inspection. The central heating is deamed unsafe due to a blocked flue. Looking at photos from its last sale 5 years ago it looks better than now.
How do landlords get away with doing nothing and just taking in rental cash.


 
Posted : 20/08/2020 7:53 pm
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we’re not the outlier in Europe, Germany is

We’re the outlier in terms of protection and tenure for people renting their home, that was my point.

Home ownership patterns differ across Europe… super high in Eastern and Southern countries. Surprised about France to be honest, I thought they had a higher proportion of renters than us… but perhaps that’s a Paris bias I have. I think the Scandy countries and Switzerland have far more renters than we do… I could look I suppose…


 
Posted : 20/08/2020 8:02 pm
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And sixth time lucky. What’s the alternative? Someone cannot afford to buy, you want to shut down the rental market, what are you proposing instead? A sudden uptick in tent sales?

You are describing the problem - house prices need to fall. To do this the BTL sector needs to shrink and at the same time the quality of rental properties needs to increase. This means people will make less money from property, horrifying I know.


 
Posted : 20/08/2020 8:06 pm
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Well… France bang on the same as us, as you say, and Sweden and Denmark pretty close. Germany the outlier in terms of home ownership, as you said…

https://www.statista.com/statistics/246355/home-ownership-rate-in-europe/


 
Posted : 20/08/2020 8:07 pm
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How do landlords get away with doing nothing and just taking in rental cash.

Pathetic isn't it, maybe Doctors should stick to their day jobs, for which they are paid very well to do.


 
Posted : 20/08/2020 8:08 pm
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You are describing the problem – house prices need to fall.

I think the problem is that wages need to rise, and, vitally rents need to fall. You can’t save up a deposit while you are paying more in rent for your home than you would be if paying for the mortgage if you “owned” it.


 
Posted : 20/08/2020 8:09 pm
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All the alternatives would make buy to let unfeasible*, so I doubt you genuinely want to hear about them.

... I really don't have a dog in this race, but rather

And landlords really aren’t the problem here… the system is.

... is exactly the point I was trying to make.

If the farmer was renting me a chicken for £1, while selling to others for 25p, yeah I would have a problem with it.

Yeah, but for the analogy to work your 25p buyers would first have to sign up to the chicken-buying scheme for £500 in order to be eligible to buy (or at least, be able to prove the means to). Still grossly unfair now?


 
Posted : 20/08/2020 8:10 pm
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the analogy does not work.


 
Posted : 20/08/2020 8:14 pm
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At the risk of repeating myself, that was my point, your analogy doesn't work.

In your scenario if a farmer is selling chickens for 25p and renting them for £1, nothing is stopping you from buying one rather than renting it.


 
Posted : 20/08/2020 8:38 pm
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OK, let's try a different tack.

Hypothetically, I have a house on the market. I will offer to rent it to you for £500/month, or I will sell it to you for £500/month until it's paid off if you can give me a £35,000 lump sum up front.

Which do you choose? And if you don't like either of those options, well, do I need to ask a seventh time?

Why is one of these two scenarios problematic to you? Seven pages in and the best you've managed so far is "someone is making a profit." You're going to soil yourself when you find out that new builds don't sell at cost.


 
Posted : 20/08/2020 8:49 pm
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I will offer to rent it to you for £500/ month, or I will sell it to you for £500/month

Where are (private) rents equivalent to mortgage payments in that way in the UK?

“someone is making a profit.”

Did you read that Guardian article I posted? Who’s complaining about profit? We are complaining about a system where more people than ever can no longer own their one home, and are trapped in the rental system where they are inadequately protected.


 
Posted : 20/08/2020 8:52 pm
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Of course there can be a profit, but there is far too much profit. As was mentioned a few posts back mortgage costs have gone down, while rents have gone up, how is that not exploitative?


 
Posted : 20/08/2020 8:57 pm
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Of course there can be a profit, but there is far too much profit

I’d love to know how much is ‘too much’ profit?


 
Posted : 20/08/2020 10:13 pm
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Where are (private) rents equivalent to mortgage payments in that way in the UK?

It was a hypothetical scenario. Not that it matters, every question I've asked so far has been ignored.

Did you read that Guardian article I posted?

I didn't but I shall, thanks for the nudge.

Who’s complaining about profit?

See the post directly after you asked that question.


 
Posted : 20/08/2020 10:27 pm
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There is of course another side to the coin re: BTL. It's easy to fall down the rabbit hole of believing all BTL landlords are cash hungry monsters with huge portfolios - certainly all the ones I know have one, two maximum. Why did they guy them? Not to get rich or give up work, rather to offset the fact that pensions aren't worth Jack shit these days compared to previous generations, so they're building a little financial security for the future in the absence of a decent pension income that previous generations enjoyed.

That doesn't sound so unreasonable, exploitative or evil does it? But of course, it's not as emotionally loaded a story....


 
Posted : 21/08/2020 12:07 am
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And the counterpoint to that,

I wouldn’t risk being a landlord after i’ve seen some of the devastation caused by some people to rented properties.

Next door to my mum is a BTL rental property. Regular readers may remember a previous thread about Paddy.

The previous owners were Tom and Susan. Lovely couple. Susan was fastidiously clean to the point of OCD. They had a couple of dogs, before the dogs were allowed back into the house after being outside she'd wash their paws and, eh, unmentionables. Then Susan sadly passed away suddenly and Tom sold up. It sold to let.

Fast forward to today, maybe what, five years on? They've wrecked the place. All the interior doors are in the back yard after Paddy's smashed them off in pissed-up rages. Paddy's chain-smoked inside sufficiently that you can smell it from the street as you walk past, with doors and windows shut and a four-foot high garden in the way. He lives with his bedridden mum who spends her entire waking hours smoking weed (whilst suffering from COPD and permanently on oxygen). They have a dog that routinely craps in the house (as evidenced by Paddy roaring "you dirty bastard" in the small hours several times a week) because it never gets to go outside.

Meanwhile, the landlord does nothing and sits there raking in the "profits."


 
Posted : 21/08/2020 1:37 am
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Horrible cougar.

Been there on the 5 month journey to get court order to allow Sherrif's Men (Scottish bailiff) to kick them out. I felt for the neighbours and own losses.

Interestingly under Scottish process any other pressing debts can mean a hold on eviction - Perth and Kinross council were at the (open) court session over about 6 houses. 5 of the houses had the whole process paused for 6 months for the tenant to 'try and make good' other debts. So P&K council would have had a full year of no rent, some of the tenants trashing the place and they still had to maintain to Repairing Standards.

Thankfully my tenant was such a c*ck he started on the Sherrif and lied, so winding up the Sherrif and court advisor, and in doing so was just ordered to pay up and get out. Not that he paid up or left until the morning of the eviction, so costing a further £350 in bailiff fees.


 
Posted : 21/08/2020 9:25 am
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To summarize:

- no problem with high house prices and rents

- it's totally fine to make as much money as you can get away with, despite doing no actual work or contributing anything useful to the world

- if you can't afford to live where you work, move hundreds of miles away.

- renters will just smash things up anyway (if only you could insure against this) yet somehow it's still worth doing.


 
Posted : 21/08/2020 9:38 am
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It seems the people that want the prices to crash are happy for families to be screwed over, the same people hope to gain.

We have a lot of equity sitting in our family home, money that would be hard earned to come by again.


 
Posted : 21/08/2020 9:51 am
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if you have a lot of equity, why is it a problem that house prices fall a bit ? Did you really do anything to earn the increase in value of your home?


 
Posted : 21/08/2020 10:24 am
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if you have a lot of equity, why is it a problem that house prices fall a bit ? Did you really do anything to earn the increase in value of your home?

Because not everyone bought their current home in the 80s.

Lots of people would very quickly fall into negative equity on any fall in house value.

Which would mean a lot of people defaulting on mortgages.

Which would basically be the subprime mortgage crisis all over again.

So sure, you've got lots of cheap property now because demand has fallen. Demand has fallen because the banks don't dare lend any money whilst house prices are falling. The only buyers are now cash buyers (!!!!) who can afford to weather the storm and come out the other side.

Not exactly the outcome you're looking for, eh.


 
Posted : 21/08/2020 10:59 am
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if you have a lot of equity, why is it a problem that house prices fall a bit ? Did you really do anything to earn the increase in value of your home?

Given we've only been in this house 5 years I doubt it's worth much more than we paid for it, even with doing a lot of work to it when we moved in.

And it's a problem just giving money away to me, which if the prices drop that's what your doing.

It's a family home but also part of the pension pot when we downsize.


 
Posted : 21/08/2020 11:16 am
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You are describing the symptom of high house prices and the commodification of homes - we need house prices to keep raising to stop people getting into negative equity. Can't see how this is going to end well.

Interesting how it's a problem for homeowners costs to increase, but not a problem for renters / those looking to save a deposit.


 
Posted : 21/08/2020 11:32 am
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Given we’ve only been in this house 5 years I doubt it’s worth much more than we paid for it, even with doing a lot of work to it when we moved in.

Is it a home or an investment vehicle? Are you not enjoying the improvements you made to your home?


 
Posted : 21/08/2020 11:35 am
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Is it a home or an investment vehicle?

No reason it shouldn't be both a home and a self funded part of a retirement pot. As per my previous post, pensions are worth sweet FA now (I remember my old man getting caught up in a pension collapse and hundreds of thousands disappearing, and him having to work to 70 just to stay afloat). So unless there's done other sort of provision made to financially support people in retirement, BTL is probably the safest bet.

It falls into a much, much bigger conversation that goes beyond house prices, and into our longer more active life spans, and the challenges that creates both in terms of funding longer lives but also accommodating and servicing an increasing population.


 
Posted : 21/08/2020 12:16 pm
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Interesting how it’s a problem for homeowners costs to increase, but not a problem for renters / those looking to save a deposit.

But interestingly, the solve of 'lowering house prices' still doesn't get those without homes on the property ladder, because now you've got no lenders willing to lend on a depreciating, high-risk, low yield asset.


 
Posted : 21/08/2020 12:22 pm
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Sorry havent read the whole thread, i am waiting to buy a house and anything that isnt a bungalow in the area i want, is not selling. Every day more are added for sale so a bigger pool to choose from.

Next step, price reductions, some are empty so will start attracting council tax, some are probate, the ones that have to sell are going to have to start listening to offers. Once the market stutters why buy, i ll just wait as prices are going down.

I am a landlord, 1 tenant has been in situ over 12 years and clearly treats it as his home, the other I will sell as the tenants have taken the pi.. over the years. I have been awarded nice damages but I am not interested in that, just someone who treats it as their home. Now someone is in there who does.

Cheers all


 
Posted : 21/08/2020 12:52 pm
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But interestingly, the solve of ‘lowering house prices’ still doesn’t get those without homes on the property ladder, because now you’ve got no lenders willing to lend on a depreciating, high-risk, low yield asset.

And that, in turn, is another problem with free markets for essential commodities.


 
Posted : 21/08/2020 12:54 pm
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Lots of people would very quickly fall into negative equity on any fall in house value.

Which would mean a lot of people defaulting on mortgages.

Would it? Do you default when you have negative equity?


 
Posted : 21/08/2020 12:54 pm
 hels
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Some people might default on purpose. Get themselves declared bankrupt, write off the negative equity debt and start again.


 
Posted : 21/08/2020 1:05 pm
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No reason it shouldn’t be both a home and a self funded part of a retirement pot. As per my previous post, pensions are worth sweet FA

Same applies to non homeowners.

So unless there’s done other sort of provision made to financially support people in retirement, BTL is probably the safest bet.

How about we invest in things that are not peoples homes, but actually create something of value. We have been brainwashed into thinking BTL is the only way to secure our futures and the hell to the next generation coming up behind us.

The housing market is not good for the economy it dampens the economic activity of the young - the people we need to start up new businesses.


 
Posted : 21/08/2020 1:08 pm
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Would it? Do you default when you have negative equity?

No you don't and why is it always the extreme example. It rarely that precarious for home owners. They can wait it out or downsize.

Who said prices need to crash anyway, they just need to stop raising and wages will catch up.


 
Posted : 21/08/2020 1:12 pm
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It rarely that precarious for home owners. They can wait it out or downsize.

Becomes a default when you find the svr climbing and you can't get off the svr because your in negative equity ..... It's easy to see how it would correlate to the other if it gets to 12% on svr


 
Posted : 21/08/2020 1:19 pm
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you can fix your mortgage for 5 or even 10 years (for very little extra now) to reduce this risk. Once again this sort of thing happens to renters all the time, you get a letter one day and your rent has jumped 10%.


 
Posted : 21/08/2020 1:27 pm
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How about we invest in things that are not peoples homes, but actually create something of value.

What like? I'm just in the process of transferring my old corporate pension (just moved jobs) into Pension Bee with my others so I can manage it myself. It was heavily into commercial property like many pensions, and has gone down in value this year. If commercial property goes down further, what other good options are there for people to create retirement funds? As we've seen, the stock market is volatile too so that's less appealing.

That's the challenge - the old safe bets are gone, hence the growth of things like BTL as a retirement strategy. What other options are there - diamond mines in Africa or investment in arms dealing are probably the best alternative but morally far worse.


 
Posted : 21/08/2020 1:33 pm
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Once again this sort of thing happens to renters all the time, you get a letter one day and your rent has jumped 10%.

Wife lets her old house, every year the agency just up the rent value without asking and every year she makes them put it back down to its original value!


 
Posted : 21/08/2020 1:33 pm
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What like? I’m just in the process of transferring my old corporate pension (just moved jobs) into Pension Bee with my others so I can manage it myself.

Almost anything else - how about a green investment fund?

It's all connected, we would not have plan for our retirements in this manor if housing was not such a drain on our resources.

Wife lets her old house, every year the agency just up the rent value without asking and every year she makes them put it back down to its original value!

Commendable in this day and age.


 
Posted : 21/08/2020 1:49 pm
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you can fix your mortgage for 5 or even 10 years (for very little extra now) to reduce this risk. Once again this sort of thing happens to renters all the time, you get a letter one day and your rent has jumped 10%.

You said that but at some point you will be exposed to the svr or a high fix rate....say in 5 or 10 years time when your fix ends. Your just kicking your can down the road.

With rent and they bump it up this 10% you are free to look at market rate. Or you need to move for your job ....you can . Or need a bigger house for your family ...you can. -the downside is you are paying money for that privaledge.....no different to PCP on a car really...and significant numbers here think that owning a car is a silly idea ....

If you own a house in negative equity that is not an easy process especially if it's worth is less than the outstanding loan value.

Owning isn't the right solution for all....but it is for many.


 
Posted : 21/08/2020 1:51 pm
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It’s easy to see how it would correlate to the other if it gets to 12% on svr

When would that be though? average SVR hasn't been above 9% for 25 years, hasn't been above 5% since 2008.


 
Posted : 21/08/2020 2:06 pm
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Owning isn’t the right solution for all….but it is for many.

Let's talk about why renting is such a bad option in this country.

- It much more expensive then a mortgage.
- The quality of houses is by and large appalling - never met anyone who has not rented a damp house.
- Rentals are simply not maintained properly by amateur landlords only interested in monthly yields.
- Rents rise year on year despite lending cost dropping to the bottom.
- You can not get a contract longer than 12 months
- You can be evicted through no fault of your own, with 2 months notice - think of the mental stress this causes and the waste of resources moving someone who does not want to.
- You are treated like a second class citizen by the estate agent despite you paying their wages - I am the customer, not the joker who is 300 hundred miles away who has managed to take out a intrest only loan.
- Despite paying for someone else home, the home owner still thinks the home is theirs and will lock the shed or board up the loft or pop round with his own set of keys to check how he can convert it into a flatshare.


 
Posted : 21/08/2020 2:21 pm
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no different to PCP on a car really

I don't live in my car, I don't need a car that is near my job, kids school and friends. I don't need a car at all in fact. It does not wreak my life when the car reaches a point I can no longer afford.

At least with PCP you are getting a brand new car that is maintained. The house equivalent would be a 20 year old banger with blown windows, faint smell of damp and a locked boot the owner uses to store his old golf clubs in.


 
Posted : 21/08/2020 2:23 pm
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When would that be though? average SVR hasn’t been above 9% for 25 years, hasn’t been above 5% since 2008.

Given what has happened this year I cannot see it happening again in many of our lifetimes. We still haven't fully recovered from the banking crash (hence the record low SVRs worldwide) and the combined Governments of the world will need to do lots to encourage firstly recovery, then growth.


 
Posted : 21/08/2020 2:27 pm
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g5604 - you are clearly bitter and unwilling to accept any views contrary to yours.
What's your problem?
What's your proposed solution to the multiple inequities to see?
Do you have a problem accepting that profit is essential for a functioning economy?


 
Posted : 21/08/2020 2:31 pm
 hels
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My two word summary of this thread: OK Boomer!


 
Posted : 21/08/2020 2:33 pm
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@g5604 - you really like to use emotive language and generalise about all rented properties.

– It much more expensive then a mortgage.

See my post earlier, my tenants pay £20-50 a month more than if they owned the house, without having £12k tied up as a deposit (which in a bank might earn the same £20-50 per month). Not *always* true.

– The quality of houses is by and large appalling – never met anyone who has not rented a damp house.

*rolls eyes*

– Rentals are simply not maintained properly by amateur landlords only interested in monthly yields.

I have 'Repairing Standards' this is a three page document outlining how (and in what timescale) my property should be maintained it. It explains recourse if I don't, including using the deposit held independently to pay for repairs. This of course is Scotland, it is done differently elswhere. Again, your emotive phrasing and generalising is rude.

– Rents rise year on year despite lending cost dropping to the bottom.

My rents rarely go up - a good tenant stays, that is worth more than a rent rise. I put rents up when I market a place. The three other flats in my building do the same. Rules here are one rise per 12 months, at three months notice, and tenant can refer to the Rent Officer who will ask for justification if over the usual UK Inflation rate.

– You can not get a contract longer than 12 months

Yes you can. A *minimum* contract in Scotland is now 6 months.

– You can be evicted through no fault of your own, with 2 months notice – think of the mental stress this causes and the waste of resources moving someone who does not want to.

Now this is true, although again in a contract in Scotland you have to spell out the grounds for termination *before* the policy is signed. I will be selling my flat tenanted as I cannot evict on grounds of wanting to sell the property.

– You are treated like a second class citizen by the estate agent despite you paying their wages – I am the customer, not the joker who is 300 hundred miles away who has managed to take out a intrest only loan.

Only 48% of rental properties use an agent in the UK, and over half the agents are not estate agents but specific letting agency representatives. Again, it depends on your estate agent and your emotive and nasty language is not helpful.

– Despite paying for someone else home, the home owner still thinks the home is theirs and will lock the shed or board up the loft or pop round with his own set of keys to check how he can convert it into a flatshare.

In Scotland, I cannot legally do that. I have a usual notice period of 2-weeks, which I can vary from in an emergency such as leaking pipes. Again you apply a rumour and 'I once heard' to all and use emotive language to do so.

I agree with some of your concerns and points - but by being so emotive and over-generalist you do yourself a disservice and come across as a quite nasty person.


 
Posted : 21/08/2020 2:42 pm
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hels
Subscriber
My two word summary of this thread: OK Boomer!

Perfect.


 
Posted : 21/08/2020 2:45 pm
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Do you have a problem accepting that profit is essential for a functioning economy?

No, just less profit on housing.

What’s your proposed solution to the multiple inequities to see?

less profit on housing.

@matt_outandabout the key word in your post in Scotland.

you really like to use emotive language

This is because I am talking about homes and people, while you are talking about investments. It should be an emotive topic, we are keeping people trapped in unnecessary misery. I am very bitter about this.


 
Posted : 21/08/2020 2:54 pm
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Would it? Do you default when you have negative equity?

The problem is, is that it snowballs. That's exactly what happened during the 2008 Financial Crisis - the snowball effect from those who were sub-prime defaulting, thus causing the surrounding property to fall in value, which meant more defaulted, which caused more of the surrounding property to fall in value, which mean more ....

And it's easy to see why people would choose that. House falls £30k? Okay, thats a stinger but at least it means that other places have probably fallen by £30k too, and maybe in 5 years it's back roughly to where it was.

House falls by £100k? Why am I paying a mortgage for £100k more than its worth? How low can it go? How rapidly will it fall? How long will it take to recover?

It's basically the exact same situation as the 2008 crisis, but instead of subprime mortgages being the trigger it's whatever this thread is proposing devalues housing.

What that video misses out on is that lenders then no longer want to borrow on depreciating, high risk, low yield assets. We're already seeing a bit of this come into play - as the risk of borrowing has risen due to the potential aftermath coronavirus, banks are no longer willing to lend over 85% LTV.

Now imagine that the asset itself is risky due to depreciation, and you can get higher returns elsewhere for your investment. Boom - no mortgages for anyone, only cash buyers can purchase property.

tl;dr: It's much more nuanced than saying 'just make them cheaper lol'

For what it's worth - I too think houses are stupidly expensive and the housing crisis is very real in this country. It's even worse in many cities in the US and other countries. Something should be done. But it's such a delicate and complex economy that I don't dare claim i'm an expert and certainly understand that saying "houses need to be cheaper" is a gross oversimplification of the issue that borders on wishing for financial apocalypse.


 
Posted : 21/08/2020 3:35 pm
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Horrible cougar.

They're grim, and a barrel o' yuks for my mum to live next door to.

The point of that little monologue, which I didn't actually get around to making, is the landlady is going to get the shock of her life should she ever check up on them. Her "huge profits" are going to need to pay for tens of thousands of pounds worth of repairs and cleaning.

To summarize:

To summarise: you haven't listened to a single thing anyone's said to you and instead are making up straw man arguments which have no basis in the reality of what anyone has written.

Let’s talk about why renting is such a bad option in this country.

And there you go again.

Anyone else getting brexit-thread deja vu or is it just me?


 
Posted : 21/08/2020 3:48 pm
 Mat
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In Scotland, I cannot legally do that. I have a usual notice period of 2-weeks, which I can vary from in an emergency such as leaking pipes. Again you apply a rumour and ‘I once heard’ to all and use emotive language to do so.

You shouldn't legally, but it certainly still happens far more than it should, letting agents and landlords.


 
Posted : 21/08/2020 3:54 pm
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I am very bitter about this.

I can tell.
hug?


 
Posted : 21/08/2020 3:55 pm
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How do you suggest your desired objective of less profit in housing could/should be achieved?
What level of house price correction reduction do you think would be appropriate - 10%, 25%, 50%?
No-one is claiming the housing market is anything like perfect but your portrayal of rapacious landlords and profit driven house owners/mortgagees is delusional.

Anyone else getting brexit-thread deja vu or is it just me?

You're not alone.


 
Posted : 21/08/2020 4:04 pm
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less profit on housing.

If there was no financial incentive - one sufficient to offset the risk of 'getting a Paddy' - for landlords to landlord then they'd stop landlording and the rental market would cease.

That being the case, homeseekers' only options would be to find thirty grand for a deposit (which if they could do then they wouldn't be considering renting in the first place) or get themselves off to Decathlon's camping section. Is that what you're proposing?

The uncomfortable truth that you seem unwilling to accept is that the rental market exists in the form that it does because there is demand for it.

Is it all a bit shit? Yes. Welcome to capitalism.


 
Posted : 21/08/2020 4:04 pm
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